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It may not happen, but a crash to $27,000 would be the chance for many investors to "go all in" on BTC.
Bitcoin (BTC) is facing calls for a significant price dip this week, and while some favor $30,000, there may be a safer bottom to long BTC.
In a tweet on April 28, on-chain analysis platform Whalemap used whale support to determine where "many" investors should enter the market.
With Bitcoin whales in focus at what is the most historically significant consolidation zone in Bitcoin's history, their buying and selling matters .
Last month's push to near $50,000 was thwarted, among other things, by large-volume sellers, the analysis showed at the time.
Now, as $30,000 returns to traders' radar as an "ultimate bottom," those whales may, in fact, be primed to help cement a new macro floor for BTC/USD.
For Whalemap, coins bought en masse at $27,000 mean that level — just below the 2021 yearly open and bottom from last July — is the one to watch.
"25K—27K area is max pain for many," it commented.
"Ideal place to go all in Bitcoin if we ever get there."
Whalemap issued a map of Bitcoin realized price sorted by wallet size as the basis for its potential price target. Realized price shows at what price each Bitcoin last moved, making $25,000–$27,000 a key interchange point for buyers and sellers alike.
The largest whales, meanwhile, also have a vested interest in $34,000.
Looking at buying habits more broadly, April has not disappointed despite drawdowns.
Related: Bitcoin institutional buying ‘could be big narrative again’ as 30K BTC leaves Coinbase
Data from on-chain analytics firms Glassnode and CryptoQuant shows that not only has the trend of BTC leaving exchanges accelerated, but reached levels rarely seen.
"The 30-day change in the Bitcoin Exchange Balance is hitting negative levels that we've only seen a handful of times in the last two years," Twitter account On-Chain College wrote alongside an annotated chart of Glassnode's exchange net position change figures.
The 21 trading platforms tracked by CryptoQuant, meanwhile, have the lowest combined BTC reserves since September 2018.
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57,000 BTC leaves exchanges in a single day as demand returns with Bitcoin at the upper end of its multi-month trading corridor.
Bitcoin (BTC) demanded a $40,000 resistance flip on July as on-chain data revealed large withdrawals from exchanges.
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD rise to challenge the upper end of its trading range once more on Thursday.
The pair had seen a pullback after initially hitting multi-week highs of $40,600 on Bitstamp earlier in the week.
Bottoming out at $38,800, Bitcoin then returned for its latest trip to the $40,000 mark, with that level still to be flipped to support convincingly at the time of writing.
Amid concerns over the strength of this week’s rally, data on Thursday nonetheless pointed to genuine demand for BTC at higher prices.
Shared by Bybt and CryptoQuant, the data appeared to show the largest one-day outflow in at least a year. A total of 57,000 BTC left exchanges in 24 hours.
With that, exchange balances returned to levels last seen in mid-May, just before a major price correction after Bitcoin began reversing from all-time highs of $64,500.
Despite this demand, however, market participants remained convinced of the need for a higher low construction on BTC/USD before any higher levels could fall.
Related: Bears scattered as Bitcoin hit $40K, but pro traders remain cautious
“I think market needs to go down to put in a HL before continuing up,” popular Twitter trader Pentoshi summarized.
“To put it simply. Been bullish from 29.6k into resistance but today to me signals need to go down for higher low.”
Exactly how low that higher low will be could be anywhere between $36,000 and $32,500, Cointelegraph reported.
Order book data from major exchange Binance meanwhile confirmed a narrowing range for spot price, with buyers and sellers encroaching on $40,000 from both sides.