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What is Doji Candlestick

Solana joins ranks of FTT, LUNA with SOL price down 97% from peak — Is a rebound possible?

SOL price jumped 20% after falling to its worst level since February 2021 with Solana's technicals suggesting that more upside is possible.

Solana (SOL), the cryptocurrency once supported by Sam Bankman-Fried, pared some losses on Dec. 30, a day after falling to its lowest level since February 2021.

Solana price down 97% from November 2021 peak 

On the daily chart, SOL's price rebounded to around $10.25, up over 20% from its previous day's low of approximately $8. 

SOL/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

Nevertheless, the intraday recovery did little to offset the overall bear trend — down 97% from its record peak of $267.50 in November 2021, and down over 20% in the past week. 

But while the year has been brutal for markets, Solana now joins the ranks of the worst-performing tokens of 2022, namely FTX Token and LUNA, which are down around 98%. 

FTT (red) vs. LUNA (green) vs. SOL (blue) performance since November 2021. Source: TradingView

SOL price could recover 50%

However, the latest Solana price rebound hints at the possibility of more upside heading into 2023.

That is primarily due to Doji — a candlestick pattern that forms when the asset opens and closes near or at the same level in a specific timeframe. SOL formed what appeared to be a "standard Doji" on its daily chart on Dec. 29.

Traditional analysts consider a Doji as a potential reversal candlestick pattern, given it shows that bears and bulls are at a a stalemate. Therefore, from a technical perspective, a Doji formation during a long uptrend period could suggest a bearish reversal in the making, and vice versa.

SOL's Doji has appeared after a long downtrend period, as shown in the daily chart below. That, coupled with the token's oversold (<30) relative strength index reading, suggests that an extended bullish reversal may happen in 2023.

SOL/USD daily price chart featuring Doji candlestick pattern. Source: TradingView

SOL's primary upside target looks to be around $15, up over 50% from current price levels. The $15 level has served as resistance since Nov. 13, 2022. 

Battling negative fundamentals

Solana has emerged as one of 2022's worst-performing cryptocurrencies, with its year-to-date losses near 97%. In comparison, the total cryptocurrency market cap has dropped onl 65% in the same period.

Related: ‘Everything bubble’ bursts: Worst year for US stocks and bonds since 1932

Several reasons could explain SOL's underperformance in 2022 such as a hawkish Fed, Solana's recurrent downtimes, a $200 million hack on one of its associated wallets, and probable FTX exposure.

Earlier in December, Anatoly Yakovenko, the co-founder of Solana Labs Inc., clarified that nearly 80% of projects on Solana's blockchain had no exposure at all to FTX, stating that there's more to their platform than the defunct crypto exchange.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Macro Guru Raoul Pal Predicts Crypto Market Will Rally ‘Pretty Strongly’ Into Year-End – Here’s His Outlook

What is a Doji candle pattern and how to trade with it?

ADoji candlestick shows indecisiveness in the market, wherein buying and selling behavior offset each other in a particular timeframe.

The Doji candlestick, also called a Doji star, shows indecision between buyers and sellers in the crypto market. This type of candlestick is confirmed on a technical analysis chart when the opening and closing prices are almost identical.

What is a Doji pattern on the candlestick chart?

In simple terms, a Doji shows that an asset's buyers and sellers offset each other. In doing so, any attempts to push up the price by the buyers get thwarted by the sellers. Similarly, efforts to crash the prices from the sellers' end get foiled by the buyers.

Ultimately, both parties bring the price to a pivot level. So, for example, when Bitcoin (BTC) opens and closes at $20,000 on a particular day even if its price seesawed between $25,000 and $15,000 throughout the given24-hour period.

Doji candlestick illustration

So the $25,000 price level — or the intraday high — represents the Doji's upper wick, and the $15,000 price level — the intraday low — represents the candlestick's lower wick.

How does a Doji candle work?

Doji candlesticks have historically helped traders predict market bottoms and tops as a calm before the storm of sorts.

For example, a Doji candlestick that forms during an uptrend could signify bullish exhaustion, i.e., more buyers moving to the sellers' side, typically leading to a trend reversal.

It is valid to note that the Doji pattern does not necessarily mean that there will always be a trend reversal. Instead, it shows indecision among traders about future trends.

Hence, it's better to confirm the Doji candlestick signal with the help of additional technical indicators. For instance, a technical indicator like the relative strength index (RSI) and/or Bollinger bands can give more weight to what the Doji pattern suggests.

Related: 5 More Bullish Candlestick Patterns Every Bitcoin Trader Must Know

Types of Doji patterns and how to trade them

Doji patterns can vary depending on the position and length of the shadow. These are the most popular variations:

Neutral Doji

The neutral Doji consists of a candlestick with an almost invisible body located in the middle of the candlestick, with the upper and lower wicks of similar lengths. This pattern appears when bullish and bearish sentiments are balanced.

Traders can combine the neutral Doji with momentum indicators like the RSI or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to help identify potential market tops and bottoms.

BTC/USD daily price featuring Neutral Doji candlestick pattern. Source: TradingView

For instance, a neutral Doji occurrence in an uptrend coinciding with an overbought RSI (>70) could point to an imminent market correction. Similarly, the candlestick's occurrence in a downtrend when the RSI has turned oversold (<30) could precede a market rebound.

Long-legged Doji

The long-legged doji has longer wicks, suggesting that buyers and sellers have tried to take control of the price action aggressively at some point during the candle's timeframe. 

Normal Doji vs. Long-legged Doji. Source: Commodity.com

Traders should carefully monitor the candlestick's closing price when identifying a potential long-legged Doji. 

Notably, the Doji is a bearish signal if the closing price is below the middle of the candle, especially if it is close to resistance levels. Conversely, if the closing price is above the middle of the candle, it is bullish, as the formation resembles a bullish pin bar pattern.

Bearish Long-legged Doji illustration

If the closing price is right in the middle, it could be considered a trend continuation pattern. In this case, one can always refer to previous candles to predict future trends.

Dragonfly Doji

The Dragonfly Doji appears like a T-shaped candle with a long lower wick and almost no upper wick. It means that the open, the close, and the high price are almost at the same level.

Dragonfly Doji illustration

If the Dragon Doji pattern forms at the end of a downtrend, it can be considered a buy signal, as shown below.

ETH/USD daily price chart featuring Dragonfly Doji. Source: TradingView

Conversely, the candlestick's occurence during an uptrend hints at a potential reversal.

Gravestone Doji

A Gravestone Doji represents an inverted T-shaped candlestick, with the open and close coinciding with the low. The candlestick indicates that the buyers attempted to increase the price but could not sustain the bullish momentum.

Gravestone Doji illustration

When the Gravestone Doji appears in an uptrend. it can be considered a reversal pattern. On the other hand, its occurrence in a downtrend hints at a potential upside retracement.

Four Price Doji

The Four Price Doji is a pattern that rarely appears on a candlestick chart except in low-volume conditions or very short periods. Notably, it looks like a minus sign, suggesting that all four price indicators (open, close, high and low) are at the same level over a given period.

Four Price Doji illustration

In other words, the market did not move during the period covered by the candlestick. This type of Doji is not a reliable pattern and can be ignored. It just shows a moment of indecision in the market.

How reliable is the Doji candle pattern?

The Doji candlestick pattern may not provide the strongest buy or sell signals in technical analysis, and should likely be used alongside other metrics. Nevertheless, it is a useful market signal to consider when gauging the degree of indecisiveness between buyers and sellers.

Building a trading strategy based on Doji candle patterns is best suited for experienced intermediate or professional traders who can easily identify and accurately interprthe given signals.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Macro Guru Raoul Pal Predicts Crypto Market Will Rally ‘Pretty Strongly’ Into Year-End – Here’s His Outlook