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Bitcoin on Track for a September Breakout, Says Crypto Analyst – But There’s a Catch

Bitcoin on Track for a September Breakout, Says Crypto Analyst – But There’s a Catch

A widely followed analyst is expressing bullish sentiment on Bitcoin (BTC) days after the flagship cryptocurrency fell to a six-month low. The analyst pseudonymously known as Rekt Capital tells his 487,400 followers on the social media platform X that Bitcoin is “still on track for a September breakout.” To achieve that, trader says that Bitcoin […]

The post Bitcoin on Track for a September Breakout, Says Crypto Analyst – But There’s a Catch appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and Trump Reportedly Hold Private Discussion

CNBC Fast Money trader says Solana ETFs ’probably’ next, sparking debate

CNBC contributor and crypto investor Brian Kelly said Solana is one of the “big three” coins, meaning it’s likely to be the next to receive ETF treatment.

Crypto investor and CNBC ‘Fast Money’ trader Brian Kelly sparked debate on Crypto X on Wednesday after suggesting that Solana (SOL) could be the next cryptocurrency to get a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States.

Kelly made the prediction during the CNBC post-market talk show Fast Money on May 22, a day before the Securities and Exchange Commission is due to decide on at least one proposed spot Ether (ETH) ETF.

Some industry observers didn't agree with Kelly's prediction.

Read more

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and Trump Reportedly Hold Private Discussion

CME Tops Binance in Terms of Bitcoin Futures Open Interest, Suggesting Institutional Appetite for BTC

CME Tops Binance in Terms of Bitcoin Futures Open Interest, Suggesting Institutional Appetite for BTC

The value of open interest for Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Bitcoin (BTC) futures is on the upswing, suggesting institutional interest in the top crypto asset. Data from cryptocurrency derivative data analytics platform CoinGlass indicates the value of open interest (OI) for CME Bitcoin futures has reached $4.07 billion, surpassing Binance’s Bitcoin futures OI and taking […]

The post CME Tops Binance in Terms of Bitcoin Futures Open Interest, Suggesting Institutional Appetite for BTC appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and Trump Reportedly Hold Private Discussion

Chicago Mercantile Exchange To Offer New Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) Options Trading

Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group is preparing to launch new micro-sized options contracts for the two largest crypto assets by market cap. According to a press release, the new Micro Bitcoin and Micro Ether contracts will be one-tenth the size of a single Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), respectively. The trading feature will go live […]

The post Chicago Mercantile Exchange To Offer New Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) Options Trading appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and Trump Reportedly Hold Private Discussion

CME Bitcoin derivative traders had ‘paper hands’ as BTC broke $55K — Report

Traders wound up their long Bitcoin derivatives contracts ahead of the October price rally, ignoring solid on-chain fundamentals.

Bitcoin (BTC) derivatives traders on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) missed out on incredible profits as BTC’s spot price smashed through $55,000 this week.

Retail investors reduced their long exposure across the Bitcoin futures and options markets in late September, according to data shared by Ecoinometrics. The amount of open short positions also climbed, indicating that derivative traders anticipated Bitcoin’s price to drop, as shown in the chart below.

CME Bitcoin derivatives — retail traders. Source: CFTC “Commitments of Traders” report, Ecoinometrics

The data was taken on Sept. 28, when BTC price had fallen below $41,000 on Coinbase — down almost 23% from its month-to-date high near $52,950. The drop surfaced in the aftermath of China’s decision to ban all kinds of crypto transactions.

“Most likely, this dip is due to a mix of traders not rolling their long positions to the October contract and some outright liquidating when BTC looked like it was going to drop below $40k last week,” said Nick, an analyst at Ecoinometrics.

“Regardless, the overall picture is that the futures traders lack conviction.”

“That’s paper hands 101,” the analyst noted.

Smart money

Institutional investors in the CME Bitcoin futures market also followed retail sentiment as they reduced their long exposure in the market. But, on the other hand, their short positions climbed.

CME Bitcoin derivatives — smart money. Source: CFTC “Commitments of Traders” report, Ecoinometrics

With CME options traders convinced that Bitcoin price would drop, the number of puts — an implicitly bearish bet on Bitcoin’s price — turned out to be almost twice the size of the calls, or bets on potential Bitcoin price gains.

CME Bitcoin options — puts vs. calls open interest. Source: Ecoinometrics

Traders’ position distribution made $40,000 the most sought-after strike price target.

On the other hand, some options traders bet that the spot Bitcoin price would hit $60,000 by the end of October. Additionally, analyst Crypto Hedger highlighted that Bitcoin options expiring on Nov. 26 show bulls’ sentiment skewed toward the $80,000-strike target.

Buy/sell volume in the last 24 hours for Nov. 26 Bitcoin options contract. Source: Laevitas, Crypto Hedger

“At this current growth pace, Bitcoin has formed very strong support at the $50,000 price point, and short-term traders may also need to watch out for the key resistance level around $56,000,” said Konstantin Anissimov, executive director of CEX.IO, adding:

“A break below or above these levels can stir another cataclysmic price reversal or a massive run toward $60,000 in Q4.”

Bitcoin supply squeeze in play

On-chain data shared by Ecoinometrics also showed a higher level of Bitcoin withdrawals from all the crypto exchanges.

In detail, Bitcoin’s 30-day net exchange flow has been rising since July 2020, as noted in the color-coded chart below, with blue and red indicating extreme outflow and inflow, respectively.

Bitcoin rolling net exchange flow. Source: Coinmetrics

Ecoinometrics noted that the amount of Bitcoin currently leaving exchanges is higher than it was in the previous four-year halving cycles.

Bitcoin rolling net exchange inflow (second halving vs. third). Source: Coinmetrics 

Meanwhile, traders see the reduction in Bitcoin’s supply on exchanges, with increasing “hodling” activity, as further catalysts for a liquidity crisis and more price upside.

Related: Bitcoin ‘heavy breakout’ fractal suggests BTC price can hit $250K–$350K in 2021

“Back then there were indeed periods of net outflows but in terms of size they look much less dramatic than what we have right now,” Ecoinometrics highlighted, adding:

“That’s another sign that we are on course for a liquidity crisis which could drive Bitcoin’s value much higher than it is right now.”

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and Trump Reportedly Hold Private Discussion