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Shiba Inu in danger of ‘topping signal’ as SHIB price loses 50% in 3 weeks

The meme cryptocurrency is hinting at undergoing a price rebound as it paints a classic bullish continuation setup.

Meme-cryptocurrency Shiba Inu (SHIB) has lost more than 50% of its market valuation in three weeks since its all-time highs in late October.

SHIB’s price dropped to as low as $0.00004251 on Nov. 19 after correcting by almost 55% from its all-time high of $0.00008854. Its price recovered a small portion of its losses on Friday, but the move looked indecisive due to weaker trade volumes — i.e., few traders supported the rebound trend.

Some analysts noted that a sharp pullback in the SHIB market was unavoidable after its price had skyrocketed by more than 1,100% since Oct. 1.

For instance, an independent market analyst, under the pseudonym John Wick, called SHIB’s ongoing price correction a “topping signal,” thus suggesting additional selloffs in the sessions ahead.

SHIB/USD four-hour price chart. Source: TradingView, John Wick

“Buying the dips”

Price swings of 50% or more are not too uncommon in the cryptocurrency market. For example, Bitcoin (BTC) had plunged from around $65,000 to below $30,000 in less than 30 days earlier this year. But later, BTC rebounded to establish a new record high at $69,000.

At the core of Bitcoin’s volatile rebound was a well-circulated narrative that projected it as a hedge against rising inflation all across the world. Meanwhile, for Shiba Inu, the core bullish narrative remains “community,” as stated by one of the coin’s most popular endorsers, David Gokhshtein.

The founder of Gokhshtein Media and CEO of PAC Protocol reminded that Shiba Inu’s bullish performance this year has come on the back of strengthening community support and despite the absence of major endorsements by celebrities and billionaires.

Gokhshtein tweeted Friday, asking his followers who among them is “buying the dips,” thus also reiterating his faith in a potential SHIB price rebound even after a 50%-plus price correction.

Bullish technical outlook

Shiba Inu’s ongoing price correction had it trend lower inside what appeared like a bull flag range, raising possibilities that the coin would continue its move higher in the future.

In detail, bull flags occur as a brief pause in the trend after a strong price move higher.

Related: Supersize McShib: Shiba Inu the largest ERC-20 holding among ETH whales

The pattern looks like a downward sloping channel/rectangle represented by two parallel falling trendlines. Typically, bull flags result in the price breaking out of the upper trendline to levels at length equal to the height of the previous uptrend (called a flagpole).

SHIB/USDT daily price chart featuring bull flag. Source: TradingView

With that said, SHIB’s next attempt to break above its flag’s upper trendline, if accompanied by a rise in trading volume, could result in a price leg higher toward $0.00010000.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Dogecoin jumps 44% in one day as traders rotate Shiba Inu profits into DOGE

The DOGE price rally appeared after Shiba Inu briefly flipped Dogecoin to become the ninth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization.

Dogecoin (DOGE) soared on Oct. 28 amid massive capital rotations out of its top meme coin rival’s market, Shiba Inu (SHIB).

Notably, DOGE’s price rallied by a little over 44% to reach its intraday high of $0.3449. Its gains appeared in contrast to SHIB’s losses in the same period. On the other hand, the so-called “Dogecoin killer” dropped almost 28% to log an intraday low at around $0.000057; in the same hour, DOGE printed its daily top.

SHIB/USD vs. DOGE/USD daily price chart noting inverse correlation. Source: TradingView

The sudden price rally also pushed DOGE’s market capitalization to over $40 billion, a mettle that Shiba Inu achieved hours before, with the two cryptocurrencies now neck-and-neck and currently battling for the ninth place by market cap.

Traders started flocking into Dogecoin markets hours after Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, posted a new tweet about the meme cryptocurrency. 

Musk’s earlier supportive tweets prompted DOGE to climb by more than 1,500% in the first five months of 2021.

Long DOGE, short SHIB

Shiba Inu rallied exponentially heading into Q4, rising by around 1,200% in October on hopes that it would gain a listing on Robinhood, a United States-based zero-fee trading app, and its foray into the emerging decentralized finance and nonfungible token sectors with new product launches.

Nonetheless, SHIB’s supersonic bull run has also made it overvalued, based on some key metrics, notably the Relative Strength Index. Thus, it appears that spot and derivative traders have decided to secure and/or rotate their profits. 

Su Zhu, co-founder, CEO and chief information officer of fund management firm Three Arrows Capital, noted earlier on Thursday that traders rotated their easy-to-short Shiba Inu perpetual swap profits — as SHIB topped out at $0.00008854 — into the Dogecoin perpetual market.

The former Deutsche Bank trader suggested that DOGE can rally toward $0.88 next should traders rotate profits from SHIB to Dogecoin. 

Around $20.8 million DOGE rekt

Dogecoin’s price moves also caught derivatives traders off-guard as they lost about $20.8 million in total liquidations across the previous 24 hours. Around $18.17 million worth of those liquidations emerged out of leveraged long bets after DOGE’s price dropped to its weekly low of $0.2179 on Wednesday.

In contrast, the ongoing 12-hour timeframe saw bears taking more losses than bulls, with $8.9 million worth of bearish Dogecoin bets getting liquidated against $5.22 million worth of bullish bets concerning the same token.

DOGE total liquidations across all exchanges. Source: Bybt 

On the whole, however, Dogecoin traders were the majority short in the previous 24 hours, with FTX and OKEx users turning out to be exceptionally bullish, with 58% and 77% of their net positions skewed long, respectively.

A sudden bearish reversal in the Shiba Inu market also led to SHIB liquidations worth $31.41 million, the third-highest among all cryptocurrencies in the previous 24 hours.

Related: Shiba Inu risks drop with SHIB's 574% October's price rally near exhaustion

PostyXBT, an independent market analyst, warned about excessive leverages in both SHIB and DOGE markets. 

“Play spot and not leverage,” he said, adding, “The volatility could quite easily wipe out before a big move in intended direction.”

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Shiba Inu could surpass Dogecoin after a 700% SHIB price rally in October

In comparison, Dogecoin’s October gains so far have come out to be a little over 8%.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) continued its march upward on Oct. 27, with its price hitting a record high of nearly $0.000060 before correcting lower.

SHIB rallied by more than 25% to an all-time high of $0.00005959, crossing above its previous all-time high of 0.00005000, according to data from Binance. The latest move upside pushed the token’s month-to-date (MTD) returns to approximately 726%, making it the fifth-highest grossing cryptocurrency entering the final quarter of 2021.

SHIB’s October gains had slipped to near 606% following a price correction from its record high, still higher than the rest of the top-cap crypto rivals, including Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL).

Top five cryptocurrencies ranked according to their October gains. Source: Messari

Still, SHIB’s superior performance particularly stands out against its meme coin rival, Dogecoin (DOGE), whose MTD gains are currently only about 8%. Moreover, Shiba Inu’s market capitalization has now reached $22.1 billion — the 11th-largest — putting it right behind Dogecoin’s $31.53 billion in 10th place.

SHIB copying DOGE bull run?

Shiba Inu was launched in 2020 after taking heavy inspiration from Dogecoin, a 2013-born joke cryptocurrency fashioned after the Japanese dog breed. Eight years since its introduction, Dogecoin’s popularity emerged with its use as payments by sports teams, AMC theaters and as a speculative investment vehicle thanks to Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s social media endorsements of the token.

DOGE’s price underwent an incredible upside boom in the first five months of 2021, rising more than 15,000% amid a retail-led frenzy. In doing so, the king meme token reached its record high of $0.76 on May 8, only to correct by over 68% to trade around $0.23 at press time.

DOGE/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Overall, Dogecoin went through extreme trends in the previous 12 months, starting with a long period of consolidation, eventually following it up with an extended bullish breakout and further by a massive price correction.

It appears Shiba Inu’s price trends in recent months took cues from Dogecoin’s consolidation and breakout phases, as the SHIB/USDT chart shows below.

SHIB/USDT daily price chart featuring Dogecoin’s three phases. Source: TradingView

A Dogecoin-like 1,500% price boom in the Shiba Inu market puts its long-term profit target near $0.00013500. Nonetheless, the fractal also warns about massive, periodical price corrections toward the 20-day exponential moving average support (the green waves in the charts above) as the price increases.

The overall Shiba Inu dominance in the cryptocurrency market has surged from 0.16% to 0.91% MTD. On the other hand, Dogecoin’s control on the market has reduced from 1.5% to as low as 1.20% in the same period.

SHIB price macro fundamentals

Joe Wiesenthal, editor at Bloomberg Markets, noted that Shiba Inu has “advanced smart-contracting capabilities,” making it better than Dogecoin.

“You can check out Shibaswap, a Uniswap-like decentralized exchange for the SHIB community. It’s got NFT, liquidity mining. All of it. Meanwhile, Dogecoin doesn’t have any of this right now.”

As Cointelegraph covered, the recent SHIB price rally may have also taken cues from the Monday launch of the Shiboshis Social Club. This online community rewards exclusive perks to people who own exclusive Shiba Inu-generated nonfungible tokens (NFT), dubbed Shiboshis.

As a result, retail appears to have been tailing Shiba Inu’s speculative bull run, with a recent study by Bacancy Technology showing that it received 2.8 million Google searches on average in 2021, the third-highest after Bitcoin and Ethereum.

In comparison, search volume of Dogecoin came as the sixth-largest.

Meanwhile, a petition on Change.org pleading with Robinhood to list SHIB tokens on its zero-fee trading app garnered over 500,000 signatures. Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev said during the company’s earnings call Tuesday that Robinhood is considering adding new coins to the service portfolio, albeit without mentioning their names.

That may have pushed Shiba Inu’s price to its record high Wednesday, further signaling booming retail interest in the meme crypto. 

“Memes have value and have been an investible thesis in 2021,” Jonathan Cheesman, head of over-the-counter and institutional sales at crypto-derivatives exchange FTX, told Bloomberg, adding:

“Lower dollar-price tokens are attractive to retail.”

Related: Shiba Inu risks drop with SHIB's 574% October's price rally near exhaustion

But according to Ben Caselin, head of research and strategy at crypto exchange AAX, SHIB traders should tread ahead carefully due to excessive speculation, citing prior patterns that indicate that the token would likely “shed much of its value” as it gets challenged by other meme projects.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Elon Musk’s latest attempt to pump Dogecoin fails miserably

Baby Doge, doo, doo, doo, doo, doo, Baby Doge, doo, doo, doo, doo, doo, Baby Doge, doo, doo, doo, doo, doo, Baby Doge.

Dogecoin (DOGE) prices surged but did not skyrocket after receiving another endorsement from Tesla CEO Elon Musk on Twitter on July 1.

The billionaire entrepreneur published a tweet at around 8:43 am UTC — a Godfather-themed meme that shows Marlon Brando's iconic character, Don Vito Corleone, with the text "YOU COME TO ME AT RUNTIME TO TELL ME THE CODE YOU ARE RUNNING DOES NOT COMPILE."

Meanwhile, Musk captioned the tweet "Release the Doge!"

Seconds after the tweet was posted, the DOGE/USD exchange rate surged from $0.24 to $0.261 — about 8.42%. A sell-off followed suit, which took the pair as low as $0.247. Just then, at 9:24 am UTC, Musk tweeted another gibbering message that read "Baby Doge, doo, doo, doo, doo, doo, Baby Doge, doo, doo, doo, doo, doo, Baby Doge, doo, doo, doo, doo, doo, Baby Doge."

DOGE/USD rose 5.22% to $0.260 after the second tweet.

DOGE price 1-minute candle chart. Source: TradingView

In the next couple of hours, DOGE/USD attempted to reclaim the intraday high of $0.261 on the Musk factor, but profit-takers kept offsetting their upside bias, as shown via the large minute-candle bullish wicks in the chart above.

Nevertheless, Dogecoin was still down by almost 0.5% around 12:00 pm UTC, hinting that Musk's influence on the cryptocurrency market is in decline.

Earlier this year, the Tesla CEO's whole-hearted endorsement of Dogecoin caused massive retail-led price spikes, so much so that the cryptocurrency's market cap peaked at almost $100 billion in early May.

At the time, the DOGE/USD exchange rate surged to its record high of $0.76.

The pair is now worth half of its value two months ago, primarily due to a significant crypto market correction that saw almost all the top-cap assets — including Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) and XRP — crash by more than 50% as well. Altcoins such as Dogecoin typically trade in sync with Bitcoin.

Baby Doge booms, meanwhile

While Dogecoin logged brief upside pumps, one of its copycat memecoins, Baby Doge Coin (BABYDOGE), climbed sharply after Musk's 9:24 am UTC tweet.

Baby Doge Coin's price is too low to calculate

Baby Doge Coin was worth around $0.00000001 before Musk's tweet but surged by more than 35% later. Nevertheless, the memecoin's value remained too low for even CoinMarketCap to calculate. Its market cap was also zero as of the time of publication.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Even Elon Musk can’t save Dogecoin from crashing another 60%, analyst asserts

The meme cryptocurrency has crashed by over 60% from its May 8 peak and one analyst believes it has another 60% deeper to go.

If one looks at Dogecoin (DOGE) charts from the point of view of a financial chartist, he/she will notice an alarming presence of a classic bearish structure.

For instance, pseudonymous analyst Tyler Durden highlighted what appears to be a "Head and Shoulder" pattern. The trading structure forms when an asset forms three peaks atop the same support level. In doing so, its middle peak comes out to be higher than the other two.

Durden flashed the Head and Shoulder-like pattern to predict a 67% price crash in the Dogecoin market.

Calling it "programmed," the analyst hinted at the pattern's tendency to crash the assets once it breaks below $0.299, the support level.

Typically, the downside target in such a case comes to be equal to the pattern's height. In Dogecoin's case, the maximum length between the Head and Shoulder pattern's top and support level came out to be $0.197.

Dogecoin crash anticipated if its breaks below $0.299-support. Source: Tyler Durden, TradingView.com

That shifts the Head and Shoulder pattern's downside target lurks near $0.05, as Durden highlighted.

"Even Elon [Musk] can't save this with his tweets. He's tried, and each time he just created another lower high," he said. "0.05 is programmed."

Interim supports

In detail, the DOGE/USD exchange rate corrected by a little over 60% after topping out on May 8 at $0.76. The run-up to $0.76-top itself came as a part of a 16,462% price explosion if measured from the beginning of 2021. 

Meanwhile, from its pandemic-led March 2020 low of $0.00112, Dogecoin's net returns until $0.76 came out to be 67,757.14%. The huge upside made the so-called joke cryptocurrency the best-performing financial asset on the planet, beating even the combined returns of Bitcoin (BTC), S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and gold.

What worked as a bullish catalyst for Dogecoin was nothing but tweets from Elon Musk, a billionaire entrepreneur who sent out various supportive messages favoring the cryptocurrency during its multi-thousand percent price rally.

On April 28, the Tesla CEO proclaimed himself as "Dogefather," sending the Dogecoin prices up by 18% on the same day. Before that, Musk's decision to work with Dogecoin developers to improve its transaction efficiency resulted in a 25.25% intraday price pump on May 13.

But the frenzy-like, Musk-led pump also left Dogecoin with little possibility of establishing sustainable price floors.

Making an exception, DOGE/USD did hold the $0.040-$0.047 area in February-March 2021, following its 50%-plus bearish correction from the then all-time high of $0.1. After eight weeks of maintaining the range as support, the pair resumed its upside rally, eventually hitting $0.76.

D weekly chart shows the next support confluence in the $0.040-0.047 area. Source: TradingView.com

Therefore, before hitting Durden's $0.01 price target, Dogecoin anticipates to find buyers in the $0.040-0.047 area, owing to its brief but historical significant as a support range.

Related: Has the Doge had its day? Dogecoin interest cools

Meanwhile, DOGE/USD also maintains an interim support confluence defined by the $0.25-0.27 range and the 20-week exponential moving average (20-day EMA; the green wave in the chart above).

Zero?

Meanwhile, The Asian Investor, a pseudonymous analyst, does not expect the technical levels to keep Dogecoin from crashing harder. In his Seeking Alpha piece published earlier this month, the pseudonymous analyst called Dogecoin a pump-and-dump token, adding that the cryptocurrency would eventually crash to zero. Excerpts:

"With new pump-and-dump “opportunities” popping up every other day, it is not very appealing to invest [in] an “asset” that has already risen this much. Expect Dogecoin to fall towards $0 this year and die a slow death."

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Dogecoin frenzy forces UK fund manager to offload $1.1 billion Bitcoin stash

Ruffer revealed on Tuesday that it had sold its $600M position for $1.1B, citing concerns over excessive speculation across the cryptocurrency market.

United Kingdom-based fund manager Ruffer liquidated its $600M Bitcoin bet after growing nervous about the speculative frenzy in the cryptocurrency market, including huge rallies in meme-based tokens like Dogecoin (DOGE).

The fund, which manages roughly $34 billion for wealthy clients and charities, started selling its cryptocurrency stash in December 2020, when the BTC/USD exchange rate rose towards $25,000, the Sunday Times reported.

It continued selling as the pair established newer highs in January 2021, breaking past the $40,000-level. Ruffer winded up its remaining Bitcoin position by April, netting $1.1 billion in profits from the sales, or a 83% return for the fund.

Dogecoin FUD

Ruffer's sequential Bitcoin dumps appeared in moments that saw analysts predicting greater valuations for the flagship cryptocurrency. For instance, JPMorgan said in a report published January that BTC/USD could rise to $146,000 as it competes with gold to become the world's leading inflationary hedge.

Guggenheim Partners' Chief Investment Officer Scott Minerd also called for a $400,000-$600,000 Bitcoin, believing that the cryptocurrency would be able to mousetrap gold's market in the long run.

Ruffer clarified that it would consider repurchasing Bitcoin as an insurance against inflation, with its investment director Duncan MacInnes telling the Financial Times that they would be assessing the markets "from the sidelines than from in the trenches."

But for now, MacInnes agreed, Bitcoin is too hot to hold especially when Dogecoin, a joke-based cryptocurrency, is valued at $40 billion. He said:

"It's hard to say the froth has come out."

Dogecoin, a satirical homage to Bitcoin, underwent a wild upside rally in 2021 as it rose 15,337% year-to-date at one point in time.

Supportive tweets from Tesla CEO Elon Musk emerged as some of the leading catalysts behind the Dogecoin price rally, including reshared July 2020 meme showing the cryptocurrency storming the global financial system.

But the retail frenzy started dying in May after Musk called Dogecoin a "hustle" on a Saturday Night Live episode. The billionaire entrepreneur's U-turn on the token caused panic selling across the cryptocurrency market, hinting that loss-making traders attempted to cash out gains from still-profitable cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.

Dogecoin fell 30% instantly after Musk's statement. As of June 9, the cryptocurrency was trading more than 50% lower than its all-time high of $0.76.

Dogecoin's classic head & shoulders pattern suggests massive declines ahead. Source: TradingView

“You could see very clearly that there was a rise in speculative behavior," said MacInnes while pointing at Bitcoin's own rise from $30,000 to almost $65,000 amid the Dogecoin retail frenzy. Nevertheless, he added that at least the benchmark cryptocurrency's boom had some rationality behind it.

Bitcoin "on the menu"

Lower-yielding bonds and devaluated fiat currencies left investors without a better traditional safe-haven asset. As a result, their traditional 60/40 portfolio strategy returned nothing, which led them to "new safe-haven, uncorrelated assets" like Bitcoin.

Bitcoin struggles to reclaim previous support waves (green and orange). Source: TradingView

Ruffer has shifted its funds to Bitcoin-rivaling anti-inflation assets, including gold, inflation-protected bonds and commodity stocks. The firm asserted that it would keep the cryptocurrency "on the menu" for future.

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Dogecoin gets back to pre-crash prices as $16M in DOGE shorts get liquidated

The Dogecoin bull run is not over thanks to its Coinbase listing and simultaneous DOGE price rally.

Dogecoin (DOGE) prices jumped by nearly 40% on a 24-hour adjusted timeframe on Wednesday, shaking out more than $16 million worth of bearish leverage in just one hour while almost reclaiming its pre-crash high. 

Dogecoin derivatives market records massive liquidations on hourly timeframes. Source: ByBt.com

Leveraged bearish traders caught themselves on the wrong side of trading after Coinbase Pro, a United States-based crypto trading platform, announced that it would enable DOGE trading to its portal from Thursday. 

“Starting immediately, we will begin accepting inbound transfers of DOGE to Coinbase Pro,” Coinbase confirmed in its blog post.

“Once sufficient supply of DOGE is established on the platform, trading on our DOGE-USD, DOGE-BTC, DOGE-EUR, DOGE-GBP, and DOGE-USDT order books will launch in three phases, post-only, limit-only and full trading.”

The news prompted a sudden overnight spike across DOGE spot markets, burning speculators who had placed bets on the cryptocurrency’s price decline.

The DOGE/USD exchange rate rose by up to $0.064, or 17.34%, after opening Wednesday in green. The pair reached an intraday high of $0.454 before witnessing a minor downside correction led by profit-takers. As of 12:07 UTC, DOGE was changing hands for $0.434.

Dogecoin also fared well against its top rival asset, Bitcoin (BTC). The DOGE/BTC exchange rate jumped 33% in the previous 24 hours, wiping all the losses that it had incurred against Bitcoin during the May 19 crash.

Dogecoin posts massive intraday gains against the U.S. dollar and Bitcoin. Source: TradingView

The past 24 hours witnessed Dogecoin short liquidations worth $47.83 million.

Bullish calls resurface

Dogecoin’s latest move uphill also prompted observers to predict a $1 valuation in the coming sessions, a level DOGE/USD missed after peaking out at $0.76 on Binance.

For instance, Primordial Hashrate, a crypto-focused newsletter service, cited Dogecoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) — a technical indicator that charts an asset’s current and historical strength or weakness — as its signal to bid DOGE/USD toward $1.

Ronnie Moas, founder of Standpoint Research — a Miami-based financial research startup — noted that Dogecoin’s addition on Coinbase Pro, a platform most popular among professional crypto traders, would open DOGE to “million more investors worldwide.”

Massive bubble

Dogecoin grew into traders’ conscience primarily after it received backing from Elon Musk. The Tesla founder and CEO posted tweets in support of Dogecoin insofar that he ended up calling himself “the Dogefather” in jest, while also recently stating that he’s “Dogecoin’s master.”

Musk’s popularity became instrumental in pushing the DOGE/USD bids up by more than 15,300% in 2021, with its market capitalization hitting $92 billion, surpassing even Airbnb and Infosys. 

But the supersonic price rally has also invited fear, uncertainty and doubt, or FUD, of a potential bubble. The panic almost engulfed the market after Musk called Dogecoin a “hustle” during his television appearance on Saturday Night Live on May 8, leading to a 45% price decline in the next three daily sessions.

The sell-off intensified further on May 19 amid a market-wide brutal sell-off. Dogecoin fell to as low as $0.29, down more than 74% from its all-time high of $0.76. Pseudonymous analyst the Asian Investor noted that Dogecoin is in the third stage of a “massive bubble” — the hype stage — that would soon follow up with deflation and panic-selling phases. He added:

“All hypes end. When this hype is over, people will look back on Dogecoin and wonder how wealth could have ever been created out of nothing.”

Dogecoin has rebounded by almost 132% after bottoming out at $0.29.

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