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Nearly $13.75M liquidated as WAVES rallies 70% in a day — what’s next?

Stablecoin management DeFi platform Neutrino emerges as the key factor behind WAVES' ongoing price rally.

WAVES price surged by up to 70% on March 29, reaching a new all-time high around $54. Traders betting against the rise of Waves — the native token of the WAVES blockchain network — suffered losses worth millions of dollars as the WAVES/USD pair extended its recovery to a record level in the past 24 hours.

The price rebound, which started on Feb. 22 when WAVES price was at $8.25 caused around $13.75 million worth of liquidations due to crypto-based futures on a 24-hour adjusted timeframe, data from Coinglass shows.

WAVES liquidations every 12-hours. Source: Coinglass

Around $11 million of the total liquidated positions were short.

2.0 hype, Neutrino behind WAVES rally

As Cointelegraph earlier covered, traders may have jumped into the WAVES market after assessing its three consecutive optimistic updates: the migration to Waves 2.0, the launch of a $150 million fund, and partnership with Allbridge.

Edson Ayllon, product manager at dHEDGE — a decentralized asset management platform, told Cointelegraph that the euphoria surrounding the release of Waves 2.0 in October was reflective in the rising total value locked (TVL) in the Waves ecosystem that reached an all-time high of $4.36 billion on March 29.

"Waves 2.0 adds EVM support to the execution layer, and adds Proof-of-Stake with sharding to the consensus layer," the analyst noted, adding:

"Sharding and Proof of Stake have been concepts Ethereum has been working towards for years on their roadmap."

Interestingly, Neutrino, an algorithmic price-stable "assetization" protocol built atop the Waves blockchain, appeared largely behind the increasing Waves TVL.

Notably, the protocol witnessed an inflow of 8.91 million WAVES in one day — worth nearly $450 million — to its smart contract, data from Defi Llama shows.

Waves inflow into the Neutrino smart contract. Source: Defi Llama

Neutrino allows the creation of decentralized stablecoins that maintain their U.S. dollar-peg by collateralizing WAVES tokens. The protocol has launched just one stablecoin project so far, called Neutrino USD (USDN). 

The supply of USDN increased from around 800 million to 832 million on a 24-hour adjusted timeframe, coinciding with the rise in the WAVES inflow into the Neutrino smart contract. That presented Neutrino as one of the active WAVES buyers in the past 24 hours.

USDN market capitalization in the last 24 hours. Source: CoinMarketCap

What's next?

WAVES appears to have been breaking out of a bullish continuation pattern called a "bull flag."

In detail, the chart pattern looks like a downward sloping channel that appears after a strong price move upward (called "flagpole"). In a perfect scenario, it resolves by breaking out toward the level at a length potentially equal to the flagpole's size.

Related: Here’s how traders were alerted to RUNE’s, FUN’s, WAVES’ and KNC’s big rallies last week

Applying the classic interpretation of the bull flag pattern to WAVES' ongoing price action suggests a continued price rally toward $100, as shown in the chart below.

WAVES/USD weekly price chart featuring 'bull flag' pattern. Source: TradingView

However, WAVES' weekly relative strength index (RSI) has turned overbought — a sell signal. That could have the WAVES/USD pair retrace towards $34 as its interim support level. That would also mean that traders are returning to bull flag's top for another upside confirmation.

As a result, a continued selloff below $17 would risk invalidating the entire flag setup. 

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Another Parabolic Rally on the Way for Dogecoin if History Repeats, Says Crypto Strategist – Here’s His Outlook

Waves price rises 230% in just three weeks — Could a ‘triple top’ spoil the rally?

Neutrino was buying the WAVES dip as the price rebounds to the best level in over four months.

Waves (WAVES) continued its price rally further into this week, even as its top crypto rivals wobbled between losses and gains elsewhere in the market.

A 230% Waves boom

The WAVES/USD trading pair surged by nearly 75% this week to reach around $31, its best level since Oct. 28, 2021. Its rally came as a part of an upside retracement move that saw it rising by a little over 230% in three weeks.

WAVES/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

In contrast, Waves' top rival in the smart contracts sector, Ethereum, underperformed, with its native token Ether (ETH) dropping by almost 2% in the last three weeks. Similarly, Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency by market capitalization, underperformed in the same period, rising by a little over 1%. 

Neutrino buys the Waves dip

As Cointelegraph covered earlier, Waves' price rally might have surfaced in the wake of back-to-back optimistic updates, including the launch of a $150 million fund to support Waves-based decentralized application projects and the partnership with Allbridge to facilitate interoperability between Waves and other blockchains.

In addition, the period of Waves' uptrend also coincided with an increase in its inflow to Neutrino's smart contract. Notably, the supply of Waves tokens into the algorithmic stablecoin protocol increased from 43.38 million on Feb. 15 to as high as 51.80 million on March 8.

The total number of Waves tokens in Neutrino smart contract as of March 10, 2022. Source: Defi Llama

As of March 10, Neutrino held about 47.31 million Waves tokens in its smart contract, with the total value locked coming out to be worth $1.35 billion, almost 60% of the total value locked inside the Waves ecosystem.

Notably, Neutrino enables the creation of multiple decentralized stablecoins that maintain their U.S. dollar-peg by collateralizing Waves stored in Neutrino's official smart contracts. The first such stablecoin is Neutrino USD (NUSD).

Over the past 30 days, Neutrino issued more than $135 million worth of NUSD, backed by reserves that surged from around $530 million to — as mentioned above — $1.35 billion. Meanwhile, an increasing amount of Waves tokens supplied into Neutrino's smart contracts underscored that it was one of the most active Waves buyers since Feb. 10. 

NUSD market capitalization in the past 30 days. Source: CoinMarketCap

As Waves' price boomed, Neutrino appeared to have kept the tokens in its "reserves fund" to provide backing to NUSD in the event of the next price drop, thus limiting its downside bias.

'Triple top' setup

Technically, Waves may be sketching out a triple top against the U.S. dollar as its price comes closer to testing its all-time high near $42 for the third time since May 2021.

WAVES/USD weekly price chart featuring triple top. Source: TradingView

In detail, triple tops form when the price form three peaks with pullback moves towards a so-called "swing low" in between. First, they show that markets cannot penetrate the peak areas, i.e., they cannot find new buyers near/at the top level. Later, the price falls back to the swing low.

Related: Waves risks ‘death cross’ plunge after price rallies 88% in six days

As a result, if Waves fail to close above its first and second top, its likelihood to drop towards the swing-low area between $11 and $13 — the range that has been supporting the three peaks — will be high. 

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Another Parabolic Rally on the Way for Dogecoin if History Repeats, Says Crypto Strategist – Here’s His Outlook