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How blockchain transforms Christmas giving

Unwrap the magic of how blockchain reshapes the landscape of Christmas giving, bringing innovation and efficiency to the age-old tradition.

From enhancing transparency and trust in charitable donations to introducing the concept of tokenized gifts, blockchain is infusing a new spirit into the season. 

As the festive lights begin to twinkle and the scent of pine fills the air, the season of giving takes center stage. The tradition of exchanging gifts during Christmas has long been a symbol of love, compassion and generosity. However, in the digital age, this age-old practice is already undergoing a profound transformation, thanks to the integration of cutting-edge tech like blockchain

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3 things we might see from crypto as 2023 winds to an end

Don’t be surprised if we see more investment, more regulation and more artificial intelligence defining crypto during the last two months of 2023.

As the holiday season approaches, anticipation in the cryptocurrency world heightens for the annual phenomenon known as the "Santa rally." Amidst this festive period, market dynamics tend to shift. This season, there are several factors that could influence the last few months of the year.

Institutional investment surge

Cryptocurrency prices spiked notably at the end of 2020 and 2021, driven by increased investor optimism and institutional interest. Major financial institutions and hedge funds began viewing Bitcoin (BTC) not just as a speculative asset but as a hedge against inflation and a potential store of value. Large companies like Square and MicroStrategy added major Bitcoin holdings to their balance sheets, further solidifying this image shift.

Additionally, Bitcoin reached all-time highs, igniting a positive sentiment throughout the market. Further, institutional investment was demonstrated when businesses like Tesla made large-scale Bitcoin acquisitions publicly known. Moreover, the introduction of a number of cryptocurrency ETFs and funds gave institutional investors a more convenient and familiar way to access the market.

Firms are catering to institutional investors looking for safe storage options for their cryptocurrency holdings in the quickly evolving financial landscape of 2022 by offering custody services, which are essential for safeguarding digital assets.

Related: Bitcoin is evolving into a multiasset network

Despite some fluctuations, the trajectory was generally upward in 2022. Once skeptical, traditional financial institutions started to provide a variety of crypto services, such as lending, trading, and custody. Institutional actors have also recognized the emergence of decentralized finance (DeFi) and nonfungible tokens (NFTs), particularly venture capital firms and specialized funds searching for novel investment opportunities.

For example, prominent financial institutions collaborated to establish EDX Markets (EDXM), a novel exchange designed for the trading of digital assets through reliable intermediaries. This platform will cater to both institutional and retail investors, ensuring a secure environment for digital asset trading. Noteworthy backers of this initiative included renowned entities such as Charles Schwab, Fidelity Digital Assets, Paradigm, Sequoia Capital, Citadel Securities, and Virtu Financial, reinforcing the exchange's credibility and strength within the market.

In 2022, despite the crypto winter, development in the crypto sector increased by 5%, indicating sustained interest in underlying technology. Additionally, a 2022 Celent survey revealed 91% of institutional investors are keen on investing in tokenized assets, highlighting strong demand.

The upcoming season might witness an even larger influx of institutional capital into the crypto domain, exemplified by entities like MicroStrategy, which is expanding its crypto holdings by acquiring additional 1,045 Bitcoin for its growing treasury. Also, research by EY-Parthenon reveals that a majority of institutional investors hold a strong belief in the enduring value of blockchain technology and crypto assets, leading them to plan substantial scaling of digital asset investments over the next two to three years.

Moreover, there is a growing interest among investors to participate in tokenized financial assets, prompting institutions to actively explore opportunities to tokenize their own assets in response to the evolving financial landscape. As the industry continues to mature and gain legitimacy, new financial products tailored specifically for institutional investors could emerge, further facilitating their entry into the market.

Regulatory clarity

In 2020, as the cryptocurrency market boomed, it inevitably caught the attention of regulators worldwide. Some nations responded by enacting complete prohibitions, but others adopted a more measured strategy and started the process of developing regulatory frameworks to monitor and control the rapidly expanding domain of digital assets.

In 2021, U.S. regulatory developments — particularly those pertaining to the SEC's position on cryptocurrencies — became central to the global narrative surrounding cryptocurrencies. The industry was alert due to the ongoing discussions about cryptocurrency regulations and the push for approvals of Bitcoin ETFs. Concurrently, there have been substantial market realignments and conversations regarding decentralization as a result of China's crackdown on cryptocurrency mining and trading.

The cryptocurrency regulatory environment began to evolve in 2022. After preliminary discussions, a number of nations established precise legislative frameworks with rules governing cryptocurrencies, initial coin offerings (ICOs), and DeFi platforms. At the same time, there was a surge in the global movement to create central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), with many countries introducing or testing their own digital currencies.

This year, significant developments reshaped the global cryptocurrency landscape. For instance, Thailand’s Securities and Exchange Commission is poised to ease restrictions on retail investments related to ICOs, aiming to stimulate digital investments and foster market growth.

Meanwhile,the European Union took decisive action by enacting the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulatory framework in April 2023, ushering in a new era of comprehensive crypto regulations within the region.

Related: IRS proposes unprecedented data-collection on crypto users

A pivotal moment occurred in July 2023 when a ruling by U.S. Circuit Judge Analisa Torres affirmed Ripple's compliance with the law regarding XRP sales on public exchanges, marking a significant legal victory for the cryptocurrency sector against U.S. regulators. However, she also clarified that Ripple had violated securities laws by offering XRP to hedge funds and institutional buyers.

In September, four members of the United States Congress rallied for immediate approval of spot Bitcoin listing by Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler. As these events have unfolded, we’ve also seen growing anticipation of a spot Bitcoin ETFs. This potential milestone holds the prospect of introducing clearer regulatory frameworks, providing the cryptocurrency industry and investors with a more structured and defined trajectory ahead.

The confluence of AI and Web3

The convergence of Web3 and AI technology started to dramatically alter the cryptocurrency environment in the waning months of 2020. Predictive analytics and AI-driven trading algorithms gained popularity, enabling institutional and individual investors to make data-driven choices in the erratic cryptocurrency market. With the use of this technology, market analysis was improved, allowing investors to predict price fluctuations and make the most of their trading tactics throughout the upswing.

The relationship between Web3 and artificial intelligence (AI) grew stronger in 2021. AI-powered DApps became more prevalent, providing innovative solutions in fields like NFTs and DeFi. The market gained momentum as a result of this integration, which made yield farming, and NFT creation and trading more effective. AI-driven sentiment analysis tools also played a crucial role, providing insights into market sentiment and trends, aiding investors in making informed decisions.

In 2022, we witnessed the maturation of AI and Web3 integration with projects like Aave using AI algorithms to streamline lending processes, Rarible’s use of AI to provide individualized NFT curation. These initiatives showcased secure, automated, and trustless transactions, boosting investor confidence.

The confluence of AI and Web3 is poised to redefine this Christmas season once again. AI algorithms will develop further, allowing for proactive trading decisions and real-time monitoring of market data. Web3 technologies are anticipated to support creative investment models and decision-making procedures, particularly in the areas of decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) and AI-driven governance systems.

The incorporation of AI-generated content in crypto in the form of NFTs and AI-powered virtual reality experiences could be a driving force in the market in the months ahead. That enthusiasm could contribute to newfound liquidity in the markets, and development for the industry.

Guneet Kaur joined Cointelegraph as an editor in 2021. She holds a Master of Science in financial technology from the University of Stirling and an MBA from India’s Guru Nanak Dev University.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Polter hit by flash loan attack, man gets 24 years for scam: Crypto-Sec

Crypto Investor Chris Burniske Predicts ‘Santa Clause Rally’ Before Fed Cuts Rates in 2024

Crypto Investor Chris Burniske Predicts ‘Santa Clause Rally’ Before Fed Cuts Rates in 2024

A prominent crypto venture capitalist believes that the digital assets market will likely rally around Christmas time after a tough start to September. Chris Burniske, the founder of Placeholder Capital, tells his 263,400 followers on the social media platform X that his recent prediction of a possible “upside surprise” breakout in crypto is no longer valid […]

The post Crypto Investor Chris Burniske Predicts ‘Santa Clause Rally’ Before Fed Cuts Rates in 2024 appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

Polter hit by flash loan attack, man gets 24 years for scam: Crypto-Sec

Krampus is coming to the crypto space this holiday season

Not even major exchanges collapsing can deter crypto users from believing in the space year after year.

’Twas the weeks before Christmas on a island far away,

None could have foreseen crypto’s golden boy going astray.

When politicians and firms took FTX‘s money with glee,

Did they truly know the depth of one man’s duplicity?

Imagine if you will, the exchange’s younger days,

When business people showered the LoL player with praise.

The markets were high, adoption was booming…

How could we have seen the massive threat looming?

“Come in and talk to us,” the SEC pled,

As money flowed to agency and lawmaker instead.

For many, there would be no Merry Christmas this year,

Just a time for Krampusnacht to fill us with fear.

“Assets are fine,” said the man whose hair was unruly,

“Blame Binance — I was just doing my duty!”

“I failed! I’m sorry! It wasn’t my fault!”

“But seriously — what did you expect after a sudden withdrawal halt?”

He was dressed in a hoodie, from his fro to his waist,

All his clothes were branded with an exchange long laid waste.

A bundle of assets he had flung at his side,

Pilfered from users and investors with pride.

From a penthouse of solitude surrounded by palm trees,

He offered not Christmas gifts, but something of sleaze.

“It is your money I desire,” he said, as quick as you please,

“To hell with the holiday spirit — show me those private keys!”

“I have billions to repay! There’s not a moment to lose!”

This crypto Krampus had such a short fuse.

He failed to realize, as all hodlers know,

Crypto couldn’t be stopped with one blow.

You may tank our markets, you may regulate ad infinitum,

You may trick many with shiny tokens and huge sums,

But the promise of crypto, as with every Christmas season,

Isn’t focusing on the scams and crimes, but reason:

The reason? Crypto is here to stay.

Blockchain, and NFTs, and come what may,

You may cost us a limb, but our faith will endure.

And in the end, we will have our funds secure.

Click “Collect” below the illustration at the top of the page or follow this link.

Polter hit by flash loan attack, man gets 24 years for scam: Crypto-Sec

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Polter hit by flash loan attack, man gets 24 years for scam: Crypto-Sec

5 tips for riding out a downbeat market this holiday season

The market doesn't look like it's going to spike upward anytime soon. While you wait, grow your network and position your portfolio to take advantage of a future recovery.

These forecasts are driven by deteriorating structural fundamentals. For example, credit card debt has surged past even 2020 levels, with interest rates charged by banks that are just slightly higher than those observed leading up to the post-2000 dot-com crash. And yet, labor force participation rates — or the proportion of the population that is able to work and is working — have still not recovered to pre-pandemic levels. Furthermore, inflation — as measured by the consumer price index — has surged over the past few years.

Economic forecasts suggest that we are in for greater economic turbulence. The United States has been in a recession and that recession is expected to continue, with the Conference Board forecasting a further decline in gross domestic product (GDP) by 0.5% in Q4 of this year. It also anticipates that the recession will continue into at least Q2 of 2023. That was before the collapse of crypto trading platform FTX, which had profound downstream effects on investment portfolios and non-crypto companies. Other more optimistic forecasts, such as those of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and S&P Global, are just barely positive for 2023 at 0.7% and 0.2%, respectively.

Consumer Debt & Interest Rates in the United States, 1995-2020. Source: St. Louis Federal Reserve
Labor Force Participation in the United States, 1950-2020. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Consumer Price Index, 2011-2022. Source: St. Louis Federal Reserve

These macroeconomic indicators are common outside of the U.S. too. Many – even the International Monetary Fund — have pointed out the increase in inflation as a result of higher energy prices in Europe, which is one factor, among others, that contributes to the European Union’s recent forecast of nearly zero GDP growth for all of 2023. That is on top of its already long-run demographic challenge that there are too many people aging out of the labor force and not enough new entrants, which has dire implications for GDP growth.

Related: The market isn’t surging anytime soon — So get used to dark times

While these macroeconomic fundamentals are outside your control, there is still a lot within your control. We need to remember that we have substantial agency over our lives and do not need to get dragged into an economic tailspin just because that’s what might be happening to the aggregate economy — we can still individually thrive during a famine.

Here are five tips for doing just that.

Optimize the wait. Make the best use of your time every day, which might mean picking up a new skill or taking up a freelance job that deploys your broader skill set. Especially with the emergence of artificial intelligence and automation, certain tasks are becoming obsolete and other new creative opportunities are emerging — and you can leverage that trend by acquiring the skills to perform these tasks. There are substantial mismatches in the demand and supply in certain parts of the labor market, such as artificial intelligence and cybersecurity jobs, so consider picking up a new skill that you can put to work.

Reflect and take inventory. It is far too easy to look at the circumstances we personally or as a society are in and get worried, but take stock of what is going right and what you’re thankful for. The holidays are an especially good opportunity to do so. By putting your circumstances in perspective, you avoid a lot of mental rabbit holes that could cause you to become more anxious and disappointed, which unfortunately only further amplifies challenging circumstances. Even when circumstances look bleak, remember what you have and what you have been through — it will inspire you to go on.

Grow your network. Building relationships is part of the adventure we are on. Focus on people as actual human beings, rather than potential doors of opportunity. People are indeed doors, but treating people in transactional ways warps your perspective of life and ends up closing those doors, because people do not like being treated as vending machines. (Would you like it if people only talked to you based on what you could give to them?)

Related: 5 reasons 2023 will be a tough year for global markets

Cherish small wins. We often focus on the big and flashy goals or aspirations, but overlook what is immediately in front of us. We have a lot more agency than we give ourselves credit for! Whether you are taking care of your property or writing an excellent report at work, demonstrating excellence in everything that you do creates a lot more optionality in the long run that yields truly fulfilling and fruitful employment opportunities.

Always carve out some proportion of your earnings for savings. Consider investing it in structurally sound digital assets. There is no substitute for setting aside resources every month, whether crypto or fiat, that you can draw on when you’re most in need. There will always be an element of unpredictability in the world, so view these savings as your insurance policy on market downturns. Even though crypto has been in a winter, all assets have been struggling because the entire market is in a downturn. But the future of the major tokens, such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH), remains hopeful, and it’s just a matter of time before they rebound. Moreover, as governments become more volatile and inflation continues to grow, crypto can be a useful hedge and diversification strategy.

Don’t despair even when the economy is faltering. You and your household can still thrive!

Christos A. Makridis is a research affiliate at Stanford University and Columbia Business School and the chief technology officer and co-founder of Living Opera, a multimedia art-tech Web3 startup. He holds doctoral degrees in economics and management science and engineering from Stanford University.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Polter hit by flash loan attack, man gets 24 years for scam: Crypto-Sec

Here’s When Ripple and XRP Lawsuit Could End After Surprise Schedule Change: Crypto Legal Expert

Here’s When Ripple and XRP Lawsuit Could End After Surprise Schedule Change: Crypto Legal Expert

The judge presiding over the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) lawsuit against Ripple has made an unexpected schedule change. James K. Filan, a lawyer closely following the lawsuit, says that Judge Torres has altered the case’s calendar, which previously was slated to head into 2023. “Judge Torres modifies [the] proposed calendar. Motions to exclude […]

The post Here’s When Ripple and XRP Lawsuit Could End After Surprise Schedule Change: Crypto Legal Expert appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

Polter hit by flash loan attack, man gets 24 years for scam: Crypto-Sec

Spreading holiday joy through charitable giving with cryptocurrency

Charitable crypto campaigns aim to give back this holiday season, demonstrating how effective cryptocurrency and NFT donations can be for donations.

The holidays are the perfect time of the year for giving back, and the rise of cryptocurrencies has created even more opportunities for charitable initiatives. This was highlighted during Giving Tuesday 2021, the Tuesday after Thanksgiving which saw over $2.4 million raised in cryptocurrency from the nonprofit fundraising platform The Giving Block.

As crypto philanthropy becomes a new subsector of the cryptocurrency economy, some in the industry believe that crypto donations will only continue to increase. Alex Wilson, co-founder of The Giving Block, told Cointelegraph that last year the organization raised about $4 million in crypto donations, noting that this year, over $100 million in crypto donations will likely be received.

According to Wilson, this growth is partly due to the fact that donating crypto is more tax efficient than fiat donations. “Anyone who donates before December 31 is able to claim a deduction for the 2021 tax year. This is a great way to offset some of your gains.” Wilson added that over 1,000 nonprofits currently accept crypto donations through The Giving Block, a few of which include St. Jude, Save the Children and United Way. “Next year, we have a lot of partnerships that are going live and we expect our growth to accelerate. We're estimating that we'll process nearly $1 billion in donations next year and work with over 6,000 nonprofits.”

Cryptocurrency giving campaigns for the holidays

While a number of nonprofits have started to accept crypto donations, it’s also notable that campaigns centered around cryptocurrency philanthropy are being launched this holiday season.

For example, in early December, Upbring Innovation Labs — a Texas-based organization seeking to advance technology in the nonprofit sector — launched the Give Big TX Crypto Fund. Ryan Park, vice president of innovation of Upbring, told Cointelegraph that the fund is a joint cryptocurrency campaign working with twelve Texas-based nonprofits:

“You can think of this as a ‘cause fund.’ The cause here is to make Texas a better place to live. This is also about showing nonprofits that they can adopt new Web 3.0 technologies to advance. The larger goal overall is to see Texas emerge as a leader in crypto philanthropy.”

Park shared that the Give Big TX Crypto campaign is partnering with organizations including Austin Pets Alive, Big Brothers Big Sisters Lonestar, Catholic Charities of Central Texas and eight other nonprofits. He added that the Texas Blockchain Council — a 501 C (6) organization — is also part of this initiative given the group’s involvement in advancing blockchain throughout different industries in Texas.

Kelsey Driscoll, senior innovation program strategist at Upbring, further told Cointelegraph that the campaign will be accepting over 40 different types of cryptocurrencies for donations through Dec. 31, all of which are facilitated by The Giving Block. “When donations are made, The Giving Block automatically converts them to United States dollars, so accepting crypto has been just as easy as accepting fiat donations, if not easier,” she remarked. Driscoll added that the subreddit group r/Bitcoin will be matching Bitcoin (BTC) donations when contributions are made to any of the charities supported by The Giving Block.

Pawthereum, a decentralized community-run project supporting animal shelters, has also launched a charitable cryptocurrency campaign this month. John Weathers, community manager for Pawthereum, told Cointelegraph that its 12 Days of Crypto Giving campaign allows for crypto donations to be made for specific projects that help animals in need. The Pawthereum project was created as a fork of the meme cryptocurrency project Grumpy Cat Coin, which raised $70,000 in crypto funds for the Sterling Animal Shelter in Massachusetts.

Most recently, Pawthereum raised $25,000 through crypto donations for Muttville Senior Dog Rescue, a San Francisco-based animal shelter caring for dogs with special needs. According to Weathers, close to $400,000 worth of crypto has been donated since the campaign was launched on Dec. 14.

Related: Is crypto a boys’ club? The future of finance is not gendered

Nonfungible tokens, or NFTs, are also being leveraged for donations this year. Given that the market growth for NFTs sales is expected to reach $17.7 billion by the end of 2021, this sector is launching one of the largest crypto charity events this season. Known as Right-Click, Give!, this is an auction open to the public hosted on the NFT platform Opensea. The auction ran through Dec. 24, and all proceeds will be donated to Blankets of Hope, a charity that provides warm blankets to the homeless while also teaching kindness to children in school.

Mike Fiorito, co-founder of Blankets of Hope, told Cointelegraph that as an avid NFT collector, he is well aware of how welcoming the NFT community is as a whole. As such, he believes that more NFT-focused charitable campaigns will emerge. “There are a lot of kind people in the NFT space that are making fortunes — no matter how big or small — and want to give back,” he said.

Park also pointed out that the Give Big TX Crypto campaign is allowing NFT artists to work directly with nonprofits to donate proceeds earned from minting nonfungible tokens. “Many artists doing NFT drops are looking to work with nonprofits and this is an opportunity to do so. We have two NFT projects donating proceeds from their mints to our fund.”

Will charitable crypto campaigns catch on?

Although there are currently only a handful of charitable crypto campaigns present, the benefits associated with cryptocurrency donations may result in mainstream adoption moving forward.

While U.S. donors don’t have to pay capital gains taxes on any crypto assets they donate to a registered nonprofit, there are other technological advantages. For instance, Nawzad Amiri, community leader for Pawthereum, told Cointelegraph that the transparency provided by a blockchain network, along with the speed of transactions, is impressive when it comes to crypto donations versus fiat.

Moreover, statistics from The Giving Block found that crypto donors may be willing to contribute more to charity, noting that $11,000 is the average cryptocurrency donation size on The Giving Block. Donation data from Giving USA found that $737 was the average charity donation for Americans in 2020.

While the benefits may be clear to some, education seems to be the biggest challenge hampering adoption. For example, although Texas is growing into one of America’s biggest crypto capitals due to its friendly stance toward blockchain and mining power capabilities, Park shared that it has been challenging to bring Texas nonprofits on to the Give Big TX Crypto campaign:

“We reached out to about 60 nonprofits and are partnering with 12 total. It seems like this would have been a shoo-in but there is still a long way to go in terms of educating the world on the potential of crypto philanthropy.”

Another challenge worth mentioning is that while NFT’s may appear as ideal donation assets, there is uncertainty regarding tax deductions. Fiorito explained that he is still trying to determine if donating NFTs is considered a tax-deductible event. “This is a cloudy area because we are so early in the NFT space,” he commented. Due to this uncertainty, the Right-Click, Give! Auction is also accepting cryptocurrency donations through The Giving Block.

Related: Biggest NFT drops and sales in 2021

Challenges aside, it’s clear that crypto philanthropy has opened a new door of opportunities to a generation eager to give back. For instance, Park pointed out that the donor base for many of the nonprofits partnering with the Give Big TX Crypto campaign is over the age of 70. According to statistics from The Giving Block, the average age of crypto users is 38 years old, as Wilson added:

“The people donating here are individuals that live and breathe Web 3.0 or that have held crypto for a long time. A big piece of this now is just educating those people that this opportunity exists.”

Polter hit by flash loan attack, man gets 24 years for scam: Crypto-Sec

Child prodigy with 162 IQ wants cryptocurrency for Christmas and gets it

The 12-year-old Barnaby Swinburn scored 162 on the Mensa IQ test and became a member of the high-IQ society.

The wish of owning cryptocurrencies this Christmas came true for a 12-year-old schoolkid with an intelligence quotient (IQ) higher than Albert Einstein. 

Barnaby Swinburn, a resident of Bristol, England had asked for two Christmas presents, a Mensa test for testing his IQ and a cryptocurrency portfolio. According to BristolLive, Swinburn scored the highest possible score of 162 on the test, beating Einstien’s IQ of 160. As a result, the schoolboy became a member of the high-IQ society, which intakes the top 2% of the highest Mensa scorers.

Speaking about cryptocurrencies, Swinburn’s mother Ghislaine said:

“He’s been watching the markets. He’ll be getting an envelope with money in it for Christmas which he’ll turn into cryptocurrency.”

However, the Swinburn family is yet to reveal the monetary amount and the cryptocurrencies that have been purchased this Christmas.

In tune with his interest in crypto, Swinburn wants to grow up to become a programmer. “He’s already looking at university courses, and he wants to go to Oxford,” Ghislaine added.

Related: Brazilian toddler makes over 6,500% profit on her first Bitcoin holding

A Brazilian father gifted his newborn daughter 1 Bitcoin (BTC) back in 2017 when it was priced at roughly $915.80. Fast-forward four years, the young girl witnessed a return of over 6,500% as BTC surged above $60,000 back on Oct. 17.

The father, João Canhada, who is also the founder of a Brazilian crypto exchange Foxbit, later realized that the year 2017 was the last chance for him to purchase Bitcoin under $1000:

“As soon as my daughter was born, in 2017, I bought 1 Bitcoin for her, not just as a gift, but as a way of investing in this new economy. At the time, BTC cost 5,000 Brazilian Real.”

Polter hit by flash loan attack, man gets 24 years for scam: Crypto-Sec

Bitcoin battles bears ‘on offense’ as Christmas delivers a $50K BTC gift

It's not all doom and gloom for Bitcoin bulls this year — gains are still 100% versus last Christmas.

Bitcoin (BTC) held $50,000 into Dec. 25 as BTC bulls avoided an unwelcome Christmas Day surprise.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

"Bears become bulls" short term?

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD maintaining $50,000 support into the weekend, having ranged after local highs above $51,500.

The pair was calm as the holiday season got underway, with thinner liquidity yet to show itself in the form of volatile price moves.

With most taking a break from trading and analysis, the nearest target to the upside remained the $1 trillion market cap valuation level at $53,000.

For popular trader Pentoshi, a point of friction could come in the form of sellers actively driving down BTC/USD to liquidity at $46,000, only to then buy back in for a rebound.

"Right now beras on offense. They take price down to 46k but there was a lot of resting liquidity there = stop price from moving. They begin to close shorts and buy some spot back," he offered as a forecast.

"Bears become bulls short term like myself."
BTC/USD scenario chart. Source: Pentoshi/ Twitter

Further out, the yearly close was yet to form a major topic of interest, with Bitcoin nonetheless up $21,000 versus the start of 2021.

$100,000 halving cycle average not dead yet

Taking stock at the end of the year, meanwhile, was stock-to-flow model creator PlanB. 

Related: Missed out on hot crypto stocks in 2021? It paid just to buy Bitcoin and Ethereum, data shows

Having attracted fresh criticism over Twitter comments he says were misconstrued, the popular analyst said that Bitcoin was still abiding by his model's predictions this month.

As Cointelegraph reported, stock-to-flow's parameters provide significant room for maneuver when it comes to spot price, this nonetheless of value to PlanB and others.

While $135,000 this month, a forecast from the newly invalidated floor model, turned out to be overly optimistic, that figure as an average price this halving cycle remains in play.

Polter hit by flash loan attack, man gets 24 years for scam: Crypto-Sec