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Cardano Vasil upgrade ready with all ‘critical mass indicators’ achieved

With the countdown now under 24 hours for Cardano’s most ambitious upgrade, all three metrics necessary to launch the awaited Vasil upgrade have been met.

The Cardano Vasil upgrade is set to take place in less than 24 hours on Sept. 22, with the Cardano team noting all three “critical mass indicators” needed to trigger the upgrade are now met.

A Sept. 21 update on Twitter by the company behind Cardano, Input Output Hong Kong (IOHK) states within the last 48 hours 13 cryptocurrency exchanges had confirmed their readiness for the hard fork, representing over 87% of Cardano’s (ADA) liquidity.

Of the top exchanges for ADA liquidity, Coinbase is the only exchange listed as “in progress” regarding its integration status, according to an ecosystem readiness page by IOHK.

However, a recent tweet by Coinbase has already hinted it will support the fork, saying ADA transactions will be halted for maintenance “for the Cardano Vasil hard fork.”

Originally intended for a June launch, the Vasil upgrade has seen its launch day twice rescheduled, most recently due to a bug discovered in Cardano’s prior node version which created incompatibility issues.

With an updated Vasil node in place, over 98% of mainnet blocks are now being created by the updated nodes, while the blockchain's top decentralized applications (DApps) have also confirmed their readiness, marking all three metrics needed for the upgrade go-ahead. 

News of the upgrade has seen social media chatter about ADA increase by 35.16% over the past seven days from Sept. 19 according to market intelligence platform Santiment, third behind Ripple (XRP) and Ethereum (ETH).

Once live, the upgrade will be the blockchain's most significant since its Alonzo hard fork in September last year, which brought functionality for smart contracts for the first time. This upgrade aims to bring smart contract enhancements, reduced costs, and increased throughput on the network.

IOHK said one of the most significant upgrades brought by the fork is faster block creation as they can be transmitted without full validation.

Related: Cardano outranks Bitcoin in global top intimate brands in new report

The Vasil upgrade is named after the late artist Vasil Stoyanov Dabov, a Cardano community member and ambassador who passed away in December 2021 due to a pulmonary embolism.

Currently, ADA’s price sits at $0.44 as per CoinGecko, down 3.4% over 24 hours and down over 85% from its $3.09 all-time high from Sept. 2nd, 2021.

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Sell the news? ADA price drops 10% following Cardano’s long-awaited smart contracts rollout

The so-called "Alonzo" upgrade did little in protecting Cardano from falling in tandem with the rest of the cryptocurrency market, though bullish technical factors remain.

The price of Cardano (ADA) fell on Sept. 13 in line with the other top cryptocurrencies despite the completion of its hard fork upgrade dubbed "Alonzo," which introduces smart contract functionality.

The ADA/USD exchange rate dropped 10.67% to reach its intraday low of $2.3, partly due to profit-taking sentiment among traders following the pair's 1,200%-plus price rally this year. Additionally, the intraday sell-off also surfaced in the period of an overall crypto market decline, with top tokens Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) falling 4% and 6.97%, respectively.

Top 10 cryptocurrency tokens and their performance in the last 24 hours. Source: Messari

Cardano's drop appeared when its core foundation rolled out a long-awaited smart contracts feature on its public blockchain for the first time. The launch expects to tap the booming decentralized finance (DeFi) and nonfungible token (NFT) sector as they grapple with slower and costlier transaction fees on the leading smart contracts platform, Ethereum.

As a result, anticipations for an extended upside boom in the ADA markets were high, with the Value Trend, a financial analyst at Seeking Alpha, expecting the Cardano native token to hit $10 should it flip Ethereum to become the leading smart contracts platform.

Overall, the belief helped ADA/USD deliver strong profits in the days approaching the Alonzo upgrade. On July 20, the pair was trading for as low as $1. Later, on Sept. 2, its value has risen to a record high of $3.16, a 200% rebound.

Bullish continuation signals persist

Bullish assets tend to consolidate sideways or lower following a strong move upside, majorly as some traders decide to secure their profits. At the same time, investors with a long-term bullish outlook buy the asset from weak hands to build long-term investment strategies.

The Cardano chart below hints at undergoing a similar consolidation phase after delivering a strong 200%-plus bull run. As a result, the probability of the ADA/USD exchange rate continuing its uptrend remains high.

ADA/USD daily price chart featuring Bull Flag formation. Source: TradingView.com

The rectangle pattern appears like a Bull Flag. And, as a general rule, the profit target for bulls in a Bull Flag scenario is the same as the length of the previous uptrend.

ADA/USD daily price chart featuring Bull Flag target. Source: TradingView.com

A break above the upper Bull Flag trendline (at $2.93) could put ADA/USD en route toward $4.5.

Additionally, the Cardano token would need to maintain its foothold above its 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA; the velvet wave) near $2.27 to keep its interim bullish bias intact. A drop below the Bull Flag support and 50-day EMA floor would risk sending ADA to $1.92, its support line from mid-August.

Related: Institutional exposure to altcoin products retests all-time high

Analysts shared deeper price targets, with a pseudonymous Twitterati spotting a "Double Bottom" scenario, adding that traders are selling the news.

Cerbul, another market analyst, said ADA's ongoing plunge was not due to the "sell the news" sentiment, adding that more capital would flow into the Cardano ecosystem from the DeFi sector.

"Accumulate," he said.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Cardano’s Alonzo Upgrade Date Revealed — ADA Gains Over 16% After Announcement

Cardano’s Alonzo Upgrade Date Revealed — ADA Gains Over 16% After AnnouncementOn Friday, the price of the token cardano spiked over the $2 handle nearing the crypto asset’s all-time high that took place three months ago. Cardano’s price jump derived from a video announcement stemming from Cardano’s Nigel Hemsley when he explained the Cardano network would upgrade on September 12, 2021. The highly anticipated “Alonzo Purple” […]

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