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Elon Musk tweets and Twitter bot spam influences altcoin prices: Study

The study also questioned whether FTX or Alameda had any role in coordinating Twitter bot activity for its own gain.

Crypto-spouting Twitter bots could be playing a much larger role in artificially inflating the price of altcoins than previously understood, a new study has suggested.

Using a sample of various FTX-listed cryptocurrencies in a study published Aug. 2, the Network Contagion Research Institute (NCRI) said it analyzed over 3 million tweets posted between Jan. 1, 2019, to Jan. 27, 2023, surrounding 18 altcoins.

The study found that Twitter bot activity played a crucial role in amplifying the value of these cryptocurrencies, including The Sandbox (SAND), Gala (GALA), Gods Unchained (GODS) and LooksRare (LOOKS), with half of the coins showing signs of price influence as a result of tweet bot activity.

It also found that these inauthentic tweets would increase after FTX posted about the token on social media, which it said raises questions about whether FTX or Alameda Research could have played a role in coordinating the bot activity.

Each line shows the average number of botted tweets, which increased following FTX’s listing and mention. Source: NCRI

"In fact, for half of the FTX listed coins in the sample, inauthentic tweet volume showed signs of forecasting subsequent price. This suggests that inauthentic networks successfully and deliberately deployed to influence changes in FTX coin prices," it said, adding: 

“It begs the question, did FTX or Alameda engage in coordinated inauthentic activity on social media to artificially inflate market values?”

Musk’s tweets impact PSYOP and PEPE

The study also looked into the impact of bot activity and Elon Musk's crypto-adjacent tweets on two recent memecoins, suggesting the prices of Pepe (PEPE) and PSYOP have been influenced by both these factors.

NCRI detected a surge of newly created bot accounts before the launch of PEPE — which all went on to tweet about one of the two coins.

Pepe Coin and PSYOP leveraged memes and were also boosted by two of Musk’s tweets that seemingly gave a nod to each of the tokens, the study said.

Related: X’s ad revenue sharing: Crypto payments on the horizon?

Musk’s May 13 tweet of a Pepe meme caused the token's price to jump over 50% within 24 hours.

Alongside Musk’s tweets, account creation surges took place a day prior to Pepe’s April 17 launch which suggested an orchestrated effort to use bots to amplify the token’s popularity.

Chart showing a significant surge in bot accounts a day before Pepe’s launch. Source: NCRI

The study’s researchers said this phenomenon could also affect stocks and other securities. They pointed to the social media frenzy in 2022 surrounding so-called “meme stocks” such as Gamestop and AMC.

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Sam Bankman-Fried’s weird, cryptic tweets attract even wilder theories

A series of strange tweets by former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried caused widespread speculation on Twitter, but he claims he’s “improvising” and “making it up as I go.”

Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder and former CEO of the now-bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX created a strange Twitter thread starting on Nov. 14 attracting the attention and speculation of the crypto community.

The latest tweet at the time of writing posted by Bankman-Fried at 5:30 AM UTC on Nov. 15 is Bankman-Fried saying “this is all as I remember it, but my memory might be faulty in parts”.

The other tweets spell out “What HAPPENED” and were posted across multiple hours.

Bankman-Fried’s tweet thread as of Nov. 15, 5:50 AM UTC.

Asked about his cryptic tweets in a Nov. 14 interview with the New York Times. Bankman-Fried said “I’m making it up as I go” and the series of tweets is “going to be more than one word.”

When asked why he said “I don’t know,” and added “I’m improvising. I think it’s time,” seemingly refusing to explain further.

Twitter users instantly took to speculation on the meaning of the tweets, with crypto YouTuber Stephen Findeisen saying he was “on the amphetamines again”, possibly in reference to Bankman-Fried discussing experimenting with the amphetamine Adderall on an Oct. 2020 podcast.

Early in the bizarre tweet thread, others joked that Bankman-Fried’s lawyer physically intervened to stop him from publishing anything potentially damning if legal action is brought forward.

Journalist and author Alex Berenson said the tweets could be an act by Bankman-Fried to possibly defend his actions by claiming insanity or that he was under mental duress if he’s brought before a court.

A seemingly debunked theory was that Bankman-Fried allegedly used the new tweets to cover up the deletion of his older “incriminating” ones in a sleight-of-hand attempt to dupe tweet-tracking bots that use his account’s total tweet count to catch deleted tweets.

Bankman-Fried has deleted potentially damning tweets in the past, most notably the flurry posted on Nov. 7 claiming FTX and its assets were “fine”.

Related: Let's move on from FTX’s collapse and get back to the basics

Crypto insights platform The Tie shared a document on Nov. 15 purporting to show that Bankman-Fried had deleted at least 118 tweets over the past year, although adding that more may have been missed due to tweets being recorded by their software every 15 minutes.

Independent crypto security researcher “Officer’s Notes” speculated that the FTX founder was trying his hand at steganography — a way of presenting information within another message i.e. a hidden code.

Gurgavin Chandhoke, a prominent crypto trader, theorized Bankman-Fried is attempting to send a message to Sam Trabucco, the former CEO of FTX’s sister trading firm Alameda Research.

Chandhoke said Bankman-Fried possibly attempting to spell “what happened” is allegedly sending a message to Trabucco, pointing to a series of older tweets of Trabucco that say “what happened?” as evidence.

Still, others think Bankman-Fried is click-farming and just wants to see engagement on his posts. Data from the social media analytics platform Social Blade shows Bankman-Fried’s Twitter follower count increasing by over 202,000 between Nov. 7 to 13, around the time FTX’s saga began to unfold.

His first tweet in the mysterious thread is his third most-liked tweet.

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