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Coinbase futures approval seen as a major win amid the war on crypto

The recent approval allows Coinbase to join the ranks of major derivative exchanges in the United States, CME, and CBOE.

The approval for America’s largest digital asset exchange, Coinbase, to offer crypto futures to U.S. retail customers is being seen as a major regulatory victory amid a heated battle with the country’s securities regulator.

On Aug. 16, the National Futures Association (NFA) — designated by the U.S. commodities regulator as a registered futures association — granted Coinbase permission to operate a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM) platform.

A loud signal

Some crypto industry commentators see the approval as a significant regulatory victory for Coinbase and crypto, given the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has accused the exchange of avoiding the registration of its offerings.

“If I were a judge I'd wonder why somehow [Coinbase] manages to register with the [CFTC] yet the [SEC] claims that Coinbase is unwilling to do the hard work to register," investment management firm Electric Capital founder Avichal Garg wrote in an Aug. 17 tweet.

Former CFTC Commissioner and policy head at a16z, Brian Quintenz, said that “Customers and innovation can both win when a regulator is open to having a constructive dialogue around new technology.”

Meanwhile, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said the approval was a major moment for crypto clarity in the United States.

A response to Coinbase securing futures approval. Source: X/@SMTuffy

The move has also placed Coinbase in a position normally helmed by traditional finance firms.

Institutional exchanges, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, and the Chicago Board Options Exchange currently offer Bitcoin and Ether futures in the United States. 

Coinbase labeled the move as a “critical milestone,” adding it makes it the first crypto-native company to directly offer traditional spot crypto trading alongside futures products.

Tapping into a massive market

In May, CoinGecko reported that the global crypto derivatives market was worth just under $3 trillion, while Coinbase highlighted that the global crypto derivatives market represents around three-quarters of all trading volumes.

“Since the global crypto derivatives market can be three to four times larger than spot, this approval increases Coinbase’s total addressable market,” Dan Dolev, an analyst at Mizuho Securities, wrote in a Wednesday note, as reported by Barron’s.

Orca Capital's Jeff Sekinger said “Coinbase is set to become a pivotal access point for traders,” adding that its new products will “cater to this demand and provide enhanced exposure and flexibility for investors.”

While CoinShares chief strategy officer Meltem Demirors said it was “exciting times in US crypto markets,” particularly given a pivot toward U.S. trading hours.

Related: Coinbase Derivatives Exchange set to roll out BTC and ETH futures

The firm initially unveiled plans to offer BTC and ETH futures contracts in mid-2022. The new approval will allow Coinbase to offer the crypto futures directly to eligible U.S. retail customers, rather than just institutional clients. The exchange did not specify when it would become available, however.

Company stock (COIN) did not react to the news, dropping 1.56% on the day to reach $77.7 in after-hours trading, however, Coinbase shares are up 130% so far this year.

Cointelegraph reached out to Coinbase for further comments.

Magazine: Hall of Flame: Wolf Of All Streets worries about a world where Bitcoin hits $1M

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Coinbase Launches International Exchange for Bitcoin and Ether Perpetual Futures

Coinbase Launches International Exchange for Bitcoin and Ether Perpetual FuturesCoinbase, the San Francisco-based cryptocurrency exchange, recently announced the launch of a new service called Coinbase International Exchange. The new platform will enable institutional users outside of the United States to trade bitcoin and ethereum perpetual futures. The company stated in a tweet that the service will begin by offering perpetual futures settled in USDC […]

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Coinbase And Gemini Go International With New Global Crypto Services as US Regulatory Uncertainty Continues

Coinbase And Gemini Go International With New Global Crypto Services as US Regulatory Uncertainty Continues

Two top US-based crypto exchanges are going international with new trading platforms aimed at customers outside of the United States. Earlier today, Coinbase announced the launch of the Coinbase International Exchange, which will begin with offering Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) perpetual futures to institutional clients. “Today Coinbase launched Coinbase International Exchange and will begin by […]

The post Coinbase And Gemini Go International With New Global Crypto Services as US Regulatory Uncertainty Continues appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

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Bitcoin’s Price Drop Causes Over $200 Million in Long Liquidations Across Crypto Derivative Exchanges

Bitcoin’s Price Drop Causes Over 0 Million in Long Liquidations Across Crypto Derivative ExchangesOn Feb. 24, 2023, bitcoin’s price remained above the $23,000 threshold and then rose to a peak of $23,829 per unit on March 1. On March 2 at 8 p.m. Eastern Time, the price of bitcoin fell, dropping below the $23,000 mark. This decline resulted in a significant $237.97 million worth of long liquidations on […]

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Arbitrum-Based Vest Exchange Emerges, Aims to Democratize Perpetual Futures 

Arbitrum-Based Vest Exchange Emerges, Aims to Democratize Perpetual Futures A new decentralized exchange (dex) on Arbitrum, called Vest Exchange, was announced this past weekend, and the team that created the project said the platform aims to focus on democratizing perpetual futures. The team behind Vest further detailed that the new Arbitrum dex is backed by firms such as Jane Street, QCP Capital, and Big […]

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When all-time high? Bitcoin traders lose confidence as BTC price slumps

Bitcoin adoption continues to increase but derivatives data shows retail and professional traders are reluctant to build new bullish positions.

Bitcoin's (BTC) recent price action has disappointed most investors, especially when one considers that the total altcoin market capitalization rallied 24% in nine days to reach a $1.35 trillion all-time high on May 9. 

Bitcoin's 62% accumulated gain in 2021 has BTC traders feeling somewhat frustrated with altcoins and meme coins pumping to new daily highs.

Bitcoin price at Coinbase, USD. Source: TradingView

On May 10, Fidelity, a $3.8 trillion global asset manager, filed for a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) request with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. Fidelity's Wise Origin Bitcoin (BTC) partnered with the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and the SEC's first response window will close in 44 days.

On May 11, Palantir (PLTR), a $30 billion data analytics company founded by billionaire Peter Thiel, announced that it had started to accept Bitcoin payments. The firm is likely to follow in Tesla (TSLA) and MicroStrategy's (MSTR) footsteps by adding BTC to its balance sheet, and the firm could have more than $2 billion in cash on hand for investments.

In other news, the proposed Taproot upgrade aims to make complex transactions cheaper, faster and easier to deploy. More importantly, this upgrade would bring some privacy to multisig and time-lock functions.

Taproot activation will only be given the green light if 90% of all mined blocks include an activation signal ahead of August 11.

However, despite all this positive news, BTC's price action has not taken its usual bullish turn. The most significant immediate hurdle appears to be the lack of a regulatory framework. Joanna Wasick, a partner at law firm BakerHostetler, told Cointelegraph:

"How many people using crypto for payments know exactly what the tax implications are of their payment transactions?"

Retail traders are not demanding excessive leverage for longs

The first evidence that traders are in utter disbelief comes from the extremely modest perpetual funding rate. Futures contracts have an embedded rate that is usually charged every eight hours to ensure no exchange risk imbalances. Even though the buyers' and sellers' open interest is matched at all times, their leverage can vary.

When longs are demanding more leverage, they will be the ones paying the fee. Therefore, the current situation can be interpreted as bullish. The opposite holds when shorts are using more leverage, thus causing a negative funding rate.

Bitcoin perpetual futures 8-hour funding rate. Source: Bybt

Take notice of how the current 0.02% rate, equivalent to 1.8% per month, is much smaller than the recent peaks. While professional traders tend to prefer the fixed-month calendar futures, retail dominates perpetual ones, avoiding the expiries' hassle. Therefore, this data shows that there is a lack of appetite since April 17.

The options skew indicator is on the verge of turning bullish

To better understand how pro traders are positioning themselves, investors should look at the options markets. Call options allow the buyer to acquire Bitcoin at a fixed price on contract expiry. On the other hand, put options provide insurance for buyers and protect against price drops.

Whenever market makers and pro traders are leaning bullish, they will demand a higher premium on call (buy) options, which will cause a negative 25% delta skew indicator.

Bitcoin 30-day options 25% delta skew. Source: laevitas.ch

A skew indicator between -10 and +10 is deemed neutral, which has been the case since April 15. This data is evidence of a balanced risk assessment from whales and market makers between downside and upside risk.

In line with today's price drop, there is little evidence that option traders are bullish. This data also aligns with the BTC perpetual futures markets.

Bitcoin has managed to close above $50,000 in 65 out of the past 66 days, likely creating a 'comfort zone' for bulls. Therefore, as long as this support stands, there is still hope that Bitcoin will notch a new record-high.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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