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Top five crypto winners (and losers) of 2022

Bitcoin and Ethereum are not part of the surprising list of five best and worst-performing cryptocurrencies for 2022.

Cointelegraph looks back on the best and worst-performing cryptocurrencies of 2022 among the top 100 assets by market capitalization. We used the highest and the lowest year-to-date (YTD) returns through the close of Dec. 25, 2022.

Overall, Cryptoindex.com 100 (CIX100), an index that tracks the 100 best-performing cryptocurrencies, fell nearly 68% YTD, suggesting most top coins underperformed in 2022.

CIX100 weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

Stablecoins are naturalomitted from the list below. Similarly, coins tracking the value of gold and similar mainstream assets have also been ignored.

Instead, the coins mentioned below include decentralized currencies, smart contract tokens, exchange tokens, and others.

Top five crypto of 2022

1. GMX (GMX)

  • YTD return: 111%
  • Sector: Decentralized Exchange
  • Market Cap: $379.4 million

GMX acts as a utility and a governance token within the GMX decentralized exchange (DEX) ecosystem and is the best-performing digital asset among the top 100 coins (excluding stablecoins).

GMX's price uptrend mostly picked its cues from the collapse of FTX, a centralized exchange, and its listing on popular trading platforms—including Binance and Huobi Global—across 2022. In addition, the token rallied impressively in late November after its platform briefly surpassed its top DEX rival, Uniwap in daily trading fees.

GMX price performance YTD. Source: CoinMarketCap

2. Trust Wallet Token (TWT)

  • YTD return: 92%
  • Sector: Payment Platform
  • Market Cap: $570 million

Trust Wallet Token (TWT) serves as a utility and a governance token within the Trust Wallet ecosystem. The token moved lower in tandem with the rest of the crypto market, mostly in 2022, but like GMX, its upside momentum increased amid the collapse of the FTX exchange in November.

TWT/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

As Cointelegraph reported, the FTX's collapse boosted mistrust for centralized exchanges, which may have prompted investors to move their funds to self-custody wallets like Trust Wallet. The speculation could have played a major role in boosting TWT's valuation.

3. Unus Sed Leo (LEO)

  • YTD return: -3.5%
  • Sector: Centralized Exchange
  • Market Cap: $3.44 billion

Unus Sed Leo (LEO) is native to the iFinex ecosystem. The token suffered losses in 2022, but at -3.5%, they were little compared to most top coins, including Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH), which lost over 65% in the same period.

LEO/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

One of the reasons why LEO outperformed most top-ranking assets could be iFinex's pledge. Notably, the firm declared at the time of LEO's private sale in 2018 that it would employ 27% of its revenue to buy back the tokens until the entire supply of 985.24 million units was removed from circulation.

IFinex also said it would use the funds it lost during the August 2016 Bitfinex hack to purchase LEO tokens. That explains why LEO rallied by more than 100% at the start of the year, given the uptrend came after the U.S. Department of Justice recovered 94,000 BTC from Bitfinex hackers.

The rally took LEO's price to a YTD high of $8.15 in February. However, the token has dropped 55% since, though still remaining one of the best-performers in 2022.

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4. OKB (OKB)

  • YTD return: -19%
  • Sector: Centralized Exchange
  • Market Cap: $1.38 billion

OKB is the native token of the OKX exchange. It provides users discounts on trading fees, access to OKX's initial exchange offering (IEO) platform, and voting rights for tokens to be listed on the exchange. 

OKB trended synchronously with the broader crypto market in 2022, including its 150% recovery after bottoming out at around $9.50 in June. The token's bullish retracement occurred despite the absence of a major market-moving event, suggesting it had been mostly speculative.

OKB/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Overall, OKB's volatile recovery helped it limit its YTD losses compared to most top-ranking assets. 

5. The Open Network (TON)

  • YTD return: -33.5%
  • Sector: Smart Contracts
  • Market Cap: $3.52 billion

The Open Network is a layer-1 blockchain ecosystem developed by the Telegram founders Nikolai Durov and Pavel Durov. Its native token, TON, trended downward in line with other top crypto assets during most of 2022, but recovered impressively ahead of the year's close. 

TON/USD price performance YTD. Source: CoinMarketCap

TON's recovery period coincided with back-to-back optimistic news. For instance, in October, Telegram announced that it would employ the Open Network to auction usernames. Similarly, the Open Network built a bot the next month that allows Telegrams users to trade cryptocurrencies in-app.

Nonetheless, TON failed to recoup all of its losses, still down 33.5% YTD at $2.36.

Related: Top-five most Googled cryptocurrencies worldwide in 2022

Worst five cryptos of 2022

1. Terra (LUNA)

  • YTD performance: -99.99%
  • Sector: Smart Contracts
  • Market Cap: $604 million

Terra (LUNA) was became a debacle for the cryptocurrency secti after its market valuation crashed by 99.99% in May. The unraveling started with the implosion of Terra's algorithmic stablecoin TerraUSD (UST), marking one of the biggest busts in the crypto industry's history.

LUNA/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Terra's implosion prompted its founder Do Kwon to suggest a fork to revive the project. Eventually, Terra underwent a chain split, with the old chain existing as Terra Classic (LUNC) and the new chain as Terra 2.0 (LUNA2).

LUNC jumped nearly 100% after its launch in late May 2022 while LUNA2 dropped around 40% in the same period.

2. FTX Token (FTT)

  • YTD performance: -98%
  • Sector: Centralized Exchange
  • Market Cap: $307 million

FTX Token (FTT) served as a native token to FTX, which collapsed after facing a liquidity crisis in November. 

FTT/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

The token continues to trade across several exchanges but accompanies poor liquidity and volume. It is technically "dead" given the defunct status of FTX.

3. Solana (SOL)

  • YTD performance: -93.35%
  • Sector: Smart contracts
  • Market Cap: $4.11 billion

Solana (SOL), a layer-1 blockchain protocol, crashed 93.35% YTD due to a sequence of bad news all across 2022. That includes six network outages in the year, a $200 million hack on a Solana-based wallet, and Solana's association with FTX.

SOL/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

More bad coverage appeared in the form of accusations that Solana is not as decentralized as it claims to be, resulting in SOL being one of the worst-performers of 2022.

4. Axie Infinity (AXS)

  • YTD performance: -93%
  • Sector: Gaming/Metaverse
  • Market Cap: $775 million

Axie Infinity Shard, or AXS, serves primarily as the governance token for Axie Infinity, a play-to-earn (P2E) gaming ecosystem. It also acts as a legal tender in the Axie Infinity marketplace, where in-game nonfungible tokens (NFT) can be purchased.

The AXS market has consistently trended lower in 2022 due to underwhelming players turnout (which lowers demand for tokens), a $650 hack concerning Axie Infinity's blockchain Ronin in late March, and fears surrounding the unlocking of 8% of supply in October. 

AXS/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

AXS is down approximately 93% YTD, becoming one of the worst-performing assets in the current bear market.

5. The Sandbox (SAND)

  • YTD performance: -92.50%
  • Sector: Gaming/Metaverse
  • Market Cap: $690 million

Like Axie Infinity, the Sandbox is a virtual platform where users can create, own, and monetize their gaming skills using NFTs and SAND, the platform’s utility token. But despite initial success, the platform now has less than 500 unique users, according to data from Dappradar.

The lower turnout has affected SAND's demand across spot exchanges, which, in turn has pushed its price down 93.50% YTD, as shown below. Other factors behind the declining interest include a general lack of demand for riskier assets in a higher interest rate environment.

SAND/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Other tokens that fell more than 90% YTD are Fantom (FTM), Avalanche (AVAX), Algorand (ALGO), Decentraland (MANA), BitTorrent (BTT), etc.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin may reach $150K or $400K in 2025, based on SBR and Fed rates — Blockware

Bitcoin’s boring price action allows XMR, TON, TWT and AXS to gather strength

BTC’s price range is tightening in preparation for a potential range expansion. Meanwhile, XMR, TON, TWT and AXS are maintaining their bullish momentum.

The relief rally in the United States equities markets took a breather this week as all major averages closed in the red. Traders seem to have booked profits before the busy economic calendar next week.

The S&P 500 index dropped 3.37%, but a minor positive for the cryptocurrency markets is that Bitcoin (BTC) has not followed the equities markets lower. This suggests that crypto traders are not panicking and dumping their positions with every downtick in equities.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

The range-bound action in Bitcoin suggests that traders are avoiding large bets before the Federal Reserve’s rate hike decision on Dec. 14. However, that has not stopped the action in select altcoins, which are showing promise in the near term.

Let’s look at the charts of Bitcoin and select altcoins and spot the critical levels to watch out for in the short term.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin has been hovering around its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) of $17,031 for the past few days. The flat 20-day EMA and the relative strength index (RSI) near 50 do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The critical level to watch on the upside is $17,622. If buyers kick the price above this level, the BTC/USDT pair could start a stronger recovery that could carry it to the downtrend line. The bears are expected to defend this level aggressively.

If the price reverses direction from the downtrend line but does not fall below $17,622, it will suggest that the bulls are attempting to flip the level into support. That could enhance the prospects of a break above the downtrend line. The pair could then rally to $21,500.

On the downside, the bears may gain strength if the price breaks below $16,678. The pair could then drop to $15,995.

BTC/USDT four-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The pair has been trading inside an ascending channel on the four-hour chart. The bears have kept the price in the lower half of the channel, indicating selling on rallies. A break below the moving averages could pull the price to the support line of the channel. If this level fails to hold, the pair could start a down move to $16,678 in the near term.

If the price turns up from the current level or the support line of the channel, it will indicate that bulls continue to buy on dips. The pair could then attempt a rally to the overhead resistance at $17,622. If this level gets taken out, the pair could climb to the resistance line of the channel.

XMR/USDT

Monero (XMR) has been trading inside a falling wedge pattern for the past several days. The upsloping 20-day EMA ($143) and the RSI in the positive zone indicate that bulls have an edge.

XMR/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The XMR/USDT pair could rise to the resistance line of the wedge, where the bulls are likely to encounter strong selling by the bears. If the price turns down from the resistance line and breaks below the moving averages, it will suggest that the pair may extend its stay inside the wedge.

Instead, if bulls drive the price above the resistance line, it will suggest a change in the short-term trend. The pair could then attempt a rally to $174 which could act as a roadblock. A break above this level could signal that the downtrend could be over.

XMR/USDT four-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The pair has been rising inside an ascending channel pattern on the four-hour chart. This shows that the short-term sentiment remains positive and traders are buying the dips. The pair could continue its up-move and reach the resistance line near $156. If this level is scaled, the rally may touch $162.

The first sign of weakness will be a break and close below the moving averages. The pair could then decline to the support line of the channel. A break below the channel could start a downward move to $133.

TON/USDT

The bulls pushed Toncoin (TON) above the resistance of the symmetrical triangle on Dec. 11, indicating that the uncertainty has resolved in favor of the buyers. The symmetrical triangle usually acts as a continuation pattern, which increases the likelihood of the resumption of the uptrend.

TON/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If buyers sustain the price above the triangle, the TON/USDT pair could attempt a break above the overhead resistance zone between $2 and $2.15. If they manage to do that, the pair could pick up momentum and soar to the pattern target of $2.87.

Contrarily, if the price fails to sustain above the triangle, it will suggest that bears continue to sell on rallies. A break below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $1.70 could trap the aggressive bulls, pulling the pair to the support line of the triangle.

TON/USDT four-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The moving averages on the four-hour chart are sloping up and the RSI is in the overbought zone, indicating that bulls are in command. The up-move may face hindrance near $2 but if bulls sustain the price above this level, the rally could pick up speed.

If the price turns down from the current level and breaks below the 50-SMA, the selling could accelerate and the pair may slump to $1.70. This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break below it could signal that bears are back in charge.

Related: SBF 'didn't like' decentralized Bitcoin — ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood

TWT/USDT

Trust Wallet Token (TWT) has continued its northward march, suggesting that traders are buying at higher levels and not booking profits in a hurry. That increases the possibility of the extension of the uptrend.

TWT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls will attempt to drive the price above the overhead resistance at $2.73. If they succeed, the TWT/USDT pair could rally to the psychological level of $3 where the bears may try to stall the up-move.

If buyers bulldoze their way through this obstacle, the uptrend could reach the pattern target of $3.51.

The bears are likely to have other plans as they will try to defend overhead resistance at $2.73. They will have to pull the price below the 20-day EMA ($2.30) to gain the upper hand.

TWT/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The four-hour chart shows that bulls have been buying the dips to the moving averages. Although the moving averages are sloping up, the RSI is showing a negative divergence, indicating that the bullish momentum may be weakening. This may change if bulls thrust the price above $2.73 as that could attract further buying.

The moving averages are the critical support to watch on the downside. If the 50-SMA support collapses, several short-term traders may book profits and that could pull the pair down to $2.25 and thereafter to $2.

AXS/USDT

Axie Infinity (AXS) has been in a strong downtrend but it is showing the first signs of a potential trend change. Buyers pushed the price above the downtrend line on Dec. 5 but could not sustain the higher levels, as seen from the long wick on the day’s candlestick.

AXS/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

A minor positive is that the bulls have not allowed the price to break below the moving averages. This shows that buyers are trying to flip the moving averages into support.

The moving averages are on the verge of a bullish crossover and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that the momentum may be shifting in favor of the bulls. If the price breaks and sustains above the downtrend line, a rally to $11.85 is likely. This level is expected to act as a major hurdle on the upside.

The bullish view could invalidate in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the moving averages. The AXS/USDT pair could then slide to $6.57.

AXS/USDT four-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The four-hour chart shows that bears are vigorously defending the downtrend line and the bulls are buying the dips to the 50-SMA. The 20-EMA has flattened out and the RSI is near 47, indicating a balance between supply and demand.

A break and close above $8.70 could shift the advantage in favor of the bulls. The pair could then rally to $9.28 and later to $10. Alternatively, a break below $7.86 could suggest that bears are back in the driver’s seat. The pair could then slide to $6.87.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin may reach $150K or $400K in 2025, based on SBR and Fed rates — Blockware

Bitcoin price consolidation could give way to gains in TON, APE, TWT and AAVE

If Bitcoin rises above its overhead resistance, TON, APE, TWT and AAVE could begin to tack on outsized gains.

The United States equities markets shrugged off the hotter-than-expected labor data on Dec. 2 and recovered sharply from their intraday low. This suggests that market observers believe the Federal Reserve may not change its stance of slowing the pace of rate hikes because of the latest jobs data.

Although the FTX crisis broke the positive correlation between the US equities markets and Bitcoin (BTC), the recent strength in the equities markets shows a risk-on sentiment. This could be favorable for the cryptocurrency space and may attract dip buyers.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

The broader crypto recovery may pick up steam after more clarity emerges on the extent of damage caused due to the FTX crisis. Until then, bullish price action may be limited to select cryptocurrencies.

Let’s look at the charts of Bitcoin and select altcoins that may be getting ready to start an up-move in the near term.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin has been trading near the 20-day exponential moving average ($16,963) for the past three days. This suggests a tough battle between the bulls and the bears to gain supremacy.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The major roadblock for the buyers on the upside is $17,622. If bulls catapult the price above this level, it will suggest that the downtrend could be over, The BTC/USDT pair could then race to the psychological level of $20,000. This level may again act as a resistance but if crossed, the pair could rally to $21,500.

Conversely, if the price turns down from $17,622 and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bears have not yet given up. The pair could thereafter consolidate in a large range between $15,476 and $17,622.

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Buyers are defending the 20-EMA on the 4-hour chart but the failure to achieve a strong bounce indicates that demand dries up at higher levels. The bears may try to make the most of this opportunity and pull the price below the moving averages. If they manage to do that, the pair could drop to $16,000 and then to $15,476.

On the other hand, if the price turns up and breaks above $17,250, the likelihood of a rally to $17,622 increases. This level may again act as a significant resistance but if bulls drive the price above it, the pair could rally to $18,200.

TON/USDT

Toncoin (TON) nudged above the symmetrical triangle pattern on Nov. 30 but the bulls could not sustain the higher levels as seen from the long wick on the day’s candlestick. However, the bulls defended the 20-day EMA ($1.73) on the downside, indicating buying on dips.

TON/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The upsloping moving averages and the RSI in the positive zone indicate advantage to buyers. This improves the prospects of a break above the resistance line of the triangle. If that happens, buying could accelerate and the TON/USDT pair could soar to $2.15 and then march toward the pattern target of $2.87.

This positive view could negate in the near term if the price once again turns down from the resistance line and plummets below the 20-day EMA. That could increase the selling pressure and pull the pair to the 50-day simple moving average ($1.62) and later to the support line.

TON/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are trying to defend the overhead resistance at $1.84 while the bulls are buying the dips to the 20-EMA. The price is getting squeezed between the two levels and may be ripe for a range breakout.

If the price rises above the overhead zone between $1.84 and the downtrend line, it may attract further buying by the bulls. That could start a new up-move to $2. The important level to watch on the downside is $1.68 because a break below it could expedite the drop to the support line.

APE/USDT

ApeCoin (APE) turned down from the downtrend line on Nov. 30 but the bulls have not allowed the price to break below the 20-day EMA ($3.73). This is a positive sign as it signals demand at lower levels.

APE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA is gradually turning up and the RSI has jumped into the positive territory, indicating that bulls are attempting a comeback. The APE/USDT pair could pick up momentum on a break above the downtrend line. This could open the doors for a possible rally to $5 and thereafter to $6.

Instead, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears are active at higher levels. The pair could then drop to $3, which is likely to act as a strong support.

APE/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-EMA on the 4-hour chart has flattened out and the RSI is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. This uncertainty could shift in favor of the bulls if they push the price above $4.05. The pair could then rally to the downtrend line.

If bears want to gain the upper hand, they will have to sink the pair below $3.77. If they manage to do that, the decline could extend to $3.50.

Related: How much is Bitcoin worth today?

TWT/USDT

Trust Wallet Token (TWT) rebounded sharply off the 20-day EMA ($2.07) on Nov. 27 and broke above the resistance at $2.45 on Dec. 2. This suggests that the trend remains bullish and traders are viewing the dips as a buying opportunity.

TWT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears may again pose a strong challenge at $2.73 but if bulls overcome this barrier, the TWT/USDT pair could resume the uptrend. The next stop on the upside could be $3 and if this level is also taken out, the pair could soar to the pattern target of $3.51.

Contrarily, if the price turns down and breaks below $2.25, the pair could drop to the 20-day EMA. This remains the key level to watch on the downside because a break below it could pull the pair toward $1.81. A bounce off this level could suggest that the pair may consolidate between $1.81 and $2.54 for a few days.

TWT/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-EMA on the 4-hour chart has turned up and the RSI is in the positive zone, indicating that buyers have an edge. The bulls will attempt to drive the price above the overhead resistance zone between $2.54 and $2.73. If they succeed, the pair could start the next leg of the uptrend.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-EMA, the bullish momentum may weaken and the pair could slide to the 50-SMA. The pair could then remain range-bound for some time before starting the next trending move.

AAVE/USDT

Aave (AAVE) recovered sharply from the psychological support at $50 and broke above the 20-day EMA ($63). Buyers are currently striving to strengthen their position by flipping the 20-day EMA into support.

AAVE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are trying to defend the 32.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $68 but a minor positive is that the bulls have not given up much ground. This indicates that buyers anticipate a move higher.

The 20-day EMA has flattened out and the RSI is near the midpoint, indicating that the bears may be losing their grip. If buyers thrust the price above $68, the AAVE/USDT pair could rally to the 50-day SMA ($71) and thereafter to the 61.8% retracement level at $80.

On the contrary, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, the pair could drop to the support line of the channel.

AAVE/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The pair is facing resistance near $66 and the RSI has formed a negative divergence on the 4-hour chart, suggesting that the bullish momentum could be weakening in the near term. A break below the 50-SMA could pull the price to the $56 to $58 support zone.

Alternatively, if the price turns up from the current level and breaks above $66, the pair could rally to $71. This level may again act as a resistance but if bulls push the price above it, the rally could extend to $80.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin may reach $150K or $400K in 2025, based on SBR and Fed rates — Blockware

TON, TWT, CHZ and QNT breakout amid traders’ crypto contagion fears

Bitcoin price is stuck in a tight range, but TON, CHZ, QNT and TWT caught a bid in the past week.

The FTX collapse continues to stoke fears of a contagion in the cryptocurrency space as investors wait to hear about businesses that may face the heat. One of the marquee names to come under the circle of suspicion is the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), which has seen its discount to Bitcoin’s (BTC) price reach record levels of about 50%.

Traders hate uncertainty and shy away from investing during these periods. That could be one of the reasons for a lack of buying interest in Bitcoin even after the sharp fall in its price. The Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, which had seen its popularity soar during the bull phase, is coming under increasing criticism after the deviation between Bitcoin’s price and its projected price hit levels never seen before.

Does this suggest that the pessimism has reached an extreme or is it just that the S2F model is flawed?

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

During a bear phase, the general trend is down but there are always pockets of strength that may offer trading opportunities to long-only investors. However, rallies during bear markets are short-lived, hence traders may consider booking profits near strong resistance levels.

Let’s look at the charts of five cryptocurrencies that may attempt a rally in the near term.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin continues to trade inside the tight range between $16,229 and $17,190. Generally, periods of tight consolidation are followed by an increase in volatility.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The downsloping moving averages and the relative strength index (RSI) in the negative zone indicate that the path of least resistance is to the downside. If the price breaks below $16,229, the Nov. 9 intraday low of $15,588 may be threatened. A break and close below this support could signal the resumption of the downtrend. The next support on the downside is $12,200.

If bulls want to avoid a further decline, they will have to push and sustain the price above the breakdown level of $17,622. Such a move will suggest strong demand at lower levels. The pair could then climb to the psychological level of $20,000.

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The BTC/USDT pair has been trading near the moving averages, which have flattened out. This suggests that the pair has entered a state of equilibrium as both the buyers and sellers are undecided about the next directional move.

However, this uncertainty is unlikely to continue for long. If the price plummets below $16,229, the selling pressure could pick up momentum and the pair may drop to $15,588. If this support gives way, the pair may start the next leg of the downtrend.

On the contrary, if the price rises and breaks above $17,190, it will suggest that the current tight range was used by the bulls to accumulate. The pair could then rally to $18,200 and later to $18,730.

TON/USDT

Toncoin (TON) has recovered sharply from its June low and managed to hold on to a large part of the gains. This suggests that traders are in no hurry to dump their positions at higher levels.

TON/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The TON/USDT pair has formed a symmetrical triangle, which usually acts as a continuation pattern. Both moving averages are gradually sloping up and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating a slight advantage to the bulls.

If the price rebounds off the 20-day exponential moving average ($1.65), the bulls will try to drive the price above the triangle. If they can pull it off, the pair could rally to $2.15 and thereafter climb toward the target objective of $2.87.

Alternatively, if the price slips below the 20-day EMA, the pair could drop to the 50-day simple moving average ($1.50) and then to the support line.

TON/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The pair is facing stiff resistance at $1.80. Repeated failure to sustain the price above this level may have tempted short-term traders to book profits. The bears are trying to capitalize on this situation and sink the price below the 50-SMA. If this support cracks, the pair could dive to $1.55.

Conversely, if the price rebounds off the current level, the bulls will again try to scale the wall at $1.80. The repeated retest of a resistance level tends to weaken it. A close above this resistance could open the doors for a possible rally to $2.

CHZ/USDT

Chiliz (CHZ) is attempting to form an inverse head and shoulders pattern, which will complete on a break and close above the neckline. If that happens, it may signal the start of a new uptrend.

CHZ/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The pattern target of the reversal formation is $0.54 but the bears are unlikely to give up easily. They are aggressively defending the neckline. If the price breaks below the 50-day SMA ($0.21), the CHZ/USDT pair could decline to $0.18 and subsequently to $0.14.

Alternatively, if the price bounces off the current level, buyers will again attempt to propel the pair above the neckline and gain control.

The flattening moving averages and the RSI just below the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears. Hence, it is better to wait for the price to breakout before establishing fresh positions.

CHZ/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The pair turned down sharply from $0.27 and the bears have pulled the price below the moving averages. If the price sustains below the 50-SMA, the pair could drop to $0.20. That could put the bears in the driver’s seat.

On the other hand, if the price turns up from the current level and rises above the 20-EMA, it will suggest that traders are viewing the dips as a buying opportunity. The pair could then rise to $0.26 and later to $0.28. Buyers will have to drive the price above this level to challenge the resistance at $0.30.

Related: FTX funds on the move as thief converts thousands of ETH into Bitcoin

QNT/USDT

Although Quant (QNT) has corrected sharply in the past few days, it is attempting to take support and bounce off the support line. This indicates demand at lower levels.

QNT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The downsloping 20-day EMA ($128) indicates advantage to bears but the RSI is trying to form a positive divergence. This suggests that the selling pressure could be easing.

Buyers will have to propel and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA to indicate that the corrective phase may be over. The QNT/USDT pair could then rise to the 50-day SMA ($151) and thereafter to $180.

This positive view could invalidate in the near term if the price continues lower and breaks below the uptrend line. The pair could then drop to $87 and later to $79.

QNT/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The recovery in the pair is facing selling near the downtrend line. This suggests that bears are active at higher levels. The bears have pulled the price below the moving averages and will try to extend the decline to $105 and then to $94.

To invalidate this negative view, the bulls will have to kick and sustain the price above the downtrend line. The pair could then rise to $125 where the bears may mount a strong defense. If buyers overcome this barrier, the up-move may reach $136.

TWT/USDT

While most major cryptocurrencies extended their downtrend in the past few days, Trust Wallet Token (TWT) has moved in the opposite direction and risen sharply. This indicates outperformance in the near term.

TWT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The TWT/USDT pair soared from $1.03 on Nov. 10 to $2.73 on Nov. 14, a 165% rally within a short time. That pushed the RSI deep into the overbought territory, suggesting a minor correction or consolidation in the near term and that is what happened.

The pair is finding support near the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $1.88 but the bulls are struggling to push the price above $2.45. This suggests the pair may consolidate between $1.81 and $2.45 for a few days.

Both moving averages are sloping up and the RSI remains in the positive territory, indicating that bulls have the advantage. If buyers drive the price above the $2.45 to $2.73 resistance zone, the pair could resume its uptrend. This positive view could invalidate on a break and close below the 20-day EMA ($1.70).

TWT/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The bears pulled the price below the 50-SMA but they are struggling to keep the pair down. This suggests strong buying at lower levels. If buyers push the price above the 20-EMA, the pair could rise to the downtrend line.

A break above this level could clear the path for a possible rally to $2.45. This remains the key hurdle for the bulls to overcome. If they succeed in breaking it, the pair may retest $2.73.

On the downside, a slide below $1.92 could result in a decline to $1.81. This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break below it could tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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The post Mid-Cap Altcoin Soars 189% in One Week Amid Intense Scrutiny of Crypto Exchange Reserves appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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