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Fedwatch Tool Shows 50-50 Chance for 25bps or 50bps Cut Before FOMC

Fedwatch Tool Shows 50-50 Chance for 25bps or 50bps Cut Before FOMCThe market is holding out hope for a bigger rate cut as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) prepares to meet on Wednesday. Predictions from Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest there’s a growing expectation that a 50 basis points reduction could be in play. FOMC Meeting Could See Bigger Rate Cut as Expectations Shift […]

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Rising Yield Curve and Jobs Miss Add to Economic Jitters, Stocks and Bitcoin Slide

Rising Yield Curve and Jobs Miss Add to Economic Jitters, Stocks and Bitcoin SlideEquities kicked off Friday on a quiet note, with little movement as the latest U.S. labor market report unveiled a softer-than-anticipated addition of 142,000 jobs for August. The data only adds to growing recession concerns, layering on top of several earlier signs hinting at an economic slowdown. Meanwhile, the 10-2 year Treasury yield spread has […]

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Polymarket Bets 10% on 2024 US Recession, Analyst Skeptical of Rate Cut’s Impact

Polymarket Bets 10% on 2024 US Recession, Analyst Skeptical of Rate Cut’s ImpactThe prediction market Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest that a rate cut during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September is highly likely. However, BCA Research’s chief asset allocation strategist, Garry Evans, argues that even if rates are lowered, it won’t stop a recession in the United States. On the flip side, […]

SEC Drops Robinhood Crypto Investigation

CPI Report Sparks Fed Rate Cut Hopes as Inflation Slows to 2.9%

CPI Report Sparks Fed Rate Cut Hopes as Inflation Slows to 2.9%On Wednesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics rolled out its latest consumer-price index (CPI) report, revealing a 2.9% increase over the past 12 months through July—falling just short of economists’ 3% forecast. This data nudged CME futures metrics upward, reflecting growing market sentiment that the latest BLS figures strengthen the case for a Federal […]

SEC Drops Robinhood Crypto Investigation