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Crypto investors cool on Bitcoin funds, turning to Ether and XRP

Bitcoin-related funds saw outflows of $13 million over the past week, reversing five weeks of bullish inflows, according to Coinshares analyst James Butterfill.

Bitcoin-related investment products appear to have lost some of their sheen among crypto investors, recording its first week of outflows since Blackrock filed for spot Bitcoin ETF in June.

According to a July 24 report by CoinShares’ head of research, James Butterfill, Bitcoin (BTC) investment products saw outflows of $13 million for the week ending July 21, reversing five weeks of inflows.

Short Bitcoin products also saw outflows of $5.5 million in the week.

In contrast, Ethereum (ETH) and XRP (XRP) investment products recorded combined inflow of $9.2 million over the last week.

Butterfill noted that Ethereum investment products were the best performer last week with inflows of $6.6 million, while XRP funds recorded an inflow of $2.6 million. Other altcoins, such as Solana (SOL) and Polygon (MATIC) tracked inflows of $1.1 million and $0.7 million respectively.

Flows by the top digital asset investment products. Source: CoinShares.

The apparent change of heart follows Ripple’s partial victory against the United States Securities and Exchange Commission on July 13, where the court ruled that XRP isn’t a security when sold on exchanges to the general public.

The news spiked XRP’s price up 76% to $0.83 before cooling off to $0.69 at the time of writing.

Related: BlackRock ETF will be ‘big rubber yes stamp’ for Bitcoin — Charles Edwards

Bitcoin however still remains the dominant digital asset investment product, with $558 million in inflows so far in 2023 and a total of $25.0 billion in assets under management — amounting to 67.4% of the total market share.

BTC is currently priced at $29,128, down 3.1% over the last 24 hours.

Over the last month, a host of financial institutions have filed for Bitcoin spot Exchange Traded Fund applications with the SEC since mid-June, including BlackRock, ARK Invest, Fidelity, Galaxy Digital, VanEck, Valkyrie Investments, NYDIG, SkyBridge and WisdomTree.

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US ‘dominates’ crypto startup funding in Q2: Report

US-based crypto startups attracted 45% of all venture capital funding invested in the crypto industry, followed by the United Kingdom claiming 7.7% and Singapore with 5.7%.

Despite facing regulatory scrutiny in the United States, crypto firms continue to innovate, with nearly half of all capital investments flowing towards U.S. crypto businesses, according to a recent report.

Published by crypto investment firm Galaxy Digital on July 14, the report stated that US-based crypto start-ups had a significant share of interest from venture capital firms.

“US-based crypto startups accounted for more than 43% of all deals completed and raised more than 45% of the capital invested by VC firms.”

This was followed by the United Kingdom claiming 7.7% of capital investment, Singapore with 5.7% and South Korea with 5.4%.

However, it was noted that the total amount of capital invested in crypto and blockchain startups continued to decline quarter on quarter.

“Only $720m was raised by 10 new crypto VC funds in Q2 2023” it noted, pointing out that this is the lowest since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, in Q3 2020.

“Crypto and blockchain startups raised less money across the last three quarters combined than they did in just Q2 last year.”

It was further noted that while companies in the “broad Web3 category” had more deals, companies in the “trading category” raised more capital.

Extract from Galaxy Research Q2 Report comparing total VC deal count to total capital investment since Q1 2016. Source: Galaxy Research

Related: SEC accepts BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF application, signaling regulatory review

This comes amid the United States Securities and Exchange Commission taking action against a number of U.S. crypto firms in recent times.

Most recently, its case against Ripple, alleging that its native token XRP (XRP) is a security, was ruled partially in favor of Ripple on July 13, stating that it is not a security for retail sales.

Cointelegraph previously reported on June 18 that Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse believes the SEC is “looking to kill” innovation and the cryptocurrency industry in the U.S.

He argued that its handling of the Hinman speech documents during the Ripple case isn’t about “any one token or any one blockchain,” but more so the overall stance that the SEC has towards the crypto industry.

This comes after the SEC took action against major crypto exchanges Coinbase and Binance only a day apart on June 5 and June 6.

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Bitcoin ETF would be the ‘seal of approval’ from SEC: Mike Novogratz

The Galaxy Digital founder believes approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF would essentially be a United States regulator and government nod for Bitcoin.

The approval of a spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded fund (ETF) would equate to a “seal of approval” for Bitcoin from the United States government and its securities regulator, says Mike Novogratz.

In a July 12 interview with Bloomberg TV the founder of crypto investment firm Galaxy Digital spoke about the multiple spot Bitcoin ETF filings before the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including one from the $10 trillion asset manager BlackRock.

“What I do think is BlackRock, Invesco [and] the group of ETF providers is a real signal that adoption is coming,” Novogratz said.

He added many are “nervous” about investing in crypto and the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF would be an “easy first step” for most to start investing in the asset.

“I just think if it happens it's the seal of approval from the SEC and the U.S. government.”

Novogratz explained there is a “giant infrastructure” in place for the ETFs. Along with BlackRock, proposed ETFs from Valkyrie, Invesco, VanEck, WisdomTree, Fidelity and a joint fund by ARK Invest and 21Shares are also lined up for approval. Novogratz believes that many of these will likely end up being approved.

“The SEC is not going to approve one so you're going to have these giant sales forces out there giving access to people that didn't have access before.”

SEC chair Gary Gensler has previously claimed that “everything other than Bitcoin” falls under his agency’s purview and other crypto projects “are securities" as there are typically known developers and profits are anticipated based on their work.

Related: Don’t be naive — BlackRock’s ETF won’t be bullish for Bitcoin

Novogratz was evasive when asked his thoughts on if Galaxy and Invesco’s spot Bitcoin ETF would be able to list before the end of the year.

“This SEC has been really stubborn and really tough on crypto,” he said.

“No one of significance has gotten through the listing process. We are in that process and it has been a long and frustrating path. I'll leave it at that,” he added.

“I think we're probably going to need either a change of heart at the SEC or a change of administration to see real progress in crypto regulation here in the U.S.”

Novogratz predicted the price of Bitcoin will end the year at a high. “If you take out the top we’ll have a nice leg up,” he said.

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BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF ‘is the best thing to happen’ to BTC, or is it?

Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz was among those over the moon with the news, others warn it could be the start of a major institutional takeover.

BlackRock’s latest filing for a spot Bitcoin (BTC) trust will drive investors’ confidence in Bitcoin and may even be “the best thing that could happen” to BTC, according to some crypto industry observers — but others warn of a hidden cost.

During an interview on June 16, Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz said the approval of BlackRock’s ETF application would be “the best thing that could happen to $BTC.”

“I say a Hail Mary every night that Larry Fink and @blackrock pull off a @bitcoin ETF," Novogratz reportedly said on a Fox News segment.

Meanwhile, cryptocurrency analyst James Edwards of Finder.com — a financial product comparison website — told Cointelegraph that the timing of BlackRock’s filing should provide “confidence” in both Bitcoin as an asset and also Coinbase in its upcoming legal battle fight with the SEC:

“BlackRock's willingness to press on with a Bitcoin ETF at a time when the SEC is on a warpath against crypto is very telling. It shows confidence in Bitcoin’s status as a commodity – rather than a security,” he said, adding:

“It’s unlikely that BlackRock would push forward with an ETF of this nature without serious consultation with regulators and confidence in Bitcoin's future legal status.”

BlackRock’s intention to use Coinbase Custody to control funds should also be seen as a massive confidence booster for Coinbase as it prepares its legal defense, Edwards explained.

He added that BlackRock — the world’s largest asset manager — likely wouldn’t partner with Coinbase had they not been “confident” in Coinbase’s legal position.

The downside

Others argue that the traditional investment giant's latest moves undermine the "ethos" of decentralized cryptocurrencies, or, that the company may find a way to profit from retail investors.

Investor Scott Melker explained in a June 16 interview that such an approval would be a disservice to crypto-native innovators who built the industry:

“As good as this may be for institutional adoption of the space, it kind of violates the ethos, it is a bit of a dishonest push away from the people who built the industry in the United States.”

Cinneamhain Ventures partner and Ethereum bull Adam Cochran believes that BlackRock will swoop in on the “discounted coins” of retail investors, a theory also shared by Melker.

Steven Lubka, a managing director at Swan Bitcoin shared a similar view, predicting that BTC will reach $1 million, but few retail investors will reap the rewards because the bulk of BTC will be owned by BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and other ETF issuers.

Melker added that Wall Street firms will continue to move into the space and that U.S. regulators will likely “choose them” over incumbent platforms.

Related: Bitcoin ETFs: A beginner's guide to exchange-traded funds

ARK Invest, Grayscale, Fidelity, Galaxy Digital, VanEck, Valkyrie Investments, NYDIG, SkyBridge and WisdomTree are among the other investment firms that have applied to the SEC for similar Bitcoin and cryptocurrency ETFs.

Since the news was first reported, the price of BTC has increased 2.2% to $25,584 at the time of writing.

Interestingly, the Fear & Greed Crypto Index increased from 41 to 47 — leaving the fear zone — following the news of BlackRock’s filing.

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US court dismisses BitGo’s claims in $100M lawsuit against Galaxy Digital

Vice Chancellor J. Travis Laster of the Delaware Court of Chancery said Galaxy had a “clean termination right” to the acquisition of BitGo, which it announced in 2022.

The Delaware Court of Chancery in the United States has granted a motion from crypto investment firm Galaxy Digital largely dismissing digital asset custodian BitGo’s case following a dropped acquisition of the firm in 2022.

According to court documents filed on June 9, Vice Chancellor J. Travis Laster dismissed BitGo’s complaint against Galaxy Digital with prejudice. The decision followed Galaxy dropping its decision to acquire BitGo in August 2022 as part of a $1.2-billion deal after extensive efforts, citing a breach of contract. BitGo subsequently filed a lawsuit against Galaxy seeking $100 million in damages.

In his ruling, Laster said Galaxy had a “clean termination right” to the BitGo acquisition based in part on BitGo’s failure to deliver certain financial statements in its efforts to go public in the United States. A Galaxy spokesperson told Cointelegraph the company was “pleased” with the court’s decision to dismiss BitGo’s claims.

“There are no facts alleged that could make it reasonably conceivable that the exercise of the termination right was inconsistent with the implied covenant of good faith and fair dealing,” said Laster.

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Operated by Mike Novogratz, Galaxy Digital announced its intention to acquire BitGo in May 2021 as part of its public offering in the United States. However, in 2022 the BitGo deal fell apart, and the company disclosed $77 million in exposure to failed crypto exchange FTX, which declared bankruptcy in November.

It’s unclear what legal avenues BitGo may have following the Delaware court decision. Cointelegraph reached out to BitGo’s legal counsel but did not receive a response at the time of publication.

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Crypto markets ‘lackadaisical’ as institutional buying slows — Novogratz

The Galaxy Digital CEO said there has been a recent lack of institutional interest in cryptocurrency buying, which has led to deflated enthusiasm in the markets.

Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz has described the broader crypto market as being “lackadaisical” — or lacking enthusiasm — due mainly to a shying away of institutional investors from cryptocurrencies.

In a June 1 interview with CNBC, Novogratz said that while the relatively small retail buyers add some stability to the market with their modest holdings, the lack of large-scale buyers is becoming a concern.

Mike Novogratz on CNBC Market Alert  Source: CNBC
“There’s a constant bid from retail. We’re seeing it through all the platforms, and there’s just not a lot of institutional excitement right now.”

The claims echo a May 31 report from Coinshare’s head of research James Butterfill, which detailed that institutional buying of digital assets saw outflows totaling $39 million as of last week, the sixth consecutive week of outflows.

Novogratz has however pointed to two significant developments in Asia that may help shift the tide.

First, he pointed out that Chinese social media app WeChat now offers Bitcoin (BTC) price quotes on its app, something he considers a significant milestone given its popularity. At the time of writing WeChat has 1.3 billion monthly active users, according to data from Statista.

Secondly, Novogratz looked to Hong Kong which has now officially begun allowing retail customers to trade crypto on regulated exchanges for the first time, an indication of increasing Asian adoption.

In an interview with Cointelegraph, Tommy Honan, the head of product strategy at Swyftx agreed that the crypto market has very much “fizzled out” over the course of the last month.

“Activity levels among institutional investors are definitely more muted. But it’s not just institutions, retail investors have been hit in the hip pocket by cost of living pressures,” he said.

As crypto firms are scrambling to come to grips with an ever-more precarious regulatory landscape in the U.S., Honan still expects there to be a strong price recovery when large firms decide to jump back in.

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“Institutions will come back to the market and when they do, they’ll come back hard. I just don’t expect that to happen in the US until one of two things happens,” he said.

“You either need settled and sensible rules in place for crypto. Or you need the Republicans to win next year’s U.S. elections. Crypto has almost overnight become a crazily partisan issue, which is exactly what the industry didn’t want or need.”

Much like Novogratz, Honan says that Hong Kong presents a unique opportunity for the crypto market, unleashing a new wave of investors into the market as well as offering up a place for U.S.-based firms to set up shop if need be.

“We’re watching developments in Hong Kong very closely. If Hong Kong is being used by mainland China as a testing ground for the safe adoption of crypto, it would be a significant tailwind for the market,” Honan said. “We’ve all been looking West for the next bull trigger. Maybe we should have been looking East.”

With Hong Kong now opened up for crypto-related business, a growing number of firms are currently jostling to secure a license.

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Elon Musk and tech execs call for pause on AI development

The authors of the letter say that advanced artificial intelligence could cause a profound change in the history of life on Earth, for better or worse.

More than 2,600 tech leaders and researchers have signed an open letter urging a temporary pause on further artificial intelligence (AI) development, fearing “profound risks to society and humanity.”

Tesla CEO Elon Musk, Apple co-founder Steve Wozniak, and a host of AI CEOs, CTOs and researchers were among the signatories of the letter, which was published by the United States think tank Future of Life Institute (FOLI) on March 22.

The institute called on all AI companies to “immediately pause” training AI systems that are more powerful than GPT-4 for at least six months, sharing concerns that “human-competitive intelligence can pose profound risks to society and humanity,” among other things.

“Advanced AI could represent a profound change in the history of life on Earth, and should be planned for and managed with commensurate care and resources. Unfortunately, this level of planning and management is not happening,” the institute wrote.

GPT-4 is the latest iteration of OpenAI’s artificial intelligence-powered chatbot, which was released on March 14. To date, it has passed some of the most rigorous U.S. high school and law exams within the 90th percentile. It is understood to be 10 times more advanced than the original version of ChatGPT.

There is an “out-of-control race” between AI firms to develop more powerful AI, whi“no one — not even their creators — can understand, predict, or reliably control," FOLI claimed.

Among the top concerns were whether machines could flood information channels, potentially with “propaganda and untruth” and whether machines will “automate away” all employment opportunities.

FOLI took these concerns one step further, suggesting that the entrepreneurial efforts of these AI companies may lead to an existential threat:

“Should we develop nonhuman minds that might eventually outnumber, outsmart, obsolete and replace us? Should we risk loss of control of our civilization?”

“Such decisions must not be delegated to unelected tech leaders,” the letter added.

The institute also agreed with a recent statement from OpenAI founder Sam Altman that an independent review should be required before training future AI systems.

Altman in his Feb. 24 blog post highlighted the need to prepare for artificial general intelligence (AGI) and artificial superintelligence (ASI) robots.

Not all AI pundits have rushed to sign the petition, though. Ben Goertzel, the CEO of SingularityNET, explained in a March 29 Twitter response to Gary Marcus, the author of Rebooting.AI, that language learning models (LLMs) won’t become AGIs, which, to date, there have been few developments of.

Instead, he said research and development should be slowed down for things like bioweapons and nukes:

In addition to language learning models like ChatGPT, AI-powered deep fake technology has been used to create convincing images, audio and video hoaxes. The technology has also been used to create AI-generated artwork, with some concerns raised about whether it could violate copyright laws in certain cases.

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Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz recently told investors he was shocked over the amount of regulatory attention that has been given to crypto, while little has been toward artificial intelligence.

“When I think about AI, it shocks me that we’re talking so much about crypto regulation and nothing about AI regulation. I mean, I think the government’s got it completely upside-down,” he opined during a shareholders call on March 28.

FOLI has argued that should AI development pause not be enacted quickly, governments should get involved with a moratorium.

“This pause should be public and verifiable, and include all key actors. If such a pause cannot be enacted quickly, governments should step in and institute a moratorium,” it wrote.

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Billionaire Mike Novogratz’s Galaxy Digital Announces $1,000,000,000 Loss in 2022

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Digital asset manager Galaxy Digital has reported a $1 billion loss in 2022 after weathering the worst of the crypto bear market. In a new press release related to its Q4 2022 financial results and its preliminary results of Q1 2023, Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz said the firm faced “unprecedented” headwinds last year, but […]

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The government should fear AI, not crypto: Galaxy Digital CEO

Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz believes regulators have got it "completely upside-down" on crypto vs AI regulation.

Mike Novogratz, the CEO of digital asset investment firm Galaxy Digital told investors he is shocked over the amount of regulatory attention for crypto rather than artificial intelligence (AI), a technology he believes will trigger a “deep fake” identity crisis.

The chief executive explained at the firm’s fourth-quarter conference call on March 28 that the U.S. government has it “completely upside-down” in choosing to focus so much on crypto regulation and yet turn a blind eye to AI:

“When I think about AI, it shocks me that we’re talking so much about crypto regulation and nothing about AI regulation. I mean, I think the government’s got it completely upside-down.”

This concern appeared to stem from Novogratz’s fear that AI will trigger a “deep fake” identity crisis.

“In lots of ways, one of the best use cases for crypto is going to be identity around AI, because pretty soon you’re going to get a fake Mike Novogratz, hopefully with hair [...] how do you prove identity in a world like that?” he said.

However, he believes blockchain-based applications will play a “huge role” in combating some of the issues presented by AI:

“Crypto and blockchain is going to have a huge role in that. It is dumb to think that we should cache this industry because of Sam Bankman-Fried in his Bermuda shorts, period.”

That said, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission recently engaged in talks about AI and its impacts with the Technology Advisory committee last week.

Seller exhaustion, China easing

As for the current state of the market, Novogratz said “seller exhaustion” and the reopening of China has helped the crypto industry recover remarkably thus far in 2023.

“All the selling that needed to get done got done, right? There was so much bad news, if you had to sell, panic selling and just the nervousness of “Oh my God! This thing could go to zero,” and people were in sheer panic, you had seller’s exhaustion,” he said.

Following a tough zero-COVID approach by the Chinese government, Novogratz said he has since noticed more crypto activity coming out of China.

“China took the regulatory boot off the necks of their tech companies, and that includes crypto, [so] you’re seeing more activity from Asia.”

Related: Could Hong Kong really become China’s proxy in crypto?

From a more technical lens, Novogratz was confident that the crypto market will continue in an upwards trajectory throughout the remainder of 2023:

“The market feels strong, and when I look at it technically on charts, we’ve had big weekly closes. I’m surprised to hear myself say this, given where my mindset was in late December, but it would not surprise if we were substantially higher three months, six months, nine months from now.”

The strong rebound in the crypto market reflected well on Galaxy’s balance sheet too with the firm today revealing in its quarterly results that it finally swung back into profit after a tough loss of $1 billion in 2022.

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