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Polymarket Predicts 61% Chance of 2024 Bitcoin All-Time High, 17% for $100K

Polymarket Predicts 61% Chance of 2024 Bitcoin All-Time High, 17% for 0KWith bitcoin trading above $65K, crypto enthusiasts are anticipating big price moves in October. Many still believe BTC will exceed its all-time high before the year ends. On Polymarket, a blockchain-powered predictions platform, the odds currently show a 61% chance that bitcoin will top the record it set seven months ago. Polymarket Bettors: Bitcoin Record […]

Bitcoin monthly close, fresh bullish narratives lead BTC traders to aim for new price highs

Trading strategies, explained

Here, we set out the differences between hodling and day trading, and why trading strategies are so important.

How do you choose a trading strategy?

Choose a strategy that plays to your strengths, ranging from your experience with cryptocurrency markets to your tolerance for risk.

There are a lot of factors, but it boils down to an honest assessment of your skill and experience level. Do you understand how cryptocurrencies work, are you familiar enough with the analytical tools that let you accurately predict the market, and do you know your real tolerance for risk?

Once you are clear on those factors, you need an experienced exchange partner that offers an intuitive interface, is reliable in times of market stress, offers strong liquidity, provides access to plenty of market data, and has strong security.

A custodial, full-featured and user-friendly exchange platform, Changelly Pro is aimed at both beginner traders who want to start with the simpler long-term strategies like swing and trend trading, and traders who want to move to shorter-term day trading and scalping strategies.

It offers competitive trading and withdrawal fees, 24-hour customer support, margin trading leverage up to 12x, and more than 100 trading pairs.

Learn more about Changelly Pro

Disclaimer. Cointelegraph does not endorse any content or product on this page. While we aim at providing you all important information that we could obtain, readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company and carry full responsibility for their decisions, nor this article can be considered as an investment advice.

What are some simple strategies?

Strategies like buy-and-hold and index investing are perfect for passive investors who are true crypto believers looking for long-term growth.

First up is buy-and-hold trading — “hodling” with a touch of strategy added. Instead of putting down all your money at once, hodlers make scheduled buys — say weekly or monthly — to even out the impact of volatility. Sounds simple, but this does require patience and faith.

Next is index investing, which is simply buying all of the cryptocurrencies in a market index — like buying the Nasdaq or S&P 500 in the stock market — on the theory that very few investors beat the market long term.

What is scalping?

Scalping is a high-intensity, high-frequency, and complex trading strategy that involves making many small profits off of market inefficiencies rather than asset performance.

Scalping is one of the quickest and most demanding trading strategies as it requires extremely quick moves — between minutes and seconds, or with sophisticated high-frequency trading tools even small fractions of a second — designed to take advantage of market inefficiencies to make very small profits over and over. One of the most common is taking advantage of the bid-ask spread, which is the difference in price between the highest buy order (bid price) and the lowest sell order (asking price).

The risks and profits are somewhat smaller, but for experienced traders willing to make quick decisions, lots of little wins add up. As it involves many small trades, low exchange fees are a big benefit.

What is swing trading?

Swing trading is a beginner-friendly strategy that focuses on finding medium-term patterns in the days-to-weeks range.

One way to think of swing trading is that it focuses on timeframes that are longer than those used by day traders and shorter than trend traders — a matter of days to weeks. Swing traders look at technical indicators like historical data and candlestick charts of the daily high and low range of a cryptocurrency over time, as well as fundamental indicators.

It’s a good place for beginners to start, as it does not require the constant attention of day trading, nor the discipline to hold a position as long as trend trading. That said, it still offers plenty of profit potential without the need to act immediately.

What is trend trading?

Trend trading is just that: Analyzing data to find mid-to long-term trends that suggest a cryptocurrency’s price is heading up or down, and when the direction is about to change.

Trend trading is a longer-term strategy that uses various analytical tools to predict if a cryptocurrency’s price is heading up or down over a matter of months at least. It seeks to ignore short-term price movements by focusing on technical analyses like indicators (patterns in historical data such as price, volume, and open interest) and price action (the up and down movement over time). 

That said, what matters isn’t whether a cryptocurrency’s trend is up (time to buy) or down (time to short) so much as spotting the reversals, which tell you when to reverse tactics or just get out. It’s for more advanced beginners who spend the time doing analysis and managing risk, and have the stomach to ride out downward swings.

What is day trading?

Day traders invest based on complex strategies in a timeframe of minutes to hours, but at the end of their day, they’re out of the market, forgoing potential gains to avoid losses.

At first glance, day trading is pretty simple: You buy and sell cryptocurrencies many times over the course of a day, seeking to make a profit on the (usually) small minute-to-minute, hour-to-hour price fluctuations. It is, essentially, the opposite of hodling.

The reality is day trading is very complex because so many things affect the price — too many to factor them all in. So, you need strategies within it, relying on specific indicators, technical analyses, research sources, risk management strategies, and profit and loss tolerance. Which means access to good information and speed is vital. You also need to take fees into account if you’re making a high volume of trades.

Day trading is high-stress, but also comes with a cut-off. Day traders generally set a defined “day” in the 24-hour crypto market, and close out their positions by that time. So while it does come with high risks, wild overnight swings are not among them. While that means missing out on big gains, it also means avoiding big losses.

What is a trading strategy and why do you need one?

Cryptocurrency buyers who want to do more than buy and hodl have many trading options available, but in a highly volatile market with more than a few questionable players, a defined strategy is key to success

There are many loud proponents of hodling — or holding — in crypto and particularly in Bitcoin. Buy and do not sell, as Bitcoin will always go up over the long term, the argument goes. But for traders who want to stay ahead of the curve, there are strategies. Otherwise, you’ll be buying based on FOMO — fear of missing out. And if you’re following the herd, you’re generally buying high and selling low.

While a strategy is necessary in any type of smart investing, it’s doubly so in the extremely volatile cryptocurrency industry, where prices rising or falling 10% in minutes is common and more than 50% in a few hours is not exactly rare. Beyond that, available leverage for margin trading can be dangerously high — as much as 100x at some exchanges — and there is very little regulatory infrastructure to protect investors from bad actors. Then there are factors that simply cannot be accounted for, like a whale suddenly dumping a huge amount of Bitcoin on the market and driving down prices.

What will help is having a strategy that you follow consistently, sources of data you can rely on,  and an exchange with the reliability, speed, and liquidity to execute your orders in a timely fashion.

Bitcoin monthly close, fresh bullish narratives lead BTC traders to aim for new price highs

Crypto-to-crypto swaps, explained

How do crypto-to-crypto swaps work… and what are the top tips for performing them safely and cheaply?

Any top tips for storing cryptocurrencies safely?

Always double-check the transaction before confirming and take precautions.

Of course, there are a few safety tips that you should follow. Be vigilant for phishing scams, and make sure that you’re using the official Ledger Live app.

Never share your recovery phrase, or store it in a computer or smartphone — and only trust the details that you see on the screen of your hardware wallet.

Learn more about Changelly

Disclaimer. Cointelegraph does not endorse any content or product on this page. While we aim at providing you all important information that we could obtain, readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company and carry full responsibility for their decisions, nor this article can be considered as an investment advice.

How do Changelly swaps through Ledger work?

Ledger offers a hardware wallet combined with an app to securely manage crypto.

It all begins by setting up your Ledger hardware wallet in a few simple steps. The dedicated Ledger Live wallet means that you can install all of the latest coin applications in the tap of a button.

In order to swap one cryptocurrency for another, you’ll need to make sure you have access to the Exchange app — as well as applications for the two coins in your chosen trading pair.

Next, it’s time to go to the Swap tab and pick the two cryptocurrencies in question — as well as the account of origin and the destination. Enter the amount you want to swap and double-check the rate that’s on offer. Last but not least, verify the transaction details on your device, and get the swap confirmed.

What are the challenges beginners face when buying crypto?

Finding a trustworthy provider, and certainty when it comes to fees, can be tricky.

Just like businesses with decades of trading experience gain the trust of shoppers, crypto brands that have been around since the early days of Bitcoin achieve credibility — establishing a track record for delivering dependable service.

Increasing numbers of large companies are now accepting digital assets as a payment method, meaning cryptocurrencies are increasingly entering our daily lives. But for mass adoption to be achieved, newcomers deserve to use platforms that offer full transparency when it comes to trading fees… as well as reactive customer service if they need assistance. The best brands now deliver live chat functionality, meaning users can speak to a real person if they have questions or need some troubleshooting tips.

Fast-moving markets also mean that the value of cryptocurrencies can fluctuate sharply… and with barely any notice at all. This can result in slippage, where the amount of Cryptocurrency B you get in exchange for Cryptocurrency A declines in the time it takes for a transaction to be finalized.

Providers such as Changelly counter this by delivering a fixed swap rate that means you’ll know how much crypto you’re going to receive in advance — in exchange for a higher transaction fee. Alternatively, you can bring costs down by using a floating rate and swapping your digital assets at the current market price. Changelly’s intuitive service is now available through Ledger, delivering an easy and secure way of swapping crypto.

Do crypto swaps always have to happen through an exchange?

No — some hardware wallets offer dedicated apps that eliminate the need for going through an exchange altogether.

The blend of a hardware wallet and app can deliver top-notch security, impressive transaction speeds, and dramatically reduce the costs associated with making a swap. Some exchanges charge sky-high fees for the privilege of changing one digital asset for another, but it doesn’t have to be this way.

What should beginners look for in a swapping platform

Security, control and choice should all be at the top of a crypto enthusiast’s shopping list.

Crypto swaps shouldn’t just be simple, but they should always take place in a secure environment. Some centralized and decentralized platforms leave you with little choice but to lose control of your coins while a transaction is under way.

Once you’ve found a platform you can trust, your attention should turn to the range of cryptocurrencies that’s on offer. Leading brands currently support dozens of different digital assets — including some of the most sought-after coins on the market.

The best crypto swap platforms listen carefully to user feedback, and continually add new cryptocurrencies in line with demand. They also take great care in delivering a user interface that offers a high degree of familiarity to people who are more accustomed to fiat-focused platforms.

You should also look for a streamlined experience that eliminates fragmentation. Security can be undermined if you have to continually move your crypto between the platform where you buy it, the exchange where you swap it, and the wallet where you keep it. Peace of mind (and a lot less hassle) comes from providers who deliver all of this in one place.

Why are crypto-to-crypto swaps so popular?

Just one look at the crypto markets offers a powerful insight into why seamless swaps between altcoins are in demand right now.

Right now, we’re in a rare phenomenon that’s known as “altseason” — a time when Bitcoin takes a backseat, and cryptocurrencies with a smaller market cap steal the show.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s dominance has fallen to just 43.9%... that’s the lowest it has been for more than three years.

For many newcomers to the crypto markets, BTC ends up being the coin they gain exposure to first. What follows is a journey of discovery — learning more about other digital assets, the use cases they offer, and the opportunities they bring.

Unfortunately, there’s a challenge: many of the solutions on the marketplace right now are complex and confusing. This can be especially daunting for someone who has never transacted in cryptocurrencies before — especially considering there’s a risk of losing funds if a mistake is made.

Bitcoin monthly close, fresh bullish narratives lead BTC traders to aim for new price highs