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Bitcoin drops with stocks as analyst warns of banking crisis ‘endgame’

Nerves become apparent across risk assets as U.S. regional banks add to already significant losses.

Bitcoin (BTC) slid below $29,000 around the May 4 Wall Street open as United States equities showed jitters over the resurgent banking crisis.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

“Too much all at once” for U.S. banks

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD losing ground as the S&P 500 shed 0.7%.

The risk asset comedown accompanied more mayhem for U.S. regional bank stocks, with PacWest Bancorp once again leading the way, falling over 50% on the day.

The embattled lender had already seen major losses and, at the time of writing, was down 86.5% year-to-date. In a statement, the bank nonetheless described its position as “solid.”

As Cointelegraph reported, reassurances of U.S. authorities over the banking system stability appeared at odds with reality for many commentators, with confusion only increasing as the crisis continued.

“For the first time in weeks, equity markets are responding to the banking crisis,” financial commentary resource The Kobeissi Letter wrote in part of Twitter coverage.

Kobeissi argued that the latest Federal Reserve interest rate hike, confirmed as 0.25% on May 3, had added fuel to the fire.

“Perhaps this is the equity market worrying that the crisis may not isolated,” it continued.

“The Fed rate hike is only making things worse.”

In addition to PacWest, First Horizon and Western Alliance were two more major losers on the day, down 53% and 38%, respectively.

“Confidence in a financial institution is built over decades and destroyed in days,” Bill Ackman, CEO of hedge fund management firm Pershing Square, continued in his own response.

“As each domino falls, the next weakest bank begins to wobble. Until investors are rewarded for betting on a wobbling bank, there will be no bid, and the best sale is the last price. We are running out of time to fix this problem.”

In a dedicated blog post on the crisis, meanwhile, Marty Bent, founder of crypto media firm TFTC, described it as a point of no return.

“Everywhere one looks things look absolutely terrible for the US financial system. This feels like the endgame,” he warned on May 3.

“I find it hard to believe there is anything that can be done to restore confidence in the system. No amount of backstopping, money printing, buybacks, consolidation, or World Wars will be able to put this genie back in the bottle. The Fed and the Treasury will try their hardest to make the public believe otherwise, but this is simply too much all at once.”
SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) 1-day candle chart. Source: TradingView

Weekly chart underscores $28,800 BTC price significance

Turning to Bitcoin, BTC/USD found itself in an area of low liquidity at the time of writing, with large-volume traders staying away.

Related: Bitcoin miners have earned $50B from BTC block rewards, fees since 2010

Data from the Binance order book uploaded to Twitter by monitoring resource Material Indicators showed bid liquidity slowly increasing above $28,000.

As various popular traders demanded higher levels return in order to provide a shot at $30,000 resistance, longer-time takes remained optimistic.

Popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital highlighted current spot price levels as the site of an important reclaim operation.

“Last week, BTC Weekly Closed above ~$28800. And this week, $BTC has done quite well to hold it as support, in large part due to the aggressive buying in recent days,” he explained about weekly timeframes.

“Reclaim of the $28800 level is technically in progress.”
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Rekt Capital/Twitter

Magazine: Unstablecoins: Depegging, bank runs and other risks loom

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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US regional bank shares sink despite Fed calling banking system ‘sound’

PacWest Bancorp was the hardest hit bank after-hours on Wednesday, falling over 50% following a reported plan to explore strategic options.

Share prices of several United States regional banks tanked in after-hours trading Wednesday, despite Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell calling the banking sector “sound” and “resilient" just hours before.

One such regional bank, PacWest Bancorp, fell a whopping 52.5% in after-hours trading after Bloomberg reported that the bank would explore strategic options on May 4. It has been seen by some as another bank to potentially fall amid a U.S. banking crisis

The bank is reportedly considering a sale or capital raising, Bloomberg said, citing people familiar with the matter.

The share price of PacWest fell over 50% after hours on Wednesday. Source: Google Finance

Meanwhile, Western Alliance Bancorp (22.4%), Metropolitan Bank (16.2%) and HomeStreet (7.8%) were among the other hardest-hit regional banks.

Metropolitan Bank once offered services to crypto firms but closed its digital asset vertical in January because the firm wasn’t content with how the cryptocurrency industry was developing.

Western Alliance Bancorp also integrated blockchain-based payment solutions for its client base from the firm’s blockchain and digital asset branch.

Powell's attempt to quell concerns about the banking sector came as he announced that the Federal Reserve would hike interest rates another 25 base points:

“Conditions in [the banking] sector have broadly improved since early March and the U.S. banking system is sound and resilient. We will continue to monitor conditions in the sector. 

Powell added they are "committed to learning the right lessons from this episode," and we’ll work to prevent events like these from happening again.”

First Republic Bank’s collapse was the second biggest bank failure of late, which first surfaced on April 26 when the news about a government receivership broke out, causing the bank’s share price to plummet 20% in hours.

Several members on Crypto Twitter have mocked Powell for stating that conditions in the banking sector “have broadly improved” since early March.

Related: The Fed has little ammo left as $30K Bitcoin price becomes key battle line

Will Clemente, the founder of digital asset analysis firm Reflexivity Research, mocked Powell to his 680,300 Twitter followers by stating the collapse of now five banks — SVB, Silvergate, Signature, First Republic and PacWest — “sounds like a very sound and resilient banking system…”

Twitter user, “zerohedge” made fun of Powell by noting to its 1.6 million followers that over $500 billion has been wiped out from “bank failures” in the past month alone.

PacWest Bancorp’s 52% fall is set to wipe out about $340 million from its market cap, which was $772 million at Wednesday’s close, according to Google Finance.

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