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BTC bull market began in March, more will realize in a year — Arthur Hayes

The BitMEX co-founder says Bitcoin has been on a bull run since the Fed’s $25 billion dollar program aimed at stabilizing the U.S. banking system.

Bitcoin (BTC) has been on a bull run for the past six months or so, and the market has yet to respond — but it will in around six to 12 months, according to BitMEX co-founder and former CEO Arthur Hayes.

In a Sept. 5 keynote speech at Korea Blockchain Week, Hayes argued Bitcoin’s bull run began on March 10, the day Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) was taken over by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation.

Two days before SVB’s takeover on March 8, Silvergate Bank went into liquidation. Two days later, on March 12, Signature Bank was forced to close by New York regulators.

In response, and in a bid to stop further possible collapses, the Federal Reserve created the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) — offering banking loans of up to a year in return for them posting “qualifying assets” as collateral.

Hayes speaking at Korea Blockchain Week in Seoul. Source: Andrew Fenton/Cointelegraph

“Essentially, what [the Fed] did was backstop the entire banking system by saying: ‘Please give me your underwater dogshit bonds, and I’ll give you fresh dollars,’” Hayes said.

“Me and the rest of the market rightly saw through this as basically them admitting that they caused this problem — the structure of the banking system — and this is one of the ways you can fix it, which is: print more money.”

Since then, Bitcoin’s price has increased — currently around 26% — which is why he claims the bull market started that day.

“We basically ditched this whole facade that we care about the value of the dollar and the value of any fiat currency.”

This pushed traders to consider fixed-supply assets such as Bitcoin, Hayes claimed.

Related: Why is Jerome Powell gaslighting us about the odds of recession?

However, the rest of the market market hasn’t yet responded, but he gave a timeline of six to 12 months for that to occur.

Hayes said even if the Fed and other central banks continued interest rate hikes to enable economic tightening or if they “print more money,” then Bitcoin would still perform well.

“On both scenarios, whether the Fed raises or cuts, we are in a good position as the cryptocurrency industry,” he said.

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Silvergate CEO to depart amid ongoing liquidation and investor suits

Silvergate is losing its CEO Alan Lane and two other top executives as part of an ongoing wind-down of the once crypto-friendly bank.

Silvergate CEO Alan Lane and two other key executives are set to depart from their positions amid a wind-down of the once crypto-friendly bank.

Lane and the firm’s chief legal officer John Bonino will depart on Aug. 15, while Antonio Martino, chief financial officer of the company, will depart on Sept. 30.

In an Aug. 15 filing to the Securities and Exchange Commission, the bank’s parent company Silvergate Capital said the departures are part of its previously disclosed plan to wind down operations and voluntarily liquidate Silvergate Bank.

Silvergate noted the three departing executives will not be entitled to any further compensation under their respective employment agreements but will receive severance benefits.

The departures come amid a wave of proposed lawsuits involving the bank.

Silvergate and Lane are named in multiple proposed lawsuits mostly revolving around its alleged role in the misconduct of crypto exchange FTX.

In May, the Texas-based Word of God Church also sued the bank alleging it used $25 million of church deposits to participate in FTX’s “fraudulent” scheme, adding Silvergate and Lane had "unparalleled knowledge of the rampant fraud and corporate malfeasance."

Complaint filed by Word of God Fellowship Inc. against Silvergate. Source: Court Listener

Another proposed class action alleged the bank did not perform adequate due diligence on the crypto firms it brought on as clients, such as FTX, Alameda and North Dimension.

Other customers, according to the suit, include Binance.US, Huobi Global, Nexo Capital, and Bittrex.

Related: Binance sold USDC for BTC and ETH after Silvergate Bank collapse: PoR report

In March, Silvergate announced it would be winding down its bank’s operations after suffering $1 billion worth of losses as a consequence of the FTX’s demise, one of Silvergate’s leading clients.

The bank’s collapse sent reverberations through the crypto ecosystem and the United States banking sector as it was one of the few regulated financial institutions providing banking services to crypto firms and exchanges.

Lane’s role will be taken over by Kathleen Fraher, the chief transition officer of the company, while Martinos’ role will be helmed by the current chief accounting officer of the bank, Andrew Surry.

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Binance sold USDC for BTC and ETH after Silvergate Bank collapse: PoR report

Binance’s depleting USDC reserves has become a hot topic in the crypto ecosystem, especially after Coinbase CEO’s quip during the company’s Q2 earning call.

Cryptocurrency exchange Binance released its latest proof-of-reserves (PoRs) on Aug. 1, offering transparency into its crypto reserves. However, the movement of its USD Coin (USDC) reserves at the time of Silvergte’s collapse caught many people’s attention and became a topic of discussion on X (formerly Twitter).

The latest reserve audit suggests Binance holds more than enough crypto and cash to cover user funds. The ratio of Binance’s net balances to its customers’ net balances is more than 100% for all its assets as shown in the snapshot below.

Binance asset reserve ratio to customer funds. Source: Binance

While the report presents a healthy financial situation for Binance, its USDC reserve movements post-Silvergate collapse and the depeg of the stablecoin were the main topics of discussion. The PoR shows that Binance’s USDC balance decreased from $3.4 billion on March 1 to $23.9 million by May 1.

Binance reserves balance between December 2022–June 2023. Source: Binance

Binance started converting customer’s USDC to Binance USD in September internally, but at the time, it did hold a significant amount of USDC in its reserves as well. On-chain data suggests that right after Silvergate collapsed on March 12, Binance started converting its USDC reserves into Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH).

Twitter on-chain analyst Aleksandar Djakovic noted that Binance purchased approximately 100,000 BTC and 550,000 ETH between March 12 and May 1, totaling around $3.5 billion, the same amount as the surplus of USDC i had.

Binance didn’t respond to Cointelegraph’s requests for comments at the time of writing.

Related: USD-backed stablecoin pilot project launched by Pacific island nation of Palau

The revelation around Binance’s USDC reserves has become a hot topic, especially after Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong quipped during the company’s Q2 earnings call meeting that Binance has sold USDC for another stablecoin.

PoRs have become a popular way for crypto exchanges to attest their holdings and share the same with the public as a way of transparency after the collapse of the FTX crypto exchange. Calls for more transparency grew in the crypto ecosystem after FTX became crippled despite founders claiming its financial situation was well-balanced until its collapse in November 2022.

Collect this article as an NFT to preserve this moment in history and show your support for independent journalism in the crypto space.

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Fed board issues order to Silvergate Bank as part of self-liquidation plan

Silvergate Capital Corporation and its crypto-friendly bank will have 10 days to submit a self-liquidation plan in compliance with California and federal requirements.

The Federal Reserve Board of the United States has issued a consent order to Silvergate Bank and its parent company as part of the institution’s plans to “wind down operations” and liquidate.

In a June 1 notice, the Fed said Silvergate Capital Corporation and the bank will have 10 days to submit a self-liquidation plan in compliance with California and federal requirements that will wind down its operations. The firm announced in March it planned to shutter operations “in light of recent industry and regulatory developments,” becoming one of three major crypto-friendly banks to close.

Though Silvergate voluntarily announced its liquidation with plans for a “full repayment of all deposits," the Fed notice said examinations “identified numerous deficiencies” at the bank following the collapse of crypto exchange FTX in November 2022. According to the Fed, Silvergate “experienced significant declines in deposits by its crypto-asset-related customers” in the fourth quarter of 2022, resulting in “funding and liquidity stress.”

Any Silvergate self-liquidation plan will prioritize protecting depositors’ funds. Fed officials and California’s Department of Financial Protection and Innovation will oversee and approve any plan proposed by Silvergate. In addition, the regulators have restricted Silvergate’s leadership ability to receive “golden parachute payments” and change responsibilities amid the winding down process.

Related: Crypto industry may escape lasting damage from Silvergate liquidation

Silvergate was the first major crypto-friendly bank to shutter operations, followed by Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. Many digital asset firms — including Coinbase, Paxos, Gemini, Bitstamp and Galaxy Digital — previously had financial ties to Silvergate but announced they would be leaving following allegations the bank had been connected to the collapse of FTX.

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Fed, NYDFS assess their supervisory performance after March’s big bank failures

Internal reviews of the supervision of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank have been released, showing weaknesses on the part of the banks’ regulators as well as management.

Bank regulators in the United States have turned from introspection to confession after the high-profile bank failures in March. The New York Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) published its internal review of Signature Bank supervision on April 28, the same day the U.S. Federal Reserve Board released its review of the handling of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB).

The banks closed within days of each other, with California regulators shuttering SVB on March 10, and the NYDFS moving against Signature Bank on March 12. Crypto-friendly Silvergate Bank had preceded them, announcing its voluntary liquidation on March 8 and setting off runs on the banks. The string of failures set off shockwaves serious enough that U.S. President Joe Biden felt the need to tweet a response.

The Fed review started with findings that had been noted by commentators: the bank’s management failed to manage its risks, and supervisors “did not fully appreciate the extent of the vulnerabilities” of the bank as it “grew in size and complexity, even though “SVB’s foundational problems were widespread and well-known.”

Furthermore, supervisors failed to act quickly enough on the vulnerabilities they did identify. Annual Capital, Asset Quality, Management, Earnings, Liquidity, and Sensitivity to Market Risk (CAMELS) exams had uncovered deficiencies in 2021 and 2022, but changes in the supervisory team and the bank’s rapid growth got in the way of handling them, and:

“The supervisory approach at Silicon Valley Bank was too deliberative and focused on the continued accumulation of supporting evidence in a consensus-driven environment.”

Regulatory easing due to the passage of the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act (EGRRCPA) in 2019 led to a “tailoring approach” to regulating many large banks, including SVB. Supervisory policy was changed at the same time to place greater emphasis on due process, slowing down regulatory action, according to the report.

The Fed conceded, however, “While higher supervisory and regulatory requirements may not have prevented the firm’s failure, they would likely have bolstered the resilience of Silicon Valley Bank.”

The NYDFS noted that crypto-friendly Signature Bank had also experienced rapid growth in the years immediately before its closure. Like SVB, it had a high portion of deposits that were not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), which caps its coverage at $250,000 per account.

Related: ‘Ludicrous’ to think Signature Bank’s collapse was connected to crypto, says NYDFS head

“The Bank’s growth outpaced the development of its risk control framework,” the New York regulators wrote. Risk management issues were identified at Signature Bank in annual reviews in 2018 and 2019, but they were only partially addressed.

There were problems relating to supervision as well. “Internal staff constraints limited DFS’s ability to staff examinations adequately,” the report said. Also “DFS’s internal processes need clearer guidelines for when examiners need to escalate regulatory concerns or instances in which a bank fails to remediate findings in a timely fashion.” In addition, the mechanisms of the review process within the NYDFS were “cumbersome” and lacked deadlines. In addition:

“[The NY]DFS will consider whether banks need to conduct table-top exercises demonstrating their operational readiness to collect and produce accurate financial data at a rapid pace and in a stress scenario.”

The NYDFS presented its decision to close down Signature Bank as the culmination of a process that began with the bankruptcy of crypto exchange FTX in November. Due to its crypto-friendly reputation, the NYDFS began requiring “provide periodic liquidity updates,” which were made daily in January and switched to monitoring calls on March 8.

The NYDFS worked with federal regulators over the weekend of March 11-12 to assess Signature Bank’s viability after it “narrowly survived the immediate deposit run” of the preceding week, and decided on March 12 that its liquidity was inadequate and its reporting was unreliable. So it possession of the bank and appointed the FDIC as receiver.

Related: Let First Republic and Credit Suisse burn

The instability in the banking sector did not stop with Signature Bank's closing. Swiss Credit Suisse was subject to a rescue buyout by UBS a week later. The U.S. bank First Republic, which also was characterized by a high volume of uninsured deposits, began to decline in share price in March as well. On April 28, its share price fell 43.3% to $3.51, from $119.74 on March 1, leading to speculation of an FDIC takeover of it as well.

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Multiple Silvergate lawsuits over alleged FTX ties combined by judge

Plaintiffs seeking damages from Silvergate’s collapse have joined forces with their respective lawsuits.

A California judge has combined three investor lawsuits against defunct crypto bank Silvergate Bank involving the bankrupt crypto exchange FTX.

On April 19, United States District Judge Jacqueline Scott Corley of the Northern District of California ruled that the three lawsuits would be consolidated. Each accuses Silvergate of helping to facilitate investor fraud by the collapsed crypto exchange FTX.

The three cases were brought against Silvergate by four former investors. They will remain separate from other federal cases against FTX and its founder Sam Bankman-Fried but will be combined by mutual agreement of the litigants, according to an April 19 report from Law360.

The order stated:

“The Silvergate cases involve common questions of law and fact, as they name common defendants, arise from the same alleged course of conduct, and assert overlapping causes of action, such that the Silvergate cases are appropriate for consolidation.”

Matson Magleby, Golam Sakline, Nicole Keane, and Sonam Bhatia filed the trio of suits in February.

The plaintiffs allege that Silvergate aided and abetted FTX’s alleged misconduct. Actions included processing illegitimate transfers of FTX customer funds to its sister trading firm Alameda Research.

Silvergate disclosed its plans to “voluntarily liquidate” assets and shut down operations in early March following a bank run. Additionally, the bank was hit with a class-action suit in January for securities law violations.

FTX filed for bankruptcy in November last year and its collapse and the resultant crypto market crash created liquidity problems for Silvergate.

Related: What does the Silvergate collapse mean for crypto?

In a related development, New York state’s financial regulator has said that the collapse of Signature Bank was caused by a run from a broad base of depositors across business sectors, not crypto.

Crypto-friendly Signature Bank was seized by federal regulators in March.

In a House Financial Services Committee hearing on stablecoins on April 18, New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) Superintendent Adrienne Harris said “it is a misnomer that the failure of Signature Bank was related to crypto.”

According to an April 19 Bloomberg report, she said that depositors including wholesale food vendors, fiduciaries, trust accounts and law firms left the bank and caused the run.

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Blockchain Association files further FOIA requests over banking closures

The crypto advocacy group wants clarity on recent regulatory action against digital asset-friendly banks.

More Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) requests seeking information on recently closed crypto-friendly banks have been submitted by cryptocurrency advocacy group the Blockchain Association (BA) to two regulators.

On April 14, the Association said that in addition to the FOIA requests, it has also filed Freedom of Information Law (FOIL) requests to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and the New York Department of Financial Services (NYDFS).

The organization is seeking further information on the de-banking of crypto companies following the seizure of Signature Bank and the failure of Silvergate Bank.

The BA said that its request to the NYDFS was to:

“Seek to understand whether the closure of Signature Bank was the result of the bank’s insolvency or a decision to send an anti-crypto message despite the bank being fully solvent.”

The Association also reported that it was investigating whether the failure of Silvergate “was the result of a politically-motivated decision by the Federal Home Loan Bank of San Francisco, which is overseen by the FHFA, to take the extraordinary and unusual action of pulling a loan made to Silvergate only months earlier.”

In early March, Silvergate’s parent company announced it would “wind down operations” for the crypto and tech-focused bank. Its peer Silicon Valley Bank collapsed on March 10 following a bank run, and the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and other agencies closed Signature Bank on March 12.

The Association initially filed for further information from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) regarding the de-banking on March 16.

On April 16, the Blockchain Association and the DeFi Education Fund filed a brief in a United States District Court over the sanctioning of Tornado Cash.

Related: Crypto regulation decided by Congress, not the SEC: Blockchain Association

The Blockchain Association is an advocacy and lobbying group for the crypto sector, with around a hundred members that include industry executives, investors, companies, organizations, and projects.

In 2022 the Association spent $1.9 million lobbying the U.S. government according to campaign finance data firm OpenSecrets.

Cointelegraph contacted the Blockchain Association for further details but did not immediately receive a response.

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Binance.US Relying on Middleman To Store User Funds As Crypto Exchange Struggles To Find Banking Partner: Report

Binance.US Relying on Middleman To Store User Funds As Crypto Exchange Struggles To Find Banking Partner: Report

The US arm of leading crypto exchange Binance is reportedly searching for a new banking partner after Silvergate Capital and Signature Bank collapsed last month. The Wall Street Journal reports that Binance.US is struggling to find a bank that will directly hold its customers’ cash following the failure of Signature and Silvergate, which were the […]

The post Binance.US Relying on Middleman To Store User Funds As Crypto Exchange Struggles To Find Banking Partner: Report appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

Binance’s $1B emergency ‘SAFU’ fund now makes up 3% of UDSC supply

Binance.US unable to find bank partners in the United States: Report

The United States arm of global crypto exchange Binance has been facing challenges in establishing a new bank partner.

The United States arm of global crypto exchange Binance has been facing challenges in establishing a new bank partner to serve as a fiat on-ramp and off-ramps for its clients in the country, according to a Wall Street Journal report on April 8. 

The recent failures of Silvergate and Signature Bank left Binance.US without banking services, depending on middleman's banks to store funds on its behalf, according to the WSJ, citing "people familiar with the matter".

The regulatory crackdown on banks with crypto clients is also another factor contributing to the exchange's struggles. In March, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) sued Binance Holdings and its CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao for allegedly trading violations. The cryptocurrency exchange has been the focus of a CFTC investigation since 2021.

Related: Binance CEO CZ rejects allegations of market manipulation

Binance.US needs a bank to directly hold its client's US dollars, but recent attempts to establish direct banking relationships with banks, such as Cross River Bank and Customers Bancorp, have failed.

Binance.US customers have been affected by the lack of a direct bank. In a recent status update, the exchange said that it "was transitioning to new banking and payment service providers over the next several weeks," adding that some USD deposit services would be temporarily impacted during the transition.

Binance.US status update on USD deposit services. Source: Binance.US

Currently, Binance.US is holding customer funds via financial technology firm Prime Trust. A spokesperson for Prime Trust stated that all funds received from clients are stored through its banking partners.

“We work with multiple U.S.-based banking and payment providers and continue to onboard new partners while upgrading our internal systems to create a more stable fiat platform and offer additional services,” a spokesman for Binance.US told the WSJ.

Binance.US is operating in a similar environment to that which crypto firms are experiencing in the United Kingdom, where banks are moving away from accepting clients from the crypto sector. The few banks still working with crypto firms in the U.K. are requesting more documentation and information about how they monitor clients’ transactions.

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Binance’s $1B emergency ‘SAFU’ fund now makes up 3% of UDSC supply

Tether supply hits $80B for the first time since May 2022 — stablecoin rivals stumble

Tether supply across cryptocurrency exchanges has dropped 28% in 2023, however, hinting at an overall decline in demand for stablecoins.

Tether (USDT) continues to benefit from the ongoing turmoil in the U.S. dollar-backed stablecoin industry with its market capitalization growing significantly in Q1 2023 at other stablecoins' expense.

Tether market cap reaches $80 billion

On April 6, the circulating market cap of USDT surpassed $80 billion for the first time since May 2022 with a gain of $15 billion so far in 2023.

USDT circulating market cap 12-month performance. Source: Messari

On the other hand, the market caps of its chief rivals, namely USD Coin (USDC) and Binance USD (BUSD), fell by about $12 billion and $9.4 billion, respectively.

USDC and BUSD circulating market cap year-to-date performance. Source: Messari

Tether benefits from non-U.S. status

Crypto traders opted for Tether given the growing concerns around USD Coin and Binance USD.

Notably, USDC market capitalization slipped due to its $3.3 billion exposure to the now-collapsed Silicon Valley and Silvergate banks. While BUSD suffered after New York regulators ordered Paxos to shut down the stablecon's issuance.

USDC weathered the crisis after the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation's assurance that they would make depositors at the insolvent banks whole. As a result, the stablecoin recovered its dollar peg after losing it at the peak of the banking crisis in mid March. 

USDC price performance YTD. Source: Messari

But a growing crypto crackdown in the U.S. has prompted investors to maintain distance from regional firms. For instance, Paxos confirmed that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) treats BUSD as an unregistered security.

On the other hand, Tether is a non-U.S. firm and has repeatedly assured that it has no exposure to insolvent U.S. banks. Nonetheless, it keeps facing constant scrutiny over its reserve assets and lack of proper audits for years, despite such issues becoming less of a concern among traders.

USDT supply drops across exchanges

Interestingly, the growth in the USDT circulating supply has coincided with a drop in its supply across exchanges.

Related: USDT issuer Tether has up to $1.7B in excess reserves, CTO says

Tether's balance on exchanges has dropped 28% YTD to 12.88 billion USDT, according to Glassnode. In comparison, the aggregated stablecoin balance across exchanges has dropped by 41% YTD to $22.31 billion.

USDT vs. rival stablecoin balances across crypto exchanges. Source: Glassnode

The decline in stablecoin reserves coincides with a crypto market rally, suggesting that traders have been converting their crypto dollars to buy Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH).

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Binance’s $1B emergency ‘SAFU’ fund now makes up 3% of UDSC supply