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Data points to Ethereum price making a short-term rally to the $3.2K level

ETH’s onchain and derivatives data are looking stronger even as macroeconomic data remains concerning.

Ether (ETH) price experienced a sharp 33.9% decline from $3,203 on Aug. 2 to $2,188 on Aug. 5, reaching its lowest level in over seven months. This crash followed a broader market correction in the crypto sector. However, with Ether's price rebounding by 23.7% from its Aug. 5 low in less than 36 hours, traders are now questioning whether ETH can reclaim the $3,000 mark.

To understand whether this bounce from the Aug. 5 lows is sustainable, it's essential to analyze the factors that triggered the initial price drop. Some analysts suggest that the Japanese stock market initiated the sell-off after the Nikkei 225 suffered intraday losses of 13% on Aug. 5. This movement followed the Bank of Japan’s decision to raise interest rates for the first time in 17 years on July 31.

Despite the Nikkei 225 closing only 4.6% down on Aug. 5, the effects were felt across all markets. The S&P 500 index dropped 3%, and gold fell 2.7% from its Aug. 5 high to $2,477. Ether's decline was more pronounced due to the higher volatility inherent in the cryptocurrency sector and the excessive leverage used by ETH bulls. This disparity also explains how Ether managed to reclaim the $2,500 level on Aug. 6.

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Six on-chain metrics suggesting Bitcoin is a ‘generational buying opportunity’

Six tried and tested on-chain metrics are repeating patterns last seen at the bottom of the past three bear markets.

Several on-chain metrics from the Bitcoin (BTC) network are flashing buy signals following this year’s rally.

Bitcoin has broken out of its torpor to notch up a 37% gain since the beginning of 2023. However, on-chain data is still signaling it could be a “generational buying opportunity” according to analysts.

On Jan. 24, researcher and technical analyst “Game of Trades” identified six on-chain metrics for his 71,000 Twitter followers.

The first metric is an accumulation trend score highlighting zones of heavy accumulation in terms of entity size and the number of coins bought.

“Large entities have been in deep accumulation mode ever since the FTX collapse,” the analyst noted before adding “similar accumulation took place in the 2018 and 2020 bottoms.”

The Bitcoin entity-adjusted dormancy flow is a measure of the ratio of the current market capitalization and the annualized dormancy value.

Whenever dormancy value overtakes market capitalization, the market can be considered in full capitulation which has been a good historical buying zone.

According to Glassnode, this metric fell to its lowest-ever level in 2022.

BTC entity- adjusted dormancy flow. Image: Glassnode

Bitcoin’s reserve risk can be used to measure the confidence of long-term holders relative to the price of BTC. This also fell to its lowest-ever level at the end of 2022, according to Glassnode data.

Bitcoin’s Realized Price (RP) is the value of all coins in circulation at the price they last moved, in other words, an estimation of what the entire market paid for their coins.

According to Woo Charts, Bitcoin has been trading below this level since the FTX collapse until Jan. 13. It is currently just above the RP which represents another buying opportunity.

The Bitcoin MVRV Z-score shows when BTC is significantly over or undervalued relative to its ‘fair value’ or realized price. When the metric leaves the extremely undervalued zone it is often considered the end of the bear market.

BTC’s MVRV Z-Score. Image: Glassnode

Finally, there is the Puell Multiple examining the fundamentals of mining profitability and its impact on market cycles.

Lower values, as they are at the moment, indicate miner stress and represent long-term buying opportunities.

Related: Bitcoin halts volatility at $23K as BTC hodlers see mass return to profit

The analyst concluded these six on-chain metrics are “pointing towards an exceptional risk-reward setup in Bitcoin.”

The metrics are all at similar levels to market cycle bottoms in 2015, 2018, and 2020, they added.

BTC is currently trading down over 1.9% over the past 24 hours at $22,675, according to Cointelegraph data.

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