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Taliban had a ‘massive chilling effect’ on Afghan crypto market: Report

Crypto value received in Afghanistan surged in the wake of the Taliban seizing power in August 2021, but crypto markets have flat lined under the regime.

The Taliban’s takeover of Afghanistan has had a “massive chilling effect” on the local cryptocurrency market, bringing it to an effective “standstill,” according to a recent report.

Blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis in an Oct. 5 report stated the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region saw the largest crypto market growth in 2022 but noted that Afghani crypto dealers had three options: “flee the country, cease operations, or risk arrest.”

The report states after the Taliban seized power in August 2021, crypto value received in August and September that year spiked to a peak of over $150 million, then fell sharply the following month. 

Before the takeover, Afghani citizens would on average receive $68 million per month in crypto value mainly used for remittances. That figure has now dropped to less than $80,000 post takeover.

Graph from Chainalysis 2022 Geography of Cryptocurrency Report. Source: Chainalysis

Afghanistan was 20th place in Chainalysis’ 2021 crypto adoption index released in October 2021, but now is at the bottom of the list following the Taliban takeover.

The reinstated Ministry for the Propagation of Virtue and the Prevention of Vice in charge of implementing Islamic law in the country is the reason for the change. Chainalysis explains the agency equated cryptocurrency to gambling declaring it haram — forbidden under Islamic law.

Related: Terror groups may turn to NFTs to raise funds and spread messages: WSJ

A large portion of the activity still undertaken in the country comes from money laundering from illicit sources such as bribes or drugs, an anonymous source cited to Chainalysis.

The individual added only a “small portion” is “young people who have a few hundred bucks” to day-trade digital assets.

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What the Taliban crackdown means for crypto’s future in Afghanistan

The Taliban have finally banned crypto in Afghanistan, but many users and traders call it one of the “worst” decisions taken by the government so far.

With the rise of the Taliban last year in August, Afghanistan faced global sanctions that led to many international organizations and money transaction services halting operations in the country. This made room for digital currencies and stablecoins to be widely used, at least to send or receive remittances.

However, the Taliban government has recently banned cryptocurrencies and arrested 16 local exchangers in the Northwestern city of Herat in the past week, according to the provincial news website ATN-News.

According to the report, the exchanges were initially given a grace period to comply with the government’s regulations but were ultimately shut down after failing to do so. The Afghan government has now asked locals to refrain from using digital assets and has warned them of the risks associated with such activities.

However, people familiar with the matter, those who want to stay anonymous due to security reasons, have told Cointelegraph that “no previous announcement or warnings were given.”

“Da Afghanistan Bank (central bank) stated in a letter that digital currency trading has caused lots of problems and is scamming people, therefore they should be closed. We acted and arrested all the exchangers involved in the business and closed their shops,” the head of the counter-crime unit of Herat police, Sayed Shah Sa’adat, told ATN-News.

People familiar with the matter believe there were no crypto-related scams involved in the government’s “stupid” decision. “We mostly used the Binance crypto exchange and a wallet to trade, send or receive assets,” they added. “Right now, we don’t have standard banks or monetary services, and the Taliban banned our only hope.”

In June, the Taliban-led central bank of Afghanistan banned online forex trading in the country. A spokesman told Bloomberg that the bank views forex trade as being both illegal and fraudulent, saying “there is no instruction in Islamic law to approve it.” After the Taliban regained power in Afghanistan, local residents’ finances worsened as billions of dollars in foreign aid were cut off and their overseas assets were frozen under United States sanctions, per Bloomberg.

Why did the Taliban ban crypto?

According to the ATN-News report, the main reasons for the ban are the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies and assets like the U.S. dollar leaving the country since crypto exchanges are not based in Afghanistan. Another reason noted in the report is that digital currencies are new and “the people are not familiar with them.”

The head of the fiat exchangers’ union Ghulam Mohammad Suhrabi also claimed that crypto was used to scam people. However, people familiar with the matter do not know of any crypto-related crime or scam, and Suhrabi also didn’t provide any specific data.

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Some believe that the only reason for the ban is the decentralized nature of cryptocurrencies and the underlying blockchain technology. “They banned it because they cannot control it,” a trader with over six years of crypto experience told Cointelegraph, stating:

“The government wants to see, control and manipulate everything in the country. Crypto is volatile, I agree, but everyone who uses it must know that. We also have stablecoins like Tether, USD Coin and many more for the people who just want to send or receive remittances to/from other countries.”

Cointelegraph’s sources further stated that the Taliban have also told traders and crypto-to-fiat exchangers that cryptocurrency use is like “gambling” and call it “Haram,” which means forbidden under Islamic law. They added that the government wants people to use local banks to transfer money, while “most of the local monetary services are limited and do not allow us to withdraw all of our money at once.”

“We can only get around 20,000 Afghanis (roughly $220) per week from the local banks that one should stay in line for hours sometimes,” a crypto user who gets money from his brother from Germany told Cointelegraph. “In addition to all the difficulties in withdrawing money from banks, another problem is the expensive transaction rates that we are just trying to avoid.”

He added that there are always a bunch of hidden fees with using services like SWIFT, Western Union, MoneyGram and the local Hawala system. The crypto user said that the transaction rates sometimes go up to 20%.

Risk of crypto in Afghanistan

After Afghanistan was hit by a wave of sanctions that limited its reach to international banking and trade, many were looking for an alternative to getting money from their family and friends abroad. The situation made room for cryptocurrencies, as the local money transfer services were either banned or very expensive.

Furthermore, popular payment transfer companies like PayPal and Venmo are not supported by banks in Afghanistan, which limits the financial services that these establishments provide. In addition, it is difficult to open a bank account due to the number of requirements one must meet, such as providing a house deed and working statement.

“We could receive thousands of dollars in crypto assets from our families without worrying about the transaction fees or the complexity of the [digital] exchanges,” locals said. “Using apps like Binance or some [crypto] wallets is super easy, that we even have some illiterate people who can now easily send or receive cryptocurrencies.”

Friday Mosque (Jumah Mosque) in Herat, Afghanistan. Source: Koldo Hormaza.

According to Google Trends data, the interest in the search terms “Bitcoin,” “crypto” and “cryptocurrency” has risen more than 100%, especially in Herat, Kandahar, Kabul, Nangarhar and Balkh provinces. 

Furthermore, Afghanistan was ranked 20th among 154 countries in “The 2021 Global Crypto Adoption Index” by Chainalysis in 2021. This is a positive indication that the people of Afghanistan are willing to invest and use cryptocurrencies in their daily lives, one individual told Cointelegraph.

“Crypto is the only way I can get paid online because we do not have access to a service like PayPal,” said an online worker. “I receive my salary with cryptocurrencies and this is the way I put food on the table for my family of nine, but I’m really hopeless now.”

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One source added that the Taliban might be trying to create a central bank digital currency (CBDC) and could have plans to use blockchain technology. However, most traders believe that there is no need for a CBDC when cryptocurrencies offer what people need. The Taliban have not yet announced any plans related to CBDCs.

“Just imagine what a frictionless, global digital payments system with appropriate controls for illicit finance could do for people in places like Afghanistan — if relatives abroad could easily send remittances, or if NGOs could pay their staff halfway around the world with the click of a button on a smartphone,” the U.S. Deputy Secretary of the Treasury Wally Adeyemo said at Consensus 2022.

Adeyemo pointed out the weakness of local banks in Afghanistan in providing enough cash for “ordinary people.” While the situation in the country is becoming worse every day, he believes that “it is critical that we balance both sides of this proverbial digital coin, the risks and the opportunities.”

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How are Afghans using crypto under the Taliban government?

Afghans have shown great interest in cryptocurrencies and some are using them to avoid U.S. sanctions and get paid from other countries.

After the Taliban took full control of Afghanistan in August last year, many international non-governmental organizations and services stopped operating in the country. Among them were payment services like Western Union and Swift.

Many Afghans subsequently began to learn about cryptocurrencies and the underlying blockchain technology to — at the very least — receive remittances from abroad. As electronic payment services like PayPal and Venmo have never been available in the 5,000-year-old country, Afghans have lost many opportunities in the online business world.

“We lost many opportunities like blogging, affiliate marketing and online dropshipping because most of them pay with PayPal,” Heshmat Aswadi, a local crypto trader, told Cointelegraph in an interview. “I learned a lot about blogging but it was of no use since I could not get paid online.”

Aswadi is studying business administration at Herat University and wanted to create a fintech blog but as he researched on how to get paid, the 22-year-old lost hope. 

He later came to know about cryptocurrencies “which was one of the best things to ever happen to him,” he said. Aswadi learned as he went as the crypto industry grew in mid-2021. He now trades small amounts of digital assets that allow him to make some extra money.

According to Aswadi, banks and governments, especially developing countries like Afghanistan and Iran, must consider using digital currencies as a legal tender. “They could at least use a central bank digital currency,” he added.

“Although there is no need for our government to spend extra money on a central bank digital currency project, if they don’t want decentralized assets, a CBDC could still be an option.”

Remittances

When the Taliban assumed power, money transfer services like Western Union and Swift stopped their operations in the country, leaving many Afghans who got money from relatives abroad without a source of income. Currently, the only way to receive money from other countries is by using crypto.

During the crypto boom in 2021, Afghanistan was ranked 20th among 154 countries in Chainalysis’ 2021 Crypto Adoption Index.

Ali Rahnavard, a local crypto dealer and trader in Herat, one of the largest cities of Afghanistan, says he saw immense growth in the number of Afghans using cryptocurrencies. Rahnavard said that he saw his customers increase by “ten times” in the past year.

“The main reason behind this growth is that people needed to find a way to receive money from their family and friends who live in other countries,” Rahnavard told Cointelegraph.

“It’s much cheaper and faster” than the previous payment systems like Western Union, Rahnavard says. 

In addition to trading, he has been teaching Afghans how to trade and use cryptocurrencies for the past four years. This knowledge would be useful if the country’s Taliban government decides to start using crypto to open up e-commerce in the country.

“Crypto could pave the way for the Taliban to get back to international business as well.” he said, “While the Taliban don’t seem to have the necessary knowledge on how to use blockchain technology at the moment, they could at least help by not banning cryptocurrencies.”

Jumah Mosque of Herat, Aghanistan. View from the Eastern roof top. Source: DidierTais

How is crypto used in Afghanistan?

In November 2021, Binance announced that it will not support Swift bank transfers to user accounts in a long list of countries including Afghanistan. Since most people in the country use Binance, it became difficult to deposit or withdraw crypto to or from the crypto exchange.

Currently, for the customers to get crypto, they go to a crypto dealer’s shop where they pay the amount in the local fiat currency, afghanis, or U.S. dollars. 

In order for the dealer to get cryptocurrency, he needs to contact someone abroad to send crypto to his wallet. The dealer usually uses a local Hawala system to deposit the money to the sender’s bank account. The reason dealers don’t use credit or debit cards is that they charge around 11% for international purchases, according to Rahnavard.

The dealer then asks for the customer’s wallet address and sends the crypto, mostly Tether (USDT). 

Did the Taliban ban crypto?

The Taliban still haven’t announced any regulations or bans regarding digital currencies. If a top Islamic scholar says that crypto is haram (forbidden), the Taliban would ban it “without thinking twice,” Rahnavard said. If they consider it halal (permissible), “we might use the best tech in the world, forever,” he added.

One of the biggest blocks on the way to crypto’s mass adoption in Afghanistan is the low literacy rate: Only 43% of Afghanistan’s population is literate and an even smaller number have regular access to the internet.

A crypto trader anonymously told Cointelegraph: 

“Cryptocurrencies could be our only chance and window to true financial freedom. With all the problems we have in Afghanistan, it’s obviously very hard to teach everyone about crypto but it is not impossible.”

“What I love about decentralization is that it takes the power from governments and gives back to the people,” they added.

Taliban border guard in Turkham, Afghanistan, 2001.

Crypto donations

The Taliban restricted bank account withdrawals as they took power in an attempt to address the cash shortage caused by the United States sanctions. Consequently, millions of Afghans could not get food. Some even tried to sell their children which led to international media coverage and opening the door to donations.

In September of last year, a nonfungible token (NFT) project started by Bookblocks.io and the “Women for Afghan Women” organization. They created digital art to support the education of women in Afghanistan and the ones arriving in the United States as refugees. 

“This is a generation that grew up hopeful and dreaming about their future through educational opportunities,” said Naheed Samadi Bahram, Women for Afghan Women’s U.S. country director. “We are committed to serving Afghan women and girls in Afghanistan and Afghan refugees arriving in the U.S.”

Another social activist and entrepreneur, Fereshteh Forough, has sent cryptocurrencies to Afghan girls in need. 

Forough is the founder and CEO of a coding academy for girls in Afghanistan called Code to Inspire. The academy was started in 2015 in Herat, Afghanistan.

According to Forough, 350 girls graduated Code to Inspire and 65% of them started their careers to put food on their tables. “The girls texted me that all of them had lost their jobs because of the Taliban’s policies,” Forough said. “And, as the sole breadwinners, their families were falling apart.”

 “We found that actually, there are a bunch of local money exchanges in the financial district of Herat that are accepting crypto and they can cash it out for you in either afghanis or dollars,” Forough said. 

She then helped 100 girls through Code to Inspire to create Binance and Trust Wallet accounts to receive cryptocurrency as their payments and exchange their digital assets for fiat in a local crypto exchange.

Forough is not the only one helping Afghans get paid in crypto. Roya Mahboob is the CEO of Afghan Citadel Software Company and pays her employees in digital currencies. She had previously spoken about her role and was featured for her pact to make a difference:

“If young people can learn about computers, they can learn about Bitcoin. And now everybody wants to learn how to access Bitcoin. They need to.”

Much more to come

Since August last year, nothing has been the same, not even the country’s name which changed from the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan to the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan. Many NGOs left the country and many lost their jobs, leading to a financial crisis and, nonetheless, starvation.

The only way some families could live was to get money from abroad but without cryptocurrencies, it’s almost impossible now. 

“Other countries learn about crypto because it’s a new technology and want to learn how to use crypto and blockchain to their favor,” Rahnavard said. “But, it’s different in Afghanistan. We must and need to learn about crypto and its underlying technology because if we don’t, I don’t know what bigger disaster should be expected.”

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The Taliban will never understand crypto, according to founder of LEARN Afghanistan

Pashtana Durrani described the Taliban as "people who were fighting in rural and very mountainous regions" who don't have the proper background for modern financial literacy.

Pashtana Durrani, the founder of an organization working to make education available to women and girls across Afghanistan as the country remains under Taliban rule, said the Islamic fundamentalist group has poor financial literacy, especially when it comes to crypto.

In a Wednesday interview with political commentator Tommy Vietor from Pod Save the World, LEARN Afghanistan founder Pashtana Durrani said the international community — particularly the United States — should consider removing the sanctions imposed on Afghanistan and unfreezing funds controlled by foreign governments. According to Durrani, limiting foreign aid to Afghanistan through nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) and other entities gives the Taliban an advantage, as opposed to using the latest technology, including cryptocurrency.

“When I say unfreeze the assets, send it in cryptocurrency — the Taliban will never understand it,” said Durrani. “Send it to a private bank — they will never be able to access it [...] Taliban don't have bank accounts. Taliban were people who were fighting in rural and very mountainous regions. They had no time to go to a bank, fill out the forms and have that.”

Pashtana Durrani speaking on Pod Save the World

Following the almost immediate takeover by the Taliban in August, Afghanistan has faced a number of crises. In addition to the threat imposed by having armed religious extremists in control of the government, millions of Afghans are facing food insecurity and economic hardship. Many residents are still unable to withdraw cash from banks as the international community attempts to impose restrictions aimed at hurting the Taliban.

“The sanction is only hurting the people who had savings in the bank accounts. It’s hurting the teachers, it's hurting the students, it's hurting all those people who actually worked in the past two decades — it's never going to hurt Taliban.”

Many nonprofit organizations helping Afghan refugees relocate to foreign countries have asked for crypto donations using Bitcoin (BTC) and other tokens, but Durrani has called on using digital assets as a force for good in the face of what she considers to be ineffective sanctions. In the digital age, good samaritans have sometimes completely bypassed official sanctions imposed by the U.S. to donate directly to people impacted by war, famine, or other disasters in countries like Iran and Yemen.

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“Afghanistan can be put into those great lists of [the Financial Action Task Force] and all that,” said Durrani. “It could be one of those countries where you just start using cryptocurrency — legitimize it, whatever — but at the end of the day you're hurting the wrong kind of people to punish the people who are in power.”

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NFT project partners with Afghanistan organization to help women get access to education

“This is a generation that grew up hopeful and dreaming about their future through educational opportunities,” said Women for Afghan Women’s U.S. country director Naheed Samadi Bahram.

Non-fungible token company Bookblocks.io has partnered with a New York-based organization to help women in Afghanistan have access to education amid the Taliban takeover.

Bookblocks.io announced it would be releasing a non-fungible token, or NFT, on Oct. 5 with the proceeds given to Women for Afghan Women, an organization which helps provide women access to education and vocational training in both Afghanistan and the United States. The artwork, inspired by American author Louisa May Alcott, features half a woman’s face covered by a single butterfly wing with the quote “nothing is impossible to a determined woman.”

When the Taliban took control of Afghanistan in the 1990s, they banned education for almost all women and girls. History has practically repeated itself as the extremist Islamist group seized control of the government following the withdrawal of the U.S. military last month, only advising men and boys to return to school so far. The country’s Deputy Minister of Education Zabihullah Mujahidwhile has cryptically said the Taliban plans to give women and girls access to education “as soon as possible.”

“This is a generation that grew up hopeful and dreaming about their future through educational opportunities,” said Women for Afghan Women’s U.S. country director Naheed Samadi Bahram. “We are committed to serving Afghan women and girls in Afghanistan and Afghan refugees arriving in the U.S.”

According to Bookblocks.io, 100% of the money raised from the sale of the NFTs will go towards Women for Afghan Women, with a 5% residual for each subsequent sale. The company plans to mint 2,200 copies of the NFT in recognition of the reported 2.2 million girls currently unable to attend school in Afghanistan. The price starts at 0.025 Ether (ETH), or roughly $75.54 at the time of publication.

Related: Helping Afghanistan: Organizations currently accepting crypto donations

Afghan women, risking death, beatings, and imprisonment, have continued to protest the Taliban’s stance not allowing them to attend school, both through social media messages and in-person demonstrations. Code to Inspire, a school aiming to educate Afghan girls on coding and robotics, is continuing online classes as the situation develops.

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Cardano founder says crypto will be vital to Afghani fight against Taliban

Afghans will leverage crypto assets as a store of value and to preserve financial privacy amid the Taliban’s dramatic insurgence, predicts Charles Hoskinson.

However, he also believes the Taliban will embrace digital assets too.

In a Sept. 1 interview with CNBC, Hoskinson, also a co-founder of Ethereum expressed his expectation that “cryptocurrencies will play a larger role in Afghanistan [...] in the war for and against the Taliban forces."

Hoskinson highlighted the need for financial privacy-preserving technologies in Afghanistan, stating:

Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson believes that digital assets may play an important role in offering financial privacy to Afghani citizens following the withdrawal of US forces.

“Afghan’s digital life is now under scrutiny, the last two decades are being reviewed by a regime that if you expressed your opinion in ways that don’t fit their regressive viewpoints you are now under threat of harassment, imprisonment or even death.”

While concrete presumptions around how cryptocurrencies will benefit Afghan society were scant, adopting digital assets would allow Afghan citizens to evade the Taliban’s attempts to track personal spending or seize their crypto assets.

Using digital assets as a store of value could also provide protection against inflation, with some analysts speculating that Afghanistan may soon face a crisis of hyperinflation.

While many local bank accounts have been frozen at the behest of international aid organizations and the United States, Western Union also suspended services in the country until further notice last week — limiting the means available to Afghani citizens seeking to transfer their assets internationally.

"Western Union understands the urgent need people have to receive funds, and we are committed to resuming operations for our customers in Afghanistan as conditions permit," the company said in a statement.

There are already many organizations that have shifted to accept cryptocurrencies in an effort to facilitate funding of basic needs and medical care for the Afghan people.

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Crypto adoption appears to have been rising in Afghanistan over recent years, with the country currently ranking 20th according to Chainalysis’ 2021 Global Crypto Adoption Index.

Other developing countries including Venezuela, Vietnam, the Philippines and neighbor Pakistan also dominate the adoption rankings, suggesting digital assets are seeing significant adoption in countries with poor financial infrastructure.

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Amid Taliban takeover, aspiring crypto miner flees Afghanistan

The Afghan refugee believed the Taliban would restrict access to smartphones and the internet, making crypto mining impossible.

An Afghan refugee who had planned to start a crypto mining business has been arrested in Turkey after illegally crossing the border.

According to a Reuters report, Muhammad Ali’s goal was to mine Bitcoin (BTC) or Ether (ETH) in Afghanistan before the recent Taliban takeover, when he was forced to flee the country. He claimed that with the restrictions on personal liberties the group was likely to impose, smartphones with cameras could easily be deemed illegal, and internet access could be compromised.

Ali, who previously had a YouTube channel where he discussed financial topics, reportedly left Afghanistan amid the Taliban gaining control of major populated areas, traveled across northern Iran, and crossed the Turkey-Iran border — a journey of more than 2,000 km. However, he reported his group had been ”arrested by police” shortly after entering Turkey.

Reports out of Afghanistan suggest hundreds of thousands of people are attempting to flee the country amid the full withdrawal of the U.S. military: some awaiting foreign governments to process visas so they can fly out of Kabul’s airport, while others like Ali attempt to escape on land. Though Turkish authorities are reportedly not sending refugees caught illegally crossing the Turkey-Iran border back to Afghanistan, they are being deported to Iran.

Though Ali had expressed concern about Afghans’ access to smartphones and the internet, for the moment information is still making its way out of the country via social media and other channels. For example, someone posted a video showing a group of women protesting in Kabul as Taliban soldiers watched, and others claimed the Taliban burned down an amusement park shortly after riding the rides.

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The students with Code to Inspire, a school aiming to educate Afghan girls on coding and robotics, are “still coding at home” as of Aug. 20, according to founder Fareshteh Forough. However, the situation in the country is seemingly unstable as reports of assault, murder, and human rights violations circulate while the Taliban expands its foothold.

As of today, President Joe Biden said the U.S. military is still on track to withdraw from Afghanistan by Aug. 31, the deadline on which an agreement was reached with the Taliban.

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