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FBI Raids Polymarket CEO’s Home As DOJ Probes the Decentralized Betting Platform: Report

FBI Raids Polymarket CEO’s Home As DOJ Probes the Decentralized Betting Platform: Report

The Federal Bureau of Investigation has reportedly executed a search warrant on the home of Shayne Coplan, the CEO of decentralized predictions-betting platform Polymarket. Citing a source who requested anonymity, Bloomberg reports that the FBI seized Coplan’s phone and electronics during the raid, which happened just as the US Justice Department (DOJ) investigates Polymarket for […]

The post FBI Raids Polymarket CEO’s Home As DOJ Probes the Decentralized Betting Platform: Report appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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Whale Trader Looking for $80,000,000 Gains on Polymarket Says He Has No Political Agenda: Report

Whale Trader Looking for ,000,000 Gains on Polymarket Says He Has No Political Agenda: Report

A deep-pocketed investor who is looking to make tens of millions of dollars from crypto betting platform Polymarket reportedly says that he has no political motivation behind putting his money on Donald Trump to win the upcoming US election. According to a new report by The Wall Street Journal (WSJ), a French national calling himself […]

The post Whale Trader Looking for $80,000,000 Gains on Polymarket Says He Has No Political Agenda: Report appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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Robinhood To Launch New Event Contracts for Betting on US Election Amid Polymarket’s Explosion in Popularity

Robinhood To Launch New Event Contracts for Betting on US Election Amid Polymarket’s Explosion in Popularity

Following the footsteps of the popular crypto betting platform Polymarket, retail trading giant Robinhood is launching a presidential election event contract for traders to bet on. In a new announcement, Robinhood introduces its newest feature, event contracts. “Event contracts allow customers to trade on the outcome of specific events, such as whether a candidate will […]

The post Robinhood To Launch New Event Contracts for Betting on US Election Amid Polymarket’s Explosion in Popularity appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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Trump Takes Significant Lead Over Harris in Polymarket Odds for 2024 Election Win

Trump Takes Significant Lead Over Harris in Polymarket Odds for 2024 Election WinOn Thursday, betting activity on Polymarket indicated that former President Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in the race for the 2024 election. As of press time, Trump’s odds stand at 55.8%, with Harris trailing at 43.7%. This shift in favor of Trump has been observed since around Oct. 5, approximately […]

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Prediction markets like Polymarket a ‘public good,’ more accurate than polls

While some say that prediction markets are a risk to democracy, others think they could serve the public by offering valuable insights and risk management tools.

Despite recent confrontations with regulators, election markets can provide more accurate insights into public sentiment than polls, according to industry observers.

In May 2024, the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) proposed a rule to ban derivatives used to bet on the outcome of US elections and other major real-world events. 

The CFTC’s proposal drove US-based regulated prediction market platform Kalshi to take the commission to court. Columbia District Judge Jia Cobb rejected the CFTCs proposal, stating that “Kalshi’s contracts do not involve unlawful activity or gaming. They involve elections, which are neither.”

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Will Trump pardon SBF? 6 weird Polymarket betting pools on US politics

As the US elections approach, crypto policy betting surges on Polymarket. From traditional political predictions to quirky, unexpected wagers, users are placing bets on what’s to come.

Crypto betting platform Polymarket has received mainstream attention as betting pools on the United States presidential elections have helped the platform surpass $1 billion in volume. 

Polymarket allows individuals to anonymously create market betting pools on almost any event, with outcomes determined in a binary “yes” or “no” format. While most users focus on straightforward bets, a subset of investors gravitate toward more unorthodox wagers.

As election day approaches and crypto policies become a prominent topic in the campaign, a wide range of wagers related to politicians and crypto policies are on the rise. These bets range from conventional political predictions to humorous and bizarre speculations.

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‘Explosion’ in election gambling will harm public interest: CFTC

The US commodities regulator says prediction markets can be vulnerable to “spectacular manipulation.”

The United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission says prediction markets can fall to “spectacular manipulation” in the latest filing against US predictions market Kalshi.

“Documented cases of market manipulation have already been realized in the very markets Kalshi points to,” the CFTC stressed, pointing to recent incidents on competitor platforms in the Sept. 14 reply in support of a motion to stay.

Polymarket experienced a “spectacular manipulation” attempt by a group of traders gambling on Vice President Kamala Harris to win the 2024 US presidential election, claimed the CFTC, while a “fake poll” showing Kid Rock leading Senator Debbie Stabenow 30% to 26% in a senate vote on PredictIt impacted the price of Stabenow’s reelection contract.

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Judge says CFTC exceeded its authority halting Kalshi election bets

According to Judge Jia Cobb, having Kalshi offer contracts on “whether a chamber of Congress will be controlled by a specific party in a given term” was not unlawful.

A federal judge has granted partial summary judgment in Kalshi’s case against the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission, paving the way for the prediction market to list bets related to elections.

In a Sept. 12 opinion filed in the US District Court for the District of Columbia, Judge Jia Cobb said that the CFTC “exceeded its statutory authority” by issuing an order halting Kalshi’s election markets. The commission argued that gambling on the US political races could disrupt markets and potentially threaten election integrity.

“Kalshi’s contracts do not involve unlawful activity or gaming,” said Judge Cobb. “They involve elections, which are neither. Although the Court acknowledges the CFTC’s concern that allowing the public to trade on the outcome of elections threatens the public interest, this Court has no occasion to consider that argument.”

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CFTC Files Motion To Shut Down Kalshi’s Election Markets After Betting Platform’s ‘Huge Win’ Against Regulator

CFTC Files Motion To Shut Down Kalshi’s Election Markets After Betting Platform’s ‘Huge Win’ Against Regulator

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is filing a motion to shut down Kalshi’s election betting markets after the firm scored up a legal victory against the regulator. According to new court documents, the CFTC is asking a US court for an emergency stay of a judge’s recent decision to overturn the regulatory body’s order […]

The post CFTC Files Motion To Shut Down Kalshi’s Election Markets After Betting Platform’s ‘Huge Win’ Against Regulator appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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36% Chance for Durov’s Freedom in August: Polymarket’s High-Stakes Bet on Telegram Founder’s Fate

36% Chance for Durov’s Freedom in August: Polymarket’s High-Stakes Bet on Telegram Founder’s FateAccording to the blockchain-powered prediction market Polymarket, bettors are giving Telegram founder Pavel Durov a 36% chance of being released this month. Durov was taken into custody by French judicial police at Le Bourget airport in France, facing allegations related to facilitating crimes such as fraud, terrorism, and drug trafficking. Polymarket’s $200K Gamble: Will Durov […]

Ripple, Coinbase, Kraken Bet Big on Pro-Crypto Trump, Paving the Way for Crypto’s Bright Future