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Polls suggest Elizabeth Warren’s anti-crypto army strategy won’t pay off

Elizabeth Warren has long been a crypto-critic, and appears to be making it a focus as her re-election bid kicks off.

The United States Senator for Massachusetts Elizabeth Warren is making her “anti-crypto” agenda one of the centerpieces of her re-election campaign, despite polls suggesting the majority of Americans think crypto is a key innovation for the future.

In a March 30 Tweet, Warren suggested she was fighting to put “government on the side of working families,” and prominently quoted a Politico headline that said: “Elizabeth Warren is building an Anti-crypto Army.”

The ‘Pro-crypto Army’ took to Twitter to lambast the Senator. Popular YouTuber Coin Bureau ridiculed the strategy, saying, “Imagine thinking that building an 'anti-crypto army' is going to win you votes?” while crypto advocate Lord TJ suggested that the stance will “push innovation offshore.”

While the Senator undoubtedly has access to her own private polling on the issues, recent polls commissioned by the industry suggest the stance will not be a vote winner among the majority of the population.

In a Feb. 24 survey commissioned by crypto exchange Coinbase, a whopping 76% of the representative sample believed that “cryptocurrency and blockchain are the future.”

A survey commissioned by digital asset management firm Grayscale Investments in November 2022 shared similar sentiments, with the responses interestingly suggesting that 59% of Democrats consider crypto to be the future of finance. That's more than the 51% of Republicans who said the same thing.

Democrats vs Republicans on crypto as the future of finance. Source: Grayscale

However in Warren's favor, the crises of 2022 such as the collapses of BlockFi, FTX, and Terra Luna have weighed heavily on crypto sentiment among the public, with a recent survey from Morning Consult finding that trust in crypto had plummeted over the course of the year.

The phrase “Elizabeth Warren is building an anti-crypto army” was first featured in a Feb. 14 Politico article, which claimed she was “starting to recruit conservative Senate Republicans to her anti-crypto cause and getting some early positive vibes from bank lobbyists.”

Related: Elizabeth Warren is pushing the Senate to ban your crypto wallet

The Senator appears to have taken a liking to the phrase, however, considering she has prominently featured it in her re-election campaign.

Warren has long been a vocal critic of crypto, and even suggested that it will ruin the economy in a Wall Street Journal op-ed soon after the collapse of crypto exchange FTX.

On Feb. 14 Warren vowed to re-introduce an Anti-Money Laundering (AML) bill she had previously pushed, which would extend to decentralized finance (DeFi) and Decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs), while also requiring unhosted wallets, miners, and validators to implement AML policies.

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Crypto regulation decided by Congress, not the SEC: Blockchain Association

The group's policy head doubted a divided Congress can create crypto legislation but said it doesn’t give regulators absolute authority in the interim.

Despite attempts to police cryptocurrency through enforcement actions, United States financial regulators “are bound by legal reality” and Congress will ultimately decide crypto regulations the policy expert for the crypto advocacy group Blockchain Association has suggested.

The association's chief policy officer, Jake Chervinsky, shared his views in an extensive Feb. 14 Twitter thread on the state of crypto policy.

He noted neither the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) nor the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) “has the authority to comprehensively regulate crypto.”

Chervinsky believed a deal on crypto legislation seems “unlikely, given the ideological gap between House Republicans and Senate Democrats.” He accused the SEC and CFTC of overstepping their authority in an attempt to “get things done” without Congress.

Chervinsky called for the industry to remain calm following the recent flurry of activity from “crypto’s chief antagonist,” the SEC, and pointed to its crackdown on staking services as an example.

The SEC’s Feb. 9 settlement with crypto exchange Kraken, that banned the exchange from ever offering staking services to U.S. customers, was publicly rebuked by SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce.

In a Feb. 9 dissenting statement, Peirce argued that regulation by enforcement “is not an efficient or fair way of regulating” an emerging industry.

Related: US lawmakers and experts debate SEC's role in crypto regulation

Chervinsky suggested litigation is one way the crypto industry can push for good policy, noting the judiciary plays an important role in dictating policy that has been “ignored.”

Crypto exchange Coinbase also faces an SEC probe similar to what resulted in Kraken’s settlement.

Coinbase CEO and co-founder, Brian Armstrong, has taken a more resolute stance, claiming that getting rid of crypto staking would be terrible for the U.S.

Armstrong argued in a Feb. 12 Twitter post that Coinbase’s staking services are not securities and would “happily defend this in court if needed.”

Judge’s rulings in landmark cases create a legal precedent. If such a case were brought to court and a judge decided Coinbase’s staking services did not classify as securities, other crypto companies in a similar position could use the precedent as part of their defense.

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SBF has been a ‘significant donor’ in the US midterm elections

The FTX founder has reportedly spent almost $40 million mainly supporting Democrats during the current political cycle, according to Open Secrets.

Crypto billionaire and FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried have admitted to being a "significant donor" to both sides of the political spectrum ahead of the 2022 midterm elections.

Days ahead of the U.S. midterm elections on Nov. 8, SBF told his Twitter followers that he has given contributions to electoral campaigns on both sides of the fence.

The crypto billionaire said that he has been “supporting constructive candidates across the aisle to prevent pandemics and bring a bipartisan climate to DC,” as well as “working with them to support permissionless finance.”

SBF added that working with FTX Digital Markets co-CEO Ryan Salame, he has signed up campaigns to accept crypto “and gave some, including millions to Senate and House Republicans.”

Earlier this year, Cointelegraph reported that SBF was planning to spend up to a billion dollars to help influence 2024 presidential election campaigns. His real plan is to bankroll the candidate running against former president Donald Trump. In 2020, SBF donated $5.2 million to the Joe Biden presidential campaign.

According to Open Secrets, a platform following the money in politics, SBF is the sixth largest political contributor. The platform reports that he has made a total contribution of $39.8 million for the 2021-2022 cycle.

Of that total, 92% has gone to the Democrats with the remainder going to Republican candidates and campaigns. FTX co-CEO Salame favors the red side of the political divide, donating $23.6 million to Republican campaigns for the current cycle.

The top political contributor was billionaire investor George Soros who has pledged $128.5 million to the democrats. Billionaire venture capitalist Peter Thiel, who has backed several crypto startups, was ninth on the list with $32.6 million for the Republicans.

Related: US Election update: Where do the pro-crypto candidates stand ahead of the election?

Bankman-Fried also backs the political action committee (PAC) Protect Our Future, which was set up in January 2022 and has spent more than $9 million to support Democrat candidates.

Crypto has become a point of contention in the midterms with a larger tech and crypto-savvy voter base now having a say. According to a recent survey by fund manager Grayscale, 38% of respondents will be “considering crypto policy positions” when choosing their candidates.

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