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Bitcoin miners still bullish despite toughest bear market yet – Hut8, Foundry, Braiins

Bitcoin mining firms have been forced to sell newly minted Bitcoin to cover operational costs during one of the toughest bear markets for miners on record.

Bitcoin (BTC) miners have been up against the ropes over the past year, with record amounts of BTC sent to centralized exchanges to cover costs in 2023.

As Cointelegraph previously reported, the Bitcoin mining ecosystem has had an eventful year. The industry scored a staggering $184 million from transaction fees in the second quarter of 2023, eclipsing the total of 2022 on the back of a BTC price rebound and hype around BRC-20 tokens.

Stocks in prominent mining firms have also seen impressive gains in 2023, far exceeding Bitcoin’s market value performance. The top nine public Bitcoin mining firms saw their market capitalization increase by 257% from the start of 2023.

Meanwhile miners have also been forced to continue selling mined BTC to cover operational costs as the industry continues to attempt to claw its way out of a prolonged bear market. Miners sent a record $128 million worth of Bitcoin to exchange in June 2023, with industry experts highlighting miners' propensity to send BTC to exchange to cash out, cover costs and lock in profits.

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A market report from Bitfinex suggests that mining firms are looking to derisk by offloading BTC to exchanges. Analysts believe miners are engaging in hedging activities in the derivatives market, carrying out over-the-counter orders or transferring funds through exchanges for other reasons.

Cointelegraph reached out to a number of prominent mining companies to unpack the current mining climate and the recent trends emerging from the sector.

Jaime Leverton, CEO of Hut8, highlighted the company’s efforts to close-off a merger with USBTC which has hampered its ability to raise capital through an at-the-market offering. After announcing the upcoming merger, Leverton said Hut8 treasury strategy included the option selling from its Bitcoin holdings and newly produced BTC to cover its operating costs:

“We plan to revisit our treasury strategy once our merger is complete. As such, we were the last major Bitcoin miner to sell part of our production earlier this year.

Leverton added that Hut8 still holds more that 9,100 BTC ($271 million) and the firm remains “bullish on Bitcoin and HODLing”, given that it retains one of the largest self-mined Bitcoin reserves from a publicly traded company.

Hut8 disclosed that it had sold 217 Bitcoin mined across May and June for $7.9 million in its most recently published production and operation update.

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Foundry’s business development senior manager Charles Chong also weighed in on the subject, while the firm declined to comment on whether it had held any BTC holdings in 2023.

As Chong explained, bull market conditions in the past saw miners earning a 60-80% margin on production, while external capital was abundant, allowing many operators to hold onto their mined BTC.

“However, we are in a different time now with scarce external capital and only a 15-30% margin, forcing miners to liquidate their bitcoin to cover operational costs.”

Chong also added that it was difficult to compare current market conditions to subsequent bear markets following market peaks in 2017 and 2021. He said that Bitcoin mining moved in cycles as miners “overinvest” in ASIC mining equipment during good times.

It’s worth noting that the Bitcoin mining difficulty has also hit recent all time highs, which suggests that the network is at its most robust. Chong explained that new, more efficient mining capable of higher hashrates have continuously been released into the market in 2023, which has forced miners to refresh their fleet to continue producing BTC at a profit.

“That said, total energy usage by the network has been slowly creeping up as well, albeit at a slower pace, indicating increasing investment in security for the network.”

A spokesperson from Braiins mining told Cointelegraph that continuing difficulty increases are a result of hashrate increasing, which signals that industry participants see potential upside for BTC's price in the future:

"To us, this is a sign that miners are still able to deploy machines profitably in the current environment and are bullish on Bitcoin's future price appreciation."

Ongoing market conditions have also seen the closure of some prominent mining firms, including Core Scientific which filed its chapter 11 bankruptcy plan in June 2023. The firm has already managed to raise significant capital to bootstrap a reorganization plan earmarked for September 2023 .

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Bitcoin miners raked up $184M in fees in Q2, surpassing all of 2022

It's been one of the most lucrative quarters for those that profit from Bitcoin transaction fees in nearly two years.

Bitcoin (BTC) miners made a lofty $184 million from transaction fees in the second quarter, far more than what they pocketed over the entire 2022 — as Bitcoin’s price surged and BRC-20 tokens flourished.

The $184 million payout is more than a 270% increase from the first quarter of 2023 and it is the first quarter to have surpassed the $100 million mark since Q2 2021, according to a July 5 report from cryptocurrency analytics platform Coin Metrics.

Bitcoin miners earned more from fees in Q2 than the previous five quarters combined. Source: Coin Metrics

Bitcoin miners receive transaction fees whenevea new block has been validated, the amount of which is determined by the data volume and the user demand for block space.

Coin Metrics said the jump in fees was due to Bitcoin’s recent price surge bolstered ‘top-line revenues” and the advent of BRC-20, a new token standard on Bitcoin introduced in March which uses Ordinals inscriptions to mint and transfer fungible tokens on the network, adding:

“The token standard does unlock experimental new use cases for Bitcoin’s core transaction types, and accelerates the push to scale Bitcoin with the Lightning Network.

However, it is worth noting that transaction fees represented only 7.7% of the total $2.4 billion made by miners over the quarter.

The remainder came in the form of Bitcoin block rewards, with miners currently being rewarded 6.25 BTC for solving each block. This is set to fall to 3.125 BTC after the network’s next halving cycle, expected to take place in May.

Related: Bitcoin miners send record $128M in revenue to exchanges

Bitcoin miners also had other reasons to celebrate in the second quarter, according to the firm.

In May, the Bitcoin mining industry “notched a win” with the Biden Administration’s proposed Digital Asset Mining Energy (DAME) tax being blocked.

Bitcoin miners also enjoyed easier macroeconomics conditions in the quarter too, with “receding inflation pressures” translating to lower electricity prices for United States-based miners, Coin Metrics noted.

However, with Bitcoin’s hashrate continuing to reach new all-time highs over the last 12 months, competition in the mining fee market is also tightening, Coin Metrics explained:

“Competition remains as fierce as ever, with Bitcoin’s hashrate breaking new highs during the quarter at 375 EH/s [...] We see that the overall network’s efficiency continues to increase with the adoption of modern ASICs such as the S19 XP.”

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Bitcoin hash rates threaten blockchain decentralization

The blockchain industry is facing a massive power imbalance — just like the traditional finance industry.

Blockchain technology was introduced in 2008 as a decentralized, secure, transparent system for managing digital transactions. Its primary aim was to provide a solution to major problems with traditional transactional systems, including trust, security, decentralization and efficiency. Blockchain has since expanded beyond finance and has been used in supply chain management, healthcare, games, digital media and social media, among others. 

However, the blockchain industry is still facing significant challenges — such as a lack of diversity, wealth control by a few holders, hash rate problems and a loss of the promise of decentralization.

Hash rate and why it’s a problem

The cryptocurrency on everyone’s mind — and in the digital wallets of more than 400 million people around the world — is Bitcoin (BTC). Bitcoin’s hash rate is the computing power required to validate transactions and produce new blocks on the Bitcoin blockchain. A high hash rate is necessary to maintain the integrity of the Bitcoin network, but it also presents some significant challenges.

Hash rate distribution among the largest mining pools for the six months ending April 25, 2023.

One of the most pressing issues is the high energy consumption required to maintain a high hash rate. As more miners join the network, the hash rate increases — and so does the energy consumption required to sustain it. The environmental impact of BTC mining has led to concerns throughout Bitcoin’s volatile history and rise to mainstream fame.

Another challenge with Bitcoin’s hash rate is the centralization of mining power in a few large mining pools. As the hash rate has increased over time, it has become increasingly difficult for individual miners to compete with these large pools, leading to concerns about the potential for these pools to monopolize the network and control the direction of Bitcoin’s development.

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There is also the potential for 51% attacks by mining pools that control the majority of the hash rate. If a single mining pool or a group of mining pools controls over 50% of the hash rate, they could potentially control the network and carry out malicious activities, such as double-spend attacks or rewriting transaction histories. This presents a significant threat to the security and integrity of the Bitcoin network.

Finally, the limited scalability of the Bitcoin network is another challenge associated with its hash rate. As more users join the network and the number of transactions increases, the network can become congested, leading to slow transaction times and high fees. This can limit its utility as a viable payment system and has led to ongoing debates within the Bitcoin community about how to address these scalability challenges.

Phantom decentralization comes in many forms

The blockchain industry has quickly fallen into a massive imbalance of power, mirroring the traditional finance industry. The concentration of wealth and power within a small group of individuals has created an industry that is far from decentralized. Those who were early adopters of blockchain technology, particularly Bitcoin, were able to accumulate large amounts of wealth through mining, investing and trading.

This has led to a concentration of wealth and power within a small group of individuals. The complexity of blockchain further limited early adoption to a minuscule percentage of people in the tech world. This concentration of power and wealth has made it difficult for new players to enter the market and challenge the dominance of established players.

Bitcoin ownership concentration, 2021 v. 2023. Source: Glassnode

The high barriers to entry have also contributed to the imbalance of power in the blockchain industry. The cost of setting up and running a successful blockchain project can be significant, and not everyone has the resources or expertise to do so. This has made it difficult for new startups to enter the market and challenge the dominance of established players.

Network effects also play a role in the imbalance of power in the blockchain industry. Blockchain networks rely on network effects, which means that the value of the network increases as more people use it. This creates a self-reinforcing cycle where established networks become increasingly dominant, making it harder for new networks to gain traction.

From phantom decentralization to the real thing

Despite the challenges facing the blockchain industry, there are ways to address these issues and create a more sustainable, equitable system.

One of the most pressing issues with Bitcoin’s hash rate is its high energy consumption. To address this, the industry could move toward using renewable energy sources, such as wind or solar power, to power mining operations. This would not only reduce the environmental impact of Bitcoin mining but also make it more sustainable in the long run.

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To address the issue of limited scalability in the Bitcoin network, efforts should be made to improve the underlying technology. This could include the development of new protocols or the adoption of existing protocols, such as the Lightning Network, which could significantly improve the speed and efficiency of Bitcoin transactions.

Finally, greater efforts should be made to educate people about blockchain technology and its potential. This could be achieved by providing greater access to information and resources, offering training programs and workshops, and working with educational institutions to integrate blockchain into their curricula.

Alexa Karp is head of marketing at Lumerin and a former founding marketing manager at Metaplex. She is also an angel investor and adviser to more than 20 Web3 projects. She graduated with a BBA degree from Baruch College in New York.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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