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Axel Adler

2 key Bitcoin metrics signal steady bull cycle — ‘No bubble’ in sight

The metrics suggest that Bitcoin is unlikely to be overvalued at current levels, and its price action is developing “steadily without significant anomalies or sharp jumps.”

Although Bitcoin’s price is yet to reclaim its March all-time high, an analyst claims two key metrics show that the bull market remains strong and steady with no signs of a deep correction.

In an Aug. 18 report, CryptoQuant researcher Axel Adler looked to two key metrics — the bubble vs. crush market structure and the ratio between the difference of market cap and realized cap and the standard deviation of market cap (MVRV-Z score) — as signals that Bitcoin’s current price action is tracking a healthy path forward. 

“We can see that the current bull cycle is developing quite steadily without significant anomalies or sharp jumps,” Adler added.

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How Will Trump’s Win Affect the Crypto Market? Why Crypto All Stars Might Benefit?

BTC average change in retail demand falls to 5-month low, could a 75% rally be next?

The average monthly change in Bitcoin retail demand has waned over the last month, with one analyst noting it could be a precursor to a price surge seen earlier in 2024.

Average Bitcoin demand among retail investors has dropped to its lowest point in five months to levels last seen in January — which ended in a 75% surge over the following two months.

The average monthly change in demand for Bitcoin (BTC) among retail investors — those with up to $10,000 in transfer volume — has fallen to negative 17% over the last 30 days, according to data shared to X on June 10 by CryptoQuant author Axel Adler.

Adler added that “a similar previous drop to -18%” in January saw Bitcoin increase from $40,000 to $70,000 — when it surged after spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were approved in the United States, propelling Bitcoin to its mid-March $73,679 all-time high.

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How Will Trump’s Win Affect the Crypto Market? Why Crypto All Stars Might Benefit?