Donald Trump reportedly appears to have no problem with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell serving the remainder of his term until May 2026. Trump appointed Powell during his first term but the two clashed several times leading to the then 45th US president threatening to remove the Fed Chair from office. Powell kept his post […]
The post Trump Appears Set To Keep Fed Chair Jerome Powell On Until His Term Ends in 2026: Report appeared first on The Daily Hodl.
The U.S. Federal Reserve gathered on Thu. for its Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) session, where officials opted to trim the federal funds rate by a quarter-point. This announcement comes on the heels of Donald Trump’s election as the 47th president of the United States. “The economic outlook is uncertain, and the Committee is attentive […]
Bitcoin options and futures markets display moderate optimism after a new BTC all-time high, which could be indicative of new price highs.
Bitcoin (BTC) surged by 10.5% to hit a new all-time high at $75,350 from Nov. 5 to Nov. 6 following former US President Donald Trump's win in the 2024 election.
Despite the recent price fluctuations, the market is demonstrating a strong foundation that supports continued growth. Bitcoin derivatives highlight the robust improvement in sentiment and the absence of excessive leverage, which are essential for gains above $75,000.
Bitcoin 2-month futures annualized premium. Source: Laevitas.ch
Wider economic and stock market-related issues are impacting Bitcoin’s softening price, but futures market data shows traders still feel bullish.
Bitcoin’s (BTC) price momentum has cooled since the Oct. 29 rally toward the all-time high, but the derivatives market continues to project traders’ optimism in a price recovery.
The analysis of Bitcoin futures and options markets suggests that traders are maintaining positions without excessive leverage, which is crucial for a sustainable push toward new all-time highs. However, understanding the trigger for Bitcoin's price drop to below $69,000 on Nov. 1 remains essential.
Bitcoin 1-month options delta skew, put-call. Source: Laevitas.ch
Bitcoin fell short of its all-time high, but multiple Bitcoin price metrics show BTC price on target to hit new all-time highs
Bitcoin (BTC) surged 9.7% from Oct. 27 to Oct. 29, reaching a peak of $73,575, before paring gains to retest the $71,500 level on Oct. 30. Despite Bitcoin’s price correction, several indicators—including derivatives market activity, onchain metrics, and stablecoin demand—suggest a solid foundation for a sustained rally above $73,000 in the near term.
But, the Bitcoin futures premium—a key gauge of leveraged demand—signals strong conviction from bullish investors.
Bitcoin 2-month futures premium. Source: laevitas.ch
With only 15 days left until the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, it’s scheduled to follow just two days after the U.S. election on Nov. 7. As of now, market forecasts via CME Group’s Fedwatch tool are leaning toward a 25 basis point (bps) reduction in the target rate. The Fed’s […]
A new JPMorgan report warns that carry trades are losing effectiveness as global interest rates decline, urging investors to be more selective with currency risks. The Japanese yen has lost appeal after unexpected rate hikes, while the Swiss franc carries potential bullish risks. JPMorgan suggests rethinking strategies as carry trade returns are expected to diminish […]
In a working paper, Amol Amol and Erzo G.J. Luttmer from the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis argue that prohibiting bitcoin or imposing specific taxes could help governments implement permanent primary deficits effectively. Their research explores the impact of bitcoin on fiscal policies and offers potential solutions. The Case Against Bitcoin: The Minneapolis Federal Reserve’s […]
The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) triggered a wave of bank runs at 22 US lenders last year, according to an under-the-radar report from the New York Federal Reserve. Depositors pulled cash from the unnamed banks en masse on March 10th and March 13th, 2023 – with some lenders losing up to 10% of […]
The post Bank Runs Hit 22 US Lenders in 2023 As Wave of Panic Sank Silicon Valley Bank: New York Federal Reserve appeared first on The Daily Hodl.
Former Bitmex CEO Arthur Hayes sees a bitcoin bull market on the horizon, driven by soaring energy prices and rampant inflation as Middle East tensions escalate. He argues that rising costs will send BTC’s value surging in fiat terms, with newly printed dollars flooding the market. But while bitcoin’s future looks bright, Hayes warns investors […]