1. Home
  2. Bitcoin Trader

Bitcoin Trader

Trader builds Bitcoin ‘buy the dip’ bot, outperforms DCA

A Redditor has created an automated dip-buying bot that beats dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin by roughly 10%.

While a bullish backdrop emerges in February, spare a thought for the traders trying to time the market. One savvy trader by the name of u/Samjhill on Reddit has built a trading tool that outperforms dollar-cost averaging (DCA) for buying Bitcoin (BTC). 

DCA is the strategy in which investors buy a small amount regularly regardless of price fluctuations. It works in contrast to traders keen to get the lowest entry, timing the dip to perfection and avoiding “catching a falling knife.”

The aptly named “Buy the Dip Bot” aims to “get the best price for a given asset by using a limit strategy.” Inspired by another Redditor who suggested a manual limit-buy-order strategy for getting the best price entry, u/Samjhill took the idea one step further, coding up a dip-buying bot.

The bot places limit orders at several intervals below the current price, and if an order gets executed or canceled, it starts again. Using tech from Amazon Web Services, Python, Lambda, DynamoDB and React.JS while hosted on GitHub, the cost to run is low, “about $5 per month.”

While the bot has been beavering away since December, it hit a maiden milestone on Monday. Reaching profitability versus regular dollar-cost averaging, “the price-per-coin advantage is about (cheaper) 5%–10% right now, which you could also think of as getting that much more coin for your money,” Sam told Cointelegraph.

The bot runs a backtesting library to work out the best entry points for the limit buys. A complex process, the work paid off, culminated in a “winning strategy.”

Related: TokenBot helps crypto traders build social communities and monetize market knowledge

When asked by Cointelegraph if he would recommend the bot as opposed to regular DCA, Sam replied it depends on where you are in your BTC journey:

“For people just starting out, regular DCA probably makes more sense since your goal is probably to stack as many coins as possible. For those later in their journey, they might have a decent stack already and want to minimize increasing their cost basis and so might benefit more from this.”

Sam, who first learned of Bitcoin around 2013, added that he is doing both DCA and the limit strategy “to get a more even curve of coin growth.”

While the future is currently Bitcoin orange for the trading bot, Sam built the system for easy integration with other coins. Ether (ETH) features on the GitHub page, and Sam hints he may roll out other coins to production.

Bitcoin (BTC) Mirroring Pre-Parabolic Rally That Led to Over 1,200% Gains in 2017, According to Crypto Analyst

Orange-pilled by Michael Saylor, NorthmanTrader CEO now a Bitcoin supporter

Sven Henrich, CEO of NorthmanTrader, is the latest Bitcoin supporter after speaking with Michael Saylor.

There is still room for humility and humor amidst a gloomy January for Bitcoin (BTC). A former outspoken Bitcoin critic has flipped bullish on Bitcoin after conversations with Michael Saylor, CEO of Microstrategy.

What’s more, Sven Henrich, the CEO of market analysis firm NorthManTrader, made light of his change of heart retweeting a jibe from Twitter account Documenting Bitcoin.

Despite his previous comments that Bitcoin “fixes nothing”, Henrich has followed the crypto markets for three years. He tweeted regularly about Bitcoin price action, offering market analysis as reported by Cointelegraph

However, he had no intentions of buying. In 2022, he is now a “supporter of Bitcoin.” That means an “exposure into Bitcoin this coming year;” pro-Bitcoin articles such as the detailed and well-researched piece entitled (R)evolution, and even laser eyes on his Twitter profile picture.

But how did that happen? How do staunch anti-Bitcoin critics cross the void and commit to supporting Satoshi Nakomoto’s innovation?

It appears to have kicked off when one of the biggest Bitcoin bulls, Michael Saylor, gave his two sats during a Twitter conversation between the pair. In July 2021, Saylor extended an olive branch to the CEO, demonstrating to Henrich that he should investigate BTC in more depth.

Shortly after, they hosted a Youtube discussion in which Saylor does his best to orange pill the trader and investment pundit.

Fast-forward seven months and Henrich is writing detailed pieces evaluating the “alternative to an imposed monetary system,” coming to the conclusion that “Bitcoin is such an alternative.”

Henrich explains his current allegiance:

“So to fans of Bitcoin I say this: One of you. To those that are not: Don’t hate, appreciate ;-). That’s what makes a market.”

The article called “(R)evolution, why I am becoming a supporter of #Bitcoin” explains the macroeconomic backdrop, musings around regulation and the asset bubble. It is now pinned to the top of Henrich’s Twitter account

Related: JPMorgan CEO says Bitcoin price could rise 10x but still won’t buy it

Saylor and Henrich recorded another in-depth discussion together on January 19th called “warming to Bitcoin,” in which Henrich affirmed that he is “looking to buy.” During the chat, Saylor urged Sven and viewers to invest more time in studying BTC.

While we’ll have to wait for his announcement of his BTC purchase, it’s another win for Saylor. Undeterred by recent price action as he sets out to orange-pill the world, Saylor says, “we are going to convince everybody.”

Bitcoin (BTC) Mirroring Pre-Parabolic Rally That Led to Over 1,200% Gains in 2017, According to Crypto Analyst

Bitcoin leverage ratio reaches new highs

In a dramatic week for Bitcoin price action, traders are keen to capitalize, hitting a new all-time high for the leverage ratio.

The estimated leverage ratio for Bitcoin (BTC) hit a new all-time high last night according to CryptoQuant. Further metrics point to growing leveraged interest, but liquidations have remained relatively low. 

According to on-chain analytics resource CryptoQuant, while the Bitcoin price fell off a cliff over the past 24 hours, the estimated leverage ratio reached 0.224, an all-time high. The metric works by dividing exchanges’ open interest by their coin reserve. The result shows how much leverage traders are using on average.

A higher ratio, such as 0.22, indicates that more investors are taking high leverage risks. Conversely, lower values mean traders are increasingly risk-averse in their derivative trading. The blue line on the graph below, it's trended upwards since June 2019. 

Estimated leverage ratio for Bitcoin. Source: CryptoQuant

Most cryptocurrency exchanges offer leverage trading with FTX, Huobi and Binance leading the way. They have all agreed to reduce the amount of leverage available to traders in order to prevent mass liquidation events, such as the one seen in September last year when $3.5 billion longs and shorts were liquidated.

Nonetheless, it hasn’t slowed exchanges plans to bring leverage trading to a wider audience. Sam Bankman-Fried, CEO of FTX exchange, tweeted that his “FTX 20x Leveraged Bitcoin Index” has been listed on the Vienna Stock Exchange. According to the Wienerborse, Austrian daredevils will soon be able to access up to 20x leveraged BTC trades.

Related: Here’s why Bitcoin traders say a drop to $38K is the worst case scenario

Meanwhile, despite a circa 10% price drop over the past three days, a mere half a billion dollars worth of liquidations took place across all exchanges according to coinglass.com data (formerly ByBt), less than the $600 million worth of liquidations that took place in minutes in March last year.

It’s eery to observe the leverage ratio hit all-time highs and liquidations remain steady, all while the price stoops lower. Could more volatility be in the cards?

Analyst Will Clemente summed it up adequately in a tweet. “Could still resolve to the upside. All I know for sure is that this party is just getting started.”

Bitcoin (BTC) Mirroring Pre-Parabolic Rally That Led to Over 1,200% Gains in 2017, According to Crypto Analyst

Alleged South African Bitcoin Fraudster Makes First Court Appearance Since Arrest

Alleged South African Bitcoin Fraudster Makes First Court Appearance Since ArrestSandile Shezi, the South African bitcoin trader accused of defrauding investors, recently made his first court appearance before a Johannesburg magistrate. Shezi out on Bail The bitcoin trader’s court appearance came just days after he honored his pledge to surrender himself to the police. However, according to a report by the Sowetan, Shezi — who […]

Bitcoin (BTC) Mirroring Pre-Parabolic Rally That Led to Over 1,200% Gains in 2017, According to Crypto Analyst

Fraud-Accused South African Bitcoin Trader to Turn Himself Over to Police: Report

Fraud-Accused South African Bitcoin Trader to Turn Himself Over to Police: ReportSandile Shezi, the young South African bitcoin trader who is facing fraud charges, has denied allegations he scammed shareholders in his Global Forex Institute. Shezi: Shareholders Signed Up for Education, Not Investments Despite his rejection of the allegations, a spokesperson for the country’s police told the Sunday Times newspaper that Shezi has agreed to turn […]

Bitcoin (BTC) Mirroring Pre-Parabolic Rally That Led to Over 1,200% Gains in 2017, According to Crypto Analyst

Analyst says $42K must hold to keep Bitcoin price from sweeping its swing low

Bitcoin needs to hold $42,000 or it risks sliding as low as $32,000, according to crypto trader Eric Krown.

Bitcoin bulls continued to battle with bears near the $43,000 support level on Sept. 27 as China’s crackdown on all things cryptocurrency put a halt to last week’s positive price movements and has stifled growth into the day.

According to Eric Krown, a cryptocurrency trader and host of Krown’s Crypto Cave, what comes next for Bitcoin (BTC) really “depends on what timeframe you are talking about,” but he is currently focused on the more medium- to long-term outlook.

In the latest episode of “The Market Report” with Cointelegraph, the cryptocurrency trader indicated that for right now, “We are probably going to range around this low-$40,000 region” and suggested that he would “be looking at this potential reversal point right here” if BTC manages to hold on to $42,000.

If BTC fails to hold this support level, Krown indicated that the price could continue to fall for a while and drop “all the way to $32,000–$33,000, [filling] the CME gap from months ago.”

While this is one possible scenario, Krown suggested that he sees a more positive future for the price of Bitcoin as we enter the last quarter of 2021.

Krown said:

“I actually am a little bit more on the optimistic side here. I do think that whether Bitcoin has bottomed out right here and kind of spends some time just ranging here, or whether it comes down to $32,000–$33,000, I actually do think that end of year probably looks most likely fine.”

“The Market Report” streams live every Thursday at 4:00 pm UTC, so be sure to head on over to Cointelegraph’s YouTube page, and smash that like and subscribe button for all our future videos and updates.

Bitcoin (BTC) Mirroring Pre-Parabolic Rally That Led to Over 1,200% Gains in 2017, According to Crypto Analyst

Veteran trader explains when it’s the best time to cash out of the market

Veteran trader Charlie Burton gives tips on how investors can manage their emotions in bull markets and the importance of sticking to a defined set of trading rules.

2021 has been a wild ride for the cryptocurrency market as Bitcoin shocked its naysayers by setting a new record high at $64,863, and the DeFi and NFT sector made headlines around the world. 

Crypto traders need to be wary of times like these because the notoriously volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market can see vast fortunes wiped out in a matter of hours or days once the trend shifts.

According to Charlie Burton, veteran trader and the co-founder of Ezeetrader, this is when it is important for every trader to have a defined set of rules that they stick to when emotions begin to run hot because “we are all fallible, flawed human beings, especially in front of the markets.”

Burton said,

“We are naturally influenced by greed or fear to one propensity or another. So we absolutely need to have some simple rules, but I would also say a lot of visualization is good.”

These rules may include things like at what percentage loss do investors place a stop loss, the maximum percentage of the portfolio that one will allow to be put on any trade, and having a set sell orders for investments.

Burton said,

“What is important is a lot of self-talk. ‘If I take this trade now, and it doesn’t work out, will I be upset with myself?’ This is a great line to help stop me from jumping into trades that I just shouldn’t be in.”

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin (BTC) Mirroring Pre-Parabolic Rally That Led to Over 1,200% Gains in 2017, According to Crypto Analyst

Key Bitcoin price indicator flashes its ‘fifth buy signal in BTC history’

The Puell Multiple just flashed a buy signal for the fifth time in BTC’s history, but its creator cautions that a plunging hashrate and China’s miner purge are important factors to consider.

The cryptocurrency market found itself in a state of cautious optimism on June 28 after Bitcoin (BTC) price briefly spiked above $35,500, renewing hopes that the bull trend will resume shortly.

Despite the bullish move, some analysts have warned that the failure to secure a daily close above the $35,000 resistance is a sign that traders are simply closing positions at each breakout to resistance, a hint that further downside could be in store. 

According to David Puell, on-chain analyst and creator of the Puell Multiple, the indicator has just given its fifth Bitcoin buy signal in history.

The Puell Multiple focuses on the supply side of the Bitcoin economy, mainly Bitcoin miners and their revenue, and explores market cycles from a mining revenue perspective.

It is calculated by dividing the daily issuance value of BTC (in USD) by the 365-day moving average of daily issuance value.

The Puell Multiple equation and historical performance. Source: LookIntoBitcoin.com

As seen on the chart above, the indicator measures periods where the daily value of the Bitcoin issued reaches historic lows, represented by the green box, or historically high values, which are seen when the indicator climbs into the red box.

Past instances when the Puell Multiple indicated good buying opportunities include mid-2018, when the price of BTC crashed below $4,000 in the midst of the crypto winter and again in March 2020 when prices collapsed as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic.

It also provided traders with a sell signal in late 2017 as the price of BTC topped out at that cycle’s high point, as well during the Bitcoin bull market of 2013.

Miner purge leads to a historic drop in mining difficlty

The recent struggles for Bitcoin have been exacerbated by the crackdown on mining in China, which prompted numerous large mining farms to shut down and relocate to other countries. Analysts now expect the largest drop in mining difficulty ever as the hashrate plunges from historic highs.

Bitcoin mining difficulty. Source: Glassnode

While miners are generally viewed as compulsory sellers due to their need to cover the fixed costs involved in operating a mining operation, recent selling behavior has been followed by the 50% draw-down in price which means twice as much BTC needs to be sold to cover the same costs in fiat as well as increased expenses incurred by miners shifting their operations out of China.

Related: Iranian trade ministry issues 30 crypto mining licenses

Cautious traders may be focused on the fact that past instances of significant declines in hashrate have been followed by price pull-backs, resulting in a reluctance to deploy funds in the current market conditions.

Mean Bitcoin hash rate vs. price. Source: Glassnode

While the price of BTC has made some gains on June 28, Puell offered a word of caution that multiple factors should be considered and no indicator should be used in isolation to make trading decisions.

Puell said:

“Hash rate follows price AND other exogenous factors, as we have clearly seen with the China situation.”

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin (BTC) Mirroring Pre-Parabolic Rally That Led to Over 1,200% Gains in 2017, According to Crypto Analyst