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GBTC approval could return a ‘couple billion dollars’ to investors: Grayscale CEO

Grayscale Investments' boss, Michael Sonnenshein, said that if GBTC got the green light to "convert" to a spot Bitcoin ETF there would "no longer" be a discount or a premium, amid ongoing legal action against the SEC.

Grayscale Investments' CEO Michael Sonnenshein stated he “can’t imagine” why the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) “wouldn’t want” to protect Grayscale investors and return the true asset value to them, in a recent podcast interview.

In an interview with What Bitcoin Did, a popular podcast hosted by Peter McCormack, on Feb. 25, Sonnenshein explained that the SEC “violated the administrative procedures act” by denying Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) to be an approved spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded fund (ETF), in June 2022.

He explained that this act ensures the regulator doesn’t show “favoritism,” or act “arbitrary,” adding that by approving Bitcoin Futures ETF, whilst rejecting “GBTC's conversion,” the SEC has acted “arbitrarily.”

Sonnenshein noted that when the SEC started approving the first Bitcoin ETFs, Grayscale took it “as a sign” that the SEC was “changing their attitude to Bitcoin.”

He stated that there is actually a “couple billion dollars” of capital that would immediately go right back into investors pockets, on an overnight basis, as the fund would "bleed back" up to its net asset value, upon being approved as a spot Bitcoin ETF.

Sonnenshein explained that this is due to GBTC currently trading at a discount to its net-asset-value (NAV), but if it were to convert to an ETF, there would “no longer” be a discount or a premium, there’d be an “arbitraged mechanism” embedded.

He reiterated that Grayscale is in the process of “suing the SEC now,” and could have a decision challenging the SEC denial of its initial application, by as late as “fall 2023.”

He also noted that Grayscale has over a “million investor accounts," with investors all over the world counting on the firm to “do the right thing for them.” 

Sonnenshein “can’t imagine” why the SEC wouldn’t want to “protect investors” and “return that value” to them.

It was noted that Grayscale isn't going “to shy” away from the fact that it has a “commercial interest” in this approval, with Sonnenshein noting  if the application to challenge the SEC gets denied, Grayscale might be able to appeal the case at the U.S. Supreme Court.

Related: SEC’s ‘one-dimensional’ approach is slowing Bitcoin progress: Grayscale CEO

This comes after the SEC filed a 73-page brief with the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit in Dec. 2022 outlining its reasons for denying Grayscale’s request to convert its $12-billion Bitcoin Trust into a spot-based Bitcoin ETF, in June 2022. 

The SEC based its decision on findings that Grayscale’s proposal did not sufficiently protect against fraud and manipulation.

The agency had made similar findings in a number of earlier applications to create spot based Bitcoin ETFs.

‘No ETF Has Ever Done Anything Close’ — Analyst Highlights Record GBTC Outflows, Surpassing All ETFs

SEC Risks Violating Admin Procedure Act by Rejecting Spot Bitcoin ETFs, Says Grayscale

SEC Risks Violating Admin Procedure Act by Rejecting Spot Bitcoin ETFs, Says GrayscaleGrayscale Investments’ CEO explains that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) could potentially violate the Administrative Procedure Act by not approving a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF). SEC Approving Spot Bitcoin ETF Is ‘a Matter of When and Not If’ The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has now approved not one but two […]

‘No ETF Has Ever Done Anything Close’ — Analyst Highlights Record GBTC Outflows, Surpassing All ETFs

Grayscale Investments Asks Investors to Help Convince SEC to Approve Bitcoin Spot ETF

Grayscale Investments Asks Investors to Help Convince SEC to Approve Bitcoin Spot ETFGrayscale Investments, the world’s largest digital asset manager, has launched a campaign aimed at convincing the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to approve its bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) application. Grayscale seeks to convert its $25.7 billion bitcoin trust (GBTC) to a bitcoin spot ETF. Asset Manager Campaigns to Get Bitcoin Spot ETF Approved […]

‘No ETF Has Ever Done Anything Close’ — Analyst Highlights Record GBTC Outflows, Surpassing All ETFs

Crypto Advocates Weigh ETF Rejection — Veteran Trader Peter Brandt Says Bitcoiners Should ‘Oppose Spot Bitcoin ETFs in US’

Crypto Advocates Weigh ETF Rejection — Veteran Trader Peter Brandt Says Bitcoiners Should ‘Oppose Spot Bitcoin ETFs in US’Following the Securities and Exchange Commission’s rejection of Vaneck’s bitcoin spot market exchange-traded fund (ETF) on Friday, a number of cryptocurrency advocates discussed the subject this weekend. For instance, the veteran FX trader Peter Brandt told his 581,700 Twitter followers that bitcoin maximalists “should oppose” a spot market bitcoin ETF. Bitcoiner Preston Pysh said bitcoin […]

‘No ETF Has Ever Done Anything Close’ — Analyst Highlights Record GBTC Outflows, Surpassing All ETFs

Proshares Bitcoin futures fund in top 2% of all ETFs for volume

While BTIO is going from strength to strength with a total of $1.4 billion worth of inflows since late October, one expert thinks that VanEck’s Bitcoin spot ETF has a 200-1 chance of being approved by the SEC.

Since its launch on Oct. 19 Proshares’ Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund (ETF) has been a popular choice with traders, rising to the top 2% of all ETFs in terms of total trading volume.

Bloomberg’s Senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted on Nov. 11 that the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) had $400 million worth of shares traded yesterday, with its average volume consistently putting it in the top 2% of all ETFs.

BITO has seen roughly $112.79 million combined inflows over the past nine days. While the figure pales in comparison to the first two days of the fund’s listing that saw $567.16 million and $489.51 million worth of inflows each, Baluchunas noted that “this kind of consistent flow-age is highly rare” for a newly launched ETF.

BITO launched on the New York Stock Exchange on Oct. 19 and has since accumulated more than $1.4 billion worth of assets under management (AUM). Investor appetite for the fund remains high although the price of BITO has failed to surge and is currently sitting at $42.3, which is slightly below its initial listing price around $43.2.g. Balchunas suggested that options volume may be the driving factor behind BITO at this stage.

There seems little hope of a Bitcoin ETF tracking the spot price being approved in the immediate future, with Balchunas suggesting that VanEck’s spot ETF would almost certainly be knocked back by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on the Nov. 14 deadline. The analyst put the odds at a “bleak” 200-1.

Related: BREAKING: BlockFi files for physically-backed Bitcoin ETF

On Nov. 10, ProShares investment strategist Leks Gerlak told U.S. News & World Report that BITO should have no issues with reflecting the value of Bitcoin as futures contracts play a key role in determining its spot value:

“There is no single reference price for Bitcoin, and the trading price of Bitcoin varies from one exchange to another, often between 1% to 2%, and sometimes by 4% to 5%. Expert research on this topic finds that the Bitcoin futures market dominates the price discovery process.”

“Over the past few years, Bitcoin futures and Bitcoin have historically provided very similar returns. Both correlation and beta have been very close to one to Bitcoin,” he added.

‘No ETF Has Ever Done Anything Close’ — Analyst Highlights Record GBTC Outflows, Surpassing All ETFs

US Lawmakers Urge SEC to Permit Trading of Bitcoin Spot ETFs

US Lawmakers Urge SEC to Permit Trading of Bitcoin Spot ETFsU.S. lawmakers have called on the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to approve bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Since the SEC has approved the trading of bitcoin futures ETFs, the lawmakers said it “should no longer have concerns with bitcoin spot ETFs and should show a similar willingness to permit the trading of bitcoin spot […]

‘No ETF Has Ever Done Anything Close’ — Analyst Highlights Record GBTC Outflows, Surpassing All ETFs

Bank of Russia Not Ready to Allow Bitcoin ETF Trading, Governor Says

Bank of Russia Not Ready to Allow Bitcoin ETF Trading, Governor SaysCentral Bank of Russia isn’t prepared to admit a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) to the market, the head of the regulator, Elvira Nabiullina, told Russian media. Her statement, reaffirming the bank’s hardline stance on cryptocurrencies that has been recently criticized again, came after the debut of bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. Central Bank of Russia […]

‘No ETF Has Ever Done Anything Close’ — Analyst Highlights Record GBTC Outflows, Surpassing All ETFs

Analysts predict Valkyrie will launch Bitcoin Futures ETF this week

Bloomberg ETF analysts are predicting Valkyrie’s futures-based Bitcoin ETF will commence trading this week.

Commentators are predicting that a second futures-based Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) will go live by the end of the week following the launch of ProShares’ Bitcoin Strategy ETF later today.

On Oct. 19, Bloomberg’s analyst Eric Balchunas predicted that Valkyrie’s Bitcoin (BTC) futures-based ETF is “likely” to launch in the coming days after being certified for listing on the Nasdaq exchange last week.

If true, the milestone would make Valkyrie’s fund only the second Bitcoin ETF to launch in the United States, with ProShares’ futures-based ETF slated to begin trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker $BITO on Oct. 19.

Fellow Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart had initially predicted that Valkyrie's Bitcoin Strategy ETF ($BTF) would go live on the same day as ProShares’ product. However, Balchunas tweeted earlier today that Varlkyrie’s fund will “likely” launch on Oct. 20 or Oct. 21, adding that ProShares will have the “market to itself” for the time being.

Balchunas also noted that Valkyrie had updated its ticker from BTFD to BTF in its application.

Invesco bows out of race to launch futures-based Bitcoin ETF

Despite the bullish sentiment surrounding the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approving the United States’ first Bitcoin ETF, Invesco announced it had withdrawn its application for a futures-based ETF on Oct. 18.

While onlookers had predicted Invesco’s futures ETF would receive a greenlight from the SEC this week, the firm revealed on Oct. 18 that it had withdrawn its application, adding its intentions to work toward launching a spot Bitcoin ETF in partnership with crypto broker-dealer Galaxy Digital. Invesco stated:

“We have determined not to pursue the launch of a Bitcoin futures ETF in the immediate near-term; however we will continue to work in partnership with Galaxy Digital to offer investors a full shelf of products with exposure to this transformative asset class, including pursuing a physically-backed, digital asset ETF.”

Related: SEC extends four Bitcoin ETF deadlines by 45 days

However, during an Oct. 19 episode of Anthony Pompliano’s “Best Business Show,” Seyffart and Balchunas argued that the approval of a spot BTC-backed ETF is unlikely to happen anytime soon.

Balchunas asserted that SEC chairman Gary Gensler is much more “comfortable” with Bitcoin futures-based ETFs as they offer greater consumer protections than spot-backed funds.

‘No ETF Has Ever Done Anything Close’ — Analyst Highlights Record GBTC Outflows, Surpassing All ETFs

Grayscale Confirms Plan to Convert GBTC Into Bitcoin ETF

Grayscale Confirms Plan to Convert GBTC Into Bitcoin ETFGrayscale Investments has confirmed its plan to file for its bitcoin trust (GBTC) to be converted into a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF). “The NYSE Arca will file a document called the 19b-4 to convert GBTC into an ETF,” said Grayscale’s official. GBTC to Become Bitcoin ETF Grayscale Investments has confirmed that it will convert its […]

‘No ETF Has Ever Done Anything Close’ — Analyst Highlights Record GBTC Outflows, Surpassing All ETFs