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Ethereum price has been gaining momentum in April, even against Bitcoin, as the much-anticipated Shanghai hard fork is just days away.
Ethereum's Ether (ETH) token dropped by over 7.5% in its Bitcoin (BTC) pair in 2023. But ETH/BTC may wipe its year-to-date (YTD) losses entirely in April as Ethereum's long-awaited Shanghai hard fork is just days away.
The upgrade is set for April 12, enabling Ethereum stakers to withdraw around 1.1 billion ETH in rewards — worth over $2 billion as of April 8.
Many experts see the hard fork as bullish for Ether in the long term. For instance, the Shanghai buzz has helped Ether outperform Bitcoin in April so far.
As a result, the ETH/BTC pair has risen by about 4.75% month-to-date to reach 0.066 BTC as of April 8, a nearly 8% rebound since March 20.
The bounce was largely expected, particularly as ETH/BTC dropped to its historical ascending trendline support. Now, the upside move raises the prospects of an extended bullish retracement toward its descending trendline resistance, marked as a "sell zone" in the chart below.
The fractal-based outlook puts Ether on target for 0.075 BTC by June, up 10% versus current price levels. Meanwhile, the pair's upside target for April appears to be its 50-3D exponential moving average (50-3D EMA; the red wave) near 0.069 BTC.
Conversely, a decisive close below the 200-3D EMA (the blue wave) near 0.066 BTC, coinciding support/resistance level near 0.067 BTC, risks delaying or — in the worst case scenario — invalidating the bullish retracement setup.
This bearish argument echoes independent market analyst CrediBULL Crypto who expects strong selling pressure near the 0.067 BTC resistance level that would lead to a 50% drop in 2023.
The ETH/USD pair has rallied by more than 50% in 2023, primarily due to similar uptrends elsewhere in the crypto market.
A weakening dollar, lower U.S. Treasury yields, and expectations of a Federal Reserve pivot on interest rate hikes have helped cryptocurrencies rise across the board in Q1. These catalysts will likely remain in the spotlight until the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in May.
Shanghai bringing the first greenshoots of #AltcoinSeason ?$ETH is perking up to an 8 month high as we approach one week until the Shanghai fork update @ 10:27:35 PM UTC on the 12th (Epoch #620,9536)
— Rich Rosenblum (@Rich_GSR) April 4, 2023
The rally has mostly been a Fed/USD rates story, causing BTC to lead the way.… pic.twitter.com/dI0bpywR16
As a result, Ether could sustain its yearly gains in April, consolidating inside the $1,800-2,000 range until the Fed decision.
Related: 3 key Ethereum price metrics cast doubt on the strength of ETH’s recent rally
Moreover, a decisive breakout at current levels could result in extended gains with a second-quarter ETH price target of over $3,000.
On the other hand, the bears will attempt to pull the price down for a close below $1,800 with the triangle's lower trendline near $1,600 as its downside target.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
Bitcoin price in 2023 mirrors a 2015 fractal that saw BTC price doubling from $350 to $700 in seven months.
Bitcoin (BTC) could rally toward $50,000 in 2023, according to a historical price fractal highlighted by popular market analyst Mags.
The chart fractal highlights the similarities between Bitcoin's ongoing price trends and those recorded after the completion of the 2013-2015 bear market.
That includes Bitcoin's consolidation inside the $200-300 range between January 2015 and August 2015, which appears identical to its consolidation between the $18,500-25,000 range after the supposed completion of its 2021-2022 bear market.
BTC's price broke above the $16,000-25,000 range in March 2023, prompting Mags to highlight its resemblance to the breakout above the $200-300 range in October 2015.
Since this resulted in a rally toward $700 in June 2016, the analyst sees the scenario potentially repeating in 2023, with the BTC price doubling to $50,000.
"Being bearish here [when Bitcoin's price is around $28,000] is like being bearish at $350," Mags added.
The bullish argument for Bitcoin comes amid anticipations that the U.S. Federal Reserve would slow the pace of its interest rate hikes.
Due to lower rate expectations, the yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note has declined. That, in turn, has boosted investors' appetite for zero-yielding assets like Bitcoin and gold.
In addition, lower yields have also sapped U.S. dollar demand with the dollar losing 1.33% in 2023 versus a basket of top foreign currencies. Since Bitcoin's value is largely denominated in the dollar, it means higher prices for BTC/USD.
Related: Latest Bitcoin price data suggests double top above $200K in 2025
However, Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone has cautioned about a potential bull trap in the Bitcoin market due to a mounting liquidity crunch.
He said:
"It may be illogical to expect the stock market, crude oil, copper, and the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index (BGCI) sustain the recent bounces with year-over-year measures of money supply and commercial bank deposits falling around 2%."
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.