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‘Strap yourselves in’ — Bull market coming early 2024, say crypto exchange heads

The heads of Australia’s largest crypto exchanges say a bull run is coming early next year — others say it’s already arrived.

The market has already entered the first phase of a major rally, with the number of people buying crypto trickling upward which is expected to accelerate early next year, say the heads of Australia’s largest crypto exchanges.

Independent Reserve CEO Adrian Przelozny told Cointelegraph he expects market activity to see an uptick in early 2024 and is hiring to build infrastructure before that happens.

“We’re just doing everything we can to get ready for a bull market because we know that when the bull market comes, it happens very fast,” he said. “You need to make sure you have the processes, people, and infrastructure in place so when your business triples overnight, you can handle it.”

“I think the next two years are going to be good. Strap yourselves in.”

BTC Markets chief Caroline Bowler said market conditions had grown more bullish over the year, with a general recovery that kicked off in January.

Bowler added while the trajectory of market gains hadn’t exactly been linear, the industry-wide growth in both asset prices and tech applications were reasons to be confident.

“The current deployment of ‘dry powder,' an influx of new users, and an uptick in trading volumes further support our assessment that we are in the early stages of a bull market.”

Tommy Honan, Swyftx’s product strategy head, said his exchange had begun to see an uptick in buying activity and is moving quickly to shore up direct debit functionality — a recent pain point for Australia’s crypto scene as Australia’s ‘Big Four’ banks have limited or outright banned deposits to some exchanges.

Honan ruled out fear of missing out — FOMO — as the reason for the activity uptick, instead highlighting that market fundamentals had become more attractive to investors who took the sideline during the bear market.

“All our indicators are flashing green at the moment. We’re seeing a significant number of customers come back to the market after periods of inactivity during the bear market. The market is waking up, but the truth is no one knows where we’re at in the cycle.”

Kraken Australia managing director Jonathon Miller was on the side of caution and said it can be difficult to tell what phase the market is in.

“There’s a common misconception that the crypto markets are either in a bull market or bear market. In reality, there’s a large gray area between these two,” he said.

Miller admitted that compared to this time last year, there are plenty of reasons to be optimistic, specifically looking to next year’s Bitcoin halving and Ethereum’s Dencun upgrade, which he believes is already starting to pique attention from institutional and retail investors

Related: Australian crypto exchanges look to new licensing regime with cautious optimism

“The expanding institutional appetite for crypto assets is often underlooked. Yes, the markets are currently focused on ETF filings for Bitcoin and Ether, but in the last year, we’ve seen a revival of interest from many institutional clients looking for exposure to this emerging asset class,” he added.

Binance Australia general manager Ben Rose didn’t want to make the call on whether a bull market had arrived but noted new registrations and trading activity on the Australian arm of Binance had increased in recent months.

Rose said Binance Australia was focused on educating users ahead of a potential rally and ensuring users avoid FOMO buying.

“We asked a lot of exiting customers about the reasons they got into crypto, and a quarter of them said that seeing others succeed with crypto was the main reason. That’s the single biggest driver. So FOMO in crypto is a real thing,” he explained.

Rose said the key to retaining users throughout the next potential market surge was ensuring that people didn’t get trampled during a market frenzy.

“Price is one thing that will unlock interest, but you want people to be able to onboard in a sustainable and responsible way so it’s not just a one-off,” he said. “Sure price might be the reason they first look at crypto, but ultimately they’re in there because they understand the benefits of it and it becomes part of how they manage finances.”

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Australia’s tax agency won’t clarify its confusing, ‘aggressive’ crypto rules

The Australian Tax Office’s new rules on DeFi are unclear on whether capital gains taxes apply to liquid staking and transferring to layer 2 bridges.

Australia’s tax regulator has been unable to clarify confusing aspects of its new guidance that suggests capital gains tax (CGT) is payable on a slate of everyday decentralized finance transactions.

The ATO failed to answer direct questions from Cointelegraph on whether staking Ether on Lido or transferring funds via bridges to layer 2 networks are CGT events, leaving DeFi users in the dark about how to comply.

The Nov. 9 guidance from the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) says CGT is payable when transferring tokens to another address or smart contract that a person doesn’t have “beneficial ownership” over or if the address has a non-zero balance of the tokens.

Exchanging “one crypto asset for a right to receive an equivalent number of the same crypto asset in the future,” providing liquidity to a protocol, wrapping tokens and loaning assets are ATO examples of DeFi uses incurring a CGT event.

While the criteria suggests the rules may encompass liquid staking — such as staking Ether (ETH) on Lido — or sending tokens through a layer 2 bridge, this hasn’t been clarified.

An ATO spokesperson said in response to direct questions that the tax consequences of a transaction “will depend on the steps taken on the platform or contract, and the relevant surrounding facts and circumstances of the taxpayer who owns the cryptocurrency assets.”

The non-answer leaves investors unable to comply with possibly unintended consequences of the opaque new guidance, which has not yet been tested in court.

A CGT event would mean that if a DeFi user in Australia bought ETH for $100 and then staked it or sent it via a bridge to an L2 when the price is $1,000, they would need to pay tax on $900 “profit,” even though they haven’t sold the ETH or realized a profit.

Liberal Party Senator Andrew Bragg told Cointelegraph the former government had commissioned the Board of Taxation to propose appropriate rules for taxing cryptocurrency, but the findings have been delayed twice and will now not be released until February next year.

“In absence of legislation, the ATO has been allowed to make up the rules on their own,” Senator Bragg said.

He said the Labor government’s “laziness in not releasing these findings” has created complexity and uncertainty for Australian crypto users.

Koinly head of tax Danny Talwar said that in his opinion, a transfer via a bridge may result in a CGT event, but it largely hangs on whether a change in beneficial ownership occurred.

He added liquid staking would be a CGT event as the ATO views it as a crypto-to-crypto transaction, where Ether is swapped for another token.

Related: Study claims 99.5% of crypto investors did not pay taxes in 2022

Matt Walrath, the founder of Crypto Tax Made Easy, thinks the ATO doesn’t fully understand DeFi and called the new rules “aggressive.” He added they make staking and transferring funds to layer 2 blockchains much tougher for Australian DeFi users.

“Things are moving so fast within DeFi, I think they don’t have enough of an understanding about the nature of [what] these transactions actually are.”

Walrath contested beneficial ownership is transferred when users interact with liquid staking services, meaning no CGT event occurs. He said stakers can still withdraw funds at any time and the staked tokens technically don’t leave the user’s wallet.

“Although the bank might own my house when I mortgage it, I’m still the beneficial owner. I can rent that house out and derive the income from it. I’m the one who can enjoy it by living,” he sa.

Talwar suggested the new rules on wrapped tokens lack “economic substance.”

“Wrapped Bitcoin is economically similar to Bitcoin and therefore there is a question as to whether a CGT event has occurred.”

“We need more people in the Aus crypto community fighting for sensible tax laws,” Walrath stressed.

Magazine: Best and worst countries for crypto taxes – plus crypto tax tips

Additional reporting by Jesse Coghlan.

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Australia to impose capital gains tax on wrapped cryptocurrency tokens

Delivering a major hit to Australian crypto investors, the ATO stated that wrapping or unwrapping tokens — irrespective of their price at the time — will be subject to capital gains tax.

The Australian Taxation Office (ATO) has issued guidance on capital gains tax (CGT) treatment of decentralized finance (DeFi) and wrapping crypto tokens for individuals, clarifying its intent to continue taxing Australians on capital gains when wrapping and unwrapping tokens.

In May 2022, the ATO outlined crypto capital gains as one of four key focus areas. Building on the initiative, the Australian taxman recently clarified a raft of actions considered taxable in its jurisdiction. The transfer of crypto assets to an address that the sender does not control or that already holds a balance will be regarded as a taxable CGT event, the ATO said in its statement.

“The capital proceeds for the CGT event are equal to the market value of the property you receive in return for transferring the crypto asset,” the ATO added. However, the CGT event will trigger depending on whether the individual recorded a capital gain or loss. A similar approach has been considered for taxing liquidity pool users and providers, and DeFi interest and rewards.

In addition, wrapping and unwrapping tokens will also be subject to triggering a CGT event. The ATO stated:

“When you wrap or unwrap a crypto asset, you exchange one crypto asset for another and a CGT event happens.”

The above statement clarifies that wrapping or unwrapping tokens — irrespective of their price at the time — will be subject to capital gains tax.

Chloe White, the managing director of Genesis Block, who is also an advisor to Blockchain Australia, claimed that ATO is in breach of the technology neutrality principle, which ultimately impacts the financial future of young Australians.

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Adding to the pressures on Australians, local crypto exchange CoinSpot reportedly got hacked for $2.4 million in a “probable private key compromise” over at least one of its hot wallets.

As previously reported by Cointelegraph, Etherscan shows a transaction totaling 1,262 Ether (ETH) — worth $2.4 million — was moved from from a known CoinSpot wallet to the alleged hacker’s wallet.

The presumed attacker stole 1,262 ETH from a known CoinSpot wallet. Source: ZachXBT

Subsequent investigations found the stolen ETH was being swapped for Bitcoin (BTC) via THORChain and spread out across different wallet addresses.

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Australian regulators will compel businesses to report cyberattacks: Report

This obligation won’t be backed by a fine if the company fails to comply, and businesses will still be permitted to pay ransoms, though this is discouraged.

Australian authorities will oblige local companies to be fully transparent and report any ransomware cyberattacks on their businesses. The country’s economy lost $2.59 billion to cybercrimes in 2021. 

As reported by the Australian on Nov. 13, the national cybersecurity strategy, which will be revealed this week, will feature a mandatory system under which local businesses must alert the government about ransomware cyberattacks. However, this obligation won’t be backed by a fine if the company fails to comply.

The companies will still be allowed to pay ransoms, although new National Cyber Security Coordinator Air Marshal Darren Goldie has publicly discouraged them from doing so. In October, Australia joined almost 40 other nations in a pledge not to pay ransomware demands made against government agencies.

Related: The anatomy of a cyberattack

Before enacting the mandatory system, the government intends to consult with the business community on its design, as Minister for Cyber Security Clare O’Neil has specified:

“We’ll create a ransomware playbook that will provide clear guidance to businesses and citizens on how to prepare for, deal with, and bounce back from ransom demands.”

Ransomware attacks remain a common problem in the digital economy. In July, The United States Department of Justice (DoJ) announced the doubling of its crypto crimes team and setting the immediate focus on combatting ransomware crimes. 

According to Chainalysis, wallets involved in ransomware attacks often turn to crypto mining pools to launder the funds acquired through exploits. The research firm believes there has been an increase in value sent from ransomware wallets to mining pools. In one instance, Chainalysis highlighted that an exchange wallet address had received $158.3 million from ransomware addresses since 2018.

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5 nations challenge crypto experts and investigators to target tax crimes

The J5 generates significant leads through events, which, in the past, has helped uncover multimillion-dollar crypto Ponzi schemes, such as the BitClub Network.

The Joint Chiefs of Global Tax Enforcement (J5), a global anti-tax fraud group, hosted investigators, cryptocurrency experts and data scientists in “The Cyber Challenge” event to track down individuals and organizations committing tax fraud.

The J5 members comprise the criminal intelligence communities from Australia, Canada, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and the United States, which collaborate in the fight against international and transnational tax crime and money laundering.

The group includes the Australian Taxation Office, the Canada Revenue Agency, the Dutch Fiscal Information and Investigation Service, His Majesty’s Revenue and Customs from the U.K. and IRS-CI from the United States. Participants included experts from J5 countries, which were tasked with optimizing the usage of data acquired from a variety of open and investigative sources available to each country.

J5 members include criminal intelligence communities from Australia, Canada, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and the United States. Source: irs.gov

Since its inception in 2018, the J5 has hosted five such events. In 2022, the fourth event focused on nonfungible tokens (NFTs) and decentralized exchanges (DEX). Sharing details about the latest 2023 event, the U.S. Internal Revenue Service report stated:

“This is the first Challenge where Financial Intelligence Units (FIUs) from each J5 country participated. Private sector was represented by blockchain analysis companies Chainalysis, BlockTrace, and AnChain making this the most collaborative Challenge to date.”

In the process, the J5 generated significant leads for further investigation, which, in the past, helped uncover multimillion-dollar crypto Ponzi schemes, such as the BitClub Network. John Ford, deputy commissioner of the Australian Taxation Office, stated:

“This collaboration between public and private specialists not only generates operational outcomes, but shares expert training, techniques and procedures, which is integral for the participants to remain proactive and effective in a rapidly evolving operating environment.”

Ryan Ryder from Chainalysis pointed out that crypto’s inherent transparency, coupled with international public and private sector experts, “can collaborate to identify and shut down illicit activity,” a task that remains impossible in traditional finance.

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The Cointelegraph Innovation Circle recently featured seven crypto experts in an article to help Web3 companies prep for tax season. First and foremost, Web3 companies must constantly monitor the tax implications of their activities and diligently work to ensure they’re meeting their obligations.

In addition, the members of the Cointelegraph Innovation Circle recommended seven best practices to ensure adherence to tax formalities. Choosing a tax-friendly country while ensuring on-time payment is a top priority, in addition to avoiding shortcuts and finding an experienced crypto tax accountant.

Other key factors include accurate documentation of all activities, seeking expert legal counsel, automating transaction tracking and using specialized software.

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Crypto Exchanges Will Need To Register for Financial Services License Under New Australian Proposal

Crypto Exchanges Will Need To Register for Financial Services License Under New Australian Proposal

The Australian government is floating a proposal that if implemented will require crypto exchanges to seek licensing from the country’s financial services and financial markets regulator to operate. According to the proposal, a digital asset intermediary must obtain an Australian financial services license granted by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) to “issue and […]

The post Crypto Exchanges Will Need To Register for Financial Services License Under New Australian Proposal appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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Australia open to idea of CBDC as future of money — RBA

The assistant governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia noted that pilot projects have highlighted several key areas where CBDCs could be of great use.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is open to using a central bank digital currency (CBDC) as the future of money, where state-issued digital money would represent a tokenized form of central bank reserves.

Brad Jones, the assistant governor (Financial System) of RBA, in his speech titled “A Tokenised Future for the Australian Financial System,” talked about the opportunities and challenges arising from the tokenization of assets and money in the digital age while shedding light on the proposed plan to use CBDCs as a form of money.

Jones started his speech by outlining the use of different forms of money over the course of history and how financial instruments have evolved over time. While talking about tokenization and tokenized forms of money in the modern era, Jones talked about stablecoins and CBDCs.

He noted that stablecoins issued by “well-regulated financial institutions and that are backed by high-quality assets (i.e. government securities and central bank reserves) could be widely used to settle tokenised transactions, however, due to lack regulatory guidelines these stablecoins issued by private parties often come with underpinning risk. Thus, CBDCs in the form of tokenized bank deposits could become a good form of transaction settlement.

The assistant governor noted that the introduction of tokenized bank deposits would represent a minor change to current practice given that deposits issued by a variety of banks are already widely exchanged and settled (at par) across the central bank balance sheet. A payment between two parties using tokenized deposits would still be settled via a transfer of ES (or wholesale CBDC) balances between the payer and payee bank.

Related: China opens industrial park for digital yuan CBDC development in Shenzhen

RBA’s assistant governor also shared some of the findings from its pilot CBDC program including a range of areas where CBDC could add value in wholesale payments such as facilitating atomic settlement in tokenized asset markets. The pilot project also highlighted opportunities for a wholesale CBDC to act as a complement to new forms of privately issued digital money, namely tokenised bank deposits and asset-backed stablecoins.

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Mastercard announces successful wrapped CBDC trial results

The experiment demonstrated that CBDCs could be wrapped to purchase NFTs on blockchains such as Ethereum.

Mastercard has completed a trial involving wrapping central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) on different blockchains, similar to wrapped Bitcoin (wBTC) and wrapped Ether (wETH).

According to the October 12 announcement, the trial was conducted with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the country's Digital Finance Cooperative Research Centre CBDC, along with participation from Cuscal and Mintable. In a live environment, Mastercard said the solution allowed a CBDC owner to purchase a nonfungible token (NFT) listed on Ethereum. "The process “locked” the required amount of a pilot CBDC on the RBA’s pilot CBDC platform and minted an equivalent amount of wrapped pilot CBDC tokens on Ethereum," the payment processor wrote. 

"A pre-requisite of the test transaction was that the Ethereum wallets of both the buyer and seller, as well as the NFT marketplace smart contract, were ‘allow-listed’ within the platform. With all other transfers of the wrapped pilot CBDC blocked, it successfully demonstrated the platform’s ability to implement controls – even on public blockchains."

The solution utilizes Mastercard's Multi Token Network, introduced in June 2023, integrating payment technology with blockchains. "Together with Mastercard, we have identified a use case whereby digital currencies and NFTs can easily be linked, potentially stamping out fraud and theft, ending the loss of documentation and records, and unleashing new possibilities for commerce," commented Zack Burcks, CEO and founder of Mintable.

The RBA previously stated that an Australian dollar CBDC would potentially enable complex payment arrangements and innovation in the finance sector that can not be substituted by fiat money. However, the central bank also noted that "more research" is required to evaluate the benefits.

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Bitcoin drives digital asset inflows for the first time in 6 weeks: Report

But Solana was the only other major asset to show inflows for the week.

Cryptocurrency assets experienced inflows for the first time in six weeks during the week of Sep. 22-28, according to the latest Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report from European digital assets management firm CoinShares.

Bitcoin was the biggest gainer with inflows in the amount of $20.4 million for the week.

Solana took second with $5 million as the only other asset to show inflows. Per CoinShares, this is its 27th week of inflows with only four weeks of outflows for 2023, making it “the most loved altcoin this year.”

On the flip side, Ethereum experiences outflows in the amount of $1.5 million. This marks its seventh consecutive week of outflows and, according to CoinShares, solidifies its status as “the least loved altcoin.”

Related: CoinShares says US not lagging in crypto adoption and regulation

Flows for other altcoins, including XRP after it saw more inflows than Solana in the previous week, were negative and minimal.

CoinShares analysts attributed the the lack of altcoin movement alongside Bitcoin’s trend-breaking momentum to a combination of factors:

“We believe the inflows are a reaction to a combination of positive price momentum, fears over US government debt prices and the recent quagmire over government funding.”

The quagmire referenced by CoinShares involves the ongoing negotiations over U.S. government funding. Earlier in the previous week’s cycle, fears over a republican-wrought stalemate led to predictions that the U.S. government would shut down on Oct. 2. However, a last-minute effort by senate leaders allowed for the passage of a stopgap that ensures funding through November 17. Whether congress and the president can come to terms to fund the government beyond the current measure’s expiration remains to be seen.

Geographically, Germany, Canada, and Switzerland lead the charge for the week with inflows amounting to $17.7 million, $17.2 million, and $7.4 million respectively. Australia and France held the line, metaphorically speaking, with $0.1 million for the former and a nil push for the latter.

The United States played foil to Europe and Canada’s inflows, registering $18.5 million in outflows with Sweden and Brazil following suit at $1.8 and $0.9 outgoing respectively.

Cantor Fitzgerald, led by Trump’s Commerce secretary nominee, struck deal to acquire 5% stake in Tether

How senators plan on regulating AI: Law Decoded, Sept. 4–11

Senators Richard Blumenthal and Josh Hawley's framework emphasizes that technology companies cannot rely on liability protections to shield them from legal actions.

Last week, two United States senators unveiled a bipartisan blueprint for artificial intelligence (AI) legislation. The framework put forward by Senators Richard Blumenthal and Josh Hawley advocates for mandatory licensing for AI firms and makes it clear that technology liability protections will not shield these companies from legal action.

The framework proposes creating a licensing system overseen by an independent regulatory body. It mandates that AI model developers register with this oversight entity, which would possess the authority to conduct audits of these licensing applicants. It also suggests that Congress should make it explicit that Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act, which provides legal protections to tech firms for third-party content, does not extend to AI applications.

Blumenthal and Hawley, who lead the Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Privacy, Technology and Law, have also revealed plans for a hearing. This hearing will include testimony from prominent figures, such as Brad Smith, vice chairman and president of Microsoft; William Dally, chief scientist and senior vice president of research at Nvidia; and Woodrow Hartzog, professor at Boston University School of Law.

A previous attempt to start the regulatory dialogue on AI was made by Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, who also introduced an AI framework in June. His framework outlined an extensive range of fundamental principles, as opposed to the more detailed measures proposed by Hawley and Blumenthal.

Australian lawmakers reject crypto bill

Australia’s Senate Committee on Economics Legislation has provided feedback on the cryptocurrency bill introduced by Senator Andrew Bragg. It recommended that the Senate not pass the bill and that the government continue to research the topic instead. Senator Bragg introduced the Digital Assets (Market Regulation) Bill 2023 in March, aiming to “protect consumers and promote investors.” The draft bill provides regulatory recommendations for stablecoins, licensing of exchanges, and custody requirements.

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China shut down 80 crypto influencers’ accounts

Sina Weibo, one of the most popular Chinese social media apps with over 258 million daily active users, has removed 80 influencer accounts promoting cryptocurrency activities. The accounts with over 8 million total followers were accused of breaching eight regulations related to telecommunications, finance, banking, online marketing, securities, exchanges and internet safety for their role in promoting cryptocurrencies. Starting this year, China has been cracking down on private crypto-related activities due to a combination of capital flight, money laundering and the need to preserve its state-run crypto efforts.

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Taiwan will restrict unregistered foreign crypto exchanges

Taiwan is reportedly planning to put restrictions on unregistered overseas crypto exchanges operating within its jurisdiction as part of its incoming guidance for virtual asset service providers (VASPs). The draft guidelines include enhancing information disclosure and require operators to set standards for reviewing listings and delistings. In addition, they also require separate custody of customer and platform assets and specify that VASPs should implement ways to prevent money laundering.

Among the 10 principles set by the FSC is a rule prohibiting foreign VASPs from illegally soliciting business in Taiwan. The FSC proposed that overseas crypto platforms that do not have a company registration in Taiwan and do not comply with its Anti-Money Laundering laws should not solicit business in Taiwan or from its citizens.

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Cantor Fitzgerald, led by Trump’s Commerce secretary nominee, struck deal to acquire 5% stake in Tether