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Bitcoin price analysis

3 signs Bitcoin’s ‘parabolic phase’ with a $250K target is about to begin

Bitcoin whale accumulation, chart technicals, and a declining stablecoin dominance hint at a BTC price bull run ahead.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has climbed 55% so far in 2024, including 12.50% gains in October. Its recent increases have been fueled by an overall improving risk-on sentiment led by better-than-expected Wall Street earnings.

BTC/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Additionally, investors are increasingly pricing in potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in November, with pro-crypto Donald Trump’s rising odds of winning the 2024 presidential election furthering the optimism.

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Bitcoin price to $62K? Bearish div hints at a slow start to Uptober

Bitcoin open interest is testing a yearly high range of $35B while spot volumes remain skewed towards the sell side, indicating higher downside volatility. 

Bitcoin’s (BTC) monthly price chart is less than 48 hours away from completing a bullish engulfing pattern for the first time in more than 18 months. The last time this happened was in January 2023, marking the bearish bottom from 2022.

Bitcoin 1-month chart. Source: TradingView

While Bitcoin’s long-term trend for Q4 and early 2025 looks positive, recent signs indicate there might be downside volatility in the short term.

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Bitcoin ‘ticking time bomb’ setup targets $150K by 2025

Bitcoin price technical setups, including a "cup and handle" pattern, suggest an explosive move to $100,000-$150,000 over the coming months. 

Bitcoin (BTC) is flashing signals that may indicate an explosive move to the $100,000-$150,000 range by the first quarter of 2025.

Bitcoin’s recent price action shows a confluence of technical indicators aligning with a breakout. The most notable pattern forming on the charts is the "cup and handle," a classic technical formation suggesting bullish continuation.

This pattern features a rounded bottom (cup) and a subsequent consolidation phase (handle). The handle’s formation signals a period of consolidation, often preceding a major bullish breakout.

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Bitcoin price to see massive move to new all-time high if chart pattern plays out —Trader

A unique trading pattern projects a massive upward move for Bitcoin price within the next few months.

Bitcoin (BTC) price could see a massive upward move and enter price discovery if a bullish chart pattern known as a descending broadening triangle is confirmed, according to a crypto trader. 

“#Bitcoin is moving within a Descending Broadening Triangle,” crypto Post Trader Tardigrade explained in an Aug. 12 post on the X social media platform.

The analyst was referring to Bitcoin’s year-to-date price action on a two-week chart timeframe, which had formed a descending broadening wedge.

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Bitcoin reclaims $62K, analysts say worst is ‘likely behind us’

With Germany’s “forced selling” over and Mt. Gox repayments all but priced in, analysts look to an easing macro environment as a driver for Bitcoin’s price in the coming months.

The price of Bitcoin has reclaimed ground above the $62,000 mark, and analysts say the worst of the selling could be over with German BTC sales over and Mt. Gox payments all but priced in. 

Bitcoin (BTC) has rallied 5.2% in the last 24 hours, bouncing off two-month lows of $53,500 on July 4, and is currently changing hands for $62,550, per TradingView data.

Ben Simpson, the founder of crypto education platform Collective Shift told Cointelegraph that he believed Bitcoin’s “local bottom” had now been formed and believes BTC is now headed for an uptrend.

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3 reasons why Bitcoin analysts think a BTC price ‘cycle top’ is in

Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards says that multiple onchain metrics point to a “sign of weakness” in Bitcoin price.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has fallen 2.25% over the last 24 hours and is currently 16% below its all-time high of $73,835, reached on March 14.

Bitcoin price is down 8.75% over the last 30 days and 5.5% over the last three months. The BTC price trended low in June and has left market analysts wondering whether the “cycle top” is in for the pioneer cryptocurrency.

Let’s look at some of the reasons why some analysts think that the Bitcoin bull market has peaked.

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3 things that can spoil a potentially bullish July for Bitcoin

BTC price is likely to face headwinds in July from Mt. Gox repayments that could result in a "bull pennant" breakdown on the charts.

Bitcoin (BTC) teeters on the edge of closing June with a monthly loss and clinging to the critical $60,000 support level.

Unfortunately for the bulls, the BTC/USD pair might be headed for rougher waters with a series of bearish indicators pointing towards increased selling pressure in July.

One of the most significant bearish events in the cryptocurrency market in June was related to the long-awaited Mt. Gox repayments.

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Bitcoin price falls to $29.5K, but on-chain data reflects investors’ growing interest

BTC price dropped below $30,000 again today, but the recent crab market price action is also backed by compelling investor activity on-chain.

Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped below the $30,000 level on July 18, which given the developments of the last month, retail investors may not have expected, but does today’s downside move represent an upcoming shift in the trend? 

Data suggests that over the longer-term it does not.

To get to the positives first, Bitcoin price is still attempting to flip the $30,000 level to support after about 10 attempts since April of this year, but price is continuously finding buyers in the $28,000 to $25,000 range which buyers seem to be viewing as an accumulation zone.

On-chain data from Glassnode’s Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score supports this sentiment and could be a positive, depending on how investors’ look at things given that the behavior of investors at $30,000 BTC price mirrors the same accumulation behavior seen in the $28,000 to $24,000 zone and the near the supposed $16,800 bottom.

Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score. Source: glassnode

According to glassnode, “an Accumulation Trend Score of closer to 1 indicates that on aggregate, larger entities (or a big part of the network) are accumulating, and a value closer to 0 indicates they are distributing or not accumulating.”

Basically, buyers strongly accumulated from Nov. 2022 to Dec. 2022 and they were heavy accumulators from March to April 2023 when BTC recaptured $30,000 and the metric suggests they are doing the same in July as BTC attempts to either conquer the $30,000 resistance or received a boost from all the ETF and XRP SEC news.

Bitcoin is in a crab market

The current price action and derivatives market data suggest that Bitcoin is in a crab market, where price remains range bound and consolidates for a prolonged period of time. As JLabs analyst JJ the Janitor pointed out last week, a strong push through the $32,000 level would catalyze a CME gap fill from the Luna Terra-crash era.

Bitcoin CME Futures showcasing Luna crash CME Gap. Source: JJ The Janitor

From the perspective of Bitcoin’s weekly market structure, the $30,000 level is an important pivot point that has functioned as support in the previous bull market cycle (and now as resistance) but a grab above that level would essentially set a higher high on the longer time frame and be confirmation of a trend reversal where the next point of resistance is around the $37,000 level.

BTC/USDT 1-week chart. Source: TradingView

Traders’ activity in the derivatives market is another factor contributing to the current crab market. Funding is down, open interest is relatively muted and besides retail plebs who are attempting to long breakouts and long lower support retests, or short breakouts and getting liquidated in both instances, a meaningful surge in these metrics that would inspire confidence that price is on the verge of some massive breakout has yet to emerge.

BTC/USDT derivatives data, daily chart. Source: JJ The Janitor

Sure, DXY took a dip below 100 last week but it's possibly more connected to investors reacting to the Fed’s positive steps on inflation and too tight of a timeframe to expect some massive reaction from BTC immediately.

The price action in crypto exchange futures highlights degen longs and shorts trying to get ahead of price breakouts and that they are not having much success in the short term.

JJ the Janitor suggests that a metric to watch is aggregate open interest, if that breaks down sharply from the current range then some true buy the dip opportunities could emerge. Currently, it’s still in an uptrend, albeit sideways, but seeing a surge in OI could also be interesting and likely news, regulatory or legislative event driven.

Related: Bitcoin price falls under $30K as macro and regulatory worries take center stage

While Bitcoin’s short-term price action might raise some concern among newer investors and day-traders, the on-chain perspective remains quite compelling.

At the same time, the Total Balance in Accumulation Addresses metric has also resumed its uptrend since March 16, when BTC price traded at $25,000.

Bitcoin Total Balance in Accumulation Addresses (BTC). Source: glassnode

Readers should also note that the metric also shows the total balance in accumulation addresses increasing since January 2022, when Bitcoin price was trading at $47,800 per coin. What is apparent is that through the worst of the crypto market collapse and Bitcoin price sell-off, multiple on-chain metrics show investors continuing to increase their allocation to BTC.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Price analysis 3/15: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, MATIC, SOL, DOT, SHIB

Credit Suisse has pulled the U.S. equities markets lower, but a positive sign is that Bitcoin and select altcoins are holding near their local highs.

The United States equities markets tumbled on March 15 after Saudi National Bank, Swiss Bank Credit Suisse’s largest investor, said it will not be able to provide any more funding to Credit Suisse due to regulatory limitations.

Investors are nervous because Credit Suisse, which has large U.S. and global operations, warned on March 14 that it had found “certain material weaknesses” in its financial reporting processes for 2021 and 2022. Shares of Credit Suisse plummeted to an all-time low on March 15.

After the events of the past few days, the S&P 500 has given back all its gains for the year and is trading flat. In comparison, Bitcoin (BTC) is holding on to a large part of its gains and is up nearly 47% in 2023.

Trezor Bitcoin analyst Josef Tětek believes the banking crisis could be positive for Bitcoin as it could emerge as a safe haven asset.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Capriole CEO and founder Charles Edwards said that Bitcoin has formed a “bump and run reversal pattern,” which has a target objective of $100,000 and higher. However, Edwards cautioned traders that the pattern could fail, hence it should not be used for building a trading or investment plan.

Could Bitcoin and the altcoins rise above their overhead resistance levels and start the next leg of the up-move? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

The bulls propelled Bitcoin above the overhead resistance of $25,250 on March 14 but the long wick on the candlestick shows that bears are not ready to surrender without a fight. Strong selling pulled the price back below $25,250.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day exponential moving average ($23,012) has started to turn up and the relative strength index (RSI) is in the positive territory, indicating advantage to buyers.

If the bulls do not give up much ground from the current level, the possibility of a break and close above $25,250 increases. If that happens, the BTC/USDT pair will complete a bullish inverse head and shoulders (H&S) pattern. That will signal a potential trend change. The pair may then sprint toward $32,000.

If bears want to slow down the bullish momentum, they will have to quickly pull the price back below the moving averages.

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) soared above the overhead resistance at $1,743 on March 14 but the bulls could not sustain the higher levels. This suggests that the bears are trying to protect the level.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price consolidates between $1,743 and the 20-day EMA ($1,588), it will suggest that the sentiment has turned positive and traders are buying on dips. That will improve the prospects of a break and close above $1,743. The ETH/USDT pair is then well-positioned for a strong rally toward the psychological level of $2,000.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and breaks below the moving averages, it will indicate that the ETH/USDT pair may consolidate in a large range between $1,743 and $1,352 for some time.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) turned down from the strong resistance near $318. This suggests that the bears are trying to defend the zone between $318 and $338.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

A minor positive in favor of the buyers is that they have not allowed the price to break back below the 50-day simple moving average ($306). The shallow pullback shows that every minor dip is being purchased.

The bulls will make one more attempt to catapult the price above the overhead zone. If they do that, the BNB/USDT pair can soar toward $400. Contrarily, if the price breaks below the 50-day SMA, the pair may slide to the 20-day EMA ($296). A break below this level will signal advantage to bears.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) turned down from the 50-day SMA ($0.38) and formed a Doji candlestick pattern on March 14, indicating indecision among the bulls and the bears.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The uncertainty resolved to the downside on March 15 and the price has slipped to the strong support at $0.36. If this level is taken out, the XRP/USDT pair could decline to the support line of the channel near $0.32.

On the other hand, if the price stays above $0.36, the bulls will again try to overcome the obstacle at the 50-day SMA and $0.40. If they can pull it off, the pair may pick up momentum and climb to $0.43.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) accelerated on March 14 and reached the 50-day SMA ($0.36) but the long wick on the day’s candlestick shows that the bears are aggressively selling on rallies.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears have tugged the price back below the 20-day EMA ($0.34) on March 15, which has cleared the path for a possible retest of $0.30. Buyers are likely to protect this level with all their might because the next support is way lower at $0.27.

Alternatively, if the price rebounds from the current level or $0.30, it will suggest that traders are buying on dips. That may keep the ADA/USDT pair range-bound between the 50-day SMA and $0.50 for a few days.

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin’s (DOGE) recovery has reached the downtrend line where the bears are mounting a strong resistance.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The downsloping 20-day EMA ($0.07) and the RSI in the negative territory indicate that bears are in control. Sellers are trying to yank the price below the immediate support at $0.07. If this support collapses, the DOGE/USDT pair may descend to $0.06.

On the contrary, if the price rebounds off the current level, it will suggest that lower levels are attracting buyers. The downtrend line remains the key level on the upside because a break above it could start a relief rally to $0.10.

Polygon price analysis

Polygon’s (MATIC) relief rally is facing stiff resistance at the 50-day SMA ($1.22). That has pulled the price below the 20-day EMA ($1.16) on March 15.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The MATIC/USDT pair could plummet to the strong support at $1.05. This is an important level to watch out for because if it cracks, the pair may retest the $0.94 support. A break below this level will open the gates for a potential drop to $0.69.

Another possibility is that the price rebounds off the $1.05 support. If that happens, the bulls will again try to drive the price above the 50-day SMA. If they succeed, the likelihood of a break above $1.30 increases.

Related: 4 signs the Bitcoin price rally could top out at $26K for now

Solana price analysis

The bears are trying to halt Solana’s (SOL) rally at the 50-day SMA ($22.40) but the bulls are trying to keep the price above the immediate support at $19.68.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This suggests that the bulls will again try to push the price to the downtrend line. This is a vital resistance to keep an eye on because a break and close above it will signal a potential trend change. There is a minor resistance at $28 but it is likely to be crossed. The SOL/USDT pair may then surge toward $39.

Instead, if the price continues lower and falls below $19.68, it will suggest that the bears have not yet given up. The pair may then slump to the strong support at $15.28.

Polkadot price analysis

Buyers tried to drive Polkadot (DOT) above the 50-day SMA ($6.42) on March 14 but the bears did not relent. This suggests that higher levels are attracting sellers.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Both moving averages have flattened out and the RSI is just below the midpoint indicating a status of equilibrium between the bulls and the bears. If the price breaks and sustains below the 20-day EMA ($6.07), the DOT/USDT pair may swing between the 50-day SMA and $5 for a few days.

If buyers kick the price above the 50-day SMA, the pair could pick up momentum and soar toward the neckline of the inverse H&S pattern. On the downside, the bears will have to sink the pair below $5 to indicate a comeback.

Shiba Inu price analysis

Shiba Inu (SHIB) is trading inside a descending channel pattern. The bulls tried to push the price above the channel but the bears held their ground.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will again try to pull the price below the psychological support at $0.000010. If they manage to do that, the SHIB/USDT pair could fall toward the support line of the channel. The bulls are likely to defend the $0.000008 to $0.000007 zone with all their might.

If the price rebounds off this level, it will suggest that the pair may consolidate inside the large range between $0.000018 and $0.000007 for some more time.

In the near term, a break above the 50-day SMA ($0.000012) will tilt the advantage in favor of the bulls. The pair could then attempt a rally to $0.000014 and then to $0.000016.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Bitcoin’s $100K price target returns as BTC price breaks out of bull pennant

The bullish analogy appears as Bitcoin reserves across all the crypto exchanges fall to their lowest in the previous 12 months, suggesting holding sentiment among traders.

Bitcoin (BTC) looks poised to pursue a run-up towards $100,000 as its price breaks out of a classic bullish structure.

Dubbed as Bull Pennant, the setup represents a price consolidation period with converging trendlines that form after a strong move higher. It ultimately prompts the price to break out in the direction of its previous trend to a level typically at length higher by as much as the size of the initial large move.

On Bitcoin weekly charts, the cryptocurrency appeared to have been trending inside a similar consolidation structure, with its price fluctuating inside a Triangle-like structure following a strong move higher (Flagpole).

BTC/USD weekly price chart featuring Bull Pennant setup. Source: TradingView.com

Last week, Bitcoin broke above the structure's upper trendline as it rose by 13.5% with rising trading volumes to boot. As a result, the cryptocurrency's breakout move indicated its potential to rise by as much as the size of its previous trend (nearly $50,000).

Measuring from the point of breakout (~$48,200), the Bull Pennant's upside target thereby comes out to be another $50,000 higher, i.e., almost $100,000.

Other predictions

The technical setup projected Bitcoin at $100,000 no longer after many analysts envisioned the cryptocurrency at the same, six-digital valuation.

A team of researchers at Standard Chartered, headed by its global head of emerging market currency research, Geoffrey Kendrick, predicted BTC to hit $100,000 by early next year. They cited Bitcoin's potential to become "the dominant peer-to-peer payment method for the global unbanked" behind their bullish prediction.

David Gokhshtein, the founder of Gokhshtein Media and PAC Global, also imagined Bitcoin above $100,000 before the end of 2021. The executive based his bullish outlook on the amount of available fiat liquidity in the market, which, according to him, has prompted leading Wall Street players to purchase Bitcoin.

"Not everybody's going to come out publicly and tell you that they're buying bitcoin, but they are," Gokhshtein told Business Insider.

"There's too much money in the market. Way too much money. Institutions did not come in here to play for five minutes."

His statements appeared after George Soros' investment firm revealed at a Bloomberg event that it owns Bitcoin, sending the cryptocurrency spiking. That soon followed up with JPMorgan & Chase's latest report that showed institutional investors' preference for Bitcoin over Gold as an inflation hedge.

In an earlier study published in May, the banking giant projected Bitcoin to reach $140,000 in the long term.

Holding sentiment on rise

On-chain indicators highlighted a rise in holding sentiment among Bitcoin traders.

Related: Tesla may have made more money holding Bitcoin than selling cars

In detail, the Bitcoin reserves held across all crypto exchanges recently dropped to their lowest levels in a year, as per data provided by blockchain analytics firm CryptoQuant. The decline illustrated traders' intention to hold their Bitcoin tokens close than trading them for other fiat/digital assets.

BTC reserves across all exchanges. Source: TradingView.com

Therefore, declining Bitcoin balances on exchanges typically follow up with rise in the BTC price.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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