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Ethereum gas price spikes 29% in January as user activity grows: Report

Ethereum block statistics show that the average number of blocks mined each day showed little to no change, while the total block size per month increased by 7%.

Stepping into 2023, the cryptocurrency market seemingly shrugged off the year-long bearish sentiment from 2022. As investors took notice, the long-awaited price corrections had a significant reaction, showcased through on-chain activities on the Ethereum blockchain.

According to a data report from Analytex, Ethereum’s average gas price — calculated in terms of the smallest Ether (ETH) denomination, gwei — increased by 29.27% in January 2023. The report compares gas prices from January to December 2022, noting an increase in user activity as a key indicator for the rise in average gas price from 19.2 gwei to 24.82 gwei month-on-month.

Ethereum average gas price per month. Source: app.analytex.today

The report also notes that the average number of unique active Ethereum wallets per day decreased by around 10% to 387,475, the lowest figure over the past six months. Meanwhile, the average number of unique active smart contracts increased by 6.74%.

Ethereum transactions peak, January 2023. Source: app.analytex.today

As shown above, other important metrics measured include daily Ethereum transaction data, which showed a slight decrease of 0.8% from December to January. The report notes that the average number of Ethereum transactions per day has declined for eight months.

Related: ‘Decentralized Infura’ may help prevent Ethereum app crashes: Interview

Ethereum block statistics show that the average number of blocks mined each day showed little to no change, while the total block size per month increased by 7%. Following the Merge, daily average block data has been stable at around 0.01% monthly. The total Ethereum block size per month for January was 17.24 GB, up 7.08% from December’s 16.1GB total.

Ethereum average number of blocks per day. Source: app.analytex.today

The report highlights contrasting data metrics across the board. The number of transactions and unique active wallets was down from December. The Ethereum activity index also showed that the number of active smart contracts and average gas cost prices have increased.

Analytex suggests that this indicates “increased interest of both current blockchain users, as well as smart contracts developers.“

As previously reported by Cointelegraph, decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols saw an increase in total value locked across different staking pools in January, per a report from DappRadar. The market hit $74.6 billion worth of staked assets, increasing by 26% from December 2022.

Ethereum’s looming Shanghai upgrade is also driving staking in DeFi due to the expected opening of withdrawals from Ethereum staking contracts. Lido Finance flipped Maker DAO as the largest DeFi protocol in January, driven by the popularity of liquid staking derivative protocols.

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Bitcoin mining stocks saw spikes across the board ahead of halving event

Fallout: Ethereum fees skyrocketed as traders raced to unwind leveraged positions

Traders racing to exit leveraged positions on-chain appeared to drive a record spike in Ethereum gas prices yesterday, with users reporting transaction fees of more than $1,000 still got stuck.

Ethereum fees surged to record highs amid the recent crypto downturn, with users paying more than 2,000 gwei to execute transactions at its peak.

Digital asset research firm, Delphi Digital, noted gas prices oscillated between 1,500 and 1,700 gwei for approximately one hour as DeFi liquidations drove “gas wars amongst liquidators and arbitrageurs.”

Ethereum gas prices amid crypto market crash: Dune Analytics

In the May 19 Daily Gwei newsletter, Ethereum developer Anthony Sassano speculated the fee frenzy was likely triggered by on-chain margin traders racing to exit their leveraged positions:

“The price was falling so fast that people were getting scared for their on-chain leveraged positions and were willing to pay anything to get their transaction included in the next Ethereum block (presumably to close their positions).”

Chris Weston of Melbourne-based brokerage Pepperstone also emphasized the role of leverage in the crash, estimating that cascading margin calls drove $9.13 billion worth of liquidations across crypto exchanges in 24 hours.

Alameda Research’s Sam Trabucco also noted high leverage in the Ethereum markets, criticizing the narrative that Ethereum’s rally was largely fueled by institutional spot buying.

“I saw a TON of speculation that the rallies (especially the ETH rallies) were low-leverage and spot-driven, and therefore more organic’ somehow [...] This narrative was super wrong,” said Trabucco.

Crypto luminaries were not exempt from the gas crisis, with CoinShares CSO, Meltem Demirors, tweeting about her stuck transactions in spite of paying more than $1,000 in gas fees. 

However, some analytics were able to find a silver lining amid the skyrocketing fees, with Paradigm’s Hasu estimating that Ethereum stakers would have captured “tens to hundreds of millions of dollars” in fee revenue if EIP-1559 and Proof-of-Stake had been live during the crash.

Bitcoin mining stocks saw spikes across the board ahead of halving event

Why Are Gas Fees So Low? Inside ETH’s Secret Bot Wars

In Ethereum’s “dark forest,” one brave dev team has taken on the hard task of slaying the arbitrage bots that have spiked gas prices and extracted $370 million from regular DeFi users.

The War Against High Gas Prices

Gas prices dropped significantly over the weekend, dropping near 30-day lows despite ETH itself hitting an all-time high. The reason for the unexpected drop lies in Ethereum’s pool of pending transactions; the mempool.

Pending ETH transactions sit in the mempool until a miner can include them in a block. The pool is sometimes referred to as “the dark forest,” a reference to a sci-fi novel of the same name in which predators stalk a dangerous forest where being noticed can be fatal.

In the Ethereum ecosystem, these predators are arbitrage bots, autonomous programs whose algorithms are set to find big transactions waiting in the mempool and sandwich them between two of their own transactions.

Example: Bob executes a buy order to purchase 1000 ETH from the ETH/DAI pool on Uniswap.

An arbitrage bot will:

  • Detect the transaction
  • Buy ETH right before Bob’s transaction goes through
  • Sell the ETH for a profit after Bob’s transaction

For Bob, it will simply seem as if the price of ETH had a sudden uptick right before his transaction. Arbitrage bots can also profit from inefficiencies in the market, such as different prices for the same asset on different decentralized exchanges.

Arbitrage Bots Drive Up Gas Fees

To ensure that the desired transactions happen in the right order, arbitrage bots set very high gas prices to make sure they will be included first in the block, making the arbitrage possible.

This activity increases the average gwei price of transactions. Arbitrage bots are numerous and often need to compete for the same transactions, and they’re programmed to raise their gas prices to be included first in the next block up until the point where the trade is no longer profitable.

These bot bidding wars are the cause of much of the high-paying traffic on the Ethereum blockchain comes from, and also much of the high gas costs.

Apart from the arbitrage bots, the great beneficiaries of this system are miners, as gas essentially functions as a tip to encourage miners to pick up a transaction.

This additional value represents an astonishing $370 million since January 1st, 2020, in what is called MEV: miner extracted value.

Cumulative additional value extracted by miners. Data from Flashbots' MEV Dashboard.
Cumulative additional value extracted by miners. Data from Flashbots’ MEV Dashboard.

Many protocols try to fight this issue, and one, in particular, has played a major role in the recent drop.

Flashbots is a research and development organization actively fighting MEV. The group has devised an ingenious system in which the bidding war of the arbitrage bots happens on a parallel channel.

These arbitrage transactions are bundled in an order that increases their chances of successfully carrying out transactions while preventing bidding wars with other bots. By avoiding these gas wars, MEV drops, and gas prices on the Ethereum network do so as well.

These transaction bundles are then sent to miners in a certain order with a generous tip to make sure the bundle is included as fast as possible. Since the bundle is included because of the tip, the gas price of individual transactions in gwei can stay at 0, making them extremely easy to recognize.

In the last few days, up to 30% of all transactions on the Ethereum network were made through Flashbots’ system, drastically lowering MEV and gas prices.

While it benefits the wider community, Flashbot’s hurts miners by lowering MEV, adding to their EIP-1599 woes with a new proposal to burn a portion of miner fees now on the table.

However, lower gas prices are certainly welcome news to end-users, leaving miners with little choice but to accept and adapt to the new more gas-efficient system.

Disclaimer: The author held ETH, ROOK, and several other cryptocurrencies at the time of writing.

Bitcoin mining stocks saw spikes across the board ahead of halving event