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$541,000,000,000 Will Exit US Banking System in ‘Severely Adverse’ Scenario, Warns Federal Reserve

1,000,000,000 Will Exit US Banking System in ‘Severely Adverse’ Scenario, Warns Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve says more than half a trillion dollars will exit the American banking system in its “severely adverse” scenario. The Fed just released its annual bank stress test, which found large US banks would survive a severe recession. However, the results of the stress test show a group of 23 banking giants including […]

The post $541,000,000,000 Will Exit US Banking System in ‘Severely Adverse’ Scenario, Warns Federal Reserve appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

Will Ethereum price bottom at $1.6K?

Chase and BofA Should Have Flagged Massive Bank Transfers in $800,000 Scam, Says Victim’s Daughter

Chase and BofA Should Have Flagged Massive Bank Transfers in 0,000 Scam, Says Victim’s Daughter

JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America are defending their fraud prevention systems after a 76 year-old man lost his life savings of $800,000. Washington resident Bogdan Nalivaiko sold his home and placed nearly a million dollars in the bank when he was targeted by scammers, reports Fox 13 Seattle. According to Nalivaiko’s daughter, Julia Elders, […]

The post Chase and BofA Should Have Flagged Massive Bank Transfers in $800,000 Scam, Says Victim’s Daughter appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

Will Ethereum price bottom at $1.6K?

Bank of America: Threats to US Dollar’s Dominance Largely Domestic — Not BRICS Currency or Chinese Yuan

Bank of America: Threats to US Dollar’s Dominance Largely Domestic — Not BRICS Currency or Chinese YuanBank of America has warned that the key threats to the U.S. dollar’s dominance are largely domestic, as opposed to competition from other currencies, including a BRICS currency. “U.S. fiscal brinkmanship, with risks for government shutdown, or even worse a default, keeps coming up during debt ceiling discussions,” the bank’s analysts stressed. Bank of America […]

Will Ethereum price bottom at $1.6K?

Bitcoin price jumps in the wake of First Republic Bank crash

The price of Bitcoin has bounced upwards as First Republic Bank deposit slump sparks fresh banking crisis fears in the United States.

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) spiked more than 3% in the last 24 hours as fears were sparked of another possible imminent bank failure as First Republic Bank (FRC) shares closed down more than 50% on April 25.

According to the Head of Research at Australian crypto education platform Collective Shift, the price of Bitcoin rallied immediately following Fox News Business Reporter Charles Gasperino breaking the news that bankers working with First Republic Bank expect the institution to go into government receivership.

Receivership is a tactic allowing creditors to recover funds that are experiencing a potential default and assists troubled firms in avoiding bankruptcy.

Data from crypto analytics firm Santiment suggested the correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P500 may be dwindling as the narrative that Bitcoin is a safe haven amid the banking crisis began to once again gather steam.

First Republic began experiencing issues in early March which led to 11 of the largest banking institutions in the United States, including J.P. Morgan and Bank of America Corp., depositing $30 billion at the troubled bank.

On March 26, Bloomberg reported that U.S. authorities were looking at creating an emergency lending facility to assist the bank in shoring up its ”structural challenges” with its balance sheet.

According to anonymous sources at the time, despite First Republic staring down the barrel of liquidity concerns, U.S. officials declared the bank’s deposits were “stabilizing,” and it was not at risk of experiencing “the kind of sudden, severe run” that led regulators to close down Silicon Valley Bank.

Unfortunately, these reassurances have proved incorrect.

On Monday, April 23, First Republic reported in its first quarter earnings call that total deposits had plummeted more than $100 billion and it would be “pursuing strategic options” to strengthen its financial standing as quickly as possible.

First Republic Bank’s Q1 2023 earnings. Source: First Republic Bank

While the bank is yet to clarify exactly what these strategic options are, the earnings report highlighted that the embattled firm plans to downsize its balance sheet and cut expenses by slashing executive salaries, slimming down on office leases and laying off an expected 20% to 25% of its employees in Q2.

Related: Bitcoin price can ‘easily’ hit $20K in next 4 months — Philip Swift

The banking crisis has taken a heavy toll on financial institutions in the U.S. over the course of this year. On March 8, Silvergate Bank announced that it would be closing its doors after experiencing a run on deposits.

Two days later on March 10, Silicon Valley Investment Bank was shut down by the California Department of Financial Protection.

Despite the turmoil, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has reiterated that the American banking sector remains robust and stable. “Our banking system remains sound, with strong capital and liquidity positions,” Yellen stated in remarks from the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC) Council Meeting on April 21.

Magazine: Unstablecoins: Depegging, bank runs and other risks loom

Will Ethereum price bottom at $1.6K?

MicroStrategy stock price more than doubles in 2023 in lockstep with Bitcoin

Bank of America and Fidelity have increased their MicroStrategy exposure in what appears to be a passive Bitcoin investment.

MicroStrategy's infamous Bitcoin (BTC) investment strategy is playing out profitably so far into 2023.

Today, MicroStrategy's stock MSTR is up roughly 140% year-to-date (YTD) to $350 per share, its highest level since September last year. It mirrored Bitcoin's 90% YTD gains, maintaining a strong positive correlation with the top cryptocurrency.

MSTR daily price chart featuring its daily correlation with BTC. Source: TradingView

Proxy Bitcoin investment boom

To recap, MicroStrategy is essentially a proxy for direct BTC investment without a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the U.S. It holds 140,000 BTC worth $4.26 billion, the most by a publicly-traded company as a part of its Treasury strategy.

MSTR investors typically get their buying or selling cues from the same catalysts that drive Bitcoin market trends.

As a result, the stock has mirrored the BTC price uptrend so far in 2023, led by rush-to-safety trades amid the U.S. banking crisis and anticipation the Federal Reserve would stop hiking rates.

BTC/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

For instance, CNN data shows Bank of America's entities owns 86,147 MSTR shares. Similarly, Fidelity purchased 97,199 MSTR shares throughout 2022, suggesting growing institutional interest in proxy Bitcoin investments.

Coinbase's COIN, another stock offering indirect crypto exposure, has doubled in value this year as well.

MicroStrategy's core business is unhealthy

MicroStrategy is essentially an enterprise software solution company and generates its revenue from software licensing and subscription services.

The firm realized a net loss of $193.7 million during Q4/2022, up from $137.5 million a year ago, led by a Bitcoin impairment loss of $197.6 million. Furthermore, its operating cash flow was $18.2 million compared to a positive cash flow of $3.2 million in the same quarter a year ago.

Of course, MicroStrategy could sell its Bitcoin holdings to boost its balance sheet reserves. But the company says it will not alter its BTC buying strategy under financial stress. Instead, it employs strategies like share dilutions and debt offerings to raise capital to buy BTC.

"The risk here will come from its inability to buy Bitcoin with positive cash flows in future quarters as per its strategy," says Pacifica Yield, financial blogger at Seeking Alpha, adding:

"Dilution to buy assets that you lose money on if Bitcoin returns to its near-term lows would not be a shareholder-friendly strategy."

 20% correction for MSTR stock in Q2?

From a technical standpoint, MSTR has a high probability of a 20% price correction in Q2.

Related: MicroStrategy’s Saylor fuses work email address with Bitcoin Lightning

The stock's yearly rally has landed its price near a resistance range — between $320 and $340 —  notorious for capping breakout attempts. Suppose a pullback occurs. Then, the price could drop toward its 50-3D exponential moving average (50-3D EMA; the red wave) below $260 by June.

MSTR three-day price chart. Source: TradingView

MicroStrategy is expected to release its Q1 earnings report by May 2.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Will Ethereum price bottom at $1.6K?

Fidelity and Bank of America Gain Exposure to Bitcoin As Financial Giants Heavily Invest in MicroStrategy

Fidelity and Bank of America Gain Exposure to Bitcoin As Financial Giants Heavily Invest in MicroStrategy

Financial titans Fidelity and Bank of America are now indirect owners of Bitcoin (BTC) after the two firms heavily accumulated shares of MicroStrategy (MSTR) in Q1 this year. MicroStrategy is the largest institutional holder of Bitcoin, owning 140,000 BTC worth more than $4.22 billion. Data from CNN shows that Bank of America is now the fourth-largest […]

The post Fidelity and Bank of America Gain Exposure to Bitcoin As Financial Giants Heavily Invest in MicroStrategy appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

Will Ethereum price bottom at $1.6K?

First Republic Bank’s Shares Downgraded to Junk Status by S&P Global; Stock Slides More Than 25% Lower

<div>First Republic Bank’s Shares Downgraded to Junk Status by S&P Global; Stock Slides More Than 25% Lower</div>After UBS acquired Credit Suisse and close to a dozen financial institutions injected $30 billion into First Republic Bank four days ago, S&P Global downgraded First Republic’s shares to junk status on Sunday. Investors are concerned that the cash infusion from 11 major financial institutions may not address the bank’s liquidity issues. First Republic’s shares […]

Will Ethereum price bottom at $1.6K?

Bitcoin market cap grows 60% in 2023 as top Wall Street banks lose $100B

Bitcoin has decoupled from stocks and rising ten years after the Cyprus banking crisis coincided with a BTC price boom.

The market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) has added $194 billion in 2023. Its 66% year-to-date (YTD) growth is vastly outperforming top Wall Street bank stocks, particularly as fears of a global banking crisis are rising.

BTC market cap daily performance chart. Source: TradingView

Moreover, Bitcoin has decoupled from U.S. stocks for the first time in a year, with its price rising about 65% versus S&P 500's 2.5% gains and Nasdaq's 15% decline in 2023. 

SPX and NDAQ YTD performance vs. BTC/USD. Source: TradingView 

Wall Street banks lose $100B in 2023

The six largest U.S. banks — JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), Wells Fargo (WFC), Morgan Stanley (MS), and Goldman Sachs (GS) — have lost nearly $100 billion in market valuation since the year's start, according to data gathered by CompaniesMarketCap.com.

Bank of America's stock is the worst performer among the Wall Street banking players, with a nearly 17% YTD drop in valuation. Goldman Sachs trails with an almost 12% YTD decrease, followed by Wells Fargo (-9.75%), JP Morgan Chase (1%).

Wall Street banks YTD performance. Source: TradingView

The U.S. banks' valuation has slid amid the ongoing U.S. regional banking collapse. That includes the announcement last week that Silvergate, a crypto-focused bank, was closing its doors and the subsequent takeover of Signature Bank and Silicon Valley Bank by regulators.

Related: Breaking: SVB Financial Group files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy

The crisis further expanded with the near-collapse of First Republic Bank, which was saved at the last moment through a $30 billion combined injection by Wells Fargo, JP Morgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, and others.

Cyprus and Greece deja vu?

The rise of Bitcoin in the face of a growing U.S. banking crisis is similar to how it reacted during banking collapses in Cyprus and Greece.

BTC's price grew by up to 5,000% amid the Cyprus financial crisis in 2013, prompted by the exposure of Cypriot banks to overleveraged regional real-estate companies.

BTC/USD performance during Cyprus banking crisis. Source: TradingView

The situation was so dire that Cyprus authorities, in March 2013, closed all banks to avoid a bank run.

When Greece faced a similar crisis in 2015 and imposed capital controls on citizens to avoid a bank run, Bitcoin's price gained 150% during the period. 

BTC/USD performance during the Greece banking crisis. Source: TradingView

“Fears over the stability of the banking system, along with declining real interest rates, creates a good environment for Bitcoin to rebound," noted Ilan Solot, co-head of digital assets at London broker Marex, adding that the crypto "is seen by some investors as a hedge against systemic risks." 

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Will Ethereum price bottom at $1.6K?

US Bank Outflows and Concerns Mount: 11 Banks Bail Out First Republic Bank From Collapse

US Bank Outflows and Concerns Mount: 11 Banks Bail Out First Republic Bank From CollapseAfter the fall of Silvergate Bank, Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), and Signature Bank (SNBY), First Republic Bank, a commercial bank and wealth management services provider, is the latest financial institution to receive a bailout. Close to a dozen lenders announced they will deposit $30 billion into the beleaguered bank’s coffers to shore up liquidity. U.S. […]

Will Ethereum price bottom at $1.6K?