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Bitcoin likely to transition to a risk-off asset in H2 2022, says Bloomberg analyst

As the global economy moves into a recession in the second half of 2002, Bitcoin will likely rally alongside gold and treasury bonds, according to Mike McGlone, a senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg.

Bitcoin is likely to transition from a risk-on to a risk-off asset in the second half of 2022, as the macroeconomic environment is rapidly shifting towards a recession, said Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg, in a recent interview with Cointelegraph. McGlone predicted:

“ I see it transitioning to be more of a risk-off asset like bonds and gold, then less of a risk-on asset like the stock market.”

According to the analyst, the crypto market has flushed out most of the speculative excesses that marked 2021 and it is now ripe for a fresh rally. McGlone also pointed out that the Fed's aggressive hiking of interest rates will lead the global economy to a deflationary recession, which will ultimately favor Bitcoin:

“I fully expect we're going to have a pretty severe recession globally, which probably will make Bitcoin shine [...] along with gold and U.S. Treasury long bonds."

Don't forget to check out the full interview on our YouTube channel and don't forget to subscribe! 

SEC sues Nova Labs over alleged unregistered crypto securities offerings

Kosovo Renews Crypto Mining Ban Amid Rising Energy Prices

Kosovo Renews Crypto Mining Ban Amid Rising Energy PricesThe government of Kosovo has adopted measures tailored to maintain energy supply in the coming months, including a ban on cryptocurrency mining. The move comes amid a sharp increase in import prices and the restrictions can be extended for up to six months. Authorities in Kosovo Reinstate Ban on Cryptocurrency Mining The executive power in […]

SEC sues Nova Labs over alleged unregistered crypto securities offerings

Will the Bitcoin mining industry collapse? Analysts explain why crisis is really opportunity

Many BTC miners are in a tough spot and a few could collapse, but experts say the industry is here to stay.

Bitcoin mining involves a delicate balance between multiple moving parts. Miners already have to face capital and operational costs, unexpected repairs, product shipping delays and unexpected regulation that can vary from country to country — and in the case of the United States, from state to state. On top of that, they also had to contend with Bitcoin’s precipitous drop from $69,000 to $17,600. 

Despite BTC price being 65% down from its all-time high, the general consensus among miners is to keep calm and carry on by just stacking sats, but that doesn't mean the market has reached a bottom just yet.

In an exclusive Bitcoin miners panel hosted by Cointelegraph, Luxor CEO Nick Hansen said, “There’s going to definitely be a capital crunch in publicly listed companies or at least not even just publicly listed companies. There’s probably close to $4 billion worth of new ASICs that need to be paid for as they come out, and that capital is no longer available.”

Hansen elaborated with:

“Hedge funds blow up very quickly. I think miners are going to take 3 to 6 months to blow up. So we’ll see who’s got good operations and who’s able to survive this low margin environment.”

When asked about future challenges and expectations for the Bitcoin mining industry, PRTI Inc. advisor Magdalena Gronowska said, “One of the biggest challenges that we’ve had in this transition to a low-carbon economy and reducing GHG emissions has been an underinvestment in technology and infrastructure by the public and private sectors. What I think is really amazing about Bitcoin mining is that it’s really presenting a completely novel way to fund or subsidize that development of energy or waste management infrastructure. And that's a way that’s beyond those traditional taxpayer or electricity ratepayer pathways because this way is based on a purely elegant system of economic incentives.”

Will Bitcoin destroy the environment?

As the panel discussion shifted to the environmental impact of BTC mining and the widely held assumption that Bitcoin’s energy consumption is a threat to the planet, Blockware Solutions analyst Joe Burnett said:

“I think Bitcoin mining is just not bad for the environment, period, I think if anything, it incentivizes more energy production, it improves grid reliability, and resilience and I think it will likely lower retail electricity rates in the long term.”

According to Burnett, “Bitcoin mining is a bounty to produce cheap energy, and this is good for all of humanity.”

Related: Texas a Bitcoin ‘hot spot’ even as heat waves affect crypto miners

Will industrial Bitcoin mining catalyze the long-awaited “mass adoption” of crypto?

Regarding Bitcoin mining dominance, the future of the industry and whether or not the growth of industrial mining could eventually lead to crypto mass adoption, Hashworks CEO Todd Esse said, “I believe that most of the mining down the road will be held in the Middle East and North America, and to some extent Asia. Depending upon how much they are eventually able to cut off. And that really speaks to the availability of natural resources and the cost of power.”

While it is easy to assume that growing synergy between big energy companies and Bitcoin mining would add validity to BTC as an investment asset and possibly facilitate its mass adoption, Hansen disagreed.

Hansen said:

“No, certainly not, but it is going to be the thing that transforms everyone's life whether they know it or not. By being that buyer of last resort and buyer of first resort for energy. It's going to transform energy, energy markets and the way it is produced and consumed here in the US. And overall, it should significantly improve the human condition over time.

Don’t miss the full interview on our YouTube channel and don’t forget to subscribe!

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SEC sues Nova Labs over alleged unregistered crypto securities offerings

Iran Amends Regulations to Ease Crypto Miners’ Access to Renewable Energy

Iran Amends Regulations to Ease Crypto Miners’ Access to Renewable EnergyAuthorities in Iran have revised some rules for the crypto mining industry in order to facilitate its access to green power. Licensed miners will now be able to purchase electricity produced from renewable sources from across the country at lower rates. Cryptocurrency Miners in Iran Allowed to Source Green Energy From Across Country Iran’s Ministry […]

SEC sues Nova Labs over alleged unregistered crypto securities offerings

Bitcoin mining to harness onsite natural gas emissions: Ark Invest

A new report reveals an angle for sustainability in Bitcoin mining through harnessing onsite natural gas emissions.

Data from a recent Ark Invest report highlights another utility for Bitcoin (BTC) mining in the realm of sustainability and energy. 

According to the findings, there is enormous potential to transform methane emissions into energy for Bitcoin mining, which, in turn, will turbocharge solar and wind-generated electricity at onsite wells.

Annual gas flaring emissions equal 140 billion cubic meters, along with an additional 125 billion cubic meters in annual methane emissions. Therefore, left untouched, this means 265 billion cubic meters of natural gas emissions are wasted yearly. However, an analysis of the methane needed for the current Bitcoin hashrate stands at only 25 billion.

While harnessing the entirety of the emissions is impossible due to the oil industry’s preexisting flaring operations investments, capturing methane is a viable and early solution. Ark Invest’s Sam Korus tweeted that over half of all vented methane occurs onsite at wells. This makes the location a prime spot for mining to capture such emissions and productively employ them.

Additionally, instead of the methane being vented, it would be able to generate electricity at rates far below what mining companies currently pay.

Recently the mining industry has been showing signs of increased energy efficiency and a pivot towards sustainability.

Last week the Bitcoin Mining Council released its Q2 review of the network. It revealed the industry’s use of sustainable energy is up 6% from the same quarter in the previous years. In conclusion to their findings, the council referred to Bitcoin mining as “one of the most sustainable industries globally.”

However, this has been an active effort to change on the part of the mining industry. Previously, environmentalists shamed the industry due to its unjustifiable carbon footprint.

Korus suggests that while there are other ways to harness methane, Bitcoin mining is an ideal option as “It is highly scalable with modular hardware that can be transported to and shifted among operating well sites.”

While the new data backs up these claims, they are not new. There are already companies actively doing so. Back in February, Cointelegraph spoke with Kristian Csepcsa, the CMO of Slush Pool, on how miners are aiding oil companies with flare reduction by running their generators on natural gas, which would otherwise be burned off.

Nonetheless, there are still skeptics. One Twitter user pointed out that the emissions in question are not naturally occurring. Rather, they are extracted via fossil fuel extraction, which due to climate change, is under pressure to be cut entirely.

As the industry continues to adapt to global sustainability standards, time will tell if such solutions will bring about the future of Bitcoin mining and energy production.

SEC sues Nova Labs over alleged unregistered crypto securities offerings

How blockchain can address Austria’s energy crisis

In the future, energy communities should make a greater contribution to the energy transition.

Climate change has become one of the biggest global challenges for humanity. At the same time, the dependence on hydrocarbon energy sources such as coal, oil and natural gas is still strong.

Supply lines around these energy sources are further vulnerable to geopolitical tensions. Due to the current sanctions against Russia, experts now expect rising electricity prices and negative effects on the energy market in Europe.

The Austrian government understands the urgent need for the energy transition and has set the ambitious goal of being climate neutral by 2040. Alternative solutions to fossil energy have been slow to emerge and, for the most part, are not yet efficient enough on a large scale. But there are promising approaches — especially in the form of decentralized renewable energies or blockchain technology in peer-to-peer (P2P) energy trading.

There are already pilot projects in Austria dealing with P2P trading on the energy market. At the forefront are blockchain scale-up Riddle&Code and Austria’s largest energy provider Wien Energie, which founded a joint venture in 2020 called Riddle&Code Energy Solutions.

As of April 1 of this year, Kai Siefert is the new head of the joint venture. He was formerly an IT strategist at Wien Energie and worked on the energy tokenization platform MyPower in Vienna. Cointelegraph auf Deutsch caught up with Siefert to ask how we can combat the energy crisis with the help of blockchain.

From pilot project to solar tokenization 

Wien Energie and Riddle&Code have been working together for a long time. Back in 2017, the companies launched the first project called Peer2Peer in Quartier where they tokenized photovoltaic solar systems so that consumers can participate in energy production. 

Later, at the end of 2018, when Siefert was still Wien Energie’s IT strategist, his team developed a blockchain strategy together with Astrid Schober, head of IT at Wien Energie, and focused on the topic of energy tokenization with security tokens and utility tokens.

This resulted in the MyPower platform. First, Wien Energy and Riddle&Code tested the decentralized trading of self-generated solar power via blockchain in a smart city project with 100 participants. Everything went smoothly, and in 2021, a tokenization platform for photovoltaic plants was launched. Riddle&Code tokenized the largest solar plant in Austria and gained 1,000 customers who, as part of its advertising campaign, bought energy vouchers issued by Wien Energie in the form of tokens, which could be used to pay electricity bills.

Now MyPower tokenizes solar photovoltaic assets across the whole of Austria, allowing consumers to benefit from partial ownership and invest in renewable energy sources.

Demand for renewable energy is huge

According to Siefert, the concept of energy sharing is very much in demand at the moment. Due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the coronavirus crisis, electricity prices are skyrocketing. Rising energy prices can be mitigated with cheaper renewable energies, smart information technology and energy sharing. 

Recent: Not just Bitcoin price: Factors affecting BTC miner profitability

With blockchain-based energy sharing, jointly generated electricity is fed into the grid, distributed and sold directly to flats — all without an intermediary. Kilowatt-hours not consumed can also be sold to other energy communities, and thus, consumers earn or save money.

Energy sharing can enable direct energy trading between energy consumers (energy producers and end-consumers), who can use this approach to take control of their generation and demand. People who rent instead of owning their homes can actively participate in the energy transition and benefit from the proceeds. This gets consumers more involved in their own generation and puts local value creation at the center.

“You don’t need to buy natural gas from Russia or oil from Saudi Arabia to create energy here in Europe,” Siefert said. “The sun comes virtually for free and reliably produces electricity. But many people can’t participate because they don’t have their own house, but live in a rented flat or simply don’t have the means to buy a large solar system. However, we can divide these plants into small digital asset tokens so that private investors with little capital can also participate.”

Renewable energies “are coming into focus”

In Austria, there are already small renewable energy communities such as Erneuerbare-Energie-Gemeinschaften (EEG). Such energy communities (in Austria and according to the Renewable Energy Expansion Act) are nonprofit-orientated legal entities intended to decentralize the generation, distribution and consumption of renewable energy mainly for the public benefit. Such EEGs still play a small role in production, local and regional distribution, and consumption of renewable energy and are often not very profitable.

However, things are starting to develop. According to Siefert, the demand for EEGs has already increased enormously due to rising energy prices, and Riddle&Code Energy Solutions offers technical solutions for setting up and onboarding such EEGs. “We can also connect them to decentralized marketplaces with our system,” Siefert said. This is already possible with the Renewable Energy Expansion Act, which has been in force since 2021 and is a European Union directive that has been transposed into national law.

Siefert noted an “increasing interest in interesting in renewable energies” — in Austria, Europe and worldwide. Companies working in the field of renewable energies “are now coming into focus,” as they are benefiting “from the large investments favored by climate policy worldwide,” Siefert said.

Real-time data signed and encrypted on the blockchain

At the moment, P2P energy trading is not yet allowed in Austria. Everything works on the basis of the current electricity market infrastructure, and billing data is made available by the grids 24 hours after it has been measured. 

But Riddle&Code Energy Solutions can already take this data in real-time. A dongle that can be connected directly to the smart meter reads data live from the customer interface and sends it via a trusted gateway — signed and fully encrypted on the blockchain. From there, this data can be read out immediately. Customers can see every quarter of an hour how their credit grows in kilowatt-hour tokens.

Recent: Proof-of-time vs proof-of-stake: How the two algorithms compare

This data cannot be used for billing yet, but it helps to incentivize the right consumption behavior. Thanks to such data, the customer can see how much green energy they have on the grid from the community installation and, for example, use this time to turn on the washing machine or charge an electric car. This, in turn, has an indirect effect on the bill because customers then pay less if they use more electricity from their own shared forms.

“Our goal is that everyone can participate in energy sharing,” Siefert said. “But private P2P trading is currently not possible in Austria until legal regulation is created. That is why I would like to see more freedom here from the government side and more speed in the expansion of renewables. Austria can become one of the leading nations in the EU and worldwide in terms of P2P energy trading and the development of energy communities.”

This is a short version of the interview with Kai Siefert. You can find the full version here (in German).

SEC sues Nova Labs over alleged unregistered crypto securities offerings

Sweden Needs Power for More Useful Things Than Bitcoin Mining, Energy Minister Says

Sweden Needs Power for More Useful Things Than Bitcoin Mining, Energy Minister SaysConcerned about projected increase in electricity demand, the government in Sweden may turn its back on crypto mining, the country’s energy minister has indicated. Swedish bitcoin minting industry, a leader in Europe, is likely to soon lose the preferential treatment it has been taking advantage of for some time, a media report revealed. Crypto Miners […]

SEC sues Nova Labs over alleged unregistered crypto securities offerings

BTC mining costs reach 10-month lows as miners use more efficient rigs

It now costs less to mine a single Bitcoin which could help to reverse the falling profitability trend while lowering power demands on the network.

The cost of mining one Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen to ten-month lows as mining hardware becomes more efficient, and difficulty has dropped 6.7% since its May peak.

On July 13, strategists from JPMorgan led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou told investors that Bitcoin production costs have fallen to around $13,000 from $24,000 at the beginning of June.

This is the lowest it has been since September 2021, according to the analysts citing a chart from Bitinfocharts, and comes as mining difficulty has fallen from its May highs of 31.25T to 29.15T.

Lower Bitcoin production costs can potentially ease miner selling pressure and improve profitability. However, the strategists were still bearish, stating “the decline in the production cost might be perceived as negative for the Bitcoin price outlook going forward,” according to Bloomberg.

They added that the production cost is perceived by some analysts as the lower bound for BTC price range in a bear market. Several analysts have predicted BTC prices to fall to around $13,000, which would align with the 80%+ drawdowns in the previous two bear markets. Bitcoin is currently trading down 70% from its November all-time high.

Bitcoin production cost peaked just after the price peaks in April and November 2021 and has fallen back as markets did, so it is correlated but lags price movements.

The drop in production cost has been linked to a decline in electricity consumption.

Cambridge University’s Bitcoin energy consumption index currently reports that the network’s estimated daily power demand is 9.59 Gigawatts. This is a decline of 33% over the past month and is down 40% from the 2022 peak demand of almost 16 GW in February.

Source: Cambridge University

Additionally, a significant number of miners have powered down older, more inefficient mining rigs as they have become unprofitable to operate due to surging energy prices and a collapse in BTC prices.

According to Asicminervalue, the Bitmain Antminer E9, just released this month, is one of the most efficient units on the market, with a maximum hash rate of 2.4Gh/s for a power consumption of 1,920 Watts.

Related: Bitcoin miners sell their hodlings, and ASIC prices keep dropping — What’s next for the industry?

On the flip side, miners have been hit with the double whammy of increasing global energy prices and tanking BTC prices. This has caused mining profitability to slump by 63% since the beginning of the year. Bitinfocharts reports that mining profitability is currently at its lowest levels since October 2020 at $0.095 per day per terahash per second.

However, the fall in production cost may prevent a further fall in profitability and could even reverse that trend in the coming months.

SEC sues Nova Labs over alleged unregistered crypto securities offerings

Kazakhstan President Signs Law Increasing Tax Burden for Crypto Miners

Kazakhstan President Signs Law Increasing Tax Burden for Crypto MinersPresident of Kazakhstan Kassym-Jomart Tokayev has signed into law a bill amending the country’s Tax Code to impose higher tax rates on crypto miners. The levy will depend on the amount and average price of electricity utilized in the extraction of digital currencies like bitcoin. Cryptocurrency Miners in Kazakhstan to Pay Higher Taxes President Tokayev […]

SEC sues Nova Labs over alleged unregistered crypto securities offerings

Bitcoin Mining Infrastructure Provider Lancium to Bolster Battery-Powered Demand Response at 25 MW Texas-Based Facility

Bitcoin Mining Infrastructure Provider Lancium to Bolster Battery-Powered Demand Response at 25 MW Texas-Based FacilityAccording to Lancium Inc., a crypto mining infrastructure firm, the company has signed a deal with the Texas battery-storage provider Broad Reach Power LLC. Broad Reach Power plans to supply battery power to Lancium’s Fort Stockton-based 25-megawatt facility and when the grid is swamped by excessive energy demand, Lancium can continue mining without reducing its […]

SEC sues Nova Labs over alleged unregistered crypto securities offerings