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Is Binance’s $4B settlement the green light for spot Bitcoin ETFs?

One crypto executive predicted five months ago that spot Bitcoin ETFs would only be approved after Binance lost ground on its market dominance.

Binance’s $4.3 billion settlement with the United States was the final hurdle before the country’s securities regulator approves spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), many industry watchers claim.

The settlement involved Binance agreeing to Justice Department and Treasury compliance monitors for up to five years, allowing the agencies sweeping powers to keep the exchange in line with Anti-Money Laundering and sanctions rules, among other things.

The Securities and Exchange Commission has cited market manipulation when denying spot Bitcoin ETFs and Binance’s market dominance had to take a hit before BlackRock’s spot BTC ETF application would be approved, according to a June X (Twitter) post by Travis Kling, chief investment officer at Ikigai Asset Management.

“There is no chance, and I mean zero, that this ETF is approved with Binance in its current position of market dominance,” Kling wrote. “If this ETF is approved, Binance is either gone entirely or their role in price discovery is massively diminished.”

Kling’s prediction sparked others to consider how closely BlackRock works with the U.S. government to obtain a favorable position in the spot Bitcoin ETF market. YouTuber “Colin Talks Crypto” said it was suspect that Binance's settlement happened "right before a Bitcoin ETF comes out."

“Is it a way for BlackRock to acquire a massive amounts [sic] of BTC for cheap?” he asked. “Is it a way to remove competition from U.S. markets right before the ETFs go live?”

Others noted that BlackRock and its rival Vanguard together own 11.5% of Binance’s top competitor Coinbase and speculated the action against Binance may have been planned.

BlackRock met with the SEC on Nov. 20 and presented how it could use an in-kind or in-cash redemption model for its spot BTC ETF, the iShares Bitcoin Trust.

Grayscale also met with the securities regulator on the same day, discussing its bid to list a spot Bitcoin ETF. Fidelity, WisdomTree, Invesco Galaxy, Valkyrie, VanEck and Bitwise also await the SEC’s approval of their spot Bitcoin funds.

Related: Binance CEO CZ’s downfall is ‘the end of an era’ — Charles Hoskinson

Mike Novogratz, CEO of digital asset investment firm Galaxy Digital said the Binance settlement is “super bullish” for the cryptocurrency industry.

Not everyone sees the point in guessing if the Binance news will lead to spot BTC ETF approvals.

In a note to Cointelegraph, Piper Alderman partner Michael Bacina suggested it is best to let the speculation run its course.

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XRP spike on hoax filing a ‘bad look’ but won’t sway SEC’s ETF approvals

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas doubts the SEC will deny ETFs after XRP’s price spiked on a faked BlackRock XRP trust filing, but it is a “bad look.”

The Nov. 13 XRP (XRP) price action stemming from a falsified BlackRock XRP trust filing shouldn’t sway the United States securities regulator’s decision to approve or delay spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) — but it isn’t a good look, say industry observers.

The Securities and Exchange Commission has previously claimed the Bitcoin market can be manipulated and has knocked back spot Bitcoin ETFs, citing a lack of market manipulation controls.

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas told Cointelegraph the fake XRP filing should have little to no impact on the SEC’s final decision.

“We doubt this will impact the situation with spot Bitcoin ETFs,” Balchunas said. However, he added the incident could validate the SEC’s beliefs.

“There’s no doubt it is a bad look that arguably validates the ‘fraud and manipulation’ that the SEC used as grounds for past denial.”

The Nov. 13 filing on the Delaware list of corporations website showed BlackRock creating the “iShares XRP Trust” — a precursor to launching an ETF.

The filing resulted in XRP spiking 12.3% in 30 minutes before it tumbled back down just as quickly once the filing was outed as a hoax by Balchunas and others who received BlackRock’s confirmation that the filing was made by someone posing as its managing director Daniel Schwieger.

Michael Bacina, a partner at the law firm Piper Alderman and chair of the industry group Blockchain Australia, told Cointelegraph he would be “surprised” if the SEC used the incident to postpone ETF applications.

“It’s unlikely an isolated rumor such as this would provide a legal basis for delaying ETF applications already being considered, particularly where they are already subject to deadlines,” he said.

Lucas Kiely, the CEO of wealth management platform Yield App, said the faked XRP filing wouldn’t sway the SEC and stressed the crypto community should “calm down.”

“It is highly unlikely that this incident will play any role in that decision,” Kiely sa.

He iterated that many X (formerly Twitter) pundits have posted fear-mongering headlines to capture audience attention and “spoof the markets.”

“Overall, this is a keep-calm and carry-on moment for the industry and likely a mild amusement for BlackRock.”

XRP filing ‘could easily undermine’ ETF efforts

The SEC has rejected several spot Bitcoin ETFs in the past on claims that investors aren’t protected from “fraudulent and manipulative acts and practices,” argues James Edwards, a crypto analyst at Australian fintech firm Finder.

There’s no reason to suggest it will detract from that view, Edwards claimed.

Related: Bitcoin ETFs to push US slice of crypto ETF trading volume to 99.5% — Analyst

“Unfortunately, events like these could easily undermine efforts to launch a Bitcoin ETF in the U.S.,” Edwards said.

“The onus will be on ETF applicants like BlackRock to demonstrate that they are somehow able to protect clients from market manipulation and fraud, which is difficult given the opaque nature of crypto markets.”

The fake XRP trust filing will be referred to the Delaware Department of Justice for further investigation.

BlackRock filed for a spot Ether ETF on Nov. 9. It is now awaiting regulator approval in addition to its spot Bitcoin ETF filed in June.

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Australian banks claim 40% of scams ‘touch’ crypto as it defends restrictions

During a panel at the Australian Blockchain Week, executives from Australia’s major banks explained why they added restrictions on payments to local crypto exchanges.

Australia’s cryptocurrency industry banking woes will likely continue, with the government and major banks signaling no intention to back down against scams that “touch” crypto.

During a panel at the Australian Blockchain Week on June 26, Sophie Gilder, managing director of blockchain and digital assets at Commonwealth Bank (CBA) shed light on the bank's restrictions on crypto exchange payments, noting it was put in place after seeing an alarming rate of scams that ended up involving cryptocurrency.

“One in three of the dollars that are scammed from Australians touch crypto, one in three. So it’s the single largest lever that we have to reduce this impact on our customers,” she said.

Commonwealth Bank's Sophie Gilder speaking in a panel during Australian Blockchain Week. Source: Cointelegraph

Nigel Dobson, banking services portfolio lead at ANZ, referred to data from the Australian Financial Crimes Exchange suggesting that the figure may be even higher, at 40%.

On June 8, CBA followed Westpac’s lead in imposing pauses, limits and outright blocks on certain payments to cryptocurrency exchanges, both citing an increasing threat of investment scams. Australia’s other two major banks, ANZ and NAB, have not yet indicated whether they would impose similar restrictions.

A Treasury official confirmed that the moves so far have come at the banks’ own “volition” but that both the banks and the government have a “shared view” that cryptocurrency scams are “unacceptably high” at the moment.

“From the government's point of view, [they] need to invest more in reducing scams, and that’s the government, but it's also banks, other people in the financial system have to work together to reduce scams to maintain trust in the system," said Trevor Power, the Australian Treasury assistant secretary.

Not an attack on crypto

However, Gilder clarified that CBA’s measures weren’t made to attack the industry and doesn’t necessarily reflect any wrongdoing by centralized exchanges.

“It’s not industry specific. It’s based on data, patterns of behavior and identifying bad actors. So we do this with normal bank accounts already. So in that way, there’s definitely parallels to work that we already do.”

Gilder was also bullish about blockchain technology, noting that nearly every bank has established a digital assets team — a sign that “banks recognize” the need to understand the space, she said.

Digital asset lawyer Michael Bacina of Piper Alderman — the chair of Blockchain Australia and also the moderator of the session — is hoping for closer collaboration between the banks and the industry to tackle the issue of scams together. 

“The banks have put forward concerning figures of scams touching crypto as a payment rail in some way.”

“It’s important to understand that data in more detail, but what is clear is that businesses in the blockchain and the crypto industry need to work collaboratively with banks and payment providers to ensure that scams are reduced as much as possible,” he added.

The bank’s decision has continued to meet criticism from Australian crypto exchange customers. Australian lawyer and senior research fellow at the RMIT Blockchain Innovation Hub Aaron Lane has defended the banks' actions, however.

“Banks and other financial institutions are under increasing pressure to tackle the growing problem of scams involving cryptocurrency. Imposing time delays, declining transactions, and placing deposit limits are all mechanisms for banks to retake control and limit their legal and regulatory risks.”

While these measures “may not be ideal” for Australian-based crypto exchanges and their customers, Lane said that a “risk-based approach is better than outright debanking.”

Related: Aussies revealed as prime targets of Israel crypto scam syndicate

According to the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission, Australians lost 221.3 million Australian dollars ($148.3 million) from investment scams where crypto was used as the payment method in 2022 — a massive 162.4% increase from 2021.

Power concluded that crypto remain a “significant vector” for scams in Australia, which calls on both banks and the government to clamp down on the sector.

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Are stablecoins securities? Well, it’s not so simple, say lawyers

One lawyer said that while stablecoins are meant to be stable, buyers may possibly profit from a range of arbitrage, hedging, and staking opportunities.

Recently reported planned enforcement action against Paxos by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) over Binance USD (BUSD) has many in the community questioning how the regulator could see a stablecoin as a security.

Blockchain lawyers told Cointelegraph that while the answer isn't black and white, there exists an argument for it if the stablecoin was issued out in the expectation of profits or are derivatives of securities.

A report from the Wall Street Journal on Feb. 12 revealed that the SEC is planning to sue Paxos Trust Company in relation to its issuance of Binance USD, a stablecoin it created in partnership with Binance in 2019. Within the notice, the SEC reportedly alleges that BUSD is an unregistered security.

Senior Lecturer Dr. Aaron Lane of RMIT’s Blockchain Innovation Hub told Cointelegraph that while the SEC may claim these stablecoins to be securities, that proposition hasn’t been conclusively tested by the U.S. Courts:

“With stablecoins, a particularly contentious issue will be whether the investment in the stablecoin led a person to an expectation of profit (the ‘third arm’ of the Howey test).”

“On a narrow view, the whole idea of the stablecoin is that it is stable. On a broader view, it could be argued that arbitrage, hedging, and staking opportunities provide an expectation of profit,” he said.

Lane also explained that a stablecoin may fall under U.S. securities laws in the event that it is found to be a derivative of a security.

This is something that SEC Chairman Gary Gensler emphasized strongly in July 2021 in a speech to the American Bar Association Derivative and Futures Law Committee:

“Make no mistake: It doesn’t matter whether it’s a stock token, a stable value token backed by securities, or any other virtual product that provides synthetic exposure to underlying securities.”

“These platforms — whether in the decentralized or centralized finance space — are implicated by the securities laws and must work within our securities regime,” he said at the time.

However Lane stressed that ultimately each case “will turn on its own facts,” particularly when adjudicating on an algorithmic stablecoin as opposed to a crypto or fiat-collateralized one.

A recent post by Quinn Emanuel Trial Lawyers has also approached the subject, explaining that in order to “ramp up” stablecoins to a “stable value,” they may sometimes be offered on discounted prior to sufficiently stabilizing.

“These sales may support an argument that initial purchasers, despite formal disclaimers by issuers and purchasers alike, buy with the intent for resale following stabilization at the higher price,” it wrote.

Are Stablecoins Securities? A legal analysis from Quinn Emanuel Trial Lawyers. Source. Quinn Emanuel.

But while stablecoin issuers may resort to the courts to decide the dispute, many believe the SEC’s “regulation by enforcement” approach is simply uncalled for.

Digital assets lawyer and partner Michael Bacina of Piper Alderman told Cointelegraph that the SEC should instead provide “sensible guidance” to help the industry players who are seeking to be legally compliant:

“Regulation by enforcement is an inefficient way of meeting policy outcomes, as SEC Commissioner Peirce has recently observed in her blistering dissent in relation to the Kraken prosecution. When a rapidly growing industry doesn’t fit the existing regulatory framework and has been seeking clear pathways to compliance, then engagement and sensible guidance is a far superior approach than resorting to lawsuits.”

Cinneamhain Ventures partner Adam Cochran gave another view to his 181,000 Twitter followers on Feb. 13, noting that the SEC can sue any company that issues financial assets under the much broader Securities Act of 1933:

The digital asset investor then explained that the SEC isn’t restricted to the Howey Test:

“The fact that these assets hold underlying treasuries, makes them a lot like a money market fund, exposing holders to a security, even if they don't earn from it. Making an argument (not one I agree with, but a reasonable enough one) that they can be a security.”

“Worth fighting tooth and nail, but everyone who is shrugging this off as "lol the SEC got it wrong, this doesn't pass the Howey test" needs to re-eval. The SEC, believe it or not, has knowledgeable securities counsel,” he added.

Related: SEC chair compares stablecoins to casino poker chips

The latest reported planned action from the SEC comes after reports emerged on Feb. 10 that Paxos Trust was being investigated by the New York Department of Financial Services for an unconfirmed reason.

Commenting on the initial reports, a spokesperson for Binance said BUSD is a "Paxos issued and owned product" with Binance licensing its brand to the firm for use with BUSD. It added Paxos is regulated by the New York Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) and that BUSD is a "1 to 1 backed stablecoin."

"Stablecoins are a critical safety net for investors seeking refuge from volatile markets and limiting their access would directly harm millions of people across the globe," the spokesperson added. "We will continue to monitor the situation. Our global users have a wide array of stablecoins available to them.”

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NFT court orders could become a norm in crypto-related litigation: Lawyers

Despite whether the defendant sees the court notice, getting served by NFT ‘limits what the defendant’ can do with the funds according to legal experts.

Non-fungible tokens (NFTs) are becoming an increasingly popular solution to serving defendants in blockchain-based crimes that would otherwise be unreachable, according to crypto lawyers.

The last year has seen an increase in litigation delivered over NFTs in cases where those accused of blockchain crime wereuncontactable through traditional methods of communication.

In November 2022, the United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida granted a United States law firm The Crypto Lawyers its request for its client to serve a defendant via NFT.

While the defendant's identity was unknown, the plaintiff accused the defendant of stealing cryptocurrency to the approximate value of $958,648.41.

After the plaintiff presented a declaration from a crypto investigator to the court confirming the stolen cryptocurrency transactions, the judge accepted the request to serve this defendant via NFT as it was deemed to be a “reasonably calculated” way to give notice.

Agustin Barbara, managing partner of The Crypto Lawyers told Cointelegraph that serving a defendant via NFT is a powerful tool for blockchain crime, where it is “virtually impossible to identify bad actors.”

Barbara explained that summoning an unknown identity through NFT is done through the transfer of the NFT into the defendant’s blockchain wallet address where the stolen assets are held.

He noted that this method is a way of reaching the accused when other traditional methods such as email or post are not viable due to the identity being unknown.

Barbara explained that the content of an NFT court notice would usually contain the notice of the legal action with summons language, a hyperlink to a designated website containing the notice and copies of the summons, complaint, and all filings and orders in action.

Michael Bacina, digital asset lawyer at Australian law firm Piper Alderman, stated that while the “wallet may not be used by the defendant,” and therefore the summons notification may not come to the defendant’s attention, it can drastically limit activity on the wallet and other wallets that have recently interacted with it.

Bacina suggested that it stamps that wallet address with a black mark, which means all other wallet addresses that have made recent transactions with that address could be considered suspicious and affect their activity too. He noted:

Businesses may not wish to accept transactions where a wallet is too close to a wallet which is accused of being involved in litigation.

Bacina added that the advantage of the “open nature of public blockchains” means that it is easy to see if a wallet is in use, and proves to be a good way of knowing if the NFT serving has potentially been seen.

Related: UK court allows lawsuit to be delivered via NFT

Other court orders have been served through NFTs in 2022. 

An international law firm served a restraining order via NFT in June 2022, where it only took an hour between the asset recovery team airdropping the NFT to the wallet address and 1.3M $USDC (USDC) frozen on the chain.

That same month saw U.K. law firm Giambrone & Partners announced it had become the first law firm in the U.K. and Europe to obtain permission to a High Court judge to serve document proceedings via an NFT. 

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Aussie treasurer promises crypto regulation next year amid FTX debacle

A spokesperson for Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers said they are closely monitoring the fallout from FTX's collapse.

The Australian government has doubled down on its commitment towards a robust regulatory framework for crypto following the catastrophic collapse of FTX last week.

A spokesperson for Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers said the Treasury said it is now planning on regulations to improve investor protection next year, according to a Nov. 16 report from the AFR.

The spokesperson made the announcement in light of the FTX’s fall last week, stating that it was closely monitoring the fallout from the FTX collapse, “including further volatility in crypto-asset markets and any spillovers into financial markets more broadly,” adding:

“These developments highlight the lack of transparency and consumer protection in the crypto market, which is why our government is taking action to improve the regulatory frameworks while still promoting innovation.”

The call for fast-tracked regulation comes as 30,000 Australians and 132 companies have fallen victim to Sam Bankman Fried’s fallen empire.

Michael Bacina, Digital Asset Specialist at Piper Alderman lawyers told Cointelegraph that regulation was the only way forward to re-establish the much-needed trust in trading platforms:

“Regulatory certainty is key to rebuilding trust in relation to centralized exchanges, and while law cannot eliminate bad behavior, it can set powerful norms and standards which make that behavior easier to find.”

While Danny Talwar, the head of tax at crypto tax platform Koinly added that a robust regulatory regime may fill in the holes where retail investors are left to be exploited:

“Following the FTX fallout highlights the need for sensible regulations within the crypto world, both domestically and across the globe, in order to eliminate uncertainty and remaining grey areas and provide clarity around digital assets — especially for retail consumers.”

“[But] the challenge will be ensuring that regulation does as intended to effectively protect consumers without suppressing industry growth,” he added.

As for what the regulation may entail, Talwar noted that while Australian trading platforms must comply with the Australian Transaction Reports and Analysis Centre (AUSTRAC), recommendations have been put forward to establish a market licensing regime.

The regime would include “capital adequacy and auditing standards to demonstrate the operational integrity” of trading platforms, which Talwar stressed is of great importance given that many exchanges are offering high yield products at a heightened risk in order to gain a competitive edge.

Related: Australian prudential regulator releases roadmap for cryptocurrency policy

Bacina also stated that the “measured approach” taken by the Australian government could also position the country to become an industry leader in digital asset regulation:

“When Australia brings in technology-enabling custody rules for centralized holders of crypto-assets, we will either be a leader in the space, or catching up, depending on how fast other jurisdictions, like Singapore and Europe, move to make rules.”

The Treasury is also looking to provide greater protection to investors by establishing a “token mapping” system, which will help identify how certain digital assets should be regulated, according to an Aug. 22 statement by Assistant Treasurer Stephen Jones.

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Victorian police to get ‘greater power’ to seize crypto assets from criminals

The new bill will also compel cryptocurrency exchanges to hand over information that could assist police in criminal investigations.

Victorian Police in Australia will soon be granted new powers to seize cryptocurrency and digital assets from criminals, as well as compel platforms to hand over information about suspects.

According to a statement released by Victorian premier Daniel Andrews on Aug. 2, new laws were introduced to parliament on Tuesday under the Major Crime and Community Safety Legislation Amendment Bill 2022, with the aim of cracking down on organized crime in the state.

The new bill is expected to give authorities “greater power” to identify and seize digital assets, in response to the growing use of digital cryptocurrencies by organized crime.

The laws will uphold also require crypto exchanges disclose information to assist with criminal investigations in the same way that banks would.

“They will be able to compel cryptocurrency platforms to hand over information about suspects like banks currently must, and seize digital ‘wallets’.”

It will also give police greater search powers to obtain electronic data when executing search warrants and make the criminal’s “forfeited property” more easily available to compensate victims of the crime.

Speaking to Cointelegraph, Michael Bacina, a digital asset specialist at Piper Alderman, said that as the wording of the Bill has not yet been made public, one of the challenges he sees is around legislating for digital assets when it cuts across state and federal borders.

“A challenge of legislating for digital assets is that state jurisdiction often stops at the border, so ensuring there is consistency of approach between different states and countries, is paramount.”

Bacina also noted that police will need “proper training in the technology of seizure and securing private keys of digital wallets,” but also noted that criminals transacting in digital assets “provides a valuable tool for police in combatting crime, as transactions leave an immutable trail of evidence on a public ledger which is extraordinarily difficult to alter after the fact.”

Victorian Minister for Police, Anthony Carbines acknowledged that criminals are evolving their strategies, noting “we need to be just as quick in empowering our police to respond to new ways of offending.”

Related: 74% of public agencies feel under-equipped for crypto investigations: Report

Earlier this year, popular crypto monitoring tool, Chainalysis estimates that at least $10 billion worth of cryptocurrency is held by wallet addresses associated with illicit activity as of early 2022.

Bacina however noted that the analytics firm also reports that illicit usage is at its lowest proportion in the crypto asset ecosystem, “so further reducing the illicit usage of digital assets can only instill greater confidence in the digital asset and cryptocurrency ecosystem.”

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