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US Inflation Could Be Worse Than Expected, Goldman Sachs Says — Atlanta Fed President Favors 25 BPS Rate Hike

US Inflation Could Be Worse Than Expected, Goldman Sachs Says — Atlanta Fed President Favors 25 BPS Rate HikeWhile the conflict in Ukraine is a hot topic, fears of rising inflation continue to haunt Americans residing in the country, as economists and analysts note U.S. inflation will likely remain high. Inflation is likely going to be worse than initially feared this year, Goldman Sachs explained in a report published on Sunday. Moreover, in […]

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Crypto hodlers may not get richer from mainstream adoption — Goldman Sachs

More demand could just mean bigger correlations to traditional markets, the bank’s researchers say.

Bitcoin (BTC) and cryptocurrency adoption may not necessarily make its price higher in dollar terms, Goldman Sachs argues.

In a note seen by Bloomberg published Thursday, the international banking giant claimed that mainstream acceptance of crypto assets would increase their correlation to other mainstream asset classes.

Goldman: Adoption is a “double-edged sword”

In a view contrary to that of many Bitcoin proponents, Goldman sounded firmly uninspired by the prospect of crypto as a tool for the enrichment of the mass populace.

“While it can raise valuations, it will also likely raise correlations with other financial market variables, reducing the diversification benefit of holding the asset class,” the note reads.

Its authors, Zach Pandl and Isabella Rosenberg, additionally described mainstream adoption as a “double-edged sword.”

Put another way, should Bitcoin or crypto become more correlated with extant assets, the scope for asymmetric profit would be reduced.

The comments come as crypto markets indeed exhibit a higher correlation with equities, in particular, this month, with projections for 2022 not favoring a strong recovery — at least at first.

Nonetheless, even Goldman itself has not wholly subscribed to one narrative, earlier in January reasoning that BTC/USD could still reach $100,000 — somewhat ironically, by stealing market share from gold and thus luring in more traditional investors.

Simple supply and demand?

Alternative theories for Bitcoin specifically eschew the idea of correlation outpacing the rate of gains delivered by other factors going forward.

Relative: Breaking ‘bear market’ in Bitcoin demand will spark next BTC price surge — Analysts

The simple mathematical equation of dwindling supply in the face of broader adoption is championed by analysts as a de facto guarantee of higher prices versus fiat currencies in the future.

Bitcoin’s predictable emission schedule combined with growing wallet entities equal a phenomenon that continues to play out despite low-timeframe price weakness.

Bitcoin wallet addresses holding at least 1 BTC vs. BTC/USD chart. Source: LookIntoBitcoin

The retracement that began in November, meanwhile, has failed to dent the enthusiasm of larger wallet holders, data from monitoring resource Santiment reveals.

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Bitcoin $100K possible by chipping away at gold’s market share: Goldman Sachs

Bitcoin has a good chance to topple $100,000 by taking market share from gold as a store of value, Goldman Sachs analysts predicted.

Bitcoin (BTC) failed to close 2021 above the long-expected $100,000 level, but experts believe the psychological horizon is still achievable by taking gold's market share, albeit over a more extended period.

In a note released to investors on Tuesday, Goldman Sachs co-head of global FX and EM strategy Zach Pandl hypothesized that if the largest cryptocurrency could overtake 50% of the store of value market share over the next five years, BTC price would increase to just over $100,000, marking a compound annualized return of 18%.

While the current market cap of BTC is close to $884 billion, Goldman Sachs estimates the float-adjusted market cap of Bitcoin is under $700 billion, accounting for one-fifth of the “store of value” market. The said market is not crowded, though. The only other participant of Goldman’s store of value market is gold, with an available investment at $2.6 trillion.

Despite its ups and downs, Bitcoin still managed to top Goldman Sachs’ 2021 return scorecard with over 60% yearly returns. Gold is placed at the bottom in the same chart with a 4% yearly loss.

Yearly returns scorecard. Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Related: Wait-and-see approach: 3/4 of Bitcoin supply now illiquid

Goldman Sachs experts believe that the demand for BTC will not be harmed by the hot debate surrounding the Bitcoin network’s energy consumption. While a recent study claims the Bitcoin ecosystem consumes eight times the energy of Google and Facebook combined, New York Digital Investment Group estimates that Bitcoin mining will not represent more than 0.4% of global electricity consumption over the next decade.

As detailed in a Cointelegraph New Year Special, Bitcoin saw a bumpy ride over the last year. Many experts believed that $100,000 was an easy target for the flagship cryptocurrency for 2021. However, BTC closed the year around $47,000 after touching an all-time high around $69,000 in November, falling short of analysts’ ambitious target.

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Goldman Sachs Survey Shows Family Offices Are Flocking to Crypto Investments

Goldman Sachs Survey Shows Family Offices Are Flocking to Crypto InvestmentsHigh net-worth families are turning to cryptocurrency investments, according to a recent Goldman Sachs survey that found close to half of the company’s family office clients are inquisitive about crypto-asset investments. A Goldman Sachs executive further said that a large portion of the company’s family office clients are asking about blockchain and cryptocurrency technologies. Following […]

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Goldman Sachs reportedly started trading on JPMorgan’s repo blockchain

Goldman Sachs reportedly traded digitized treasury bonds for JPM Coin on JPMorgan Chase's Onyx blockchain platform.

After six months of eyeing JPMorgan Chase’s custom blockchain service for repo markets, Goldman Sachs has started trading on the platform. 

Mathew McDermott, global head of digital assets for Goldman Sachs’ global markets division, confirmed the first transaction dated June 17 in an interview, Bloomberg reported.

In the trade, Goldman Sachs swapped a tokenized version of a United States Treasury bond for JPM Coin, JPMorgan’s dollar-pegged stablecoin. JPMorgan started its private blockchain service to drive efficiency in repo agreements last year. The platform uses JPM Coin to swap digitized United States Treasury bonds.

Goldman Sachs was one of the first financial institutions to notice the platform. Last year, McDermott mentioned the efficiency of JPMorgan’s blockchain-based repo-market service, saying that “enterprise blockchain can address a real-world problem in the financial system.”

As a trillion-dollar market, repurchase or “repo” agreements are short-term lending arrangements for dealers in government bonds. An overnight repo allows dealers to sell government bonds to investors and repurchase them the next day at a slightly higher price.

Related: Goldman Sachs to offer Bitcoin futures trading

Calling the trade a pivotal moment for the digitization of transactional activity, McDermott highlighted that, unlike the traditional repo market, the precise timing of the transaction could be logged thanks to blockchain technology.

Smart contracts on the blockchain enable the collateral and cash to interchange simultaneously and immediately, and this is a big step up for the repo market, according to McDermott:

“We pay interest per the minute. We firmly think this will change the nature of the intraday marketplace.”

JPMorgan Chase first announced the launch of its own stablecoin back in early 2019, with an initial focus on international settlements by major corporations. First trades started in December, and since then, JPM Coin has been embraced by transnational corporations for around-the-clock cross-border payments.

The bank established its version of the Ethereum blockchain, Onyx, which is now processing more than $1 billion worth of transactions daily.

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Goldman Sachs Leverages Crypto Management Firm Galaxy Digital to Swap Bitcoin Futures

Goldman Sachs Leverages Crypto Management Firm Galaxy Digital to Swap Bitcoin FuturesGalaxy Digital’s co-president Damien Vanderwilt announced today that his firm has partnered with Goldman Sachs to help provide bitcoin futures products. The partnership marks one of the first occasions where an American multinational investment bank has partnered with a crypto asset service provider. Galaxy Serves as Goldman’s Counterparty for Bitcoin Futures Trading Goldman Sachs is […]

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Goldman Sachs Formally Establishes Cryptocurrency Trading Team

Goldman Sachs Formally Establishes Cryptocurrency Trading TeamInvestment bank Goldman Sachs has officially formed a cryptocurrency trading team, according to the firm’s internal memo. Goldman Sachs says it is working to broaden its market presence in the crypto space and is currently selectively onboarding new liquidity providers to help expand its crypto service. Goldman Sachs Now Has Dedicated Cryptocurrency Trading Team Goldman […]

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