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Bitcoin price fell 24%+ the last time this metric turned negative — Will it happen again? 

Bitcoin derivatives metrics shifted as BTC price fell under $59,000 today. Are lower prices incoming?

Bitcoin (BTC) declined by 5.3% between Oct. 9 and Oct. 10, reaching a three-week low of $58,900. The market correction began after the United States reported higher-than-anticipated consumer inflation data, suggesting traders are concerned that the Federal Reserve has less incentive to continue cutting interest rates in the near future.

The reaction from Bitcoin price reflects investors’ view that there is an increased chance of a recession. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a 0.2% increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September compared to the prior month, which triggered concerns of 'stagflation' among investors, according to Yahoo News. In this scenario, prices continue to rise despite economic stagnation, a situation that runs contrary to the central bank's objectives of stimulating growth while controlling inflation.

Meanwhile, US jobless claims rose to a 14-month high, according to data released on Oct. 10. Initial filings for unemployment benefits unexpectedly increased, reaching a seasonally adjusted 258,000 by Oct. 5. Although part of the rise can be attributed to a labor strike at Boeing, the broader negative impact on the economy remains a significant concern for policymakers, as reported by CNBC.

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Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

Bitcoin digests US ‘nightmare’ CPI, jobs data as $60K hangs in balance

Bitcoin arguably stands to benefit from macro data upheaval as US CPI and jobless data diverges in a "nightmare" for the Federal Reserve.

Bitcoin (BTC) wobbled around the Oct. 10 Wall Street open as mixed United States inflation data sparked risk-asset volatility.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView captured unsettled BTC price conditions focused around $61,000.

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Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

Bolivia reports 100% rise in virtual asset trading since lifting Bitcoin ban

The rise came immediately after Bolivia’s central bank lifted a 42-month ban on cryptocurrency payments, allowing financial entities to conduct transactions with digital assets.

Bolivia’s central bank has reported a 100% increase in average monthly virtual asset trading in the county since lifting its ban on Bitcoin in late June.

Roughly $15.6 million in virtual assets were traded on an average monthly basis between July and September — 105% higher than the average of the previous 18 months, from January 2023 to June 2024.

The $48.6 million traded over the last three months was more than the previous six months combined and largely comprised of stablecoin transactions, Banco Central de Bolivia (BCB) revealed in a Sept. 26 report.

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Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

Does Bitcoin’s negative funding rate signal that bears are in total control?

Bitcoin’s perpetual funding rate shows lack of confidence from bulls, but options markets are displaying resilience.

Bitcoin (BTC) price experienced a 2.2% correction on Sept. 11 following the release of US consumer inflation data, but it managed to reclaim the $56,500 level within a few hours. The movement closely tracked the S&P 500 index, which saw a 1.6% decline on Sept. 11 as US Consumer Price Index growth hit its lowest level in over three years.

Bitcoin traders are skeptical that the $58,000 resistance will be breached, given the increased demand for bearish positions using BTC futures contracts.

Bitcoin/USD (blue) vs. S&P 500 futures (magenta). Source: TradingView

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Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

Bitcoin falls under $60K as investors’ global economic slowdown concerns rise

Fear of a global economic recession continues to drive investors away from risk-on assets like Bitcoin.

Bitcoin (BTC) price experienced a 5% gain between Aug. 13 and Aug. 14, reaching $61,791, before quickly reversing the entire move, falling to $58,914 in under two hours. This abrupt downturn occurred after the United States reported an inflation figure that slightly undercut analysts' expectations. The initial price surge was driven by significant announcements concerning spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and MicroStrategy (MSTR) holdings, but macroeconomic conditions ultimately proved decisive on Aug. 14.

Goldman Sachs, a leading global financial institution, disclosed new spot Bitcoin ETF holdings totaling $418 million in its 13-F filing, reflecting positions as of June 30. The allocation spanned multiple providers, including BlackRock, Fidelity, Invesco, and Grayscale. While it remains unclear whether these investments were made by external fund managers or Goldman’s internal asset management team, this marks a significant milestone, as the firm oversees $2.81 trillion in assets under management.

Not all asset managers have embraced such investments. According to CNBC, JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo continue to restrict their financial advisors from recommending spot Bitcoin ETFs. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley, one of the world’s largest wealth management firms, only approved the distribution and sale of spot Bitcoin ETFs through its 15,000 financial advisors as recently as Aug. 7. Consequently, Goldman’s allocation could potentially set a precedent that encourages its competitors to follow suit.

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Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

Bitcoin Could Crash to $48,000 if This Support Level Crumbles, Says Crypto Analyst

Bitcoin Could Crash to ,000 if This Support Level Crumbles, Says Crypto Analyst

A widely followed crypto analyst is laying out a scenario where Bitcoin (BTC) could dip back down below $50,000. In a new strategy session, crypto trader Michaël van de Poppe tells his 723,000 followers on the social media platform X that the crypto king could crash to $48,000 if its current support level falls apart […]

The post Bitcoin Could Crash to $48,000 if This Support Level Crumbles, Says Crypto Analyst appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

BTC price suddenly drops 5% as Bitcoin rejects low CPI print

Bitcoin shrugs off notionally good news on US inflation with a BTC price plunge below $59,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) delivered classic “fakeout” moves around the Aug. 14 Wall Street open as bulls lost out on United States macro data.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC price action spiking to near $62,000 on the back of the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) print.

Coming in below expectations, the result was slated to boost risk assets and crypto, but Bitcoin’s reaction was short-lived.

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Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

3 reasons why $65K marks the bottom for Bitcoin

Bitcoin's resilience amid price drops indicates strengthening support at the $65,000 level.

Despite testing the $65,000 support on June 14, Bitcoin (BTC) hasn't closed below $66,000 since May 17. While BTC was unable to break above the $72,000 resistance during this four-week period, some events have improved regulatory sentiment and highlighted how little room the U.S. central bank has left to maneuver without triggering inflation. Favorable market conditions and resilience in Bitcoin derivatives metrics indicate that the downside is extremely limited.

On May 16, U.S. lawmakers passed a Congressional Review Act to explore a Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) rule that requires listed companies, including banks, to record crypto assets as both assets and liabilities on the balance sheet. According to Senator Cynthia Lummis, this vote was a milestone as it was the first “standalone crypto legislation” passed by Congress.

The resolution was eventually vetoed by President Joe Biden, but the defiance from Democrats demonstrates the “growing number” and “rising influence of crypto participants" in U.S. politics, according to Craig Warmke, a Bitcoin Policy Institute fellow. While Biden’s veto presents a challenge, both chambers of Congress would need a two-thirds majority to overrule it.

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Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

Crypto markets rally, but Ethereum struggles to keep pace with Bitcoin

ETH price continues to trail far behind Bitcoin’s year-to-date gains even after the crypto market responded positively to today’s CPI print.

On May 15, the cryptocurrency markets saw a 5.5% increase in total capitalization following the release of inflation and retail sales data from the United States. However, Ether (ETH) failed to fully capitalize on this bullish momentum. Ether last closed above $3,000 over five days ago and has underperformed the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), by 22% since the start of 2024. 

Crypto markets responded positively to U.S. consumer price index (CPI) data showing a 3.4% year-over-year rise in April, which aligned with market expectations. However, retail sales data for April, released on May 15, unsettled investors as it indicated stability from the previous month, contrary to economists' forecasts of a 0.4% increase. This development increased the likelihood of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) implementing measures to stimulate the economy.

Even if the U.S. Fed decides to maintain interest rates above 5.25% for an extended period to control inflation, the central bank may resort to actions such as purchasing government securities to boost the money supply and reducing the discount rate at which banks borrow from the central bank. Essentially, even a hint of continued liquidity provision can shape economic expectations and behaviors.

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Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO

Bitcoin Rises on CPI Inflation Data As Experts Predict Miners Send BTC Parabolic

Bitcoin Rises on CPI Inflation Data As Experts Predict Miners Send BTC Parabolic

Bitcoin (BTC) has printed a sudden 7% bounce following data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealing that inflation data cooled in April. According to the BLS, the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of […]

The post Bitcoin Rises on CPI Inflation Data As Experts Predict Miners Send BTC Parabolic appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

Ethereum Believers May Be Staring Down Opportunity As ETH Reaches Another Low Against Bitcoin: CryptoQuant CEO