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Bitcoin-friendly El Salvador can become ‘Singapore of the Americas’: VanEck advisor

VanEck strategy advisor Gabor Gurbacs expects a wave of new investment capital and immigration will push El Salvador’s economic growth in the coming years.

El Salvador can follow Singapore’s lead and become a financial center in the Americas, according to  Gabor Gurbacs, strategy advisor of investment management firm VanEck.

“I say often to portfolio managers and asset allocators that El Salvador has the potential to become the Singapore of the Americas,” Gurbacs explained in an Oct. 28 X post.

Similar to what Singapore achieved in the late 1900s, Gurbacs expects new capital investment and immigration will be the main drivers behind El Salvador’s increased economic growth over the next few years.

His comments follow an Oct. 28 post by United States broadcaster and Bitcoiner Max Keiser, which was captioned “Move to #ElSalvador, The New Land of the Free.”

Keiser, who now lives in El Salvador, listed Bitcoin (BTC) and the U.S. dollar's legal tender status, a clean up in El Salvadoran crime, great beaches and great coffee as some of the main reasons why the Central American country should be on everyone’s radar.

El Salvador’s status as an emerging economy became more prominent when Nayib Bukele was appointed as the country’s president in June 2019.

El Salvador’s sovereign bonds have outperformed many other emerging markets in 2023, yielding an eye-popping 70% return by August 2023 which caught the attention of JPMorgan, Eaton Vance and other investment management firms.

Bukele and the El Salvador government made Bitcoin legal tender in September 2021 in addition to rolling out a Bitcoin custodial wallet, Chivo Wallet for all El Salvadorans in the same week.

El Salvador is also tapping into its volcanic resources to power a Bitcoin mining operation startup, Volcano Energy, which launched in June on the back of a $1 billion investment. Keiser serves as the company’s executive chairman.

Its first mining pool was launched following a partnership with Bitcoin miners Luxor Technology in October.

Related: El Salvador’s Bitcoin strategy evolved with the bear market in 2022

El Salvador appointed Dr. Saifedean Ammous, the author of “The Bitcoin Standard” as an economic advisor to the National Bitcoin Office in May. The country plans to accumulate Bitcoin as a strategy to clean out its debt within the next five years.

Bukele also made a bold move to eliminate all taxes on technology innovations in April — which could entice more entrepreneurs and foreign capital to move into the country.

Magazine: What it’s actually like to use Bitcoin in El Salvador

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‘The Bitcoin Standard’ author becomes economic adviser to El Salvador

Dr. Saifedean Ammous thinks El Salvador will be debt free if it accumulates Bitcoin for the next five years.

Dr. Saifedean Ammous, the author of an explanatory book about Bitcoin (BTC) called The Bitcoin Standard, has been appointed the economic adviser to the National Bitcoin Office of El Salvador.

On May 30, the Office announced that the Austrian economist had joined the team as its advisor for matters related to various economic policies.

Dr. Ammous’ now-famous book was first published in April 2018. It analyzes the transition between solid stores of value to inflated assets and fiat currencies, traces the history of money and aims to show how civilizations have changed with their monetary systems.

Regarding the new position, he tweeted on May 30 that he was “excited” to work in the office in “the first country to adopt a Bitcoin standard!”

Speaking to local media outlet Diario El Salvador on May 30, Ammous said, “What makes Bitcoin unique is that it gives you the opportunity to have a strong asset that doesn’t depreciate over the years.”

“If you have money that depreciates over time, there is no point in saving and it makes sense to get into debt,” he added.

“If you continue to accumulate Bitcoin for the next five years, there is a good chance that El Salvador will be debt free.”

The National Bitcoin Office (ONBTC) reported that Dr. Ammous recently traveled to El Salvador to lecture students of CUBO+, a Bitcoin and Lightning Network developers program to teach locals the code and concepts.

He also met with President Nayib Bukele and shared his thoughts on the “remarkable benefits of the policy of economic liberty.”

The ONBTC stated that Dr. Ammous declined any remuneration for the role and was only interested in supporting President Bukele’s Bitcoin policy.

El Salvador’s National Bitcoin Office was created in November 2022 by Bukele to manage all things crypto-related.

Related: Strike moves global headquarters to El Salvador, expands to 65 countries

American broadcaster Max Keiser and television presenter Stacy Herbert are also part of Bukele's Bitcoin team, in addition to the recently appointed professor.

Max Keiser commented that The Bitcoin Standard “‘Orange Pilled’ millions, including [MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor] and many corporate and financial heavyweights who keep adding Bitcoin to their coffers daily.”

Magazine: What it’s actually like to use Bitcoin in El Salvador

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Bitcoin bulls give ‘conservative’ 10-year estimate for hyperbitcoinization to hit

A decade to hyperbitcoinization is "most likely," says Kraken executive Dan Held, a forecast echoed by Unchained Capital's Parker Lewis.

Bitcoin (BTC) may be just 10 years away from seeing mass adoption in an event known as "hyperbitcoinization."

That's according to participants of the Bitcoin 2021 conference in Miami, who on June 4 delivered surprisingly optimistic verdicts on when hyperbitcoinization will come.

Bitcoin could be unit of account by 2031

Speaking on a panel, The Bitcoin Standard author Saifedean Ammous, Unchained Capital head of business development Parker Lewis and Kraken growth lead Dan Held all gave their deadlines for when Bitcoin will effectively take over global finance.

"I'd say a decade," Lewis began.

"I think that based on how Bitcoin has been adopted historically and based on the trillions of dollars that the Fed is going to have to print in the coming months to years, that it would potentially be conservative to say that Bitcoin's a unit of account in 10 years."

That would involve the Bitcoin network onboarding billions of new users by 2031, but as the panel noted, the rate of adoption since 2011 has already produced hundreds of millions of Bitcoiners.

"I'm going to be a little more conservative than Parker and say maybe 15 years to 16 years — you know, four more halving cycles," Ammous continued.

His perspective is similar to that of PlanB, creator of the stock-to-flow Bitcoin price models, who previously estimated that after several halving cycles, it will become impossible to measure Bitcoin's price in dollars. This is because as a currency with no bottom, the potential for Bitcoin to grow in U.S. dollar terms is infinite.

Hyperbitcoinization by 2026 is "unlikely" but possible

"I would say at least a decade for hyperbitcoinization would be the most likely and actually conservative estimate," Held concluded.

"If we do have an event where there's rapid devaluation of fiat currency, Bitcoin starts to surge or gets close to $1 million per Bitcoin — a supercycle-esque moment — then we could see it much sooner, maybe five to six years or so. But that would be a very unlikely outcome. I think it could happen, but it's not likely to happen."

As Cointelegraph reported, the stock-to-flow model predicts an average BTC/USD price of either $100,000 or $288,000 this halving cycle, depending on which type of model is used.

So far, PlanB has remained unfazed by the recent rout that took over 50% of Bitcoin's value off its latest all-time highs of $64,500.

Bitcoin stock-to-flow chart as of June 4. Source: Buy Bitcoin Worldwide

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