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Bulls aim to knock out Bitcoin’s all-time high before the US elections wrap up. Will altcoins follow?

Bitcoin (BTC) is facing resistance near $69,000, but the bulls have kept up the pressure. As the price nears the top of the range, the bears are likely to pose a strong challenge. However, analysts expect the range-bound action to end following the result of the upcoming United States elections.

Standard Chartered Bank analyst Geoff Kendrick said in a research note that Bitcoin could surge to $125,000 by the end of the year if the Republicans sweep the US Congress after the Nov. 5 elections. 

Another bullish projection came from Bitwise’s head of alpha strategies, Jeff Park, who said in a post on X that Bitcoin could reach $92,000 if Donald Trump wins the US Presidential elections.

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Bitcoin continues to face selling near $65,000, but the intensity seems to be reducing, paving the way for an upside breakout.

Bitcoin (BTC) faces rejection near $65,000 again, making it an essential overhead resistance to cross. A positive sign for the bulls is that Bitcoin’s classic Puell Multiple metric has hit the “green” zone for the first time since the end of 2022. 

“Historically, when the green zone was reached, it was followed by an upward price movement,” said CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost in a blog post.

Analyst Rekt Capital highlighted another historical pattern favoring the bulls. He said that Bitcoin breaks out from its reaccumulation range between 154 and 161 days after halving. The analyst added that the most recent Bitcoin halving occurred on April 20, 157 days ago, which puts it within striking distance of a breakout.

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Bitcoin bears have pulled the price below the support of the range, starting a potential downtrend toward $49,000. 

Bitcoin (BTC) has been in a sideways price action pattern for several months, but the bears are trying to seize control. The resolution of the large $55,724 to $73,777 range in favor of the sellers could start a downtrend.

Arthur Hayes, former CEO of crypto exchange BitMEX, has projected Bitcoin to fall below $50,000. A similar view was offered by veteran trader Peter Brandt, who has a target of $46,000 for Bitcoin.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

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Bitcoin bulls are holding on to the $55,500 support, but an increase in futures open interest and a death cross on the BTC chart have traders worried that further downside is in store.

Bitcoin (BTC) has been stuck in a sideways price action phase for several months, but that has not stopped institutional investors from buying. According to K33 Research senior analyst Vetle Lunde, more than 262 new firms invested in the United States spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) during the second quarter of 2024.

It is encouraging to note that the institutional investors have largely held on to their positions or increased them. Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan said in a post on X that 44% of asset managers boosted their Bitcoin ETF positions while 22% held steady. Only 13% exited their positions, and the remaining 21% reduced positions. Hougan called this as “a pretty good result, on par with other ETFs.”

While the long-term remains bullish, analysts are turning bearish in the near term. Cryptocurrency analysis platform Coinglass cautioned in a post on X that Bitcoin’s rising open interest suggests there is “room to fall.” Additionally, analysts are closely watching the death cross as the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) has dipped below the 200-day SMA.

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