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Binance CEO Says Exchange Recovered $450 Million From the Curve Finance Attack

Binance CEO Says Exchange Recovered 0 Million From the Curve Finance AttackFollowing the recent Curve Finance attack, Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao announced that the exchange had recovered $450 million from hackers. The decentralized finance (defi) platform Curve saw roughly $570 million siphoned from the application on August 9. Binance Boss Says Exchange Froze 83% of the Curve Finance Hack Funds, Domain Provider Says Exploit Was DNS […]

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Celsius Clients Beg Bankruptcy Court to Release Crypto, One Customer Needs Funds to ‘Put Food on the Table’

Celsius Clients Beg Bankruptcy Court to Release Crypto, One Customer Needs Funds to ‘Put Food on the Table’After the crypto lender Celsius filed for bankruptcy protection on July 13, the company recently contacted customers and explained that an employee from one of the firm’s vendors accessed a list of Celsius client emails, and the email addresses were “transferred to a third party.” Furthermore, Celsius customers have written to the court begging to […]

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Sub-$22K Bitcoin looks juicy when compared to gold’s market capitalization

BTC’s market cap is way smaller than gold's, but the percentage of Bitcoin held by institutional investors suggests that the current pricing reflects an excellent discount.

Bitcoin's (BTC) price is down 56% year-to-date, but the correction was not strong enough to remove the digital asset from the list of top-20 global tradable assets. Bitcoin’s current $400 billion market capitalization stands higher than traditional companies like Exxon Mobil, Walmart and Procter & Gamble, but there’s always the question of whether a direct comparison between a commodity like Bitcoin and equities is valid. 

Most valuable tradable global assets. Source: 8marketcap.com

Analysts and investors favoring stocks constantly remind crypto advocates that Exxon Mobil posted $25.79 billion in earnings over the past 12 months, as a justifying example of its valuation. But on the flip side, earnings don’t necessarily explain how Boeing booked $16.1 billion losses in two years, even as it holds an $87.1 billion market capitalization.

Measuring a commodity market value can be tricky. For example, in the case of silver, only 50% of precious metal is used in industrial applications. There are individuals and companies holding the asset for investment in the form of bars, coins, or jewelry and these are not "productive" revenue-generating assets.

Bitcoin’s value is vastly inferior to gold’s $11.2 trillion market capitalization, but what does “$400 billion” even mean, and how does it compare to broader asset classes such as global equities, real estate and debt markets?

Was the Bitcoin “digital gold” thesis wrong?

The first question one should ask is: Has gold been a good store of value over the past five years? To find answers, traders have to compare its price against other trillion-dollar asset classes like global equities, oil and real estate. The overall goal for any store of value is to maintain the purchasing power, regardless of price fluctuations during the period.

Gold vs. WTI oil, S&P500 index, and Case-Shiller Home Price. Source: TradingView

From July 2017 until July 2022, gold has underperformed the remaining asset classes by 18% or higher. The precious metal broke above $2,000 in August 2020, but it could not keep up with the ever-growing prices of stocks, housing and energy. In comparison, the United States monetary base, bank deposits and cash, expanded by 48.5% in the same period.

One could argue that gold has failed to sustain its purchasing power over time, but it’s likely that more time is needed to evaluate how the precious metal will behave if the current global crisis accelerates or extends longer than expected. Meanwhile, in this same time period, Bitcoin presented 840% gains from July 2017 to July 2022.

Here’s the solution to Bitcoin’s price volatility

There’s a valid question about Bitcoin’s volatility and rightfully so given the fact that the asset regularly faces 20% or higher weekly price moves. But there’s a simple and quick solution to alleviate this oscillation, or at least reduce the impact on a longer time frame. The dollar cost average (DCA) strategy consists of regularly buying pre-set amounts of an asset on a daily, weekly or monthly basis.

Bitcoin price in USD vs. 5-year moving average. Source: TradingView

For instance, following this strategy for the past five years would have resulted in a $19,192 average entry cost. So even if the 8.3% gain to the current $20,800 price might not be enough to compete with gold, it certainly shows a more predictable form in which to use Bitcoin as a long-term store of value.

The gold ETF vs. Bitcoin investment products

According to CryptoCompare, the Bitcoin investment vehicles under management (AUM) totaled $15.9 billion in June. This metric includes exchange-traded products such as Grayscale GBTC and exchange-traded notes from multiple providers. This ratio is equivalent to 4% of Bitcoin’s current $400 million market capitalization.

Total crypto listed investment vehicles, USD billion. Source: CryptoCompare

In comparison, the gold-backed ETF products stood at $221.7 billion in June, according to data from GoldHub. If one excludes the 50% “non-financial-related use of gold” like jewelry and industry, the remaining market capitalization stands at $5.6 trillion. Therefore, the fund‘s exchange-traded investment vehicles correspond to 4% of the adjusted gold‘s market value.

Related: Bitcoin is now in its longest-ever 'extreme fear' period

At $20,800, Bitcoin‘s investment vehicle holdings ratio matches the gold markets. While the $400 million market cap level might concern some investors, the asset’s adoption is minimal compared to the adoption of gold, a precious metal with a 7,000-year history as an investment vehicle.

Considering the fiv-year period that was analyzed and using a simple DCA strategy to rule out sharp price oscillations, gold is currently a better store of value, but that does not invalidate Bitcoin’s 8.3% gain in the period. In short, both assets have yet to prove themselves.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Institutional investor sentiment about ETH improves as Merge approaches

Professional investors are warming to Ethereum again as ETH-based funds see a third consecutive week of inflows.

Ethereum prices may have dipped again today, but there are signs that professional investors are warming to the asset as the highly anticipated Merge draws closer.

In its digital asset fund flows weekly report, fund manager CoinShares reported that Ethereum-based products saw inflows for the third consecutive week. There was an inflow of $7.6 million for institutional Ethereum funds, whereas those for Bitcoin continued to outflow with a loss of $1.7 million.

Referring to the Ethereum funds CoinShares stated: “The inflows suggest a modest turnaround in sentiment, having endured 11 consecutive weeks of outflows that brought 2022 outflows to a peak of US$460M.” It added that the change in sentiment may be due to the increasing probability of the Merge happening later this year.

The Merge is a highly anticipated Ethereum upgrade that changes its consensus mechanism from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake. It is currently preparing for one final testrun and the Merge proper is expected before October.

In late June, institutional investors started introducing capital back into Ethereum-based funds during a week that saw record outflows of $423 million, the majority from Bitcoin-based funds.

For the period, there was an overall inflow of $14.6 million but short Bitcoin funds made up $6.3 million, suggesting investors were still bearish on the king of crypto. U.S. funds and exchanges saw inflows totaling $8.2 million, with 76% of them comprising short positions, a similar percentage to the week ending July 8.

The warming of institutional investors to Ethereum has not been reflected in the asset’s spot price today. ETH is currently trading down 2.9% over the past 24 hours at $1,047, having lost 28% over the past month, according to CoinGecko.

Related: Ethereum testnet Merge mostly successful — ‘Hiccups will not delay the Merge.’

Crypto Twitter has been busy debating whether Ethereum should be classed as a security or not, with the specter of tribalism raising its ugly head again. Bitcoin maximalists have sided with MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor who said that ETH was "obviously" a security last week.

However, this has been widely disputed by Ethereum proponents, including co-founder Vitalik Buterin who offered his take on the dispute on July 12.

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Argentinian Tax Agency Ramps Up Digital Wallet Seizures

Argentinian Tax Agency Ramps Up Digital Wallet SeizuresThe Argentinian Tax Agency, the AFIP, has ramped up the seizures of digital wallets of taxpayers in the country. The institution managed to seize more than 1,200 digital wallets of taxpayers that had debts and didn’t have a bank account, or other properties available to be collected by the courts. While the organization has yet […]

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Twitter User Accuses Nexo of Embezzlement Through Charity, Crypto Lender Denies Allegations

Twitter User Accuses Nexo of Embezzlement Through Charity, Crypto Lender Denies AllegationsA Twitter account has accused the Bulgarian co-founders of the Swiss-based cryptocurrency lender Nexo of misappropriating funds from a charity platform. The company has rejected the allegations in the anonymous attack, which comes after Nexo offered a buyout deal to troubled rival Celsius. Anonymous Allegations Against Co-Founders Circulated on Social Media A Twitter user going […]

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Ukraine Raises Over $100,000 From Cryptopunk NFT Sale

Ukraine Raises Over 0,000 From Cryptopunk NFT SaleThe government of Ukraine has sold a Cryptopunk NFT donated in support of the war-torn country a few months ago. The token has been purchased by an unidentified buyer who spent more than $100,000 in ethereum for the collectible, the country’s digital transformation ministry said. Ukraine Government Sells Donated Cryptopunk Token for 90 ETH Ukrainian […]

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Georgians Sell Russian Regions as NFTs to Raise Money for Ukraine

Georgians Sell Russian Regions as NFTs to Raise Money for UkraineA tech innovations firm based in Georgia’s capital Tbilisi is now “selling Russia piece by piece” in the form of NFTs. The money from the collectibles, representing almost 2,500 Russian regions, will be used to help rebuild Ukraine, which was invaded by the Russian army two months ago. Georgian Project Auctions NFTs of Russian Land, […]

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Crypto Allows Ukraine to ‘Operate Internationally,’ Official Says

Crypto Allows Ukraine to ‘Operate Internationally,’ Official SaysAmid ongoing hostilities with advancing Russian forces, Ukraine has been increasingly relying on cryptocurrency donations to solve humanitarian problems and finance its defense efforts. Crypto helps the country to receive and quickly distribute money and operate internationally, a high-ranking government official has indicated. Ukraine Accepts, Spends Millions in Crypto, Deputy Minister Reveals Since the Russian […]

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$45,000 Bitcoin looks cheap when compared to gold’s marketcap

BTC’s market cap is much smaller than gold, but Bitcoin’s daily volume and the amount held under management by funds suggests that the cryptocurrency is trading at a heavy discount.

Bitcoin (BTC) pulled off an impressive double-digit rally this year, but the digital asset has been struggling to break the $45,000 resistance lately. This level does not hold any historical importance because it has been easily breached multiple times. The same can be said for Bitcoin's $850 billion capitalization, which isn't anywhere close to silver's $1.4 trillion, or the Amazon and Google's $1.7 trillion market value.

Bitcoin's market cap is often compared to gold, which has a $12.3 trillion total value and is currently the leading global store of value solution. Therefore, the answer to the $45,000 resistance might lay in institutional investors' comparison of BTC versus gold. By looking at institutional investor funds assets under management and daily trading volume, it is possible to infer that Bitcoin's 93% market capitalization discount is justified.

The "digital gold" thesis is being proven right

Gold has always been viewed as a proxy for Bitcoin and Cointelegraph previously covered Bitcoin's multiple use cases, but the narrative that it is a digital store of value has always been its flagship feature.

Governments around the globe have implemented tighter financial controls for many reasons, which could reinforce the self-sovereign and decentralized advantages of cryptocurrency. For example, China's social credit system places offenders on a social credit blocklist, which will stop them from securing loans or even using the transportation system.

Most recently, Canada's short-lived Emergencies Act gave financial institutions the discretionary power to freeze protesters' bank accounts with no civil liabilities on Feb. 15. Another example is this week Russians have been sanctioned from payment services like Apple Pay and Google Pay.

These events could make an analysis of the gold to Bitcoin market capitalization even more relevant.

Most valuable tradable global assets. Source: 8marketcap.com

According to the above data, BTC's current $837 million market capitalization translates to roughly 7% of gold. To assess how those markets are valued, one should compare their daily traded volume and institutional holdings.

Cryptocurrencies are known for inflated exchange-traded numbers, but some providers, including Nomics, have their own adjusted volume calculations.

Accumulated 30-day volume on March 2, USD. Source: Nomics

The above data shows a $404 billion 30-day exchange volume for Bitcoin, which is equivalent to $13.5 billion per day. Exchange-traded products such as the Grayscale Bitcoin Fund (GBTC) added another $0.4 billion daily liquidity, according to CryptoCompare's February 2022 report. Therefore, Bitcoin currently presents an aggregate $13.9 billion average daily volume.

Average daily trading volumes, USD billion. Source: gold.org

Meanwhile, according to GoldHub, there is $170 billion in daily liquidity for gold, including registered over-the-counter transactions. This is in addition to regulated futures markets and gold exchange-traded products. Thus, Bitcoin volume currently presents roughly 8% of gold's.

The gold ETF versus Bitcoin exchange-traded products

Bitcoin's multiple exchange-traded products such as Grayscale GBTC and exchange-traded notes have grown considerably. As a result, there are $37.8 billion in assets under management locked in Bitcoin exchange-traded products. That is equivalent to 4.5% of the cryptocurrency market's current $840 million market capitalization.

Total Bitcoin listed investment vehicles, USD. Source: Funds, Bloomberg, ETF.com

Gold-backed ETF products total $221.2 billion, according to GoldHub data on Feb. 25. Excluding the aggregate 61% non-financial gold use (jewelry, industrial, others), the remaining market capitalization stands at $6.0 trillion. Therefore, the fund's exchange-traded investment vehicles correspond to 3.7% of the adjusted gold's market value.

At $45,000, Bitcoin's average volume traded and institutional investors' holdings roughly match gold's markets. While the $850 million market cap level might be a short-term concern for investors, the cryptocurrency has other emerging use cases, such as El Salvador's micropayment channels that use Lightning Network technology.

As "digital gold" becomes only a part of Bitcoin's valuation model, traders are likely to price in higher upside, and consequently, the $45,000 level should become a distant memory.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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