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Jamie Dimon Says US Recession Still on the Horizon as JPMorgan Increases Forecast

Jamie Dimon Says US Recession Still on the Horizon as JPMorgan Increases ForecastJPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon reiterated his belief that a recession remains the most likely outcome for the U.S. economy. Dimon pointed to various uncertainties such as geopolitics, housing, and spending. Meanwhile, JPMorgan has raised the likelihood of a U.S. recession this year. Jamie Dimon Maintains Recession Likely for US Economy JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie […]

CZ walks free, Caroline Ellison receives prison sentence, and more: Hodler’s Digest, Sept. 22 – 28

Crypto market’s ‘perfect storm’ can lead to further massive capitulation

A rapid decline in the traditional markets has spread to cryptocurrencies, obliterating them with a significant drop in all major assets. What are the possible factors for this perfect storm?

On Aug. 2, $2.9 trillion vanished from the stock markets, resulting in the worst day of trading since the COVID-19 crash in 2020. Mounting recession fears and other factors have also plunged the crypto markets, flooding the sentiment with fear. 

Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped by 27%, Ether (ETH) by 34%, and more than $1.13 billion in futures positions have been liquidated. The last-day market action has dramatically changed the Fear & Greed Index from greed (74) to fear (26), very close to extreme fear. 

The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), which measures stock market volatility based on S&P 500 index options, reached 65, the highest level since the pandemic crash. This indicates that markets could enter an extreme turbulence phase. The reasons for this downfall are not crypto-specific but clearly affect Bitcoin and especially the altcoin market

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CZ walks free, Caroline Ellison receives prison sentence, and more: Hodler’s Digest, Sept. 22 – 28

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon Says This Is the Number One Risk Threatening Global Economy – And It’s Not Inflation

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon Says This Is the Number One Risk Threatening Global Economy – And It’s Not Inflation

JPMorgan chief executive Jamie Dimon says that the global economy is facing a far greater risk than persistent inflation or high interest rates. In a new interview on CNBC India, Dimon says that people should prepare for higher oil and gas prices as well as higher interest rates. While Dimon is urging people and businesses […]

The post JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon Says This Is the Number One Risk Threatening Global Economy – And It’s Not Inflation appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

CZ walks free, Caroline Ellison receives prison sentence, and more: Hodler’s Digest, Sept. 22 – 28

Circle CEO warns of active and accelerating de-dollarization

The United States must capitalize on the “high demand” for digitally native U.S. dollars, particularly from those in emerging economies with weak local banking systems, the Circle CEO says.

The United States must implement stablecoin legislation and digitize the U.S. dollar to mitigate the “very active de-dollarization taking place” around the world right now, says Jeremy Allaire, the CE of stablecoin issuer Circle.

Allaire’s comments at the Consensus 2023 conference on April 26 were made in light of the recent U.S. banking crisis.

The CEO of Circle — the stablecoin issuer behind USD Coin (USDC) — called on Congress and the Federal Reserve to take action, saying that otherwise, alternative currencies and payment systems would continue to eat into the dollar’s dominance:

“We have a very active de-dollarization taking place. You’re having very significant reactions to the U.S. risks in the U.S. banking system, risks with the U.S. government itself, a geopolitical imposition on many parts of the world [and] the desire for alternative payment systems all around the world."

“This is happening and it's accelerating,” he added.

For the USD to remain “competitive” and “safe” in the internet era, Allaire said the U.S. needs to lay out stablecoin legislation imminently, and the Federal Reserve needs to implement the digital dollar into its “core systems” to capitalize on the high demand around the world:

“The demand for digital dollars like USDC is highly global. We see that demand all around the world — we see it in emerging markets, we see it in markets where people want to hold a digital dollar versus their local banking system [...] as an efficient medium of exchange for various types of international transactions.”

If the U.S. government doesn’t get its act together, this will be a “giant missed opportunity” for the country, Allaire stressed.

Related: US Bank collapse — Is crypto being targeted?

The call for action comes as the Chinese yuan overtook the dollar for cross-border transactions in China for the first time in March, according to Reuters.

Circle has taken some responsibility into its own hands of late, having launched USDC on Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol.

Allaire said the new solution is the “most important new piece of blockchain infrastructure” since the firm began minting and issuing USDC in 2017.

Magazine: Unstablecoins: Depegging, bank runs and other risks loom

CZ walks free, Caroline Ellison receives prison sentence, and more: Hodler’s Digest, Sept. 22 – 28

US lagging on CBDCs could spell ‘trouble’ — Crypto Council policy head

Fanusie doesn’t believe the Chinese-led CBDC movement on the global stage will replace the U.S. dollar, but it may cause a series of geopolitical headaches.

A cryptocurrency researcher and former CIA analyst believes the United States government’s relatively slow start on Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) development may result in it losing grip on controlling the global financial system.

Yaya Fanusie, the policy head at the crypto advocacy group the Crypto Council for Innovation explained in a Feb. 28 Bloomberg interview that sanctioned states are looking to transact on financial infrastructure that isn’t controlled or heavily influenced by the U.S. in order to move funds more freely cross-borders.

If the U.S. continues to sit on the “sidelines” and lag behind on CBDC adoption, Fanusie believes this may spell “trouble” and cause unforeseen “geopolitical implications” over time:

Fanusie explained that state-issued CBDCs could be a part of this financial infrastructure that becomes globally adopted, and that if the U.S. has little influence over these new standards, then this “impacts U.S state economic statecraft.”

“The potency of our sanctions power comes from the centrality of the U.S. to the financial global infrastructure. So if that shifts a little bit, it doesn't mean that China is going to take over or that the yuan is going to displace the dollar but if there's a viable new rail where sanctioned actors can now transact, that’s trouble.”

The U.S. Federal Reserve has however recently made progress on its CBDC — the Digital Dollar Project — having released the latest version of its whitepaper on Jan. 18:

However, the Federal Reserve has not received approval from the U.S. government to proceed with the CBDC project.

Fanusie highlighted that China has benefited from a near-first mover advantage, having explored CBDCs since 2014 and launching the pilot version of its digital yuan (e-CNY) on Jan. 4, 2022, which Fanusie says has processed “millions of transactions” across “millions of wallets” so far.

Fanusie added that there is an “array of pilots” testing out smart contracts to add programmability into the CBDC and that China helping other countries adopt similar standards.

He added there is possibly an unspoken “race” going on in the CBDC frontier as nations look to gain a geopolitical edge.

“That's happening whether we want to like it or not.”

However previous commentators on the CBDC race between China and the U.S. have said that China’s CBDC ambition is purely about domestic dominance rather than trying to beat the U.S. dollar.

Related: What are CBDCs? A beginner's guide to central bank digital currencies

CBDCs run on state-controlled ledgers, which are reported to be more efficient and easier to use in some cases than decentralized public networks, such as Bitcoin and Ethereum.

However, some opponents of CBDCs believe states are adopting blockchain-powered CBDCs to maintain a degree of financial control over their citizens.

Part of the pushback in the U.S. recently came from pro-crypto U.S. Congressman Tom Emmer, who recently introduced the CBDC Anti-Surveillance State Act in an effort to protect the financial privacy of U.S. citizens from actions by the Federal Reserve:

CZ walks free, Caroline Ellison receives prison sentence, and more: Hodler’s Digest, Sept. 22 – 28