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Ethereum faces 6-month lows versus Bitcoin — Will ETH price rebound?

Ethereum price has turned oversold against Bitcoin, raising the possibilities of a rebound in the coming weeks.

Ethereum's native token, Ether (ETH), continues its multi-month downtrend against Bitcoin (BTC) in March, rising 5.5% versus the latter's 19.5% gains on a month-to-date (MTD) timeframe.

Bitcoin overshadows Ethereum amid banking crisis

As of March 23, the ETH/BTC pair was down about 9% month-to-date (MTD) to 0.0633 while staying on course to record its worst month since September 2022 when it fell 11.75%.

ETH/BTC monthly price chart. Source: TradingView

From a fundamental perspective, traders preferred Bitcoin over Ether, hoping it would protect them from the ongoing banking turmoil in the U.S. and other parts of the world. The narrative gained momentum in recent weeks as Wall Street investors like Cathie Wood see Bitcoin as a potential "flight to safety" asset.

As a result of the growing speculation, Bitcoin outperformed traditional assets after March 8, when signs of trouble appeared at Silicon Valley Bank. In doing so, BTC also fared better than the altcoin market combined, including Ethereum.

Bitcoin, S&P 500, Gold, and Altcoin market performances in March. Source: TradingView 

ETH paints bullish fractal vs. BTC

But from a technical perspective, Ethereum is positioned for a comeback versus Bitcoin.

At least two technical indicators pose the possibility that ETH/BTC will rebound sharply in the coming weeks.

Related: Ethereum price at $1.4K was a bargain, and a rally toward $2K looks like the next step

First, the pair's three-day relative strength index (RSI) has dropped below 30, which technical analysts consider an "oversold" area.

Second, Ether's drop versus Bitcoin has landed its price near its ascending support level (buy zone in the chart below).

ETH/BTC three-day price chart. Source: TradingView

A similar scenario in the June-July 2022 session preceded an approximately 60% rally toward ETH/BTC's descending trendline resistance (sell zone in the chart above). If the fractal plays out, the pair could rally toward the same resistance level by June 2023.

In other words, Ether has a decent chance  at rebounding by more than 15% to around 0.075 BTC. Conversely, a break below the ascending trendline support will invalidate the bullish fractal.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Trader Warns Bitcoin Could Plunge Over 50% Before BTC Bottoms Out – Here’s the Timeline

Trader Warns Bitcoin Could Plunge Over 50% Before BTC Bottoms Out – Here’s the Timeline

A pseudonymous crypto trader warns that Bitcoin (BTC) may not have bottomed out yet despite an over 30% rally in a matter of days. Altcoin Sherpa tells his 10,800 YouTube subscribers in a new video that Bitcoin could hit a new 2023 high of over $30,000 before tumbling by more than 50% to up to […]

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Coinbase Abruptly Lists Little-Known Ethereum Gaming Altcoin, Encounters Crypto Trading Glitch

Coinbase Abruptly Lists Little-Known Ethereum Gaming Altcoin, Encounters Crypto Trading Glitch

US-based crypto exchange Coinbase says a newly-listed Ethereum (ETH) gaming altcoin is now up and running. After abruptly adding support for the new crypto asset Prime (PRIME), the exchange said it realized the altcoin was experiencing “downgraded trading functionality.” Trading was briefly paused, and Coinbase has now released an update saying that the issue has […]

The post Coinbase Abruptly Lists Little-Known Ethereum Gaming Altcoin, Encounters Crypto Trading Glitch appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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Polygon (MATIC) Gaming Altcoin Surges After Coinbase Quickly Adds Crypto Asset to Lineup

Polygon (MATIC) Gaming Altcoin Surges After Coinbase Quickly Adds Crypto Asset to Lineup

Top US crypto exchange Coinbase is rolling out support for a low-cap gaming altcoin, spurring a price surge for the token. VOXEL, the native altcoin of the tactical RPG game Voxie Tactics, is up more than 36% than this week, thanks largely to a sizeable price jump after the Coinbase announced it was considering adding […]

The post Polygon (MATIC) Gaming Altcoin Surges After Coinbase Quickly Adds Crypto Asset to Lineup appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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End of bull run? The Graph awaits correction after a 200% GRT price rally

GRT has turned technically overbought, but its long-term potential remains skewed to the upside, thanks to healthy network fundamentals.

The Graph (GRT) price slipped on Feb. 8 alongside a broader correction across the top crypto assets.

GRT price skyrockets wi other data management tokens

GRT price plunged nearly 14.5% intraday to $0.18, showing signs of short-term upside exhaustion after rising over 200% earlier in the year. At its sessional high, the token was changing hands for $0.23 on Feb 7, its highest level in nine months

GRT/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Buy flocked into the GRT market amid a relatively stronger risk-on mood, led by the Federal Reserve's slower interest rate hikes and a strong recovery witnessed in the Bitcoin (BTC) market, which typically influences altcoins into tailing the trend.

The GRT price rally also accompanied similar gains across data management platform tokens. This sector's market capitalization doubled so far in 2023, with Ocean Protocol (OCEAN), Mask Network (MASK), and Band Protocol (BAND) recording over 200%, 100%, and 60% gains, respectively.

Data management tokens and their performances. Source: Messari

Will The Graph's price correction continue?

The impressive GRT price rally has left The Graph as technically overbought, according to its daily relative strength index (RSI) indicator.

Notably, the daily RSI has exceeded 70, which traditional analysts consider an "overbought" signal. This typically leads to upside exhaustion, followed by consolidation or a significant price correction.

In either case, GRT's overbought status risks plunging its price by 30% in the next month to $0.13, a support level from the May-June 2022 consolidation session. The line also appears near the GRT/USD pair's 200-day exponential moving average (200-day EMA; the blue wave) near $0.11.

GRT/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Nevertheless, from a fundamental perspective, GRT looks stronger due to its healthy network metrics.

For instance, The Graph recorded 66% quarter-over-quarter growth in its revenue from query fees in Q4 2022 due to the migration of subgraphs from its hosted service to the decentralized network (mainnet) in and after March 2022.

The Graph's revenue in recent quarters. Source: Messari

The Graph ecosystem involves two key players: on-chain API (or subgraph) developers and data consumers. Data consumers pay subgraph developers a fee to obtain data from blockchains, called query fees. This fee is paid in GRT tokens.

"Query fees should continue to increase as more subgraphs are migrated to mainnet in the coming quarters," noted Mihai Grigore, a researcher at Messari, in his quarterly report on the project, adding:

"This increase in volume may attract more key participants to the protocol as it drives profitability for existing ones."

Related: Blockchain indexer The Graph says adoption is still strong 2 years after mainnet launch

As a result, GRT's long-term bias could remain skewed toward the bulls. Moreover, independent analyst Altcoin Sherpa anticipates a strong bounce after The Graph token tests $0.13 as support.

GRT/USD daily price chart. Source: Altcoin Sherpa

"I'll just wait for a consolidation or dip and buy," he wrote, adding:

"You're going to look for stuff like this at .13 on lower TFs; some consolidation before another leg. Given how badly this one got rekt, I think it has more left in the tank. Insane volume."

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Avalanche (AVAX) price is up, but do fundamentals support the rally?

AVAX price has been in a strong rally since the start of 2023, but a sustained uptick in its DeFi components is needed in order to sustain the current bullish momentum.

Avalanche (AVAX) witnessed a meteoric start to 2023, gaining 98% in 30 days, and traders are now curious about whether the rally will extend throughout February. AVAX’s year-to-date gains for 2023 have outpaced those of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH).

Recent reasons for AVAX’s rally can be attributed to an Amazon partnership announcement on Jan. 11. The partnership is meant to easily deploy nodes on the Avalanche blockchain with Amazon Web Services (AWS). Ava Labs, which supports the Avalanche ecosystem, hopes the partnership increases blockchain usage for enterprises and governments.

While AVAX price has benefited from the news, some analysts predict that the move could have been a bull trap.

Let’s dig into the fundamentals to see if on-chain network activity supports the recent AVAX rally.

AVAX fees from DeFi are up

After the AWS news, AVAX price was not the only metric seeing a quick rise. On Jan. 14, Avalanche network hit a year-to-date high of $31,218 AVAX fees received. The increase in fees compared to the previous 30 days is 59%, signaling that positive price appreciation helped boost the fees that the network received.

Avalanche network fees and AVAX price. Source: TokenTerminal

While the Avalanche fee base is increasing, it still lags behind top EVM-compatible blockchains like Ethereum, Binance Chain (BNB), Optimism (OP) and Polygon (MATIC). Over the past 30 days, the fees Avalanche has generated rank 9th out of all blockchains.

Top blockchains sorted by fees. Source: TokenTerminal

Notably, layer-2 competitor Polygon earned close to four times the amount of fees compared to Avalanche. Even with the astounding growth thaAvalanche has experienced in 2023, the network will need to substantially increase fees to overtake more blockchains.

Active addresses and users are down

A sign of blockchain health is the number of active addresses, users and transactions. Despite reaching a year-to-date high on Jan. 18 of 1.84 million transactions, Avalanche’s transaction count is trending down.

A similar downtrend is witnessed when looking at active addresses in the Avalanche ecosystem. Active addresses denote transactions taking playing on unique wallets for a given day. After reaching a year-to-date peak of 54,978 active addresses on Jan. 31, only 34,624 active addresses were registered the following day.

Active addresses and transactions. Source: Avalanche

The downtrend in Avalanche activity is creating further separation between other blockchains. According to TokenTerminal, Avalanche’s all-time high (ATH) number of daily active users is 131,000, which is dwarfed by Polygon’s ATH of 737,000. Avalanche is now far from its all-time high of daily users, registering only 44,000.

Blockchains sorted by daily active users, Source: TokenTerminal

For blockchains to create sustainable fees, there needs to be daily active users participating on the network.

AAVE dominates Avalanche DApps

The active users on Avalanche seem to have a preference for using Aave (AAVE) on the AVAX blockchain. Over 36% of all Avalanche transactions flow through the Aave protocol. Investors have staked over $353 million on Aave’s Avalanche version, far surpassing the second-most popular protocol by verified total locked value (TVL), the Trader Joe decentralized exchange (DEX).

Top Avalanche DApps. Source: DefiLlama

While Aave and Trader Joe are leading the Avalanche blockchain, when looking at DEX activity on other blockchains, they witness far less trading volume. DEX volume directly correlates to the fees that a protocol receives.

Ethereum DEX activity leads the way with over $1.6 billion in daily volume, whereas Avalance only sees around $104 million.

DEX activity by blockchain. Source: DefiLlama

While Avalanche is currently witnessing immense growth from the AWS announcement, the blockchain is still small compared to competitors. The goal of the AWS partnership was to help increase network activity by reducing barriers to entry. Reaching the goal may increase Avalanche adoption but other ecosystems seem to be out to a large and early lead.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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Crypto Exchange Huobi Lists New ‘FUD’ Token Backed by FTX Users’ Debt With Approval From Justin Sun

Crypto Exchange Huobi Lists New ‘FUD’ Token Backed by FTX Users’ Debt With Approval From Justin Sun

Prominent crypto exchange platform Huobi has listed a new altcoin project backed by the debt of FTX users, according to a new company announcement. Huobi says it is supporting the token FTX Users’ Debt (FUD) with the approval of Justin Sun, a high-ranking advisor to the exchange and the founder of Tron (TRX). Crypto exchange […]

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Bitcoin 7-month high ‘dominance’ has BTC price eyeing $25K — Will Ethereum spoil the rally?

The Bitcoin dominance index could start falling again if the price of Ethereum can pare its 5% losses versus BTC year-to-date.

Bitcoin (BTC) is rapidly regaining its lost dominance in the crypto market so far into 2023.

On Jan. 30, Bitcoin accounted for 44.82% of the total crypto market capitalization, the highest since June 2022. In September 2022, Bitcoin's dominance index was as low as 38.84%.

The index typically rises when most crypto investors reduce their exposure to smaller tokens and seek safety in Bitcoin. The reasons include Bitcoin's better liquidity and lower volatility than alternative cryptocurrencies, or altcoins, primarily in a bear market.

Bitcoin's market dominance to grow further?

As of Jan. 31, Bitcoin is up 38% year-to-date (YTD) at around $23,000. In comparison, the second-largest cryptocurrency, Ether (ETH), gained 30% in the same period, showing most investors remain gravitated toward Bitcoin so far in 2023.

From a technical perspective, the Bitcoin dominance index may rise further in the coming weeks as it reclaims its 50-week exponential moving average (the red wave in the chart below) as support.

Bitcoin dominance index weekly performance chart. Source: TradingView

In doing so, the index could rise toward 48.5%, which has acted as resistance since May 2021. 

On the other hand, independent market analyst Rekt Capital sees the Bitcoin dominance index rising toward 46%, which coincides with the upper trendline of a giant descending channel pattern, as shown in the monthly-timeframe chart below. 

Bitcoin dominance index monthly performance chart. Source: TradingView, Rekt Capital

The short-term bullish scenario in the Bitcoin dominance index chart appears in line with a similar upside in the spot Bitcoin market, with bulls eyeing a run-up toward $25,000.

Ethereum vs. Bitcoin th main driver of BTC dominance

The bearish argument is that the Bitcoin dominance index may start losing its upside momentum after testing its descending channel resistance, as it had done on several occasions in the recent past.

Related: Bitcoin sees most long liquidations of 2023 as BTC price tags $22.5K

"Bitcoin Dominance is further overextending beyond red on the Monthly TF," notes Rekt Capital while citing the index's horizontal trendline support near 44.11%. The analyst adds:

"A Monthly Close above red could set BTCDOM for another dip into red which would benefit Altcoins."
Bitcoin dominance index monthly price chart (zoomed). Source: TradingView, Rekt Capital

The above analysis appears as ETH eyes a potential bullish reversal versus Bitcoin in the coming weeks.

Notably, the ETH/BTC pair has been consolidating near its support area (purpled) inside the 0.0676- 0.0655 BTC range since Jan. 24.

ETH/BTC daily price chart. Source: TradingView

The ETH/BTC pair will likely see a rebound rally toward its descending trendline resistance (blacked) around 0.075 BTC if it continues to hold the support area. That, in turn, would reduce Bitcoin's "dominance" in the cryptocurrency market as Ethereum's share would rise toward 20%.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Altcoin Season Imminent? Crypto Analyst Looks at Metric That Has Historically Signalled Massive Rallies

Altcoin Season Imminent? Crypto Analyst Looks at Metric That Has Historically Signalled Massive Rallies

A widely-followed crypto analyst says that the price movement of small-cap tokens suggests that the altcoin season could be underway. In a new video, the host of the YouTube channel InvestAnswers tells his 441,000 subscribers that while small-cap altcoins are still trading 5% below their price on December 12th, the trajectory indicates potential for a […]

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Flare (FLR) airdrops 15% of total supply to XRP holders before correcting by 76%

After a 2-year wait, the layer-1 Flare blockchain has finally followed through and sent its tokens to those who held XRP at the time of the snapshot.

The Flare (FLR) token airdrop started on Mon., Jan. 9, nearly two years after a snapshot of Ripple (XRP) holders took place on Dec. 12, 2020. The FLR airdrop was distributed at a ratio of 1.0073 FLR per 1 XRP and the initial distribution saw 15% of the total supply released to the community.

A total of 28.5 billion FLR were distributed based on this methodology and according to Flare’s tokenomics, 58.3% of the total genesis FLR supply will be distributed over 36 months.

Flare initial token distribution allocation. Source: Flare

What is Flare?

Flare is a Layer-1 blockchain with an oracle system aiming to boost interoperability amongst decentralized applications (DApps) and blockchains. While the token only recently launched, the protocol launched its mainnet on July 11, 2022. To date, the Flare mainnet has already processed over 70 million transactions with over 500,000 unique wallets.

Flare network block explorers. Source: Flare

FLR follows the path of most airdrops

According to data from CoinGecko, FLR token seemingly started trading on Jan. 9, at $0.05 amidst low liquidity on MeXC exchange. After the launch, the token soared to $0.15 as exchanges like Binance, OKX and Kraken started trading the airdropped token.

Shortly after the increased liquidity arrived from more centralized exchanges (CEX) FLR token price began to crash. At the time of writing, FLR price has pulled back by 76% to $0.02 and its 24-hour trading volume sits slightly below $50 million.

While the airdrop provided long-awaited FLR tokens at no cost to XRP holders, the outcome of immediate selling is routine for most airdrops. Proof of real success will be whether the network sees a sustained uptick in the use of its layer-1 and interoperable oracle use case.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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