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Bitcoin whale transactions see ‘noticeable’ drop since March price peak

Blockchain analytics firm Santiment says a decline in Bitcoin whale activity is not necessarily a bearish sign.

Bitcoin whales have dialed back their activity since the cryptocurrency hit a new high in March and are now biding their time for the next major buying or selling opportunity, recent data suggests.

“Cryptocurrency’s whale transactions have seen a noticeable drop-off since mid-August,” blockchain analytics platform Santiment wrote in a Sept. 11 X post.

Santiment noted that Bitcoin (BTC) weekly transactions of $100,000 or more had dropped 33.6% since March 13 — the day of Bitcoin’s $73,679 all-time high.

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Bitcoin traders brush off September blues, say closing price may ‘surprise the bears’

Tyr Capital’s chief investment officer thinks Bitcoin is more likely to finish September above $60,000 than below.

Some Bitcoin traders seem to be brushing off concerns about the usual September dump, even though history suggests otherwise, and the macro environment could be a strong enough factor to challenge the ongoing narrative.

“Although September is historically a negative month for BTC, the combination of a Fed [United States Federal Reserve] rate cut and a relatively robust US economy could surprise the bears,” Tyr Capital chief investment officer Ed Hindi told Cointelegraph.

“We believe the chances of BTC settling above $60,000 to be higher than the chances of it settling below it,” Hindi added. 

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US Fed rate cut could push Bitcoin down 20% — Analysts

Bitfinex says it’s a “challenging time” for Bitcoin traders as the US Fed’s widely expected rate cut could lead to a drop in Bitcoin’s price and not a boost as hoped by the market.

A long-awaited United States Federal Reserve interest rate cut could push the price of Bitcoin down — the opposite direction of many market participants’ expectations — and possibly cause it to dive to levels not seen since February, analysts say.

“If we were to speculate, we would caution to expect a 15-20 percent decline when rates are cut this month, with a bottom of $40-50k for BTC,” Bitfinex analysts wrote in a Sept. 2 note.

Bitfinex’s analysts backed up their claims by reiterating that September has historically been a “volatile month” for Bitcoin (BTC), and the anticipated Fed rate cut only adds another “layer of complexity, potentially exacerbating the market’s volatility.”

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Bitcoin in 42-day ‘boredom zone’ — traders debate next move

Bitcoin’s price has sat in the "boredom zone" for over a month, leaving traders guessing about a potential surge or retracement.

Bitcoin (BTC) has now spent 42 days in the “boredom zone,” and crypto traders are divided over whether it is consolidating for another surge or facing a 20% pullback toward crucial support levels.

“We have now spent 42 days in the low volatility and boredom zone,” pseudonymous crypto trader CryptoCon declared in a May 30 X post, explaining a lack of volatility in Bitcoin’s price is the main sign of “boredom in the market.”

Bitcoin is currently trading at $67,680, just 6.7% higher than its price 42 days ago, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

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