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Cardano (ADA) eyes 15% rally despite Charles Hoskinson’s fear over ‘macro factors’

Cardano's Vasil update is expected to be a bullish event, but macro fears are strongly countering the upside bias.

Cardano (ADA) will undergo a major network update called "Vasil" on Sept. 22, potentially making its blockchain more scalable and cheaper. Nonetheless, the news has failed to spark any decisive upside momentum in ADA's market.

Macro factors weigh on ADA's best upside scenario

In detail, ADA's price has risen approximately 3.5% to $0.51 since the Vasil launch announcement, including a circa 14% rally followed by its near-perfect wipeout. In other words, traders initially bought the Vasil hype but were quick to exit markets, as illustrated by the price action below.

ADA/USD four-hour price chart. Source: TradingView

Cardano Founder Charles Hoskinson blamed "macro factors" for ADA's underperformance despite the Vasil euphoria, noting that the crypto markets, on the whole, are "disconnected from reality." He added:

"Cardano has never been stronger and frankly many other projects are also solid across the industry, yet you don't see that reflected — just a sea of red."

The statements appeared as riskier assets prepared for another deep plunge in the days leading up to the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) meeting on Sept. 20 through Sept. 21.

Markets believe that the Federal Reserve officials will vote to increase benchmark interest rates by another 0.75% on Sept. 21. Overall, the U.S. central bank is looking to raise the rate to 3.75% to 4% by the end of 2022.

Fed's dot plot. Source: Bloomberg

A high-rate environment could hurt Cardano and other top-cap crypto assets, given it will likely increase the appeal of cash-based instruments among investors.

Is a "mini" Cardano rally ahead?

From a technical perspective, Cardano looks ready to undergo a mini rally in the days leading up to the Vasil hard fork.

On the four-hour chart, ADA's price tests a support confluence for a potential rebound move. This confluence is made up of a multi-week ascending trendline and a support bar highlighted in the chart below.

ADA/USD four-hour price chart. Source: TradingView

Suppose ADA rebounds from the confluence. Then, the ADA's immediate upside target is around $0.50. This level is a meeting point of two resistance levels: a "multi-week descending trendline" and a "mid-level target" that has served as a price ceiling since mid-August.

Meanwhile, a break above $0.50 could have ADA bulls test $0.53 as their primary upside target, a level with a significant history as resistance. In other words, ADA could print a 15% gain ahead of the Vasil hard fork when compared to its today's price.

Related: Cardano outranks Bitcoin in global top intimate brands in new report

However, ADA looks weaker on its longer-timeframe charts, with its three-day performance revealing the presence of a bearish continuation pattern dubbed a "descending triangle."

ADA/USD three-day price chart. Source: TradingView

ADA risks dropping to $0.26 if it decisively breaks below its descending triangle's lower trendline, as per rules of technical analysis. In other words, a nearly 40% price decline from current prices.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

LastPass threat actor steals $5.4M from victims just a week before Xmas

Cardano gets listed on Robinhood but ADA bulls are running out of steam, risking 40% drop

ADA prints modest upside moves that may run out of steam due to weak technicals and macro factors.

Cardano (ADA) market has witnessed back-to-back pieces of good news since Aug. 31, from its listing on Robinhood, a U.S.-based retail investment platform, to the release of its first lending and borrowing protocol, Aada Finance.

Additionally, Cardano developer IOHK stated that they are close to clinching "three critical mass indicators" that would lead to the launch of their long-awaited Vasil hard fork in September. Vasil aims to improve Cardano's scalability and transaction throughput through pipelining.

The upgrade could also improve the decentralized application (DApp) and smart contract capabilities by changing the Plutus script, a programming language used for smart contracts on the Cardano blockchain.

But the uplifting updates have failed to attract adequate buyers as ADA's price trend in the last 24 hours reveals.

Bear market rally

On the daily chart, ADA's price rose to an intraday high of $0.462 on Sep. 1, a day after bouncing from its sessional low of $0.424, up nearly 9%.

Related: Cardano outranks Bitcoin in global top intimate brands in new report

Nonetheless, the move accompanied lower trading volumes, suggesting weaker conviction among traders about an extended rally. 

ADA/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

ADA's modest price rise also came after a sharp 28.5% decline, typically due to short covering, i.e., when traders buy back borrowed tokens to close their open bearish position, thus lifting the spot price briefly.

As a result, Cardano's rebound may be a bear market rally. This expectation emerges from ADA's exposure to macroeconomic risks that have kept the ADA/USD pair nearly in lockstep with U.S. stocks. 

ADA/USD and Nasdaq daily correlation coefficient. Source: TradingView 

For instance, the correlation coefficient between ADA and Nasdaq was 0.80 on Sep. 1.

Descending triangle breakdown ahead?

From a technical perspective, ADA has been painting a descending triangle pattern on its daily chart since May 7. 

In detail, descending triangles appear as the price consolidates inside a range defined by a falling upper trendline and a horizontal lower trendline. They typically resolve after the price breaks below the lower trendline and, as a rule, can fall by as much as the maximum triangle height.

ADA/USD three-day price chart featuring descending triangle breakdown setup. Source: TradingView

ADA now tests the lower trendline of its descending triangle setup for a potential breakdown, as shown below. The token will fall to $0.268 by September if the pattern plays out as mentioned above, or a 40% drop from current prices.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

LastPass threat actor steals $5.4M from victims just a week before Xmas

Sell the news? Cardano price risks 20% drop despite Vasil hard fork euphoria

ADA runs out of buyers despite the long-awaited Cardano hard fork going live potentially at the end of july.

Cardano (ADA) has dipped this July 21 as the market favors mounting selling pressure around its most reliable resistance levels in 2022 over a major upcoming hard fork.

ADA price could plunge 20% by early August

ADA's price fell 5% intraday to $0.476. The downside move came as a part of a broader retreat that started a day after it briefly climbed above its 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA; the red wave in the chart below) near $0.50.

The 50-day EMA has been serving as ADA's curvy resistance level since October 2021. 

ADA/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Additionally, the upper trendline resistance of a broader descending channel pattern strengthened the selling sentiment around the ADA's 50-day EMA wave. Earlier in June, the same resistance confluence had triggered a 35% price drop toward the channel's lower trendline.

Therefore, ADA's renewed correction move risks leading the price toward $0.384 by July or early August, down about 20% from today's price.

2018 fractal suggests $0.20 per ADA

However, a separate analysis sees ADA falling to deeper levels than $0.384.

Penned by TradingShot, the bearish ADA forecast draws comparisons between the ongoing correction and the one witnessed during the 2018 market crash, as shown below.

ADA/USD daily price chart 2022 versus 2018. Source: TradingView

In detail, the 2018 chart above shows ADA undergoing multiple bearish rejections near its 50-day EMA (the orange wave) while trending downward in a descending channel pattern. The token's downtrend became exhausted after correcting by nearly 93% from its local high.

"Based on 1D RSI terms, we also seem to be on the third (3) and final leg below the collapse," TradingShot wrote, adding:

"So if ADA holders want to avoid this, they need to see the price break above the 1D MA50 and sustain trading above it for a week at least. Otherwise, completing a -93% drop from the top is possible at around 0.200."

When hard fork?

The latest ADA price correction appears in the days leading up to Cardano's hard fork.

Dubbed "Vasil," the hard fork was supposed to go live in June but was delayed until the last week of July over several outstanding bugs. Nonetheless, as of July 21, Input Output Hong Kong (IOHK), the firm behind the Cardano blockchain development, has not announced the exact launch date.

Vasil is expected to bring significant performance and capability upgrades to the Cardano blockchain, including faster block creation and higher transaction speeds. From a fundamental perspective, the upgrade could boost ADA adoption due to improved network efficiency.

But Cardano has a history of logging sharp price corrections after most network upgrades, suggesting a prevailing "sell the news" sentiment in the market.

ADA/USD three-day price chart. Source: TradingView

For instance, the blockchain's Alonzo upgrade in September 2021 partly prompted ADA to rise by over 200% to its record high of $3.16 before launch. But after the upgrade, the Cardano token fell by more than 85%. 

ADA has risen by only 25% after bottoming out locally at $0.384 on May 10, suggesting that Vasil's impact on the market has been limited.

But not everyone is convinced. For example, analyst Lark Davis believes the token will "rip" after the hard fork, given it manages to hold 50-day EMA as support. 

Until then, ADA will likely stay under the "sell the news" pressure, pressured further by ongoing macro risks and their negative impact on crypto markets.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

LastPass threat actor steals $5.4M from victims just a week before Xmas

Cardano ‘sharks’ scoop up 79.1 million ADA ahead of Vasil hard fork

ADA accumulation occurs despite a technical outlook threatening a 35% price crash by September 2022.

The decline in Cardano (ADA) price this year has prompted some of its richest investors to accumulate the token.

Cardano sharks in buying spree

Notably, addresses holding between 10,000 and 100,000 ADA, also called "sharks," have added 79.1 million tokens (~ $37.7 million as of July 9) to their reserves since June 9, according to data from Santiment.

Cardano shark addresses. Source: Santiment

Meanwhile, Cardano "whales" that hold between 100,000 and 1 million ADA have stopped selling.

Holding a larger amount of ADA makes sharks and whales powerful enough to determine the token's upcoming trends via increased volatility or decreased liquidity. Additionally, they can force "fishes," or investors holding fewer ADA tokens, to copy their trades.

The recent buying spree among the Cardano sharks hints that they have been positioning themselves for a sharp price rebound, especially as ADA trades nearly 85% below its September 2021 record high of $3.16. 

ADA/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Another potentially bullish catalyst is a major technical upgrade slated for the end of this month, following a successful testnet implementation on July 4. 

Related: What does a bear-market ‘cleanse’ actually mean?

Dubbed "Vasil," the hard fork could allow faster block creation and improve scalability for Cardano's decentralized application ecosystem. It will also introduce interoperability between Cardano's sidechains.

ADA price "descending triangle" could spoil the party

Cardano's supportive whales and sharks sentiment contrasts with technical indicators suggesting more pain ahead.

Notably, ADA's price has been painting a "descending triangle" pattern since May 8. Descending triangles typically resolve after the price breaks out in the direction of their previous trend.

ADA/USD daily price chart featuring 'descending triangle' setup. Source: TradingView

Thus, the Cardano token could risk falling to as low as $0.31, as illustrated in the chart above.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

LastPass threat actor steals $5.4M from victims just a week before Xmas

Can Cardano’s July hard fork prevent ADA price from plunging 60%?

ADA's price is above a key technical support level in the days leading up to the major Cardano upgrade.

Cardano (ADA) has started painting a bearish continuation pattern on its longer-timeframe charts, raising its likelihood of undergoing a major price crash by August.

ADA price in danger of a 60% plunge

Dubbed the "bear pennant," the pattern forms when the price consolidates inside a range defined by a falling trendline resistance and rising trendline support after a strong move downside. Additionally, the consolidation moves accompany a decrease in trading volumes.

Bear pennants typically resolve after the price breaks below their trendline support and, as a rule, could fall by as much as the height of the previous big downtrend, called a "flagpole," as illustrated in the chart below. 

ADA/USD three-day price chart featuring "bear pennant'"setup. Source: TradingView

As a result, a decisive breakdown below ADA's bear pennant structure could mean extended declines to the level at length equal to the flagpole. In other words, the target for Cardano's price will be $0.20, down over 60% from June 28's price.

In the meantime, ADA shows signs of consolidating inside the pennant's range with its imminent bias looking skewed toward bulls. This opens the door for ADA/USD to rebound from the pennant's rising trendline support near $0.46 to rally toward its falling trendline resistance around $0.60 by July.

Cardano's Vasil hard fork

Despite the interim bearish outlook, Cardano could get a boost from its upcoming "Vasil" hard fork.

The upgrade, originally scheduled for June end, will now go live sometime in July and aims to improve the Cardano network's speed and scalability.

Related: Institutional crypto asset products saw record weekly outflows of $423M

In addition, Vasil is expected to make Cardano more developer-friendly, which proponents argue could even attract projects from rivaling layer-one blockchains, leading to a higher demand for ADA.

ADA's price has a history of rising in the days leading up to Cardano hard forks, which should boost its chances at a rally alongside favorable technicals, as shown below.

ADA/USD three-day price chart featuring 'bear pennant' setup. Source: TradingView

What's more, ADA also has a history of plunging hard after its hard forks in a sell-the-news fashion.

Thus, Cardano could be setting up to resume its downtrend after Vasil goes live in July, which would fall in line with the bear pennant discussed above.

ADA/USD and Nasdaq's weekly correlation coefficient. Source: TradingView

At the same time, Cardano's price remains almost in lockstep with U.S. equities amid the Federal Reserve's interest rate hiking, which should continue to put downward pressure on its price in the short to medium term.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

LastPass threat actor steals $5.4M from victims just a week before Xmas

Is Cardano ready for a go at $1? June’s hard fork FOMO lifts ADA price to weekly highs

Cardano's previous hard forks sparked massive ADA price rallies. Will this time be different?

Cardano (ADA) was among the best performers among the top cryptocurrencies on June 6 as traders assessed a key upgrade that promises to enhance its blockchain's smart contract capabilities.

Vasil hard fork FOMO

Dubbed "Vasil," the so-called hard fork event will tentatively take place on June 29, 2022. As a result of the euphoria surrounding this upgrade, traders have started speculating more on ADA's upside prospects, resulting in its better performance than other top-ranking digital assets.

For instance, ADA's price rose by over 14% to $0.64 on June 6 compared to the 6% gains of its top rival, Ether (ETH), on the same day.

Cardano's price history also shows similar euphoric behaviors among traders in the days leading up to hard fork events. For example, the "Alonzo" upgrade in September 2021, which introduced smart contract functionalities to the Cardano network, preceded a 200%-plus ADA price rally, as shown below.

ADA/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Similarly, Cardano's "Mary" hard fork in March 2021 preceded ADA's 1,600%-plus price boom.

ADA bull traps

The previous price rallies that led to the hard fork events also occurred amid an expansionary macro-environment. At the time, interest rates were near-zero, and the Federal Reserve was buying $120 billion worth of government bonds every month.

But currently, the U.S. central bank has turned hawkish after witnessing persistently higher inflation. Therefore, many analysts argue that there is now less U.S. dollar liquidity to buy riskier assets, including stocks and cryptos.

Cardano has reeled under the pressure of the Fed's tightening, with ADA trading almost 80% lower than its September 2021 peak of $3.16. The broader move downside also includes significant bounces, as shown in the chart below.

ADA/USD daily price chart featuring price rebounds in ongoing bear market. Source: TradingView

ADA price to $1?

From the technical perspective, ADA now tests a resistance confluence comprising a falling trendline and its 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA; the red wave) near $0.66 and a horizontal trendline (the neckline) near $0.62 that constitutes what appears to be a "double bottom" pattern.

ADA/USD daily price chart featuring 'double bottom' setup. Source: TradingView

A break above the resistance confluence could trigger the double bottom breakout.

Related: Crypto funds under management drop to a low not seen since July 2021

As a rule of technical analysis, traders measure the double bottom's breakout target by adding the distance between the bottom levels and the neckline to the breakout point. That paints a June target of  $0.87, up around 40% from today's price and likely ahead of the Vasil upgrade.

A follow-up rally could also see ADA testing its 200-day exponential moving average (200-day EMA; the blue wave) near $1 for a breakout or pullback. A pullback seems more likely, however, given the prevailing macro risks.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

LastPass threat actor steals $5.4M from victims just a week before Xmas

3 reasons Ethereum price risks 25% downside in June

A mix of on-chain, fundamental and technical factors suggests more pain for Ether bulls ahead.

Ethereum’s native token Ether (ETH) has dropped more than half of its value in 2022 in dollar terms, while also losing value against Bitcoin (BTC) and now remains pinned below $2,000 for several reasons.

What’s more, ETH price could face even bigger losses in June due to another slew of factors, which will be discussed below. 

Ethereum funds lose capital en masse

Investors have withdrawn $250 million out of Ethereum-based investment funds in 2022, according to CoinShares’ weekly market report published May 31.

The massive outflow appears in contrast to other coins. For instance, investors have poured $369 million into Bitcoin-based investment funds in 2022.

Meanwhile, Solana and Cardano, layer-one blockchain protocols competing with Ethereum, have attracted $104 million and $9 million, respectively.

Flow into/from crypto funds (by assets). Source: CoinShares/Bloomberg

The withdrawals from Ethereum funds are a sign of how the recent crash in TerraUSD (UST) and Terra (LUNA) — tokens within Terra's algorithmic stablecoin ecosystem — has dampened interest in the overall decentralized finance (DeFi) sector.

ETH’s bullish prospects remain glued to anticipations of a boom in the DeFi market, because Ethereum’s blockchain host a majority of financial applications in the sector. As of June 5, the total valued locked (TVL) inside the Ethereum-based apps was $68.71 million, almost 65% of the total DeFi TVL.

Ethereum TVL as of June 5. Source: DeFi Llama

But, the TVL still reflects a massive retreat from Ethereum’s DeFi pools, which, before the collapse of Luna Classic (LUNC) and TerraUSD Classic (USTC) on May 9, was hovering around $100 billion.

With macro risks led by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish policies, coupled with a cautious outlook around the DeFi sector, Ether looks poised to continue its decline in June, according to Ilan Solot, a partner at Tagus Capital.

He told the Financial Times:

“If the Federal Reserve is tightening, the world is in recession, and people need to pay $4.5 per gallon of gas, they’ll have less to invest in DeFi or spend on blockchain games.”

Sluggish technicals

Trading behavior witnessed since May also paints a bearish outlook for Ethereum.

In detail, Ether has been fluctuating inside a range defined by a horizontal trendline support and a falling trendline resistance. The pattern looks more or less like a “descending triangle,” a bearish continuation pattern when formed during a downtrend.

Related: Total crypto market cap risks a dip below $1 trillion if these 3 metrics don’t improve

As a rule of technical analysis, descending triangles resolve after the price breaks decisively below their support trendline and then falls by as much as the triangle’s maximum height. Ether risks undergoing a similar downside move in June, as shown in the chart below.

ETH/USD daily price chart featuring 'descending triangle' setup. Source: TradingView

If ETH’s price breaks below the triangle’s lower trendline, it risks falling toward $1,350 in June, down about 25% from today's price.

ETH reserves on exchanges are increasing

The total number of Ether balances at crypto exchanges globally has increased by 550,459 ETH since May, data from CryptoQuant shows.

That amounts to almost $950 million worth of inflows into the exchanges’ hot wallets since the beginning of the Terra debacle.

Ethereum exchange reserves. Source: CryptoQuant

Typically, traders send tokens to exchanges when they want to trade them for other assets. Thus, selling pressure would likely increase if the downtrend in ETH reserves on exchanges begins to reverse.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

LastPass threat actor steals $5.4M from victims just a week before Xmas

Cardano price risks 30% drop in Q2 despite a ‘major’ hard fork ahead

Cardano network growth has done little to help ADA price shake its multi-month slump.

Cardano (ADA) price risks undergoing a severe correction in the next few months despite touting its blockchain network's bolstering growth and a "major" hard fork event in June.

Descending channel hints at ADA selloff ahead

ADA, which makes up about 1.75% of the total crypto market capitalization, has been trending lower since September 2021, inside a "descending channel" pattern that has successfully capped its multiple upside attempts, as illustrated in the chart below.

ADA/USD daily price chart featuring descending channel setup. Source: TradingView

The channel showed further strength as ADA broke above its upper trendline on March 27, only to reverse entirely in later sessions, showing a lack of conviction among the Cardano bulls.

ADA's 200-day exponential moving average (200-day EMA; the blue wave), alongside the 0.236 Fib line (near $1.29) of the Fibonacci retracement graph, drawn from $2.96-swing high to $0.78-swing low, further aided the bearish bias.

As of April 15, ADA's price consolidates inside the $0.97-$0.92 range, signaling intentions to continue its pullback from its fakeout top near $1.25.

If the descending channel setup continues panning out, ADA/USD could fall to its previous bottom range near $0.78 while eyeing the channel's lower trendline around $0.65 as its primary downside target.

ADA/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

That amounts to an almost 30% drop from today's price.

Cardano network growth fails to impress traders

Meanwhile, Input Output Hong Kong (IOHK), the research and development firm behind the Cardano project, has announced incredible network growth entering April 2022.

IOHK also appears to be readying the "Vasil" hard fork, a network upgrade to make Cardano's blockchain more scalable, sometime in June.

Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson stressed the word "major" five times when describing the fork's importance to the overall network growth in a video released April 12, a day after ADA crashed more than 10%.

Related: Mark Yusko explains the real problem with Fed policy — and why Bitcoin matters

Yes, ADA's price recovered after Hoskinson's address and IOHK's tweets. But the rebound lost momentum and is trending sideways, remaining under the influence of macro factors.

The daily correlation coefficient between ADA/USD and NDX. Source: TradingView 

Notably, like Bitcoin, ADA's correlation with the Nasdaq-100 (NDX) rose to a record level, hitting 0.97 on April 15 versus.0.79 at the beginning of the year.

In other words, ADA price is currently in lockstep with the tech-heavy index, which has erased more than $1 trillion from its market cap in April.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

LastPass threat actor steals $5.4M from victims just a week before Xmas

Cardano goes ‘full send’ with a 50% ADA rally ahead of SundaeSwap launch

ADA bulls cranked the price higher as excitement mounts over the upcoming SundaeSwap DEX launch.

Cardano (ADA) traded within striking distance of its three-week high  at the start of this week, leading some investors to suggest that a trend reversal was in order. In reality, the bullish momentum is primarily connected to an anticipation of the upcoming decentralized exchange (DEX) called SundaeSwap.

ADA price rose by nearly 12% on Jan.17 to reach an intraday high of $1.60, a day after SundaeSwap announced the launch of its "fully-functional beta decentralized exchange (DEX)." Nonetheless, the upside swing also came as a part of a wider rebound trend wherein ADA jumped by almost 50% in just seven days.

ADA/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

In detail, ADA's rebound began almost in sync with similar retracement moves across the cryptocurrency market. That included Bitcoin (BTC), which sharply reversed its trend on Jan. 10 after its price dipped to as low as $39,650. At press time, BTC price trades at $41,500.

ADA initially tailed the crypto market's reversal, but later continued its upside momentum on its own after taking cues from the euphoria surrounding the SundaeSwap DEX launch on Jan. 20. As a result, ADA emerged as one of the best performers among the top-ten cryptocurrencies based on a 24-hour adjusted timeframe.

Top 10 cryptocurrencies in the past 48 hours. Source: Messari

What makes SundaeSwap bullish for ADA?

SundaeSwap's official DEX launch announcement included evidence of greater demand for ADA tokens in the future and this is typically a bullish signal for investors.

The DEX platform also introduced its native SUNDAE token and discussed three ways to distribute it among users: via an initial stake offering (ISO) round, yield farming and direct exchange-based conversion. 

Discussing the ISO round, SundaeSwap explained that it would distribute 5% of the total SUNDAE supply via five epochs. Each epoch represents a five-day reward cycle wherein users delegate their ADA tokens into a stake pool.

"If you want to make sure you qualify for all five ISO reward rounds, you must have ADA staked with eligible SPOs [Stake Pool Operators] before 21:45 UTC on January 25," the DEX's announcement read, adding:

"Your reward will be calculated based on the snapshot taken at that time, and at the same time at each subsequent epoch boundary."

Meanwhile, the yield farming program saw SundaeSwap adding four ADA-based liquidity pools: SUNDAE/ADA, LQ/ADA, WMT/ADA and CARDS/ADA. The DEX also allocated 500,000 SUNDAE per day from January through June.

ADA to $2?

The SundaeSwap-led bounce pushed ADA toward its 100-day exponential moving average (100-day EMA; the blue wave) near $1.57.

ADA/USD daily price chart featuring 100-day EMA resistance. Source: TradingView

Additional bullish cues have also been coming from the anticipated launch of Pavio, Cardano's first metaverse undertaking.

Pavio is a Decentraland-like virtual land startup with some 100,000 land parcels, each being minted as a unique nonfungible token (NFT) with coordinates. The advent of the Metaverse in the crypto sector in the past months and Cardano's involvement in it may boost demand for ADA further.

Related: Meta poaches staff from Microsoft and Apple for metaverse plans

This raises the possibility for Cardano to close above its 100-day EMA resistance wave, thus shifting the next upside target toward the 200-day EMA near $2.

Conversely, risks of an overall crypto market crash led by the U.S. Federal Reserve's tapering programs this year could spoil ADA's bullish setup to an extent. 

"While ADA is far from its peak, the prospect of obtaining more scalability as part of its 2022 roadmap explains why investors appear to be betting big on Cardano. This point was also noted by Liam Bussel, the chief marketing officer of Cardano-native DEX WingRiders in a statement to Cointelegraph.

Bussel said,

"In a world characterized by high performance and novel use cases, Cardano will be able to keep up and lead the pack. As a result, a weekly closing above $1.80 is likely, barring any last-minute profiteering by sellers."

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

LastPass threat actor steals $5.4M from victims just a week before Xmas

These 3 cryptocurrencies are taking an even bigger hit during Bitcoin’s price slump

Bitcoin's drop in the first ten days of 2022 is still less disappointing than some of its top crypto rivals that have fallen much harder.

The cost to purchase one Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped almost 10% in the last seven days and has been eyeing extended declines as it drops below $40,000, its interim psychological support, on Jan. 10.

BTC/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

Nonetheless, the losses suffered by Bitcoin still appear lesser than some of its top crypto rivals' performances. For instance, Cardano (ADA), the seventh-largest cryptocurrency by market valuation, has dropped by nearly 11% to around $1.15 in the last seven days.

Similarly, XRP, the eighth-largest by market capitalization, has dipped by around 10% to nearly $0.75 in the same period.

Meanwhile, some cryptocurrencies listed among the top 50 digital assets have experienced bigger losses between 15% and 30% in the last week. They include Ethereum's native token Ether (ETH), which has plunged over 16%, and its blockchain rival Terra, whose token LUNA has declined by nearly 20.50%.

That said, listed below are three tokens among the top-50 cryptocurrencies that have performed worse than Bitcoin on a seven-day adjusted timeframe.

Axie Infinity (-27.50%)

Sitting atop more than 12,000% year-over-year profits, Axie Infinity (AXS) turned out to be one of the best places for traders to secure their profits.

AXS price plunged nearly 27.5% to around $70 in the last seven days, thus becoming the worst performer among the large-cap coins. Meanwhile, against Bitcoin, the token slipped by almost 17% to 0.0017 BTC in the same period.

ASX/USD vs. AXS/BTC daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Nevertheless, AXS price may rebound in the coming days as one of the market's key momentum indicators, the relative strength index (RSI), alerts about the token's "oversold" status. In detail, the AXS's daily RSI has slipped below 30, which traditional chartists interpret as a buy signal.

More bullish cues for the Axie Infinity token have been coming from its downside target area between $64.50 and $50, as shown in the chart below. Notably, the $64.50-level served as a support to the AXS price during the August-September trading session in 2021.

AXS/USD daily price chart featuring its potential downside targets. Source: TradingView

Similarly, the levels around $50 prompted traders to accumulate AXS en masse on four occasions since Sept. 7 selloff.

Conversely, breaking below the downside target range may end up pushing below $40, another support level from August 2021.

AAVE (-25%)

Unlike Axie Infinity, Aave (AAVE) native token of the same name had been sitting atop dwarfed year-over-year profits — nearly 60% since Jan. 10, 2021. Nonetheless, it has still become one of the worst-performing cryptocurrencies entering 2022.

AAVE price dropped by a little over 24% to $200 in the last seven days. Meanwhile, the token's performance against Bitcoin came out to be nearly -15%, reflecting that traders remained unconvinced about a bullish rebound in the Aave market.

AAVE/USD vs. AAVE/BTC daily price chart. Source: TradingView

For instance, AAVE's daily RSI has been trending lower since Dec. 27 and now sits near 39. It now eyes an extended correction to reach its oversold levels below 30, meaning there is still room for the AAVE price to go further down than its current rates.

The sell signal appears also as AAVE retests its two-month-old ascending trendline support, as shown in the chart below. AAVE has rebounded at least four times from the said rising level since Dec. 4. Therefore, if the coin breaks below it, its likelihood of correcting toward $165, another support level, would be higher.

AAVE/USD daily price chart featuring its interim support and resistance targets. Source: TradingView

Conversely, a rebound from the ascending trendline support may have AAVE rally toward the $250-275 trading range, which has a recent history of acting as both resistance and support. Since December 2021, the area has been able to cap AAVE's upside attempts successfully

IOTA (-24%)

Based on their seven-day adjusted timeframe performance, IOTA's losses are marginally lesser than AAVE's. But given the token has been sitting atop nearly 150% year-over-year profits, it appears like a good sell for traders looking to offset their losses elsewhere during the recent crypto market decline.

Notably, IOTA's price dipped a little over 24% to $1.00 in the past seven days. Against Bitcoin, IOTA is down about 14% in the same period.

IOTA/USD vs. IOTA/BTC weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

Related: Top 5 cryptocurrencies to watch in 2022: BTC, ETH, BNB, AVAX, MATIC

A bounce is now likely, however, as the token's daily RSI neared oversold levels, while it dropped to a trading range of $0.93-$1.00, which has a recent history of attracting buyers.

IOTA/USD daily price chart featuring its interim support and resistance targets. Source: TradingView

As a result, if IOTA drops below the $0.93-$1.00 range, its likelihood of extending its price decline towards $0.71 — a support level from the May-June 2021 trading session — looks high. Conversely, a rebound action from the area could have the IOTA price eye $1.21 as its interim bull target.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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