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Dogecoin jumps 44% in one day as traders rotate Shiba Inu profits into DOGE

The DOGE price rally appeared after Shiba Inu briefly flipped Dogecoin to become the ninth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization.

Dogecoin (DOGE) soared on Oct. 28 amid massive capital rotations out of its top meme coin rival’s market, Shiba Inu (SHIB).

Notably, DOGE’s price rallied by a little over 44% to reach its intraday high of $0.3449. Its gains appeared in contrast to SHIB’s losses in the same period. On the other hand, the so-called “Dogecoin killer” dropped almost 28% to log an intraday low at around $0.000057; in the same hour, DOGE printed its daily top.

SHIB/USD vs. DOGE/USD daily price chart noting inverse correlation. Source: TradingView

The sudden price rally also pushed DOGE’s market capitalization to over $40 billion, a mettle that Shiba Inu achieved hours before, with the two cryptocurrencies now neck-and-neck and currently battling for the ninth place by market cap.

Traders started flocking into Dogecoin markets hours after Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, posted a new tweet about the meme cryptocurrency. 

Musk’s earlier supportive tweets prompted DOGE to climb by more than 1,500% in the first five months of 2021.

Long DOGE, short SHIB

Shiba Inu rallied exponentially heading into Q4, rising by around 1,200% in October on hopes that it would gain a listing on Robinhood, a United States-based zero-fee trading app, and its foray into the emerging decentralized finance and nonfungible token sectors with new product launches.

Nonetheless, SHIB’s supersonic bull run has also made it overvalued, based on some key metrics, notably the Relative Strength Index. Thus, it appears that spot and derivative traders have decided to secure and/or rotate their profits. 

Su Zhu, co-founder, CEO and chief information officer of fund management firm Three Arrows Capital, noted earlier on Thursday that traders rotated their easy-to-short Shiba Inu perpetual swap profits — as SHIB topped out at $0.00008854 — into the Dogecoin perpetual market.

The former Deutsche Bank trader suggested that DOGE can rally toward $0.88 next should traders rotate profits from SHIB to Dogecoin. 

Around $20.8 million DOGE rekt

Dogecoin’s price moves also caught derivatives traders off-guard as they lost about $20.8 million in total liquidations across the previous 24 hours. Around $18.17 million worth of those liquidations emerged out of leveraged long bets after DOGE’s price dropped to its weekly low of $0.2179 on Wednesday.

In contrast, the ongoing 12-hour timeframe saw bears taking more losses than bulls, with $8.9 million worth of bearish Dogecoin bets getting liquidated against $5.22 million worth of bullish bets concerning the same token.

DOGE total liquidations across all exchanges. Source: Bybt 

On the whole, however, Dogecoin traders were the majority short in the previous 24 hours, with FTX and OKEx users turning out to be exceptionally bullish, with 58% and 77% of their net positions skewed long, respectively.

A sudden bearish reversal in the Shiba Inu market also led to SHIB liquidations worth $31.41 million, the third-highest among all cryptocurrencies in the previous 24 hours.

Related: Shiba Inu risks drop with SHIB's 574% October's price rally near exhaustion

PostyXBT, an independent market analyst, warned about excessive leverages in both SHIB and DOGE markets. 

“Play spot and not leverage,” he said, adding, “The volatility could quite easily wipe out before a big move in intended direction.”

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Price analysis 10/27: BTC, ETH, BNB, ADA, SOL, XRP, DOT, DOGE, SHIB, LUNA

Bitcoin and Ether may witness a deeper pullback over the coming days and this move could shake weaker hands out of altcoins and other high risk positions.

Bitcoin (BTC) has broken back below the psychological support at $60,000. While this seems to be negative in the short term, the price action has continued to mirror its movement in 2017. If the similarity continues for the remainder of the year, Bitcoin bulls may be in for a party.

PlanB, creator of the popular Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, recently proclaimed in a tweet that the second leg of Bitcoin’s bull market has begun. If Bitcoin’s price action continues to follow the S2F model, the analyst believes a rally to $100,000 to $135,000 may be possible by the end of the year.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Although Bitcoin garners the lion’s share of attention, cryptocurrency exchange Okcoin said in a recent report that institutional investors’ appetite for non-Bitcoin crypto assets has been growing. The report said that 53% of the purchases by institutional investors in September were in altcoins.

Is the current fall in Bitcoin a buying opportunity or the start of a deeper correction? How are the altcoins expected to react? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin failed to retest the overhead resistance zone at $64,854 to $67,000 on Oct. 25, which may have prompted short-term traders to book profits. That has pulled the price down to the strong support at the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($58,948).

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

A break and close below the 20-day EMA will be the first sign that the bullish momentum may be weakening. If bulls fail to reclaim the level quickly, the selling could accelerate and the BTC/USDT pair could slide to $52,920.

The relative strength index (RSI) has dropped to the midpoint and the 20-day EMA is flattening out, suggesting a balance between supply and demand.

This advantage will tilt in favor of the bears if the pair slides and sustains below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($51,556). On the other hand, a breakout to a new all-time high will indicate that bulls are back in command.

ETH/USDT

The bulls tried to resume the uptrend in Ether (ETH) on Oct. 26 and 27 but could not sustain the price above $4,200. This suggests that bears are active at higher levels.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The sellers have pulled the price to the 20-day EMA ($3,869), which is an important support to keep an eye on. A strong bounce off the 20-day EMA will suggest that the sentiment remains positive and traders are buying the dips. The bulls will then again try to resume the uptrend.

On the contrary, if the 20-day EMA cracks, it will signal that traders may be booking profits and supply exceeds demand. The bears will then try to pull the price to the 50-day SMA ($3,488).

BNB/USDT

Binance Coin (BNB) turned down from the overhead resistance and broke below the 20-day EMA ($462) today. This is the first sign that the bullish sentiment could be weakening.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The long tail on today’s candlestick shows that bulls are attempting to defend the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders pattern.

If they succeed, the BNB/USDT pair could again try to rally to the overhead resistance at $518.90. A break and close above this resistance could signal the resumption of the uptrend.

Conversely, a close below the neckline could pull the price to the 50-day SMA ($423). If this support is breached, the next stop could be $392.20. The flattish moving averages and the RSI near the midpoint do not indicate a clear advantage to either bulls or bears.

ADA/USDT

Cardano’s (ADA) tight range trading between the 20-day EMA ($2.15) and the support line of the symmetrical triangle resolved to the downside on Oct. 27. This suggests that bears have asserted their supremacy.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The sellers pulled the price below $1.87 on Oct. 27 but the long tail on the candlestick suggests that bulls are attempting to defend the support. The recovery attempt is likely to face strong resistance at the 20-day EMA.

If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, the bears will again try to break the $1.87 support. If that happens, the ADA/USDT pair could resume the down move toward the pattern target at $1.58.

The bulls will have to push and sustain the price above the resistance line of the triangle to invalidate the negative view.

SOL/USDT

Solana (SOL) broke above the overhead resistance at $216 on Oct. 25 but the bulls could not sustain the breakout. This may have attracted profit-booking by short-term traders, pulling the price to the 20-day EMA ($177).

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The long tail on Oct. 27’s candlestick suggests that sentiment remains positive and bulls are buying on dips to the 20-day EMA. The buyers will now again try to push the price above the overhead resistance.

If they succeed, the SOL/USDT pair could resume the uptrend with the next target objective at $239.83. Contrary to this assumption, if bears pull the price below $171.47, the pair could extend the drop to the trendline. A break below this support will signal a possible trend change.

XRP/USDT

The bulls pushed Ripple (XRP) above the downtrend line on Oct. 26 but could not sustain the higher levels as seen from the long wick on the day’s candlestick. This may have trapped the aggressive bulls, resulting in strong selling on Oct. 27.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

A close below the $1 support will complete a descending triangle pattern that could pull the price down to the strong support zone at $0.88 to $0.85. If this zone fails to arrest the decline, the XRP/USDT pair could extend the slide to the pattern target at $0.77.

The 20-day EMA ($1.08) is flat but the RSI has dropped into the negative zone, indicating that the bears are attending a strong comeback. This negative view will invalidate if bulls push and sustain the price above the downtrend line. That could clear the path for a possible rally to $1.24.

DOT/USDT

Polkadot’s (DOT) failure to rise above the overhead resistance at $46.39 on Oct. 26 may have prompted selling by short-term traders. This pulled the price down to the strong support at $38.77 on Oct. 27.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The long tail on Oct. 27’s candlestick shows that bulls are defending the support with vigor. If buyers push the price above $46.39, the DOT/USDT pair could resume its up-move and challenge the all-time high at $49.78.

Alternatively, if bulls fail to clear the overhead hurdle, the pair may consolidate between $46.39 and $38.77 for a few days. A break and close below $38.77 could signal the start of a deeper correction to the 50-day SMA ($35.14).

Related: Shiba Inu could surpass Dogecoin after a 700% SHIB price rally in October

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) turned down from $0.28 on Oct. 24, indicating that traders are liquidating positions on rallies. The bulls again tried to push the price above the $0.27 overhead resistance on Oct. 26 but failed.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The selling accelerated on Oct. 27 after bears pulled the price below the 20-day EMA ($0.24). This resulted in a decline close to the strong support zone at $0.21 to $0.19. The long tail on the day’s candlestick suggests that traders continue to defend the support zone.

The 20-day EMA has flattened out and the RSI is just below the midpoint, suggesting a possible range-bound action in the near term. The next trending move could start on a break above $0.28 or a close below $0.19.

SHIB/USDT

SHIBA INU (SHIB) is in a strong uptrend. The long wick on the Oct. 24 candlestick shows that bears tried to stall the up-move at $0.00004465 but they could not sustain the selling pressure. Buying resumed on Oct. 25 and the meme coin resumed its northward march.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The strong up-move has pushed the RSI near the 90 level, which suggests that the rally may be overextended in the short term. However, this does not guarantee the start of a correction because the RSI had reached above 93 on Oct. 6 before a pullback happened.

The bulls have pushed the SHIB/USDT pair above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level at $0.00006531. If the price sustains above this level, the next stop could be the 200% extension level at $0.00007586.

Vertical rallies are rarely sustainable and they usually end with waterfall declines. Therefore, chasing prices higher after the recent rally may be risky.

LUNA/USDT

Terra protocol’s LUNA token broke above the overhead resistance at $45.01 on Oct. 26 but the bulls could not sustain the higher levels as seen from the long wick on the day’s candlestick.

LUNA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears sensed an opportunity and pulled the price below the $39.75 support on Oct. 27, but a minor positive is that bulls bought the dip to the 50-day SMA ($38.16). If the price sustains above $39.75, the bulls may again try to push the LUNA/USDT pair toward $45.01.

Conversely, if the price breaks below the 50-day SMA, the pair could drop to the strong support zone at $34.86 to $32.50. This is an important zone for the bulls to defend because a break below it could accelerate selling.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

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Here Are the Must-Hold Levels for Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana, According to Top Crypto Analyst

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Shiba Inu could surpass Dogecoin after a 700% SHIB price rally in October

In comparison, Dogecoin’s October gains so far have come out to be a little over 8%.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) continued its march upward on Oct. 27, with its price hitting a record high of nearly $0.000060 before correcting lower.

SHIB rallied by more than 25% to an all-time high of $0.00005959, crossing above its previous all-time high of 0.00005000, according to data from Binance. The latest move upside pushed the token’s month-to-date (MTD) returns to approximately 726%, making it the fifth-highest grossing cryptocurrency entering the final quarter of 2021.

SHIB’s October gains had slipped to near 606% following a price correction from its record high, still higher than the rest of the top-cap crypto rivals, including Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL).

Top five cryptocurrencies ranked according to their October gains. Source: Messari

Still, SHIB’s superior performance particularly stands out against its meme coin rival, Dogecoin (DOGE), whose MTD gains are currently only about 8%. Moreover, Shiba Inu’s market capitalization has now reached $22.1 billion — the 11th-largest — putting it right behind Dogecoin’s $31.53 billion in 10th place.

SHIB copying DOGE bull run?

Shiba Inu was launched in 2020 after taking heavy inspiration from Dogecoin, a 2013-born joke cryptocurrency fashioned after the Japanese dog breed. Eight years since its introduction, Dogecoin’s popularity emerged with its use as payments by sports teams, AMC theaters and as a speculative investment vehicle thanks to Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s social media endorsements of the token.

DOGE’s price underwent an incredible upside boom in the first five months of 2021, rising more than 15,000% amid a retail-led frenzy. In doing so, the king meme token reached its record high of $0.76 on May 8, only to correct by over 68% to trade around $0.23 at press time.

DOGE/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Overall, Dogecoin went through extreme trends in the previous 12 months, starting with a long period of consolidation, eventually following it up with an extended bullish breakout and further by a massive price correction.

It appears Shiba Inu’s price trends in recent months took cues from Dogecoin’s consolidation and breakout phases, as the SHIB/USDT chart shows below.

SHIB/USDT daily price chart featuring Dogecoin’s three phases. Source: TradingView

A Dogecoin-like 1,500% price boom in the Shiba Inu market puts its long-term profit target near $0.00013500. Nonetheless, the fractal also warns about massive, periodical price corrections toward the 20-day exponential moving average support (the green waves in the charts above) as the price increases.

The overall Shiba Inu dominance in the cryptocurrency market has surged from 0.16% to 0.91% MTD. On the other hand, Dogecoin’s control on the market has reduced from 1.5% to as low as 1.20% in the same period.

SHIB price macro fundamentals

Joe Wiesenthal, editor at Bloomberg Markets, noted that Shiba Inu has “advanced smart-contracting capabilities,” making it better than Dogecoin.

“You can check out Shibaswap, a Uniswap-like decentralized exchange for the SHIB community. It’s got NFT, liquidity mining. All of it. Meanwhile, Dogecoin doesn’t have any of this right now.”

As Cointelegraph covered, the recent SHIB price rally may have also taken cues from the Monday launch of the Shiboshis Social Club. This online community rewards exclusive perks to people who own exclusive Shiba Inu-generated nonfungible tokens (NFT), dubbed Shiboshis.

As a result, retail appears to have been tailing Shiba Inu’s speculative bull run, with a recent study by Bacancy Technology showing that it received 2.8 million Google searches on average in 2021, the third-highest after Bitcoin and Ethereum.

In comparison, search volume of Dogecoin came as the sixth-largest.

Meanwhile, a petition on Change.org pleading with Robinhood to list SHIB tokens on its zero-fee trading app garnered over 500,000 signatures. Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev said during the company’s earnings call Tuesday that Robinhood is considering adding new coins to the service portfolio, albeit without mentioning their names.

That may have pushed Shiba Inu’s price to its record high Wednesday, further signaling booming retail interest in the meme crypto. 

“Memes have value and have been an investible thesis in 2021,” Jonathan Cheesman, head of over-the-counter and institutional sales at crypto-derivatives exchange FTX, told Bloomberg, adding:

“Lower dollar-price tokens are attractive to retail.”

Related: Shiba Inu risks drop with SHIB's 574% October's price rally near exhaustion

But according to Ben Caselin, head of research and strategy at crypto exchange AAX, SHIB traders should tread ahead carefully due to excessive speculation, citing prior patterns that indicate that the token would likely “shed much of its value” as it gets challenged by other meme projects.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Ethereum 2.0 inches closer with the Beacon Chain’s Altair upgrade

The Altair upgrade later this month will be the first update to the Beacon Chain, marking the first preparatory move for the upcoming Merge.

The price of Ether (ETH) nearly hit a new all-time high on Oct. 21 before falling below $4,000 after the $435-million options expiry on Oct. 22 soured the mood. The Ethereum network is set to take another step toward Ethereum 2.0 on Oct. 27 at epoch 74240 with the Altair upgrade to Beacon Chain. Eth2 will be an entirely proof-of-stake (PoS) network, for which the community has been gearing up for over a year now.

As per an Ethereum Foundation blog post explaining the development, Altair is an update to the Beacon Chain that brings support for light clients, pre-validator inactivity leak accounting, a rise in slashing severity, and clean-ups to validator rewards allowing for simplified stated management. This is the first scheduled upgrade to the Beacon Chain.

The blog post states that this update represents a “warm-up upgrade” for the Beacon Chain and its associated clients. Essentially, the update will bring several main features to the Ethereum 2.0 network.

First, the introduction of sync committees for light client functions allows light clients to easily sync up the header chain, with low computational and data costs.

Second, the incentive accounting reforms bring three main changes: The storing actions use a more efficient bit field format that reduces complexity, the “inactivity leak” quadratic is based per validator instead of globally — which is insignificant for validators that participate more than 80% of the time — and there are some bug fixes in the reward accounting.

Du Jun, co-founder of crypto exchange Huobi Global, told Cointelegraph: “Pre-Altair, if a chain stops finalizing for two weeks, fully inactive validators lose ~11.8% of their balance and validators active 75% of the time lose ~3.1%. Post-Altair, the fully inactive validator’s loss would be ~15.4% but the 75% active validator’s loss would only be ~0.3%.” This will make the inactivity leak more forgiving to honest, but irregular, validators.

Third, the update brings about changes in penalty parameters that make inactivity leaks and slashing more punitive than in the pre-Altair era. There will be three main changes to these parameters. The inactivity penalty quotient is reduced by 25%, which reduces the time it takes for balances to leak by nearly 13.4%. The minimum slashing quotient is decreased from 128 to 64 — the quotient being the minimum fraction of the total balance that a slashed validator will lose. This puts the minimum slashing penalty at 0.5 ETH, double the previous penalty of 0.25 ETH.

The proportional slashing multiplier will also be increased from one to two, entailing that the slashing penalty will now double the percentage of other validators that were slashed within 18 days of that validator. Jun explained this change further: “For example, if you are slashed and within 18 days (in both directions) 7% of other validators are also slashed, pre-Altair your slashing penalty would have been 7%, post-Altair it would be 14%.”

Such tweaks in the incentive structure are often extremely critical for the security of the network, as they reward higher degrees of contribution and adjust across the spectrum accordingly. Currently, however, this change will not directly impact users and decentralized applications (DApps) on the network, as it is an upgrade that impacts only the Beacon Chain.

However, this will affect Ethereum users once the transition to Eth2 finally takes place. Jun said this upgrade will lower the threshold for users to participate in Ethereum 2.0:

“One of the main goals of Altair is to make a light client easy and efficient enough that it can be run inside any environment (mobile device, embedded hardware, browser extension, and even inside another smart-contract-capable blockchain).”

The redistribution of validators’ benefits will result in the redesign of the rewards and penalization structure for validators, making the incentives for the network’s contributors more systematic and easy to understand with logical reasoning.

A warm-up for the Merge

It makes sense that this update is being run as a “warm-up” for Beacon Chain upgrades in the future, as the economic stakes are relatively low right now. Since the node operators will have already experienced a simultaneous upgrade on the chain, any forthcoming upgrades heading toward the Merge should roll out more smoothly — which is more critical, as there will be a significant amount staked on the network in the aftermath of the Merge.

Ben Edgington, an Ethereum developer and product owner for Teku — an Eth2 client developed by ConsenSys — spoke with Cointelegraph about the way Altair ties in with the upcoming Merge:

“The proof of stake upgrade, known as The Merge, will be the biggest upgrade in Ethereum’s history. The Altair upgrade will give us valuable experience to ensure that The Merge goes smoothly when it is ready for deployment in 2022.”

When asked about the impact of the upgrade on Beacon Chain stakers, Edgington said that by and large, they will not notice any difference with Altair. It is essentially a “tidying up” exercise that doesn’t impact the expected rewards that stakers can earn nor the way they interact with the chain in any way.

As described in Ethereum Improvement Proposal (EIP) 2982, the change in the punitive parameters will apply to both slashing and inactivity leaks. Edgington mentioned that the reduction of these penalties at the outset of the Beacon Chain was done to allow stakers to find their feet and gain confidence. The Merge will ultimately set their penalties to their full “cryptoeconomically optimal values,” while Altair increases them a bit in that direction. He explained further how this benefits the security of the network:

“The beacon chain has never suffered an inactivity leak, and only 0.06% of validators have been slashed, so these penalties are largely theoretical. They are designed to make deliberate attacks against the beacon chain very expensive. Increasing them with Altair does therefore increase the security of the chain.”

Rick Delaney, senior analyst at OKEx Insights — the research team of cryptocurrency exchange OKEx — told Cointelegraph that this is a vital component of the network’s security, stating: “If incentives are misaligned, malicious actors may be able to game the system.”

Merge may alter “Ethereum killers” dynamic

The Altair upgrade is the next major update to the network, following the London hard fork that took place earlier this year in August. The hard fork mainly brought in EIP-1559, which changed the transaction pricing mechanism so that a certain portion of the gas fees are burned, putting ETH on a deflationary path.

According to data from Ultrasound.money, the current burn rate of Ether is 5.31 ETH/min, and to date, over 628,000 ETH — worth over $2.6 billion — has been burned. The rate of supply growth currently stands at 2.2% a year. A simulation of the Merge on Ultrasound.money’s website shows that this rate of supply will become negative, down to -2% a year.

Delaney elaborated on the impact of gas fees on the entire ecosystem, saying: “It is a part of the ongoing upgrade that should bring Ethereum gas fees down. Thus far, ‘Ethereum killers’ have benefited from the dominant smart contract network’s often prohibitively large fees. It will be interesting to see if those chains retain market share if Ethereum’s sharding implementation rolls out smoothly and lowers transaction costs.”

Related: Staking on Ethereum 2.0, explained

The Merge will deliver the PoS consensus mechanism to the entire Ethereum network, after which scalability is touted to improve as data sharding is deployed on the network. Until this time, competing blockchain networks that have a functioning smart contract utility, like Solana and Binance Smart Chain, could continue to gain ground on the basis of their low gas fees.

Edgington further noted the network’s support for layer-two solutions through which users can access lower gas fees than are present on the existing layer-one network:

“As devs, we don’t overly trouble ourselves with Ethereum Killers. [...] Meanwhile, layer-2 roll-up technologies on Ethereum are already delivering huge scalability benefits and a rich ecosystem of exciting new capabilities, fully backed by Ethereum’s base-layer security. The protocol upgrades over the next year and beyond will support and enhance everything that is happening on layer-2.”

While the Altair upgrade may not mean much for the end-users of the Ethereum network, it is highly significant for developers and other community participants who are eagerly anticipating the Merge, which is scheduled for 2022. Earlier in October, 40 representatives from Eth1 and Eth2 teams, the Ethereum Foundation, and ConsenSys met together for a week during which they successfully built a testnet running PoS with multiple clients from both Eth1 and Eth2.

Such an achievement is a huge boost in confidence that Ethereum will be able to entirely transition to PoS and turn off the Eth1 proof-of-work network for good.

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