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A Million-Dollar Bitcoin Bet, Financial Crisis Warnings Abound, and Ordinal Inscriptions Surpass 500,000 — Week in Review

A Million-Dollar Bitcoin Bet, Financial Crisis Warnings Abound, and Ordinal Inscriptions Surpass 500,000 — Week in ReviewVenture capitalist Balaji Srinivasan says hyperinflation is happening now, and is making million-dollar bets that the price of bitcoin will reach $1M in 90 days. In related news, myriad voices from the world of finance are sounding off about inflation, recession, and a brewing economic crisis. In spite of the economic turmoil, however, Federal Reserve […]

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‘How did this happen’ — Powell says Fed stumped over the collapse of SVB

In a post-FOMC meeting on March 22, the chairman of the Federal Reserve said his “only interest is that we identify what went wrong here.”

United States Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has conceded that his regulator was blindsided by the sudden collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, despite it being under their watch.

In a press conference held just after the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on March 22, Powell said he immediately knew there was a need for an internal investigation when the bank shut down on March 10, stating:

“I realized right away that there was going to be a need for a review. I mean, the question we were all asking ourselves over that first weekend was, ‘how did this happen?’”

The Federal Reserve on March 13 announced the launch of an internal investigation led by Vice Chairman Michael Barr to look into the events surrounding the failure of SVB and how the Fed “supervised and regulated” the bank.

Powell confirmed that Barr will be testifying next week.

“We’re doing the review of supervision and regulation,” Powell said. “My only interest is that we identify what went wrong here,” he added.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaking at a Federal Open Market Committee conference on March 22. Source: Federal Reserve

SVB’s collapse has been linked to the Federal Reserve’s successive interest rate hikes that have been aimed at taming inflation. This is understood to have eroded SVB's long-term bonds it purchased at near-zero rates.

When SVB announced that it suffered a $1.8 billion after-tax loss and was looking to raise $2.25 billion, the market panicked, leading to a $160 billion wipeout in its market cap in 24 hours.

The share price of SVB Financial Group fell nearly 60% on March 10. Source: Yahoo Finance

At the time, despite SVB CEO Greg Becker urging investors to “stay calm” and not to “panic”, depositors began to request withdrawals from SVB en masse, causing a bank run.

On March 10, the United States Federal Deposit Insurance Commission stepped in, taking possession of SVB to help depositors get access to their money. Emergency measures were put in place by the government soon after to guarantee all deposits at SVB.

Related: Fed starts ‘stealth QE’ — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

Powell’s latest comments on SVB come as the Federal Reserve Board announced that it will increase interest rates by 25 basis points.

The news has U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren frustrated with Powell, who has now raised interest rates nine consecutive times to 5%.

“I think he’s a dangerous man to have in this job,” she said, in a March 22 interview on CNN.

“We’ve never seen hikes at this rate in the modern economy,” she said, adding that it risks “pushing our economy into a recession.”

Warren believes the effects of Powell’s “weak” regulatory approach toward large banks in the U.S. over the last five years is another factor to blame for the recent banking crisis:

“I predicted five years ago the consequence of that kind of weakening would be that we see these banks load up on risk, build their short term profits, give themselves ginormous bonuses and big salaries and then some of those banks would explode.”

"That is exactly what has happened on Jerome Powell’s watch,” Warren added.

Related: Unstablecoins: Depegging, bank runs and other risks loom

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Federal Reserve Hikes Rate by 25bps to Keep Inflation at Bay, Aims for 2% Inflation Rate by 2025

Federal Reserve Hikes Rate by 25bps to Keep Inflation at Bay, Aims for 2% Inflation Rate by 2025Following the fallout over the past two weeks in the U.S. banking industry, the Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Wednesday, citing the need for the inflation rate to return to 2% over the long run. Fed Raises Rate Despite Calamity in the U.S. Banking Sector It’s been […]

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Federal Reserve confirms July launch for FedNow instant payment service

The FedNow service aims to reduce the gap in payment time between United States financial institutions.

The United States Federal Reserve has confirmed a July launch date for its long-awaited instant payments system, seen by some as an alternative to central bank digital currencies and stablecoins.

The instant payment network will settle payments in seconds and can support transactions between consumers, merchants and banks. It does not rely on blockchain technology.

It’s a significant step for the government, as it is controlled by the Federal Reserve. Clearing House’s RTP network, which also offers real-time payments, is operated by a consortium of large banks. 

According to a March 15 announcement, the U.S. Fed said the debut of FedNow is set for July, with the U.S. Treasury and a “diverse mix of financial institutions of all sizes” ready to use the network from launch.

The Fed said it will “begin the formal certification of participants” during the first week of April in preparation for the launch.

“Early adopters will complete a customer testing and certification program, informed by feedback from the FedNow Pilot Program, to prepare for sending live transactions through the system,” the announcement reads.

FedNow was announced in 2019 and will provide round-the-clock, real-time gross settlement by funneling commercial bank money from a sender through a Fed credit account to its recipient. It also has built in features such as fraud risk management.

Following the official launch, the Federal Reserve outlined that it will push to onboard as many as financial institutions as possible in order to increase the availability of instant payments.

“The launch reflects an important milestone in the journey to help financial institutions serve customer needs for instant payments to better support nearly every aspect of our economy,” Tom Barkin, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond and FedNow Program executive sponsor, said in the announcement.

Some see the FedNow service as tackling a problem that both stablecoins and CBDCs also seek to solve.

The FedNow program, however, doesn’t use blockchain tech, while the Federal Reserve is known to have a cautious and skeptical view on stablecoins. 

Tweet from Meltem Demirors on FedNow. Source: Twitter

One of the major banking payment rails servicing U.S. crypto companies in the Silvergate Exchange Network (SEN) was shut down earlier this month following Silvergate’s collapse.

As it stands, SEN competitor SigNet from Signature Bank is still operational despite the bank’s forced closure on March 13. However, its fate is up in the air, while a number of companies have reportedly fled from the network following Signature’s troubles.

FedNow could also stand in place of a central-bank-issued digital currency.

Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard emphasized during a House of Representatives Committee on Financial Services hearing in May that a CBDC would take far longer to get off the ground than FedNow due to regulatory hurdles.

“[If] Congress were to decide… to issue a central bank digital currency, it could take five years to put in place the requisite security features, the design features,” she said.

She added that FedNow will serve many of the same functions as a CBDC anyhow.

Related: Tassat blockchain to join FedNow service with B2B on-ramp as pilot prepares for launch

Fed chair Jerome Powell also spoke before the House Financial Services Committee on March 9 and suggested that a potential U.S. CBDC is still quite some time away.

“We’re not at the stage of making any real decisions,” he said, adding that “what we’re doing is experimenting in kind of early stage experimentation. How would this work? Does it work? What’s the best technology? What’s the most efficient?”

Commenting on FedNow, however, he stated that “we’ll have real-time payments in this country very, very soon.”

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Moody’s Downgrades US Banking Sector to Negative After Collapse of Three Major Banks

Moody’s Downgrades US Banking Sector to Negative After Collapse of Three Major BanksAfter the failure of three major U.S. banks last week, with two of them being the second and third largest banking failures in the country, Moody’s Investors Service has downgraded the rating of the U.S. banking system from “stable” to “negative.” As one of the “Big Three” credit rating firms, Moody’s cited a “rapid deterioration […]

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Silicon Valley Bank Faces Financial Woes as Stock Is Halted, Sells $21 Billion Bond Portfolio at a $1.8 Billion Loss

Silicon Valley Bank Faces Financial Woes as Stock Is Halted, Sells  Billion Bond Portfolio at a .8 Billion LossOn March 10, 2023, market observers are discussing the troubles Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) faces, as the firm’s stock slid more than 60% in the last 24 hours. SVB was forced to sell a $21 billion bond portfolio at a $1.8 billion loss. CEO Greg Becker insists that the financial institution “will be well positioned” […]

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The Fed Is About To Crash Bitcoin and Crypto Markets, Says Analyst Nicholas Merten – Here’s Why

The Fed Is About To Crash Bitcoin and Crypto Markets, Says Analyst Nicholas Merten – Here’s Why

A widely followed crypto analyst says that the actions of the U.S. Federal Reserve will crash Bitcoin (BTC) and the crypto markets in general. In a new video update, Nicholas Merten, the host of DataDash, tells his 511,000 YouTube subscribers that the Fed may once again cause havoc in the crypto industry by continuing to […]

The post The Fed Is About To Crash Bitcoin and Crypto Markets, Says Analyst Nicholas Merten – Here’s Why appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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US Markets Tumble as Real Estate Weakens, Putin Suspends Nuclear Treaty, Morgan Stanley Warns of Stock Market ‘Death Zone’

US Markets Tumble as Real Estate Weakens, Putin Suspends Nuclear Treaty, Morgan Stanley Warns of Stock Market ‘Death Zone’On Tuesday, all four major U.S. benchmark stock indexes fell as real estate data showed home sales dropped by 0.7% last month and Russian President Vladimir Putin suspended the nuclear arms control treaty with the United States. Additionally, the chief U.S. equity strategist at Morgan Stanley said the stock market is in a “death zone” […]

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US Inflation Remains Higher Than Expected, Raising Concerns Among Investors

US Inflation Remains Higher Than Expected, Raising Concerns Among InvestorsU.S. inflation levels dropped slightly in January, sliding from 6.5% to 6.4%. However, inflation remains higher than expected, causing concern among investors that the U.S. central bank will continue to hike the benchmark federal funds rate. Inflation in the US Remains High, Causing Uncertainty in Markets Inflation in the United States exceeded expectations among analysts […]

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