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2024 election

5% of US voters identify as single-issue crypto voters — Paradigm poll

According to Paradigm, 20% of individuals surveyed indicated that they currently hold or have previously purchased crypto.

An October 2024 poll from venture capital firm Paradigm revealed that 5% of respondents indicated they were single-issue crypto voters in the United States presidential election. The results suggest that the voting bloc has the power to swing an election that will be determined by a “razor-thin” margin.

According to the Paradigm poll, roughly one-quarter of crypto owners surveyed indicated they were single-issue crypto voters, including 11% of voters in the 18-34 age bracket, 8% of male respondents, 7% of African American voters, and 8% of Hispanic voters.

Paradigm noted that the 5% of pro-crypto, single-issue voters is more than double the margin of victory in swing states such as Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, where election results are decided by a slim 1-2% margin.

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Prediction markets are not being manipulated — Kalshi founder

The most recent Polymarket odds put Trump's chances of winning the 2024 Presidential election at 60.3% and winning all six swing states.

Former President Trump's 20-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris on Polymarket has sparked manipulation concerns. Tarek Mansour — the founder of the Kalshi prediction market — recently argued that these results were accurate and not the result of inorganic manipulation by presenting comparable data from Kalshi.

Mansour began by dispelling the media claim that a handful of large whales are skewing the odds in favor of Trump. According to the Kalshi founder, "The median bet size on Harris is larger than the median bet size on Donald Trump," with the median bet size for Harris coming in at $85 compared to Trump's $58.

The founder also explained that more individuals on the Kalshi platform are placing bets on Trump, and the 20-point lead reflected on Polymarket roughly tracks with the number of individuals betting Trump will win the November election on Kalshi.

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Kamala Harris’s Odds of Winning Take a Major Hit After Fox News Interview, Shaking up the 2024 Race

Kamala Harris’s Odds of Winning Take a Major Hit After Fox News Interview, Shaking up the 2024 RaceFollowing a ‘testy’ interview with Bret Baier on Fox News, Vice President Kamala Harris has seen her odds of winning the election drop sharply to 38.7%, according to Polymarket bettors. Meanwhile, former President Donald Trump’s odds have climbed to 61.3%, reflecting a significant shift in the race. Major Shift in Betting Markets Signals Changing Fortunes […]

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Polymarket Predicts Trump Leading Harris by 58.3% in 2024 Election Odds

Polymarket Predicts Trump Leading Harris by 58.3% in 2024 Election OddsAccording to the latest data from Polymarket, former President Donald Trump is holding a commanding lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the race for the 2024 election. As of Tuesday afternoon, Trump’s odds stand at 58.3%, compared to Harris’s 41.5%. Trump Leads Harris in 2024 Election Odds, Dominates Key Swing States On Oct. 15, […]

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Betting Markets and Polls Show Harris Ahead of Trump as Election Nears

Betting Markets and Polls Show Harris Ahead of Trump as Election NearsWith only 44 days remaining until the U.S. election, the blockchain-powered predictions market Polymarket shows Vice President Kamala Harris slightly ahead in a wager against former President Donald Trump. As of Sunday, Sept. 22, Harris holds 52%, with Trump close on her heels at 47%. Harris Tops Trump in Polls and Prediction Markets as Countdown […]

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Bitcoin to hit $200K by end of 2025 regardless of election — Bank exec

The 2024 election is projected to be a tight race on the granular local level, but this shouldn’t matter for the long-term price of BTC. 

Geoff Kendrick, global head of digital assets research at Standard Chartered — a cross-border bank — believes Bitcoin (BTC) will have likely reached $200,000 by the end of 2025 regardless of who wins the 2024 United States presidential election.

According to the bank executive, three factors are poised to drive the price of Bitcoin to new all-time highs in 2025, including the likely removal of Staff Accounting Bulletin-121 (SAB-121) — a rule effectively preventing banks from holding digital assets for clients — a marginal uptick in inflation, and positive inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Kendrick expects SAB-121 to be repealed by both Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Similarly, the Standard Chartered executive said that leadership changes at the Securities and Exchange Commission were likely coming — specifically noting SEC Chair Gary Gensler’s negative impact on the crypto industry and what Gensler’s potential replacement could mean for the markets.

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Ripple Chairman Chris Larsen Endorses Kamala Harris for President in New Letter With American CEOs: Report

Ripple Chairman Chris Larsen Endorses Kamala Harris for President in New Letter With American CEOs: Report

Ripple chairman Chris Larsen, along with other business leaders in the US, is reportedly endorsing Democratic nominee Kamala Harris for president. According to a new report by CNBC, Larsen is endorsing Harris over former president Donald Trump alongside 87 other current and former corporate executives. The CEOs reportedly prefer Harris because with her at the […]

The post Ripple Chairman Chris Larsen Endorses Kamala Harris for President in New Letter With American CEOs: Report appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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Trump Leads Harris by 7%, Wins Majority of Swing States, Polymarket Betting Shows

Trump Leads Harris by 7%, Wins Majority of Swing States, Polymarket Betting ShowsAccording to recent Polymarket data, former President Donald Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris by seven percentage points as of Sept. 5, 2024. Polymarket’s betting on six key swing states shows Trump leading in four, including Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Nevada. Trump Holds 7% Lead Over Harris on Polymarket, General Polls Show a […]

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2024 Presidential Race Predictions Powered by AI: Chatbots Now Favor Harris Over Trump

2024 Presidential Race Predictions Powered by AI: Chatbots Now Favor Harris Over TrumpThirty-nine days ago, on July 27, 2024, Bitcoin.com News posed a question to a few AI-powered chatbots: Who will win the U.S. presidential election in 2024? At that moment, the match-up was between former President Donald Trump and the current Vice President Kamala Harris. Interestingly, the bots leaned toward Trump as the likely winner. Fast […]

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Polymarket Hits Record $472.87M in August Volume Amid Election Betting Frenzy

Polymarket Hits Record 2.87M in August Volume Amid Election Betting FrenzyThe blockchain-powered prediction market Polymarket saw an additional $85.84 million in trading volume during August, marking a notable uptick from July. August’s volume of $472.87 million set a new high, surpassing every month since Polymarket’s inception. Polymarket Volume Soars in August While some sectors faltered in August, Polymarket thrived, setting new records with $472.87 million […]

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