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Bitcoin price action ‘tough to call’ after Fed rate decision — Zerocap

Bitcoin could rally as high as $65,000 following expected rate cuts later this week but analysts fear US election uncertainty could keep crypto asset prices lower for longer.

Bitcoin is “tough to call” and could fall as low as $53,000 or as high as $65,000 following the Federal Reserve’s decision on rates on Sept. 18, according to Australian crypto trading firm Zerocap.

Jonathan de Wet, the chief investment officer at Zerocap, told Cointelegraph the market is now anticipating a 62% chance that the Fed will cut rates by a minimum of 50 basis points (0.5%), which he said already contributed to the brief rally that saw Bitcoin touch $60,000 on Sept. 13.

However, Wet said the price action is “tough to call” due to lingering uncertainty around the impact of rate cuts in the short term and is only complicated further by the precariousness of the upcoming US election in November. 

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Bitcoin ‘ticking time bomb’ setup targets $150K by 2025

Bitcoin price technical setups, including a "cup and handle" pattern, suggest an explosive move to $100,000-$150,000 over the coming months. 

Bitcoin (BTC) is flashing signals that may indicate an explosive move to the $100,000-$150,000 range by the first quarter of 2025.

Bitcoin’s recent price action shows a confluence of technical indicators aligning with a breakout. The most notable pattern forming on the charts is the "cup and handle," a classic technical formation suggesting bullish continuation.

This pattern features a rounded bottom (cup) and a subsequent consolidation phase (handle). The handle’s formation signals a period of consolidation, often preceding a major bullish breakout.

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Bitcoin headed for breakout or breakdown? Analysts weigh in

Analysts say upcoming rate cuts could be a boon for Bitcoin’s price action but the market is still in “wait and see” mode.

Crypto analysts are tipping three major events in the coming weeks that could drive up the price of Bitcoin, depending on how the market reacts to them. 

For the last seven months, Bitcoin has traded in a downtrending range between $74,000 and $52,000 and investors have grown increasingly restless about whether or not BTC will breakout to the upside or if its price will continue to crumble. 

Coinstash co-founder Mena Theodorou told Cointelegraph that the next major move for Bitcoin will hinge on how the market responds to upcoming political and regulatory shifts in the United States during election season, as well as upcoming macroeconomic data. 

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2 key Bitcoin metrics signal steady bull cycle — ‘No bubble’ in sight

The metrics suggest that Bitcoin is unlikely to be overvalued at current levels, and its price action is developing “steadily without significant anomalies or sharp jumps.”

Although Bitcoin’s price is yet to reclaim its March all-time high, an analyst claims two key metrics show that the bull market remains strong and steady with no signs of a deep correction.

In an Aug. 18 report, CryptoQuant researcher Axel Adler looked to two key metrics — the bubble vs. crush market structure and the ratio between the difference of market cap and realized cap and the standard deviation of market cap (MVRV-Z score) — as signals that Bitcoin’s current price action is tracking a healthy path forward. 

“We can see that the current bull cycle is developing quite steadily without significant anomalies or sharp jumps,” Adler added.

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Debate rages over Bitcoin power law as critics label it a ‘magic trick’

The Bitcoin power law has come under intense debate, with critics on one side and fierce advocates on the other.

The Bitcoin power law — a mathematical model that suggests continued growth in the price of Bitcoin over time — has become the subject of fierce debate, with critics slamming it as “deeply flawed” and saying it’s more like a “horoscope” than a predictive model for the cryptocurrency’s price. 

Consultant and Bitcoin advocate Adrian Morris told Cointelegraph that while the Bitcoin power law had been touted as a predictive model for the future price of Bitcoin (BTC), its legitimacy has been drastically overblown by its advocates.

On the other hand, Italian physicist Giovanni Santostasi — the man responsible for discovering the power law as it relates to Bitcoin — told Cointelegraph that the Bitcoin power law is undeniable and one only needs eyes to see it.

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BlackRock’s IBIT records biggest inflow day since March at $523M

BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF has witnessed over half a billion dollars of inflows on the same day a flurry of spot Ether ETFs got the nod to begin trading.

BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) has notched its biggest day of inflows in over four months, with over $523 million entering the fund on Monday.

The iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) scooped up 7,759 Bitcoin (BTC) on July 22 — worth just over $523 million at current prices — according to Hey Apollo data cited by its co-founder in a July 23 post to X.

The July 22 addition brings the total sum of inflows into BlackRock’s fund to 333,000 BTC which equates to $22 billion at current prices.

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Bitcoin whales set to stack more amid ‘overestimated’ Mt. Gox FUD: Analyst

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju says Bitcoin is still vulnerable to “speculative FUDs,” giving smart money a way to buy up cheap Bitcoin.

The impact of Mt. Gox’s repayments on Bitcoin is still being overestimated and will likely be utilized by whales to pick up more BTC at a discount, says CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju. 

In a July 16 post to X, Ju said that the impact of Mt. Gox sales — anywhere between $3 billion and $9 billion in BTC — is negligible compared to the total increase in the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) over the last 18 months.

“Even if MtGox's $3B is sold on Kraken, it's just 1% of the realized cap increase in this bull cycle — manageable liquidity,” wrote Ju.

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Bitcoin reclaims $62K, analysts say worst is ‘likely behind us’

With Germany’s “forced selling” over and Mt. Gox repayments all but priced in, analysts look to an easing macro environment as a driver for Bitcoin’s price in the coming months.

The price of Bitcoin has reclaimed ground above the $62,000 mark, and analysts say the worst of the selling could be over with German BTC sales over and Mt. Gox payments all but priced in. 

Bitcoin (BTC) has rallied 5.2% in the last 24 hours, bouncing off two-month lows of $53,500 on July 4, and is currently changing hands for $62,550, per TradingView data.

Ben Simpson, the founder of crypto education platform Collective Shift told Cointelegraph that he believed Bitcoin’s “local bottom” had now been formed and believes BTC is now headed for an uptrend.

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History suggests Bitcoin poised for rebound in July

Bitcoin tends toward strong performance in July, but Mt. Gox is dampening optimism for a recovery.

Bitcoin may see a strong rebound in July following a lackluster performance in June, which saw Bitcoin falling almost 7% in the month.

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) historically averaged a slump of 0.35% in June, according to data from Coinglass, which tracks the monthly returns of Bitcoin beginning in 2013.

The data shows that in previous years, whenever June ended in a downtrend, the following month saw a roaring comeback, with Bitcoin gaining an average of 7.42% historically.

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3 things that can spoil a potentially bullish July for Bitcoin

BTC price is likely to face headwinds in July from Mt. Gox repayments that could result in a "bull pennant" breakdown on the charts.

Bitcoin (BTC) teeters on the edge of closing June with a monthly loss and clinging to the critical $60,000 support level.

Unfortunately for the bulls, the BTC/USD pair might be headed for rougher waters with a series of bearish indicators pointing towards increased selling pressure in July.

One of the most significant bearish events in the cryptocurrency market in June was related to the long-awaited Mt. Gox repayments.

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