polygon

Bitcoin continues to face strong resistance at $31,000 but supportive macroeconomic factors could tilt the advantage in favor of the bulls.

Bitcoin (BTC) bulls are again having a go at the overhead resistance of $31,000. The bullish sentiment may get a boost from the United States inflation report, which showed signs of slowing down. Economists were expecting the year-on-year consumer price index to rise 3.1% but the June print came in at 3%.

The month-on-month increase of 0.2% was also less than forecast. This suggests that the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes are having the desired effect. That may limit future rate hikes by the Fed.

Supported by macroeconomic conditions, institutional investors seem to be turning positive on cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin. CoinShares report published on July 10 showed inflows of $136 million into digital investment products in the past week. That brings the total inflows of three consecutive weeks to $470 million, indicating a positive outlook.

Large investors could be turning positive on Bitcoin because they anticipate a huge inflow of traditional finance money if the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approves a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas said in an exclusive interview with Cointelegraph that an ETF approval would unlock $30 trillion worth of capital for Bitcoin.

Could the tailwind of the positive triggers prove bullish for Bitcoin and the major altcoins? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin turned down from the overhead resistance at $31,000 on July 10 but a positive sign is that the bulls did not allow the price to dip below the 20-day exponential moving average ($30,012).

The upsloping 20-day EMA and the relative strength index (RSI) in the positive territory indicate that the path of least resistance is to the upside. If buyers drive and sustain the price above $31,000, the BTC/USDT pair is likely to start the next leg of the uptrend.

The pair could ascend to $32,400 where the bears are expected to again mount a strong defense. If bulls do not allow the price to fall below the 20-day EMA, the pair is likely to soar toward $40,000.

Time is running out for the bears. If they want to make a comeback, they will have to quickly pull the price below $29,500. That could start a decline to the 50-day simple moving average ($28,312).

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) once again bounced off the 50-day SMA ($1,843) on July 10, indicating that the bulls are fiercely guarding this level.

The price turned up and closed above the 20-day EMA ($,1874), indicating that the bulls are trying to make a comeback. If buyers drive the price above $1,906, the ETH/USDT pair could attempt a rally to the overhead resistance at $2,000. This level is likely to witness strong selling by the bears.

The crucial support to watch on the downside is the 50-day SMA. If this level gives way, it could pave the way for a deeper correction to $1,700.

BNB price analysis

The price action of the past few days has formed a symmetrical triangle in BNB (BNB). This suggests indecision between the bulls and the bears.

The symmetrical triangle usually behaves as a continuation pattern but in some cases, it turns into a reversal setup. If buyers kick and maintain the price above the triangle, it will suggest a possible trend reversal. The BNB/USDT pair could rise to $265 and thereafter sprint to the pattern target of $293.

Contrarily, if the price turns down and slips below the 20-day EMA ($242), it will suggest that the pair may spend some more time inside the triangle. The bears will have to yank the price below the support line to seize control.

XRP price analysis

The bulls tried to thrust XRP (XRP) above the 20-day EMA ($0.48) on July 10 but the bears held their ground.

The bulls will have to cross the roadblock at the 20-day EMA and then at the 50-day SMA ($0.49) to gain the upper hand. If they do that, the XRP/USDT pair could pick up momentum and surge to $0.53 and eventually to $0.56.

On the contrary, if the price turns down sharply from the current level, it could retest the strong support at $0.45. This level has held on two previous occasions, hence the bulls are expected to defend it aggressively. If the buyers fail in their endeavor, the pair may collapse to $0.41.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) rose above the 20-day EMA ($0.29) on July 11, indicating that the bulls are buying at lower levels.

The flat 20-day EMA and the RSI near the midpoint indicate a balance between supply and demand. This advantage will tilt in favor of the buyers if they shove the price above the 50-day SMA ($0.31). The ADA/USDT pair could then start a rally to $0.38.

Alternatively, if the price turns down from the overhead resistance, it will suggest that the bears have not given up yet. The pair could then oscillate between the 50-day SMA and the uptrend line for some time. A slide below the uptrend line will give the edge to the bears in the near term.

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) is struggling to rise above the 20-day EMA ($0.07) but a positive sign is that the bulls have not ceded ground to the bears.

The flattening 20-day EMA and the RSI just below the midpoint suggest a range-bound action between $0.07 and $0.06 for some time. If bulls propel the price above the moving averages, the bulls will try to overcome the obstacle at $0.07. If they can pull it off, the DOGE/USDT pair may climb to $0.08.

The bears will gain the upper hand if they sink and sustain the price below the crucial support at $0.06. The pair may then tumble to $0.05.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) is facing resistance at $22.30 but a positive sign is that the bulls have not given up much ground. This suggests that the buyers expect the rally to continue.

The upsloping 20-day EMA ($19.73) and the RSI in the overbought territory indicate that the bulls are in command. A break and close above $22.50 could start the next leg of the up-move. The SOL/USDT pair could then attempt a rally to $27.12. There is a minor resistance at $24 but it is likely to be crossed.

The first support on the downside is at the 20-day EMA and then at the 50-day SMA ($18.55). Buyers are expected to defend this zone with vigor.

Related: Bitcoin’s pre-halving rally may start soon — Here’s why

Litecoin price analysis

The long tail on Litecoin’s (LTC) July 10 candlestick shows that the bulls aggressively purchased the dip below the 20-day EMA ($95).

Buyers will have to overcome the barrier at the psychological level of $100 to signal the start of a sustained recovery. The LTC/USDT pair could then advance to $106 and subsequently strive to reach the overhead resistance at $115.

The important level to watch on the downside is the 20-day EMA. If this level fails to hold, the pair may descend to the 50-day SMA ($89). Such a move could delay the start of the next leg of the up-move.

Polygon price analysis

Polygon (MATIC) soared above the overhead resistance of $0.73 on July 10, completing a bullish ascending triangle pattern.

The bulls have maintained the price above the breakout level but they are facing stiff resistance from the bears at higher levels. If bulls sustain the price above $0.72, the MATIC/USDT pair could start a new uptrend to the pattern target of $0.94.

Conversely, if bears yank the price below $0.72, it may trap some aggressive bulls. The pair could then fall to the uptrend line, which is an important level to keep an eye on. If this support cracks, the pair could start a downward move to $0.60.

Polkadot price analysis

Polkadot (DOT) bounced off the moving averages on July 10, indicating a change in sentiment from selling on rallies to buying on dips.

The bulls will try to push the price to the overhead resistance of $5.64 while the bears will attempt to halt the recovery. The 20-day EMA ($5.11) is flattish but the RSI above 52 shows that the bulls have a slight edge. A break and close above $5.64 will complete a bullish inverse head and shoulder pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal.

If bears want to prevent the up-move, they will have to quickly yank the price below $4.97. The DOT/USDT pair may then drop to $4.74 and later to $4.50.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Bitcoin and select altcoins are finding buyers at lower levels, indicating a pick-up in positive sentiment.

Bitcoin is still struggling to stay above $31,000.

While a tight consolidation near the overhead resistance is a positive sign, the failure to rise above it may result in short-term liquidations. However, a shallow pullback should not be considered a trend change because, many times, the bulls take a step back to regroup and launch another attack at the resistance. If the barrier is overcome, the positive momentum picks up.

Binance CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao said in an “ask me anything” session on Twitter that Bitcoin (BTC) could witness a bull year after its halving in 2024. CZ added that BlackRock’s foray into cryptocurrencies will be “hugely beneficial” for the industry.

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink made positive comments about Bitcoin while speaking in an interview with Fox Business on July 5. Fink said that Bitcoin was an “international asset not based on any one currency,” and investors could use it as a hedge against inflation or currency devaluation.

Could positive comments from Fink act as a floor during pullbacks? What are the important overhead resistance levels in Bitcoin and altcoins that need to be crossed to signal the start of a short-term up move? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin once again rose above $31,000 on July 6, but the rally was met with strong selling pressure from the bears. That pulled the price down to the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $29,763.

A positive sign in favor of the bulls is that the BTC/USDT pair has rebounded off the 20-day EMA. This suggests a positive sentiment where traders are viewing minor dips as a buying opportunity. That enhances the prospects of a rally above the $31,000 to $31,500 resistance zone.

If that happens, the pair could start an upward march to $40,000. The bears will attempt to stall the up move at $32,400, but the buyers are expected to bulldoze their way through.

Conversely, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears have the upper hand. The pair may then dump to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $27,971.

Ether price analysis

The long wick on Ether’s (ETH) July 6 candlestick shows that the bears are aggressively guarding the psychological resistance at $2,000.

Both moving averages have flattened out and the relative strength index (RSI) is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. If bears sink the price below the 50-day SMA ($1,837), the short-term advantage will tilt in favor of the bears. The ETH/USDT pair could then descend toward $1,626.

On the contrary, if the price turns up from the current level and maintains above the 20-day EMA ($1,872), it will suggest strong buying at the 50-day SMA. The bulls will then again try to push the price above $2,000.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) has been consolidating between $257 and $220 for the past few days. This suggests that the bears are using the relief rallies to sell while the bulls are buying the dips.

The downsloping 20-day EMA ($242) and the RSI in the negative territory indicate that bears have an edge. Sellers will try to drag the price to the crucial support at $220. The bulls are expected to defend this level with vigor.

On the upside, the bulls will have to propel the price above $257 to suggest the start of a sustained recovery. The $265 level may act as a barrier, but it is likely to be crossed. The pair may then surge to $280.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) has been trading between the 20-day EMA ($0.48) and the horizontal support at $0.45 for the past few days. This shows that the bears are selling on rallies, but supply is being lapped up at lower levels.

This tight-range trading is unlikely to continue for long and may result in a breakout. If the support at $0.45 gives way, the bears will try to build upon this advantage and tug the price to the next strong support at $0.41.

Alternatively, if the price turns up from the current level, the bulls will try to overcome the obstacle at the moving averages. If they manage to do that, the XRP/USDT pair could start its march toward $0.56.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) has been trading between $0.30 and $0.24 for the past few days. Generally, inside a range, traders buy near the support and sell close to the resistance.

Traders did just that in the ADA/USDT pair and sold at $0.30. The bulls are attempting to arrest the decline at the uptrend line. If the price turns up from the current level or the uptrend line, the bulls will once again endeavor to clear the overhead hurdle at $0.30.

If they succeed, the pair may start an up move to $0.38. The 50-day SMA ($0.31) may act as a barrier, but it is likely to be crossed.

Contrarily, a break below the uptrend line could open the doors for a potential drop to the support at $0.25.

Dogecoin price analysis

The failure to propel Dogecoin (DOGE) above the overhead resistance of $0.07 on July 4 may have attracted profit-booking from the short-term bulls.

That pulled the price below the moving averages, signaling that the DOGE/USDT pair could remain stuck inside the $0.07 to $0.06 range for a few more days. The flattish 20-day EMA ($0.07) and the RSI just below the midpoint also suggest a range-bound action.

The bulls will have to push and sustain the price above the overhead resistance of $0.07 to seize control. That could pave the way for a rally to $0.08 and then to $0.10. On the downside, a break below $0.06 could resume the down move. The pair may then slump to $0.05.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) bounced off the 50-day SMA ($18.34) on July 5, indicating that every minor dip is being purchased. The bulls have pushed the price above the downtrend line, indicating that the short-term corrective phase may be ending.

The moving averages are about to complete a bullish crossover, and the RSI is near the overbought territory. This shows that the bulls are in command. If buyers sustain the price above the downtrend line, the SOL/USDT pair may climb to $24. Such a move will indicate that the pair is range-bound between $15.28 and $27.12.

If bears want to gain the upper hand, they will have to yank the price below the moving averages. That may catch the aggressive bulls off guard, resulting in a drop to the strong support zone between $16.18 and $15.28.

Related: AI has potential to send Bitcoin price over $750K — Arthur Hayes

Litecoin price analysis

The bulls tried to push Litecoin (LTC) above the overhead resistance of $106 on July 5 and 6, but the long wick on the candlesticks shows that the bears fiercely defended the level.

The LTC/USDT pair plunged to the 20-day EMA ($94), which is an important support level to watch out for. If the price bounces off the current level, the bulls will make one more attempt to clear the overhead hurdle at $106.

However, the bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to sell the rallies and sink the pair below the 20-day EMA. If they do that, the selling may intensify and the pair may further slide to the 50-day SMA ($89).

Polygon price analysis

Polygon (MATIC) slipped and closed below the 20-day EMA ($0.67) on July 6, suggesting that the bears are active at higher levels.

The bears will try to trap the aggressive bulls by pulling the price below the uptrend line. If they manage to do that, the ascending triangle pattern will invalidate. That could trigger the stops of several short-term bulls. The MATIC/USDT pair may then slide to $0.60 and subsequently to $0.55.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off the uptrend line, the bulls will again try to resume the up move. A break and close above the 50-day SMA ($0.74) could start the journey toward the pattern target of $0.88.

Polkadot price analysis

The long wick on Polkadot’s (DOT) July 6 candlestick shows that the bears are selling on intraday rallies. The price plunged below the moving averages, but the bulls are trying to arrest the decline.

Both moving averages have flattened out, and the RSI is near the midpoint. This indicates a balance between supply and demand. The DOT/USDT pair may oscillate between $4.74 and $5.64 for a few days.

The first sign of strength will be a break and close above $5.15. That will indicate solid demand at lower levels. The bulls will then again try to push the pair to $5.64. On the downside, a break below $4.74 could tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.