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Polygon rallies 22% on Disney invitation euphoria — will MATIC price gains swell in July?

MATIC still awaits a decisive breakout after the Disney-led intraday rally, with the profit target sitting about 80% higher than current prices.

Polygon (MATIC) reached lofty price levels this July 14, a day after getting selected for the Walt Disney Company's benchmark business development program.

MATIC's price surged 22.5% to $0.657 a token, its highest level in a month. In doing so, the token also climbed above its 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA; the red wave), a curvy resistance level that had been capping MATIC's upside attempts since January 2022.

MATIC/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Polygon enters the Disney World

MATIC's move upside appeared synchronous with similar intraday recovery actions witnessed elsewhere in the crypto market.

Nonetheless, Polygon fared better than most of its top-ranking rivals, including the cryptocurrencies Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH).

And at the core of MATIC's better performance could be the Walt Disney Company.

The multinational mass media and entertainment conglomerate announced six companies that would join its 2022 Disney Accelerator to build augmented reality (AR), nonfungible tokens (NFTs), and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions.

Polygon made it to Walt Disney's list, thus becoming the only blockchain platform to have done so ever. As a result, MATIC, Polygon's native utility and staking token, rallied better than most of its rival digital assets.

Key MATIC R/S flip ahead

Polygon now tests a resistance confluence, defined by a support-turned-resistance range of $0.61-0.67 and a Fibonacci retracement line near $0.63, for a potential breakout in July.

MATIC/USD three-day price chart. Source: TradingView

A decisive move above the confluence could have MATIC pursue a run-up toward the 0.618 Fib line near $1.11, providing the token also closes above its 50-3D (red) and 200-3D (blue) EMAs. That would mean almost an 80% jump from today's price level.

Conversely, a pullback from the confluence would risk crashing MATIC toward the $0.29-$0.35 area, similar to how it retraced downward in June.

Related: 3 key metrics suggest Bitcoin and the wider crypto market have further to fall

MATIC could also erase its recent gains due to higher inflation. Notably, the crypto markets like their traditional finance counterparts have responded negatively to a persistently rising U.S. consumer price index.

MATIC/USD and NASDAQ weekly correlation coefficient. Source: TradingView

On July 13, the latest inflation data reached its four-decade high of 9.1%. As a result, investors anticipate the Federal Reserve would raise benchmark rates by a full percentage point, with Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic saying that the option "is in play."

A 1% rate hike in July would risk putting downward pressure on the entire crypto market, including Polygon.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Polygon price jumps 60% in four days amid ‘pretty big’ MATIC accumulation

MATIC price now eyes a 20% price rally as it undergoes an inverse head and shoulders breakout.

Polygon (MATIC) took a break from its prevailing bearish course, posting one of sharpest rebound in the crypto market this week.

Notably, MATIC's price has risen to $0.50 this June 23, four days after hitting $0.317, its lowest level since April 2021. This amounts to roughly a 60% gain, surpassing the performances of even Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) in the same timeframe. 

MATIC/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Nevertheless, MATIC is still down significantly from its December 2021 high of $2.92, coinciding with the overall crypto bear market and a hawkish Fed putting pressure on risk-on assets. 

MATIC "in a pretty big accumulation"

Meanwhile, some of its richest investors have been accumulating MATIC tokens despite the general downtrend, on-chain data suggests.

Notably, the so-called MATIC sharks and whales have been in accumulation, according to data provided by Santiment. That includes the tiers of Polygon token holders ranging from 10,000 to 10 million coins, which have "collectively added 8.7% more to their bags" since May 9.

Interestingly, MATIC's price has fallen by 50% in the same period, underscoring that many whales are confident about its long-term recovery. 

Inverse head and shoulders

From a technical point of view, MATIC/USD appears to be heading toward a new multi-week high.

In detail, the Polygon token has been breaking out of its "inverse head and shoulders," or IH&S pattern, since June 22. IH&S is a bullish reversal setup that forms after the price forms three troughs in a row while hanging upside down by a common support line called the "neckline."

Also, an IH&S's middle trough (the head) is deeper than the other two, called right and left shoulders, respectively. Ultimately, the setup resolves after the price breaks above the neckline, and, as a rule of technical analysis, rises by as much as the distance between the head and the neckline.

MATIC/USD four-hour price chart. Source: TradingView

As a result of its IH&S pattern, MATIC's price could rally toward $0.60 in June or early July, up about 20% from today.

Caution for MATIC bulls

Whale buying is not necessarily a bullish signal, and the IH&S pattern has a failure rate of 16.5%. So, a further price rally could also prompt whales to flip MATIC for a quick profit, given the tight conditions elsewhere in the cryptocurrency and traditional markets that could result in false recovery signals.

Related: ‘Bitcoin dead’ Google searches hit new all-time high

Additionally, the MATIC balance across all the crypto exchanges has jumped from 1.21 billion to 1.37 billion between May 1 and June 23, according to data from CryptoQuant, indicating additional potential sell-pressure in the near term. 

Polygon exchange reserves. Source: CryptoQuant

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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