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African Union greenlights AI adoption across member states

The strategy aims to fast-track AI development and adoption in Africa, driving innovation and growth in the continent.

The Executive Council of the African Union (AU) has approved the “Continental Artificial Intelligence Strategy,” which promotes AI adoption in the public and private sectors among member states.

This strategy was announced in a document published on the AU website on Aug. 9.

The AU’s AI strategy was formally adopted during the AU Executive Council’s 45th Ordinary Session between July 18 and 19 in Accra, Ghana. It aims to harness AI for the continent’s development and the well-being of its people.

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AI needs a killer app to prove it’s not a bubble — Goldman Sachs, MIT

Analysts were split over whether today’s AI investments would pay off in the next decade.

Analysts from Goldman Sachs and MIT recently took a deep dive into the generative artificial intelligence (AI) market to determine its short- and long-term viability for investors. 

The question looming over their research was whether the current AI market represents an expanding bubble waiting to burst, or the “pickaxes and shovels” stage of the next frontier for technology and industry.

Unfortunately, according to the report, the answer isn’t so simple. The marketplace differences that occur when a bubble is about to burst — as seen when the dot-com bubble burst — and a killer application is about to turbocharge a technology — as seen when Satoshi Nakamoto et al. invented cryptocurrency — can be too subtle to see until it’s too late.

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AI boom to beat electricity and PCs, $200B investment by 2025: Goldman Sachs

Economists from Goldman Sachs predict that AI investment could account for up to 4% of GDP in the United States by 2025.

Artificial intelligence could eventually have a bigger financial impact on the American economy than electricity and personal computers, according to economists at investment banking giant Goldman Sachs.

In an Aug. 1 investment report, Goldman Sachs economists Joseph Briggs and Devesh Kodnani predicted that AI could pull as much as $200 billion in global investments by 2025 — with half of that in the United States — boosting its gross domestic product (GDP).

While past tech booms spurred by the introduction of electricity and PCs saw GDP grow 2%, Goldman economists estimated that AI could account for up to 4% of GDP in the United States and 2.5% in other nations that have already begun investing heavily in the technology.

Projection of AI investment growth globally and in the U.S., China over next three years. Source: Goldman Sachs

Goldman attributed much of the expected gains to the rapid advancements being made in generative AI. The most notable example of generative AI technology is OpenAI’s chatbot ChatGPT, but the sub-sector also includes tools such as image creation software Midourney, and text-to-speech generator Eleven Labs.

"Generative AI has enormous economic potential and could boost global labor productivity by more than 1 percentage point a year in the decade following widespread usage.”

But these productive benefits of generative AI come with a cost, namely that businesses will need to start investing heavily, and soon.

"For large-scale transformation to happen, businesses will need to make significant upfront investment in physical, digital, and human capital to acquire and implement new technologies and reshape business processes," read the report.

Related: ChatGPT’s capabilities are getting worse with age, new study claims

Goldman also noted the number of companies that have mentioned or integrated AI, with 16% of Russell 3000 companies mentioning AI in their earnings calls. Considering this figure is up significantly from less than 1% in 2016, the bank said this puts America on the front foot when it comes to innovation in AI.

"The U.S., meanwhile, is positioned as the market leader in AI technology, and American companies will likely be relatively early adopters."

The economists noted that while the timing of the AI investment cycle is hard to predict, current business surveys suggest that AI will begin to have its most significant investment impact after 2025.

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BlackRock lauds AI as ‘mega force’ to drive returns

AI could prove to be a boon for investors looking for gains in today's “unusual” market.

Global investment titan BlackRock, which manages some $10 trillion in assets, has declared artificial intelligence a “mega force” that could create significant returns for investors in today’s “unusual” market.

In its mid-year outlook report, the BlackRock Investment Institute detailed their thesis for increased investment in AI — pointing to multiple “disruptive” themes that could see the sector grow rapidly over the coming years.

S&P market cap vs relative performance from 1990. Source: BlackRock.

The report drew special attention to the fact that gains in the S&P 500 — the index that tracks the 500 largest companies in the United States — have become increasingly concentrated in a handful of tech stocks. The firm says investment in AI is a good way to capitalize on this concentration.

"We think this unusual equity market shows a mega force like AI can be a big driver of returns even when the macro environment is not your friend."

To BlackRock’s investment team, the most obvious “benefit” of AI lies in automation. While they admitted white-collar jobs are at an “increased risk” of being automated away, it said the resulting cost savings could significantly boost profit margins, especially for companies with high staff costs and an abundance of easily-automated tasks.

The team added that the nascent tech could prove to be a boon for companies that are currently sitting on a “gold mine” of proprietary data — with AI-powered tools allowing firms to leverage dormant information into “innovative” new models.

The report also listed the global push towards low-carbon economies, aging populations, and a rapidly-evolving financial system as key drivers of growth in the coming decade.

BlackRock isn’t alone in giving more airtime to AI. In a June 28 tweet, Matt Huang, the CEO of crypto investment firm Paradigm, said the rapid and varying developments in field of AI are simply “too interesting to ignore."

Still, not all commentators are convinced by a bullish AI investment thesis.

Related: Google says its next AI ‘Gemini’ will be more powerful than ChatGPT

Macro-finance commentator @Financelot told his 90,000 followers on Twitter that the AI boom — which has seen shares in GPU-manufacturer Nvidia skyrocket by more than 180% in six months — is actually being fueled largely by demand for specific AI-focused computing chips.

In his view, once the U.S. implements export restrictions on these chips, the share prices of AI-related companies will falter.

While there’s bullishness for AI, recent weeks has seen the investment giant has turn its gaze to Bitcoin. On June 15 the firm submitted an application to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for a spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF).

If the application is successful, it will be the first spot Bitcoin trust product to be approved by the regulator. Senior investment analysts from bloomberg have pinned Blackrock’s chance of an approval at 50%.

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