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2024 elections

Prediction markets rise 565% in Q3, fueled by US elections

Decentralized prediction markets could offer more accurate predictions for the US elections than traditional polling systems, according to Elon Musk.

Prediction markets saw significant growth in the third quarter of 2024, driven by bets on the upcoming United States presidential election, which could have wide-reaching effects on cryptocurrency regulations.

The betting volume on prediction markets rose over 565.4% in Q3 to reach $3.1 billion across the three largest markets, up from just $463.3 million in the second quarter of 2024.

The significant growth in prediction market volume was mainly attributed to increasing bets on the outcome of the US elections, according to an Oct. 14 CoinGecko report, which stated:

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Crypto may swing election in battleground states — law professor

According to a 2024 analysis by the Federal Reserve, 7% of adults in the United States currently hold or have used crypto in the past.

As the 2024 election season commences in the United States, the crypto industry and broader community have mobilized to support perceived pro-crypto candidates. Dr. Tonya M. Evans—a tenured law professor at Pennsylvania State University—sat down with Cointelegraph to explain the impact of crypto on the upcoming elections.

According to Dr. Evans, the upcoming presidential race, in particular, will be decided by razor-thin margins—where many issues can potentially swing the vote, including crypto.

However, the law professor also noted: “If you’re a multi-issue voter who happens to also be pro-crypto, you’re far less likely to be swayed by either candidate on this point alone.”

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