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TON, TWT, CHZ and QNT breakout amid traders’ crypto contagion fears

November 20, 2022 Coin Telegraph

Bitcoin

Bitcoin price is stuck in a tight range, but TON, CHZ, QNT and TWT caught a bid in the past week.

The FTX collapse continues to stoke fears of a contagion in the cryptocurrency space as investors wait to hear about businesses that may face the heat. One of the marquee names to come under the circle of suspicion is the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), which has seen its discount to Bitcoin’s (BTC) price reach record levels of about 50%.

Traders hate uncertainty and shy away from investing during these periods. That could be one of the reasons for a lack of buying interest in Bitcoin even after the sharp fall in its price. The Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, which had seen its popularity soar during the bull phase, is coming under increasing criticism after the deviation between Bitcoin’s price and its projected price hit levels never seen before.

Does this suggest that the pessimism has reached an extreme or is it just that the S2F model is flawed?

*Crypto market data daily view. Source:* *Coin360*

During a bear phase, the general trend is down but there are always pockets of strength that may offer trading opportunities to long-only investors. However, rallies during bear markets are short-lived, hence traders may consider booking profits near strong resistance levels.

Let’s look at the charts of five cryptocurrencies that may attempt a rally in the near term.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin continues to trade inside the tight range between $16,229 and $17,190. Generally, periods of tight consolidation are followed by an increase in volatility.

The downsloping moving averages and the relative strength index (RSI) in the negative zone indicate that the path of least resistance is to the downside. If the price breaks below $16,229, the Nov. 9 intraday low of $15,588 may be threatened. A break and close below this support could signal the resumption of the downtrend. The next support on the downside is $12,200.

If bulls want to avoid a further decline, they will have to push and sustain the price above the breakdown level of $17,622. Such a move will suggest strong demand at lower levels. The pair could then climb to the psychological level of $20,000.

*BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

The BTC/USDT pair has been trading near the moving averages, which have flattened out. This suggests that the pair has entered a state of equilibrium as both the buyers and sellers are undecided about the next directional move.

However, this uncertainty is unlikely to continue for long. If the price plummets below $16,229, the selling pressure could pick up momentum and the pair may drop to $15,588. If this support gives way, the pair may start the next leg of the downtrend.

On the contrary, if the price rises and breaks above $17,190, it will suggest that the current tight range was used by the bulls to accumulate. The pair could then rally to $18,200 and later to $18,730.

TON/USDT

Toncoin (TON) has recovered sharply from its June low and managed to hold on to a large part of the gains. This suggests that traders are in no hurry to dump their positions at higher levels.

The TON/USDT pair has formed a symmetrical triangle, which usually acts as a continuation pattern. Both moving averages are gradually sloping up and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating a slight advantage to the bulls.

If the price rebounds off the 20-day exponential moving average ($1.65), the bulls will try to drive the price above the triangle. If they can pull it off, the pair could rally to $2.15 and thereafter climb toward the target objective of $2.87.

Alternatively, if the price slips below the 20-day EMA, the pair could drop to the 50-day simple moving average ($1.50) and then to the support line.

*TON/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

The pair is facing stiff resistance at $1.80. Repeated failure to sustain the price above this level may have tempted short-term traders to book profits. The bears are trying to capitalize on this situation and sink the price below the 50-SMA. If this support cracks, the pair could dive to $1.55.

Conversely, if the price rebounds off the current level, the bulls will again try to scale the wall at $1.80. The repeated retest of a resistance level tends to weaken it. A close above this resistance could open the doors for a possible rally to $2.

CHZ/USDT

Chiliz (CHZ) is attempting to form an inverse head and shoulders pattern, which will complete on a break and close above the neckline. If that happens, it may signal the start of a new uptrend.

The pattern target of the reversal formation is $0.54 but the bears are unlikely to give up easily. They are aggressively defending the neckline. If the price breaks below the 50-day SMA ($0.21), the CHZ/USDT pair could decline to $0.18 and subsequently to $0.14.

Alternatively, if the price bounces off the current level, buyers will again attempt to propel the pair above the neckline and gain control.

The flattening moving averages and the RSI just below the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears. Hence, it is better to wait for the price to breakout before establishing fresh positions.

*CHZ/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

The pair turned down sharply from $0.27 and the bears have pulled the price below the moving averages. If the price sustains below the 50-SMA, the pair could drop to $0.20. That could put the bears in the driver’s seat.

On the other hand, if the price turns up from the current level and rises above the 20-EMA, it will suggest that traders are viewing the dips as a buying opportunity. The pair could then rise to $0.26 and later to $0.28. Buyers will have to drive the price above this level to challenge the resistance at $0.30.

QNT/USDT

Although Quant (QNT) has corrected sharply in the past few days, it is attempting to take support and bounce off the support line. This indicates demand at lower levels.

The downsloping 20-day EMA ($128) indicates advantage to bears but the RSI is trying to form a positive divergence. This suggests that the selling pressure could be easing.

Buyers will have to propel and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA to indicate that the corrective phase may be over. The QNT/USDT pair could then rise to the 50-day SMA ($151) and thereafter to $180.

This positive view could invalidate in the near term if the price continues lower and breaks below the uptrend line. The pair could then drop to $87 and later to $79.

*QNT/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

The recovery in the pair is facing selling near the downtrend line. This suggests that bears are active at higher levels. The bears have pulled the price below the moving averages and will try to extend the decline to $105 and then to $94.

To invalidate this negative view, the bulls will have to kick and sustain the price above the downtrend line. The pair could then rise to $125 where the bears may mount a strong defense. If buyers overcome this barrier, the up-move may reach $136.

TWT/USDT

While most major cryptocurrencies extended their downtrend in the past few days, Trust Wallet Token (TWT) has moved in the opposite direction and risen sharply. This indicates outperformance in the near term.

The TWT/USDT pair soared from $1.03 on Nov. 10 to $2.73 on Nov. 14, a 165% rally within a short time. That pushed the RSI deep into the overbought territory, suggesting a minor correction or consolidation in the near term and that is what happened.

The pair is finding support near the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $1.88 but the bulls are struggling to push the price above $2.45. This suggests the pair may consolidate between $1.81 and $2.45 for a few days.

Both moving averages are sloping up and the RSI remains in the positive territory, indicating that bulls have the advantage. If buyers drive the price above the $2.45 to $2.73 resistance zone, the pair could resume its uptrend. This positive view could invalidate on a break and close below the 20-day EMA ($1.70).

*TWT/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

The bears pulled the price below the 50-SMA but they are struggling to keep the pair down. This suggests strong buying at lower levels. If buyers push the price above the 20-EMA, the pair could rise to the downtrend line.

A break above this level could clear the path for a possible rally to $2.45. This remains the key hurdle for the bulls to overcome. If they succeed in breaking it, the pair may retest $2.73.

On the downside, a slide below $1.92 could result in a decline to $1.81. This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break below it could tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Biggest Movers: QNT Extends Recent Gains, Climbing by 10% on Saturday

October 22, 2022 Bitcoin.com

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5 altcoins that could be ripe for a short-term rally if Bitcoin price holds $19K

October 17, 2022 Coin Telegraph

Bitcoin

Bitcoin price continues to trade within a tight range, setting up possible short-term breakout for MATIC, HT, QNT and OKB.

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite fell to a new year-to-date low last week and closed the week with a loss of 1.55% and 3.11%, respectively.

The scenario changed drastically on Oct. 17. After earnings, the season ramped up and a sharp policy reversal from U.K. Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt added detail to the government's plan to fix his predecessor's (Kwasi Kwarteng's) fiscal package, which had triggered a record fall in the value of the GBP and a near liquidation of pension plans in the United Kingdom.

At the time of writing, the Dow is up 1.78%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq present 2.57% and 3.26% respective gains. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) has managed to stay well above its year-to-date low showing short-term outperformance.

Some analysts expect that Bitcoin could be closer to a bottom. Twitter trader Alan said that the stochastic indicator on Bitcoin’s monthly chart has reached levels similar to those seen during the 2014 and 2018 bear markets, indicating a likely macro bottom.

Similarly, LookIntoBitcoin creator Philip Swift said in an interview with Cointelegraph that Bitcoin could be close to major cycle lows. Citing various metrics, Swift said that Bitcoin may face another two to three months of pain but should start its outperformance in 2023.

As Bitcoin sustains above its June low, select altcoins are attracting buyers. Let’s look at charts of five cryptocurrencies that look interesting in the near term.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin broke above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($19,689) on Oct. 14 but the higher levels attracted heavy selling by the bears. That pulled the price back below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($19,387).

Buyers are trying to defend the immediate support at $18,843 but the recovery could face resistance at the 20-day EMA and then at the downtrend line. If the price turns down from the overhead resistance, the possibility of a break below $18,843 increases. The pair could then plummet to the $18,125 to $17,622 support zone.

To avoid this catastrophe, the bulls will have to force the price above the downtrend line. If they manage to do that, the BTC/USDT pair could rally to $20,500. A break above this resistance could signal the start of a relief rally to $22,800.

The pair has been stuck between $18,125 and $20,500 for some time. If bulls push the price above the moving averages, the pair could climb up to $20,000 and then to $20,500. The bears may mount a strong resistance at this level but if bulls overpower them, the recovery could pick up speed.

Another possibility is that the price turns down from the moving averages and drops below the support at $18,843. That could intensify selling and the pair could then plunge to the support at $18,125. The bulls are expected to defend this level with vigor.

MATIC/USDT

Polygon (MATIC) has been attempting to rise above the downtrend line for the past few days. Although the bears successfully defended the overhead resistance, they could not keep the price down on Oct. 13. This suggests that bulls are buying the dips as they anticipate a move higher.

If the price climbs above the downtrend line, the short-term trend could tilt in favor of the bulls. The MATIC/USDT pair could then attempt a rally to $0.94. This level may again act as a strong barrier but if bulls overcome it, the pair could rally to $1.05.

Alternatively, if the price once again turns down from the downtrend line, the bulls may give up and the pair could then drop to $0.69. The bears will have to pull the price below this level to start a deeper correction to $0.62 and then to $0.52.

*MATIC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

The downtrend line has been witnessing a tough battle between the bulls and the bears. Although the bears have come out on top, the bulls are not willing to give up. They aggressively purchased the drop to $0.71 and are again trying to push the pair above the downtrend line.

The 20-EMA has flattened out and the RSI is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. If bulls push the price above the 50-SMA, the pair could challenge the downtrend line. A break above this resistance could clear the path for a possible rally to $0.86.

On the other hand, buyers may bail out of their position if the price turns down and breaks below $0.77. The pair could then slide to $0.71.

HT/USDT

Huobi Token (HT) started a strong up-move from $4.07 on Oct. 10 that reached $8.20 on Oct. 14, a 101% move within five days. This indicates that bulls are in control.

The sharp rally of the past few days pushed the RSI into deeply overbought territory, which may have tempted short-term traders to book profits. That started a correction that could reach the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $6.61.

If the price rebounds off this support, the bulls will try to resume the up-move by pushing the HT/USDT pair above $8.20. If they succeed, the pair could rally to $10.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price breaks below $6.64, the pair could decline to the 50% retracement level of $6.12 and then to the 61.8% retracement level of $5.63. A deeper fall could delay the start of the next leg of the up-move.

*HT/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView*

The 4-hour chart shows that the price rebounded off the 20-EMA but the bulls could not sustain the higher levels. This shows that traders could be booking profits on minor rallies.

The 20-EMA has flattened out and the RSI is just above the midpoint, indicating that the bullish momentum could be weakening. If the price breaks and sustains below the 20-EMA, the next stop could be the 50-SMA.

If bulls want to regain the upper hand, they will have to push the price above $7.65. The pair could then retest the overhead resistance at $8.20. A break above this level could start the next leg of the uptrend.

QNT/USDT

Quant (QNT) broke above the overhead resistance at $162 and has continued higher, indicating sustained demand from the bulls.

The upsloping 20-day EMA ($149) indicates advantage to buyers but the RSI in the overbought territory points to a possible minor correction or consolidation in the near term. Buyers are expected to defend the drop to the breakout level of $162.

If the price rebounds off this level, the QNT/USDT pair could rise to $200 and later attempt a rally to the target objective at $230.

This positive view could invalidate in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA. The pair could then decline to the 50-day SMA ($120).

The pair is facing resistance near $188 but the rising moving averages and the RSI in the overbought zone indicate the path of least resistance is to the upside. If buyers thrust the price above $188, the pair could rally to $204.

Contrarily, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-EMA, it will suggest that traders may be booking profits. That could pull the price down to the crucial support of $162. A break and close below this support could indicate that the pair may have topped out in the near term.

OKB/USDT

OKB (OKB) has been trading above the moving averages for the past few days and the RSI has jumped into the positive territory, indicating advantage to buyers.

The OKB/USDT pair is facing stiff resistance at the overhead resistance at $17.50 but a minor positive is that the bulls have not ceded ground to the bears. This suggests that the bulls expect the pair to climb above the overhead resistance. If that happens, the pair could rally to $20 and thereafter to $23.22.

The first support on the downside is $16.39. If the price turns down and breaks below this level, the pair could slide to the moving averages and then to $15.

OKB/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The price turned down from the overhead resistance at $17.50 but the bulls are trying to defend the 20-EMA. If the price rises above $17, the likelihood of a retest of $17.50 increases. Buyers will have to clear this hurdle to signal the resumption of the uptrend.

The positive momentum may weaken if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-EMA. The pair could then decline to the 50-SMA. If this level also cracks, the next stop could be $15.50.

On the contrary, if the price rebounds off the 50-SMA and rises above the 20-EMA, it will suggest accumulation at lower levels. The bulls may then again attempt a rally to $17.50.

quant