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Bitcoin and these 4 altcoins are showing bullish signs

December 25, 2022 Coin Telegraph

Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s volatility could soon pick up and that may boost buying interest in ETH, TON, XMR, and OKB.

Cryptocurrency markets lack any signs of volatility going into the year-end holiday season. This suggests that both the bulls and the bears are playing it safe and are not waging large bets due to the uncertainty regarding the next directional move. This indecisive phase is unlikely to continue for long because periods of low volatility are generally followed by an increase in volatility.

Willy Woo, creator of on-chain analytics resource Woobull, anticipates that the duration of the current bear market may “be longer than 2018 but shorter than 2015.”

*Crypto market data daily view. Source:* *Coin360*

The crypto winter has resulted in a loss of more than $116 billion to the personal equity of 17 investors and founders in the cryptocurrency space, according to estimates by Forbes. The carnage has been so severe that the names of 10 investors were removed from the crypto billionaire list.

Could the bear market deepen further or is it showing signs of starting a relief rally? Let’s look at the charts of Bitcoin (BTC) and select altcoins to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin has been trading in a tight range near the 20-day exponential moving average ($16,929) for the past few days. This indicates that the bears are defending the level but the bulls have not given up yet.

This period of calm is unlikely to continue for long and the BTC/USDT pair may soon witness a range expansion. Generally, it is difficult to predict the direction of the breakout, hence it is better to wait for the pair to make a decisive move before initiating directional bets.

If the price breaks above the moving averages, the likelihood of a rally to the overhead resistance at $18,388 increases. This level may again act as a major roadblock but if the bulls force their way through, the momentum could pick up and the pair could rally to $20,000.

On the way down, a break below $16,256 could signal that bears are in control. The sellers will then attempt to sink the pair to the vital support at $15,476.

*BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

Both moving averages on the 4-hour chart have flattened out and the relative strength index (RSI) is just below the center. This suggests a range-bound action in the near term. The boundaries of the range could be $17,061 on the upside and $16,256 on the downside.

A break above $17,061 will indicate that the bulls have come out on top and that could start a short-term up-move. On the other hand, a slump below $16,256 will suggest that the bears have strengthened their hold.

ETH/USDT

Ether (ETH) has been clinging to the 20-day EMA ($1,228) for the past few days. This suggests that traders expect a break above this overhead resistance.

The 20-day EMA is flattening out and the RSI is just below the midpoint, suggesting equilibrium between buyers and sellers. If bulls thrust the price above the moving averages, the ETH/USDT pair could attract further buying. The pair could then rally to $1,352 and later to the downtrend line. This level could again act as a formidable resistance.

On the contrary, if the price fails to break above the moving averages, several short-term traders may sell aggressively. That could pull the price to the strong support at $1,150. If this level gives way, a head and shoulders pattern may complete. That could clear the path for a potential drop to $1,075 and then $948.

*ETH/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

The 4-hour chart shows that the recovery is facing resistance in the zone between the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $1,227 and the 50% retracement level of $1,251. If the price turns down and breaks below $1,180, the pair could retest the important support at $1,150.

Conversely, if the price turns up and breaks above $1,251, the rally could reach the 61.8% retracement level of $1,275. If bulls manage to clear this obstacle, the pair may complete a 100% retracement and soar to $1,352.

TON/USDT

Toncoin (TON) has been consolidating in an uptrend for the past few days. Although the bears have stalled the up-move at $2.90, a minor positive is that the bulls have not given up much ground. This suggests buying on dips.

The rising 20-day EMA ($2.25) and the RSI in the positive territory indicate that bulls have the upper hand. If buyers push the price above $2.50, the TON/USDT pair could rise to $2.65 and then retest $2.90.

The bears are likely to have other plans as they will try to yank the price below the 20-day EMA and strengthen their position. There is a minor support at $2.15 but if that fails to hold, the pair may plummet to the 50-day SMA ($1.91).

*TON/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

The pair has formed a symmetrical triangle on the 4-hour chart. This indicates indecision between the bulls and the bears. The flattish moving averages and the RSI near the midpoint also do not give a clear advantage to anyone.

The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the resistance line of the triangle. That could start a rally to $2.90. If this level is scaled, the up-move could reach the pattern target of $3.24.

If the price turns down from the 50-SMA or the resistance line of the triangle, it will suggest that the pair may extend its stay inside the triangle. A break below the support line could indicate that the bears are back in control.

XMR/USDT

Monero (XMR) has failed to rise above the resistance line of the falling wedge pattern in the past few days but a positive sign is that the bulls are trying to hold the price above the 50-day SMA ($140).

The moving averages have flattened out and the RSI is near the center. This indicates a balance between supply and demand. If the price breaks above the 20-day EMA ($144), buyers will try to gain the upper hand by pushing the XMR/USDT pair above the wedge. If that happens, the pair could rally to $174. A break above this level could signal a potential trend change.

On the other hand, if the price slumps below $138, the advantage could tilt in favor of the bears. The pair could then plummet to $125.

*XMR/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

The pair rebounded off the strong support at $138.50 and the bulls are trying to push the price above the moving averages. If they succeed, the pair could rise to the downtrend line where the bears may again mount a strong defense.

If the price turns lower from the downtrend line, the bears will try to pull the pair to $138.50. This is an important level to keep an eye on in the near term because a break below it could complete a descending triangle pattern. The pair could then tumble to $132 and thereafter to the pattern target of $124.

On the upside, a break above the downtrend line could invalidate the bearish setup and clear the path for a possible rally to $153.

OKB/USDT

Centralized Cryptocurrency exchanges have been in the eye of the storm since the collapse of FTX but OKB (OKB) is close to completing a bullish reversal pattern. That is the reason for its selection to the list.

The OKB/USDT pair has formed a large inverse head and shoulders pattern, which will complete on a break and close above $23.22. Both moving averages are sloping up and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating the path of least resistance is to the upside.

If the price rises above the psychological level of $25, the pair could start a new up-move to $28 and then $31. The pattern target of the reversal formation is $36. This positive view could invalidate if the price turns down from the current level and plummets below the moving averages. The pair could then drop to $17.

*OKB/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

The pair has formed an ascending triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart. This bullish setup will complete on a break and close above $24.15. If that happens, the pair could start a new up-move toward the pattern target of $31.

Alternatively, if the price turns down and breaks below the triangle, it will invalidate the bullish setup. That could trigger stops of aggressive buyers who may have taken long positions in anticipation of a breakout. The pair could then slide to $20.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Bitcoin’s boring price action allows XMR, TON, TWT and AXS to gather strength

December 11, 2022 Coin Telegraph

Axie Infinity

BTC’s price range is tightening in preparation for a potential range expansion. Meanwhile, XMR, TON, TWT and AXS are maintaining their bullish momentum.

The relief rally in the United States equities markets took a breather this week as all major averages closed in the red. Traders seem to have booked profits before the busy economic calendar next week.

The S&P 500 index dropped 3.37%, but a minor positive for the cryptocurrency markets is that Bitcoin (BTC) has not followed the equities markets lower. This suggests that crypto traders are not panicking and dumping their positions with every downtick in equities.

The range-bound action in Bitcoin suggests that traders are avoiding large bets before the Federal Reserve’s rate hike decision on Dec. 14. However, that has not stopped the action in select altcoins, which are showing promise in the near term.

Let’s look at the charts of Bitcoin and select altcoins and spot the critical levels to watch out for in the short term.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin has been hovering around its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) of $17,031 for the past few days. The flat 20-day EMA and the relative strength index (RSI) near 50 do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears.

The critical level to watch on the upside is $17,622. If buyers kick the price above this level, the BTC/USDT pair could start a stronger recovery that could carry it to the downtrend line. The bears are expected to defend this level aggressively.

If the price reverses direction from the downtrend line but does not fall below $17,622, it will suggest that the bulls are attempting to flip the level into support. That could enhance the prospects of a break above the downtrend line. The pair could then rally to $21,500.

On the downside, the bears may gain strength if the price breaks below $16,678. The pair could then drop to $15,995.

*BTC/USDT four-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

The pair has been trading inside an ascending channel on the four-hour chart. The bears have kept the price in the lower half of the channel, indicating selling on rallies. A break below the moving averages could pull the price to the support line of the channel. If this level fails to hold, the pair could start a down move to $16,678 in the near term.

If the price turns up from the current level or the support line of the channel, it will indicate that bulls continue to buy on dips. The pair could then attempt a rally to the overhead resistance at $17,622. If this level gets taken out, the pair could climb to the resistance line of the channel.

XMR/USDT

Monero (XMR) has been trading inside a falling wedge pattern for the past several days. The upsloping 20-day EMA ($143) and the RSI in the positive zone indicate that bulls have an edge.

The XMR/USDT pair could rise to the resistance line of the wedge, where the bulls are likely to encounter strong selling by the bears. If the price turns down from the resistance line and breaks below the moving averages, it will suggest that the pair may extend its stay inside the wedge.

Instead, if bulls drive the price above the resistance line, it will suggest a change in the short-term trend. The pair could then attempt a rally to $174 which could act as a roadblock. A break above this level could signal that the downtrend could be over.

*XMR/USDT four-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

The pair has been rising inside an ascending channel pattern on the four-hour chart. This shows that the short-term sentiment remains positive and traders are buying the dips. The pair could continue its up-move and reach the resistance line near $156. If this level is scaled, the rally may touch $162.

The first sign of weakness will be a break and close below the moving averages. The pair could then decline to the support line of the channel. A break below the channel could start a downward move to $133.

TON/USDT

The bulls pushed Toncoin (TON) above the resistance of the symmetrical triangle on Dec. 11, indicating that the uncertainty has resolved in favor of the buyers. The symmetrical triangle usually acts as a continuation pattern, which increases the likelihood of the resumption of the uptrend.

If buyers sustain the price above the triangle, the TON/USDT pair could attempt a break above the overhead resistance zone between $2 and $2.15. If they manage to do that, the pair could pick up momentum and soar to the pattern target of $2.87.

Contrarily, if the price fails to sustain above the triangle, it will suggest that bears continue to sell on rallies. A break below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $1.70 could trap the aggressive bulls, pulling the pair to the support line of the triangle.

*TON/USDT four-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

The moving averages on the four-hour chart are sloping up and the RSI is in the overbought zone, indicating that bulls are in command. The up-move may face hindrance near $2 but if bulls sustain the price above this level, the rally could pick up speed.

If the price turns down from the current level and breaks below the 50-SMA, the selling could accelerate and the pair may slump to $1.70. This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break below it could signal that bears are back in charge.

TWT/USDT

Trust Wallet Token (TWT) has continued its northward march, suggesting that traders are buying at higher levels and not booking profits in a hurry. That increases the possibility of the extension of the uptrend.

The bulls will attempt to drive the price above the overhead resistance at $2.73. If they succeed, the TWT/USDT pair could rally to the psychological level of $3 where the bears may try to stall the up-move.

If buyers bulldoze their way through this obstacle, the uptrend could reach the pattern target of $3.51.

The bears are likely to have other plans as they will try to defend overhead resistance at $2.73. They will have to pull the price below the 20-day EMA ($2.30) to gain the upper hand.

*TWT/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

The four-hour chart shows that bulls have been buying the dips to the moving averages. Although the moving averages are sloping up, the RSI is showing a negative divergence, indicating that the bullish momentum may be weakening. This may change if bulls thrust the price above $2.73 as that could attract further buying.

The moving averages are the critical support to watch on the downside. If the 50-SMA support collapses, several short-term traders may book profits and that could pull the pair down to $2.25 and thereafter to $2.

AXS/USDT

Axie Infinity (AXS) has been in a strong downtrend but it is showing the first signs of a potential trend change. Buyers pushed the price above the downtrend line on Dec. 5 but could not sustain the higher levels, as seen from the long wick on the day’s candlestick.

A minor positive is that the bulls have not allowed the price to break below the moving averages. This shows that buyers are trying to flip the moving averages into support.

The moving averages are on the verge of a bullish crossover and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that the momentum may be shifting in favor of the bulls. If the price breaks and sustains above the downtrend line, a rally to $11.85 is likely. This level is expected to act as a major hurdle on the upside.

The bullish view could invalidate in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the moving averages. The AXS/USDT pair could then slide to $6.57.

*AXS/USDT four-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

The four-hour chart shows that bears are vigorously defending the downtrend line and the bulls are buying the dips to the 50-SMA. The 20-EMA has flattened out and the RSI is near 47, indicating a balance between supply and demand.

A break and close above $8.70 could shift the advantage in favor of the bulls. The pair could then rally to $9.28 and later to $10. Alternatively, a break below $7.86 could suggest that bears are back in the driver’s seat. The pair could then slide to $6.87.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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